2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the five U.S. Representatives from the state of Oklahoma, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma
November 3, 2020
All 5 Oklahoma seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 4 1
Elections in Oklahoma
Government

District 1
See also: Oklahoma's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is located in the Tulsa metropolitan area and includes Creek, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner and Washington counties. The incumbent is Republican Kevin Hern, was elected with 59.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kevin Hern (incumbent) 100.0
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Kojo Asamoa-Caesar, entrepreneur[2]
  • Mark A. Keeter, businessman[3]

Endorsements
Kojo Asamoa-Caesar
Organizations
  • #VoteProChoice[4]

Primary results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kojo Asamoa-Caesar
Democratic Mark A. Keeter
Total votes 100.0

Independents

Candidates

Declared
  • Evelyn L. Rogers, perennial candidate[3]

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R April 24, 2020
Inside Elections[6] Safe R April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Safe R April 23, 2020
Politico[8] Safe R April 19, 2020
Niskanen[9] Safe R April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe R April 30, 2020

Results
Oklahoma's 1st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kevin Hern (incumbent)
Democratic Kojo Asamoa-Caesar
Independent Evelyn L. Rogers
Total votes 100.0

District 2
See also: Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompasses eastern Oklahoma including Choctaw Country, Muskogee and Tahlequah. The incumbent is Republican Markwayne Mullin, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared

Endorsements
Markwayne Mullin
U.S. Presidents

Primary results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Markwayne Mullin (incumbent)
Republican Joseph Silk
Republican Rhonda Hopkins
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Danyell Lanier, project analyst[3]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Richie Castaldo, Libertarian nominee for Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district in 2018[3]

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Safe R April 24, 2020
Inside Elections[14] Safe R April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R April 23, 2020
Politico[16] Safe R April 19, 2020
Niskanen[17] Safe R April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[18] Safe R April 30, 2020

Results
Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBA
Democratic Danyell Lanier
Libertarian Richie Castaldo
Total votes 100.0

District 3
See also: Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district encompasses Northwestern Oklahoma, taking in the Oklahoma Panhandle, Ponca City, Stillwater, as well as the Osage Nation. The incumbent is Republican Frank Lucas, who has was re-elected with 73.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared
Withdrew

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Zoe Midyett, rancher[20]

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Safe R April 24, 2020
Inside Elections[22] Safe R April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe R April 23, 2020
Politico[24] Safe R April 19, 2020
Niskanen[25] Safe R April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[26] Safe R April 30, 2020

Results
Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Frank D. Lucas (incumbent)
Democratic Zoe Midyett
Total votes 100.0

District 4
See also: Oklahoma's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is located in South Central Oklahoma and takes in the Oklahoma City suburbs, including Canadian County and Cleveland County. The incumbent is Republican Tom Cole, who was re-elected with 63.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared
  • James Taylor, teacher and candidate for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2016 and 2018[3]
  • Tom Cole, incumbent U.S. Representative
  • Trevor Sipes, businessman[3]
  • Gilbert O. Sanders, mental health professional[3]

Primary Results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Cole (incumbent)
Republican James Taylor
Republican Trevor Sipes
Republican Gilbert O. Sanders
Total votes 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Mary Brannon, retired educator and nominee for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2018[3]
  • John D. Argo[3]
  • David R. Slemmons, retired librarian[3]

Withdrew

Primary results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Brannon
Democratic John D. Argo
Democratic David R. Slemmons
Total votes 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Bob White, Libertarian nominee for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2016

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[29] Safe R April 24, 2020
Inside Elections[30] Safe R April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Safe R April 23, 2020
Politico[32] Safe R April 19, 2020
Niskanen[33] Safe R April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[34] Safe R April 30, 2020

Results
Oklahoma's 4th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBA
Democratic TBA
Libertarian Bob White
Total votes 100.0

District 5
See also: Oklahoma's 5th congressional district

The 5th district is based in Oklahoma City and its surrounding suburbs. The incumbent is Democrat Kendra Horn, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared
  • Tom Guild, perennial candidate[35]
  • Kendra Horn, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements
Tom Guild
Individuals
Organizations
Kendra Horn
Individuals
Organizations

Primary results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom Guild
Democratic Kendra Horn (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates
Declared
Withdrew
  • Dan Belcher[51]
  • David Greene[52]
  • Merideth VanSant, businesswoman[53]
Declined

Endorsements
Stephanie Bice
Federal officials
Individuals
  • Carol Hefner, Donald Trump’s 2016 Oklahoma Campaign Manager [60]
Organizations
Terry Neese
Federal officials
State officials
Local officials
Organizations
Individuals
  • Carly Fiorina, 2016 Republican presidential candidate, Republican nominee in the 2010 U.S. Senate election in California, and former Hewlett-Packard CEO (1999-2005)[82]

Primary results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Janet Barresi
Republican Charles Tuffy Pringle
Republican David Hill
Republican Terry Neese
Republican Michael Ballard
Republican Miles V. Rahimi
Republican Shelli Landon
Republican Stephanie Bice
Republican Jake A. Merrick
Total votes 100.0

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Janet
Barresi		 Stephanie
Bice		 David
Hill		 Terry
Neese		 Other Undecided
Okie Polls June 23, 2020 16% 39% 15% 24% 6% --

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[83] Tossup April 24, 2020
Inside Elections[84] Tossup April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[85] Tossup April 23, 2020
Politico[86] Tossup April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[87] Tossup April 30, 2020

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Kendra
Horn (D)		 Generic Republican Undecided
Amber Integrated Jun 1-4, 2020 95 (LV) – 42% 41% 18%
Amber Integrated Mar 5-8, 2020 89 (LV) – 40% 44% 16%
Amber Integrated (R) December 18–20, 2019 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 40% 45% 15%
with Generic Opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Kendra
Horn (D)		 Generic Opponent Other Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Brad Parscale[upper-alpha 1] Dec 3-4, 2019 300 (LV) ± 5.66% 37% 49%[lower-alpha 1] 2%[lower-alpha 2] 12%[lower-alpha 3]
with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Generic Democrat Generic Republican Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Brad Parscale[upper-alpha 2] December 3–4, 2019 300 (LV) ± 5.66% 42% 49% 9%[lower-alpha 4]

Results
Oklahoma's 5th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic TBA
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

Notes
  1. "It is time to give a new person a chance to do better" with 49% as opposed to "Horn has performed her job as Congresswoman well enough to deserve re-election"
  2. "Refused" with 2%
  3. "Unsure/depends" with 12%
  4. "Undecided" with 7%; "don't know/refused" with 2%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Parscale, the manager of Trump's 2020 presidential campaign
  2. Poll sponsored by Parscale, the manager of Trump's 2020 presidential campaign

References
  1. Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  2. "Kojo Asamoa-Caesar Announces Bid for Oklahoma's First Congressional District". The Black Wall Street Times. November 4, 2019. Retrieved November 25, 2019.
  3. Krehbiel, Randy (June 14, 2020). "Congressional primaries include Democrats dueling for 1st District". Tulsa World.
  4. "Candidates". #VoteProChoice. Retrieved May 1, 2020.
  5. "2020 House Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  6. "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  7. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 House". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  8. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  9. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  10. "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 30, 2020.
  11. Forman, Carmen (October 11, 2019). "State senator Joseph Silk seeks to unseat Markwayne Mullin". The Oklahoman. Retrieved October 14, 2019.
  12. "Trump went on a mini-endorsement spree on Tuesday". Politico. December 18, 2019.
  13. "2020 House Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  14. "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  15. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 House". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  16. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  17. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  18. "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 30, 2020.
  19. "Joshua Jantz - Unleash Freedom". Joshua Jantz.
  20. "Race shapes up for Garfield County sheriff". Enid News & Eagle. April 8, 2020.
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  28. https://www.wesleyforbesforcongress.com/
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  51. http://danthemancongress.com
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  60. https://www.facebook.com/527126907/posts/10158769761796908/?d=n
  61. city-sentinel.com/2019/07/contractors-group-supports-stephanie-bice-in-fifth-district-congressional-race/
  62. https://elevate-pac.com/endorsements/
  63. https://www.empower.org/post/empower-america-project-endorses-10-congressional-candidates
  64. https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/491061-conservative-womens-group-unveils-new-congressional-endorsements
  65. https://www.facebook.com/BiceForCongress/posts/567640020616237
  66. https://www.biceforcongress.com/meet-stephanie-bice/
  67. https://www.facebook.com/TerryNeeseForCongress/photos/a.2195032694160618/2218227195174501/?type=3
  68. https://www.facebook.com/TerryNeeseForCongress/posts/2354284568235429
  69. https://neeseforcongress.com/endorsements/
  70. https://neeseforcongress.com/endorsements/
  71. https://neeseforcongress.com/endorsements/
  72. https://neeseforcongress.com/endorsements/
  73. https://neeseforcongress.com/endorsements/
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  75. https://neeseforcongress.com/endorsements/
  76. https://www.muskogeepolitico.com/2020/05/former-edmond-mayor-saundra-naifeh.html
  77. https://www.facebook.com/TerryNeeseForCongress/posts/2435539890109896
  78. https://neeseforcongress.com/endorsements/
  79. https://www.facebook.com/TerryNeeseForCongress/posts/2276613879335832
  80. https://www.facebook.com/TerryNeeseForCongress/posts/2281454095518477
  81. http://www.rightnowwomen.org/terry_neese_endorsement_may2019
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  86. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  87. "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 30, 2020.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
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