2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut
The 2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Connecticut voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Connecticut has 7 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]
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Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the state's primary elections were postponed until August 11, 2020, marking the first time that the modern presidential primary season has extended into August. By that time, incumbent President Donald Trump of the Republican Party and former Vice President Joe Biden of the Democratic Party had already clinched enough delegates to become the presumptive nominees of their respective parties.
Primary elections
The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020. On March 19, they were moved to June 2 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[3] Then on April 17, they were further pushed back to August 11.[4]
Republican primary
The state has 28 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[5]
Democratic primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | |||
| Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) | |||
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | |||
| Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) | |||
| Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | |||
| Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) | |||
| Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) | |||
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | |||
| Total | 100.00% | 49 |
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe D | June 19, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Safe D | April 3, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe D | June 25, 2020 |
| Politico[9] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| RCP[10] | Lean D | June 22, 2020 |
| Niskanen[11] | Safe D | March 24, 2020 |
| CNN[12] | Safe D | June 25, 2020 |
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Other/Undecided[lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
| 270 to Win | May 6, 2020 | June 19, 2020 | 56.0% | 33.0% | 11.0% | Biden + 23.0 |
with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac | Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 | 945 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 56% | 3%[lower-alpha 3] | 7% |
| Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Mar 24 – Apr 3, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 47% | – | – |
| Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Feb 24 – Mar 12, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 52% | – | – |
| Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 32% | 52% | – | 16% |
| Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 52% | – | 15% |
Former candidates | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg
with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris
with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders
with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren
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Notes
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 1%
See also
References
- Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- "Connecticut governor says primaries moved to June". CNN. March 19, 2020.
- Dixon, Ken (April 17, 2020). "Connecticut's presidential primary will be delayed further by coronavirus: August 11". Connecticut Post.
- "Connecticut Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
- "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
- David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
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