2020 United States Senate election in New Mexico

The 2020 United States Senate election in New Mexico will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Mexico, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

2020 United States Senate election in New Mexico
November 3, 2020
 
Nominee Ben Ray Luján Mark Ronchetti Bob Walsh
Party Democratic Republican Libertarian
Incumbent U.S. senator

Tom Udall
Democratic
Elections in New Mexico

On March 25, 2019, incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Udall announced that he would retire rather than seek reelection to a third term.[1][2][3] Udall is the only incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator who is not running for reelection in 2020.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements
Ben Ray Luján
Federal officials
Statewide and local politicians
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Ben Ray
Luján		 Maggie
Toulouse Oliver		 Undecided
GBAO (D)[upper-alpha 1][55] April 15–18, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 64% 25% –

Results
Democratic primary results[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ben Ray Luján 225,082 100.00%
Total votes 225,082 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Mark Ronchetti, former KRQE chief meteorologist[57]

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn
  • Rick Montoya, businessman[60][61]
  • Mick Rich, businessman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2018[62][63]
  • Louie Sanchez, health care businessman[64][63]

Declined

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Gavin
Clarkson		 Elisa
Martinez		 Mark
Ronchetti		 Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 2] March 18–22, 2020 400 (V) ± 4.9% 11% 11% 45% –

Results
Results by county:
  Ronchetti—70–80%
  Ronchetti—60–70%
  Ronchetti—50–60%
  Ronchetti—40–50%
  Martinez—40–50%
  Martinez—<30
Republican primary results[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mark Ronchetti 89,216 56.49%
Republican Elisa Martinez 41,240 26.11%
Republican Gavin Clarkson 27,471 17.39%
Total votes 157,927 100.00%

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Declined

Results
Libertarian primary results[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Bob Walsh 1,442 100.0%
Total votes 1,442 100.0%

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[71] Likely D June 18, 2020
Inside Elections[72] Safe D April 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[73] Likely D April 30, 2020
Daily Kos[74] Safe D June 4, 2020
Politico[75] Likely D April 19, 2020
RCP[76] Lean D June 25, 2020
Niskanen[77] Safe D April 28, 2020

Endorsements
Ben Ray Luján (D)
Federal officials
Statewide and local politicians
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Ben Ray
Luján (D)		 Mark
Ronchetti (R)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 12–13, 2020 740 ± 3.6% 48% 34% – 18%
Former candidates
Ben Ray Luján vs. Gavin Clarkson
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Ben Ray
Luján (D)		 Gavin
Clarkson (R)		 Undecided
Emerson College January 3–6, 2020 967 ± 3.1% 54% 35% 12%

Results
United States Senate election in New Mexico, 2020
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Ben Ray Luján
Republican Mark Ronchetti
Libertarian Bob Walsh
Total votes 100.0%

Notes
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by the Ben Ray Luján campaign
  2. Poll sponsored by Ronchetti's campaign
Voter samples
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References
  1. Wagner, John (March 25, 2019). "Udall announces he won't seek another term representing New Mexico". The Washington Post. Retrieved March 25, 2019.
  2. Burns, Alexander (March 25, 2019). "Senator Tom Udall Will Retire, Ending a Dynasty in the West". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 25, 2019.
  3. Udall, Tom (March 25, 2019). "A message to New Mexico from Tom:". Medium. Retrieved March 25, 2019.
  4. Gonzales, Nathan L.; Gonzales, Nathan L. (March 28, 2019). "Ben Ray Luján to announce New Mexico Senate run Monday". Roll Call. Retrieved March 28, 2019.
  5. Lujan, Ben Ray [@@benraylujan] (April 1, 2019). "I'm humbled to announce my candidacy to be New Mexico's next Democratic Senator. I hope I can count on your support as we take this journey together. bit.ly/2WxMPrC" (Tweet). Retrieved April 1, 2019 – via Twitter.
  6. Terrell, Steve (April 19, 2019). "Maggie Toulouse Oliver set to enter race for U.S. Senate". Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved April 19, 2019.
  7. Haqani, Giovanni (July 24, 2019). "I am immensely grateful for the support that I have received but I must put the Democratic Party and the progress of New Mexico ahead of my campaign. I will work to serve in other ways but effective immediately I am withdrawing from the NM Senate race and throwing my support behind Maggie Toulouse Oliver". Facebook. Retrieved July 25, 2019.
  8. Turner, Scott (December 26, 2019). "Luján has new challenger for Senate". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved January 3, 2020.
  9. Reichbach, Matthew (October 29, 2019). "Toulouse Oliver ends Senate run". NM Political Report. Retrieved October 29, 2019.
  10. Toulouse Oliver, Maggie (October 29, 2019). "An important message from Maggie: #nmpol". @NMSOSMaggie. Twitter.
  11. Monahan, Joe (April 24, 2019). "Longest-Serving State Senator Now 94 And Mulling Over Re-election Bid, Plus: An Unusual GOP Northern Congress Candidate". New Mexico Politics with Joe Monahan. Retrieved April 24, 2019.
  12. 4, KOB [@KOB4] (March 28, 2019). "BREAKING: @NewMexicoOAG Hector Balderas says he will NOT run for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Sen. Tom Udall. #NewMexico #nmpol" (Tweet). Retrieved March 28, 2019 – via Twitter.
  13. Monahan, Joe (March 26, 2019). "March Madness Comes To La Politica; Udall Heads For Exits And Dems Start Filling In Their Brackets For The Big Game To Come; Frustrated R's Watch The Action From The Bench; Our Complete US Senate Coverage Is Up Next". New Mexico Politics with Joe Monahan. Retrieved March 26, 2019.
  14. Haaland, Deb [@deb4congressnm] (April 10, 2019). "I will not run for the US Senate. I will be focused on ensuring Democrats hold the House in 2020, win the White House, and continue to hold this administration accountable" (Tweet). Retrieved April 10, 2019 – via Twitter.
  15. Boyd, Dan (April 17, 2019). "Luján lands high-profile endorsements in U.S. Senate race". www.abqjournal.com. Albuquerque Journal.
  16. Luján, Ben Ray (April 17, 2019). "Thank you, @Deb4CongressNM! You've inspired the people of New Mexico — and the nation — with your fierce leadership in Congress. I am so proud to have your endorsement". @benraylujan. Twitter.
  17. Oxford, Andrew [@andrewboxford] (March 25, 2019). ""While it's an honor to be considered for the Senate seat," #ABQ Mayor Tim Keller said, "I am committed to the people of Albuquerque and making a difference on the challenges we face here every day." So, Keller's out of the running for Udall's seat … #nmpol #congress" (Tweet). Retrieved March 26, 2019 – via Twitter.
  18. Oxford, Andrew (March 26, 2019). "The contenders: Who could jump in the race to replace Udall?". Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved March 26, 2019.
  19. "Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham has become the latest prominent #NM Democrat to endorse U.S. Rep. Ben Ray Luján's bid for U.S. Senate next year". @DanBoydNM. Twitter. November 7, 2019.
  20. "Ex-spy Valerie Plame eyes run for Congress in New Mexico". Associated Press. April 5, 2019. Retrieved April 5, 2019.
  21. D'Ammassa, Algernon (April 3, 2019). "Rep. Xochitl Torres Small rules out Senate run in 2020". Las Cruces Sun-News. Retrieved April 3, 2019.
  22. Small, Xochitl Torres (January 14, 2020). "On Sunday I was proud to endorse @benraylujan to be New Mexico's next Senator. He is a tireless advocate for his district who fights for New Mexican values. I know he will bring the same type of leadership next year to the Senate #nmpolpic.twitter.com/ykzjdKbx4I".
  23. Reichbach, Matthew; Lyman, Andy (March 26, 2019). "Who might run to replace Tom Udall in the Senate?". NM Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2019.
  24. Arkin, James (March 25, 2019). "Sen. Tom Udall won't seek reelection in 2020". Politico. Retrieved March 25, 2019.
  25. Udall, Tom (March 25, 2019). "A message to New Mexico from Tom:". Medium. Retrieved March 28, 2019.
  26. "Udall and Heinrich back Lujan". Santa Fe Reporter. November 5, 2019.
  27. Oxford, Andrew [@andrewboxford] (March 25, 2019). "Some folks were quick in the wake of Udall's announcement to rule themselves out as potential Senate candidates. Former gubernatorial candidate and #SantaFe Mayor Alan Webber is a no. "I've got the best job in the world," he told me … #nmpol #congress" (Tweet). Retrieved March 26, 2019 – via Twitter.
  28. Lujan, Ben (October 8, 2019). "I'm honored to earn the endorsement of @SenGillibrand — an amazing champion for American women and families. Sen. Gillibrand has worked tirelessly to elect leaders who represent the diversity of our country, and I'm excited to join her in the Senate and continue the fight". @benraylujan. Twitter.
  29. Schneider, Elena (May 1, 2020). "Klobuchar launches Campaign to aid Senate, House Dems in 2020". Politico. Retrieved May 1, 2020.
  30. Terrell, Steve (April 17, 2019). "Luján receives Pelosi's endorsement in U.S. Senate race". Santa Fe New Mexican.
  31. Lieu, Ted (April 1, 2019). "I had the honor of working closely with @benraylujan last term to help flip the House. I now have the honor of working with Ben Ray in House Leadership. He is incredibly smart, hardworking and visionary. Ben Ray will be an outstanding Senator and I'm thrilled to endorse him…". @tedlieu.
  32. Lujan, Ben (June 13, 2019). "I'm honored to have Pramila Jayapal's support in my bid to be the next U.S. Senator for New Mexico. Congresswoman Jayapal is a fierce advocate for #MedicareForAll and the right of all individuals to have quality health care".
  33. Luján, Ben Ray (November 6, 2019). "John Lewis is an American hero who has fought for change on the most important issues of our time — from civil rights to gun safety. He knows that winning back the Senate is critical to making the progress our country needs, and I'm honored and grateful for his endorsement". @benraylujan. Twitter.
  34. Dan, Boyd; Turner, Scott (April 24, 2019). "Toulouse Oliver enters race for U.S. Senate". www.abqjournal.com. Albuquerque Journal.
  35. Denish, Diane (April 24, 2019). "@benraylujan #imwithbenray. Proud to endorse Congressman Lujan — he has worked hard for NM — fighting for healthcare for all and protecting our communities. He is with us — and #imwithbenray!". @DDDNM. Twitter.
  36. "AFSCME Endorses Luján For U.S. Senate". Los Alamos Daily Post. September 9, 2019.
  37. Luján, Ben Ray (November 13, 2019). "As the son of a union ironworker, I'm honored to earn the endorsement of the New Mexico Building Trades Council. Unions built America's middle class & public servants have a responsibility to uplift working families. I'll be proud to stand w/working Americans in the U.S. Senate". @benraylujan. Twitter.
  38. "New Mexico Professional Firefighters Association to endorse Rep. Ben Ray Lujan". KRQE. April 16, 2019.
  39. Local 244, Albuquerque Area Firefighters IAFF (April 16, 2019). "We are proud to endorse, along with @nmpffa, @benraylujan for US Senate! @team10th @IAFFNewsDesk". @iafflocal244.
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  41. Brown, Kris (September 12, 2019). "Brady Endorses Sen. Tina Smith, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, and Rep. Ben Ray Luján for U.S. Senate". Brady.
  42. "Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World". Council for a Livable World.
  43. Cortez Masto, Catherine (April 18, 2019). "DSCC Endorses Ben Ray Luján in New Mexico Senate Campaign". DSCC: Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.
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  45. Muller, Tiffany (May 21, 2019). "End Citizens United Endorses Ben Ray Luján for U.S. Senate". End Citizens United.
  46. Giffords, Gabrielle (May 14, 2019). "Giffords Endorses Ben Ray Luján for Senate in New Mexico". Giffords.
  47. Acosta, Lucas (January 23, 2020). "HRC Announces Senate Endorsements in Effort to Achieve Pro-Equality Majority". Human Rights Campaign.
  48. Society, Humane. "2020 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund.
  49. "JStreetPAC Candidates". JStreetPAC.
  50. Rich, Aliyah (November 18, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Ben Ray Luján For Senate". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved November 20, 2019.
  51. "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Ben Ray Luján for U.S. Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. December 2, 2019.
  52. "2020 Federal Endorsements - NOW PAC". nowpac.org.
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  55. Arkin, James (April 24, 2019). "Private poll shows Luján with large, early lead in New Mexico primary". Politico Pro. Retrieved April 24, 2019. Luján leads Toulouse Oliver, 64 percent to 25 percent, according to a poll conducted by GBAO, a Democratic polling firm. A memo outlining the poll's findings was sent to Dan Sena, a consultant for Luján who served as executive director of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee last cycle when Luján was chairman. The polling memo also said Luján had higher name ID and favorability among Democratic primary voters, though voters viewed both candidates positively. The memo said Luján led among men, women, Hispanics and Anglos. The poll of 600 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted April 15–18, the memo said, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
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  57. Turner, Scott (January 7, 2020). "TV meteorologist joins New Mexico US Senate race". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved January 7, 2020.
  58. Reichbach, Matthew (April 16, 2019). "Clarkson announces run for Senate". The NM Political Report. Retrieved April 16, 2019.
  59. Contreras, Russell (November 22, 2019). "Republican Elisa Martinez Enters Open Senate Race in New Mexico". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved December 12, 2019.
  60. Willis, Damien (January 16, 2020). "Las Cruces native Rick Montoya announces run for US Senate in New Mexico". Las Cruces Sun News. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  61. Cook, Mike (March 13, 2020). "Competition rules the day as candidates file". The Las Cruces Bulletin. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  62. Andy Lyman (July 26, 2019). "Mick Rich is running for Senate again". New Mexico Political Report. Retrieved July 26, 2019.
  63. Gerstein, Michael (March 10, 2020). "Two GOP candidates end bids for U.S. Senate; Golden Morper quits House race". Santa Fe New Mexican.
  64. "Shooting range owner Louie Sanchez joins New Mexico Senate race". Las Cruces Sun News. January 6, 2020. Retrieved January 7, 2020.
  65. Monahan, Joe (March 28, 2019). "Balderas' Big Day: He'll Announce Senate Plans As Ben Ray Warms Up In The Bull Pen, Plus: Maggie Gets Company; Another Well-Known Woman Joins Her In Eyeing A Senate Run". New Mexico Politics with Joe Monahan. Retrieved March 28, 2019.
  66. "Republican Herrell to run against Torres Small in 2020". KOB. Associated Press. January 8, 2019. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  67. Simonich, Milan (March 28, 2019). "Republicans stuck in reverse under Pearce". Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved March 28, 2019.
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  79. Lujan, Ben (October 8, 2019). "I'm honored to earn the endorsement of @SenGillibrand — an amazing champion for American women and families. Sen. Gillibrand has worked tirelessly to elect leaders who represent the diversity of our country, and I'm excited to join her in the Senate and continue the fight". @benraylujan. Twitter.
  80. Schneider, Elena (May 1, 2020). "Klobuchar launches Campaign to aid Senate, House Dems in 2020". Politico. Retrieved May 1, 2020.
  81. Terrell, Steve (April 17, 2019). "Luján receives Pelosi's endorsement in U.S. Senate race". Santa Fe New Mexican.
  82. Lieu, Ted (April 1, 2019). "I had the honor of working closely with @benraylujan last term to help flip the House. I now have the honor of working with Ben Ray in House Leadership. He is incredibly smart, hardworking and visionary. Ben Ray will be an outstanding Senator and I'm thrilled to endorse him…". @tedlieu.
  83. Lujan, Ben (June 13, 2019). "I'm honored to have Pramila Jayapal's support in my bid to be the next U.S. Senator for New Mexico. Congresswoman Jayapal is a fierce advocate for #MedicareForAll and the right of all individuals to have quality health care".
  84. Luján, Ben Ray (November 6, 2019). "John Lewis is an American hero who has fought for change on the most important issues of our time — from civil rights to gun safety. He knows that winning back the Senate is critical to making the progress our country needs, and I'm honored and grateful for his endorsement". @benraylujan. Twitter.
  85. https://twitter.com/BobMenendezNJ/status/1257399607254024192
  86. Denish, Diane (April 24, 2019). "@benraylujan #imwithbenray. Proud to endorse Congressman Lujan — he has worked hard for NM — fighting for healthcare for all and protecting our communities. He is with us — and #imwithbenray!". @DDDNM. Twitter.
  87. "AFSCME Endorses Luján For U.S. Senate". Los Alamos Daily Post. September 9, 2019.
  88. Luján, Ben Ray (November 13, 2019). "As the son of a union ironworker, I'm honored to earn the endorsement of the New Mexico Building Trades Council. Unions built America's middle class & public servants have a responsibility to uplift working families. I'll be proud to stand w/working Americans in the U.S. Senate". @benraylujan. Twitter.
  89. "New Mexico Professional Firefighters Association to endorse Rep. Ben Ray Lujan". KRQE. April 16, 2019.
  90. Local 244, Albuquerque Area Firefighters IAFF (April 16, 2019). "We are proud to endorse, along with @nmpffa, @benraylujan for US Senate! @team10th @IAFFNewsDesk". @iafflocal244.
  91. Brown, Kris (September 12, 2019). "Brady Endorses Sen. Tina Smith, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, and Rep. Ben Ray Luján for U.S. Senate". Brady.
  92. "Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World". Council for a Livable World.
  93. Cortez Masto, Catherine (April 18, 2019). "DSCC Endorses Ben Ray Luján in New Mexico Senate Campaign". DSCC: Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.
  94. "2020 Endorsed House Candidates". DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare. Retrieved March 19, 2020.
  95. Muller, Tiffany (May 21, 2019). "End Citizens United Endorses Ben Ray Luján for U.S. Senate". End Citizens United.
  96. "Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Endorses Rep. Ben Ray Luján for U.S. Senate in New Mexico". Everytown. June 9, 2020.
  97. Giffords, Gabrielle (May 14, 2019). "Giffords Endorses Ben Ray Luján for Senate in New Mexico". Giffords.
  98. Acosta, Lucas (January 23, 2020). "HRC Announces Senate Endorsements in Effort to Achieve Pro-Equality Majority". Human Rights Campaign.
  99. Society, Humane. "2020 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund.
  100. "JStreetPAC Candidates". JStreetPAC.
  101. "2020 Candidates". Latino Victory.
  102. Rich, Aliyah (November 18, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Ben Ray Luján For Senate". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved November 20, 2019.
  103. "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Ben Ray Luján for U.S. Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. December 2, 2019.
  104. "U.S. Senate - Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.
  105. "2020 Federal Endorsements - NOW PAC". nowpac.org.
  106. "2020 Endorsements". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund.
  107. "2020 Endorsements". Population Connection.
  108. "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
Official campaign websites
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