2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. Representatives from the state of Hawaii, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The state's primary elections will be held on August 8, 2020.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii
November 3, 2020
All 2 Hawaii seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 2 0
Elections in Hawaii

Beginning with the 2020 election cycle, per Act 136, Session Laws of Hawaii 2019, all state elections are conducted by mail.[1]

District 1
See also: Hawaii's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is located entirely on the island of Oahu, centering on Honolulu and the towns of, Aiea, Mililani, Pearl City, Waipahu and Waimalu. The incumbent is Democrat Ed Case, who was elected with 73.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared

Primary results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ed Case (incumbent) 100.0
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Ron Curtis,[4] 2018 Republican nominee for U.S. Senator from Hawaii[5]
  • James Dickens[4]
  • Nancy Olson[4]
  • Arturo Reyes,[4] 2012/2016 Democratic candidate and 2014/2018 independent candidate for U.S. Senator from Hawaii[6]
  • Taylor Smith[4]

Primary results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Curtis
Republican James Dickens
Republican Nancy Olson
Republican Arturo Reyes
Republican Taylor Smith
Total votes 100.0

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe D April 24,2020
Inside Elections[8] Safe D April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe D April 23, 2020
Politico[10] Safe D April 19, 2020
Niskanen[11] Safe D April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe D April 30, 2020

Results
Hawaii's 1st congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ed Case (incumbent)
Republican TBA
Nonpartisan Calvin Griffin
Total votes 100.0

District 2
See also: Hawaii's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district includes rural and most suburban areas of Oahu and Honolulu County, as well as the entire state outside of Oahu, as well as Kauai, Maui, Kalawao and Hawaii counties and the entirety of Hilo. The incumbent is Democrat Tulsi Gabbard, who was reelected with 77.4% of the vote in 2018 and announced that she would run for President of the United States in 2020. Hawaii law permits candidates to run for both Congress and the presidency.[13]

On October 25, 2019, Gabbard announced she would not seek reelection to focus on her presidential campaign.[14] However, she suspended her campaign on March 19, 2020 after lower result ratings in the primaries and endorsed former Vice President Joe Biden's campaign.[15] Hawaii's Office of Elections forbids candidate filing for any of the state's 2020 elections after June 2, 2020.[16]

Democratic primary

Candidates
Declared
Withdrew
  • Ryan Meza
Declined

Endorsements
Kai Kahele
Federal officials
State officials
State legislators
Other individuals
Organizations
Unions
Noelle Famera
Individuals
  • Heidi Briones, 2020 Democratic candidate for OR-01[30]
  • Jon Munitz, progressive activist and podcast host [31]
Organizations
  • Humanity Forward-Hawaii Chapter[31]

Polling
Hypothetical polling
Tulsi Gabbard vs. Kai Kahele
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Tulsi
Gabbard		 Kai
Kahele		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 27–29, 2019 990 ± 3.4% 48% 26% 27%
Tulsi Gabbard vs. Generic Opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Tulsi
Gabbard		 Generic
Opponent		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 27–29, 2019 990 ± 3.4% 38% 50% 11%

Primary results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Cornejo
Democratic Brian Evans
Democratic Noelle Famera
Democratic Kai Kahele
Democratic Ryan Meza
Total votes 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Joe Akana[4]
  • Steven Bond[4]
  • Karla (Bart) Gottschalk[4]
  • David Hamman,[4] 2010 candidate for Hawaii State Senate
  • Elise Hatsuko Kaneshiro,[4] attorney
  • Nicholas Love[4]
  • Robert Nagamine[4]
  • Raymond Quel [4]
  • Felipe San Nicolas[4]
Declined
  • Samuel Wilder King II, attorney[19]
  • Steve Rousseau[32]

Primary results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joe Akana
Republican Steven Bond
Republican Karla (Bart) Gottschalk
Republican David Hamman
Republican Elise Kaneshiro
Republican Nicholas Love
Republican Robert Nagamine
Republican Raymond Quel
Republican Felipe San Nicolas
Total votes 100.00

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Safe D April 24,2020
Inside Elections[34] Safe D April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Safe D April 23, 2020
Politico[36] Safe D April 19, 2020
Niskanen[37] Safe D April 28, 2020
Daily Kos[38] Safe D April 30, 2020

Results
Hawaii's 2nd congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic TBA
Republican TBA
Total votes 100.0

Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References
  1. "Implementing Elections by Mail". State of Hawaii Office of Elections. November 14, 2019. Retrieved May 25, 2020.
  2. Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  3. "Ed Case announces his candidacy for re-election in 2020". June 16, 2019. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  4. "Hawaii Elections 2020: Primary Election Ballot". Honolulu Civil Beat. June 3, 2020. Retrieved June 19, 2020.
  5. "Ron Curtis". Ballotpedia. Retrieved June 19, 2020.
  6. "Arturo Reyes". Ballotpedia. Retrieved June 19, 2020.
  7. "2020 House Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  8. "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  9. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 House". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  10. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  11. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  12. "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 30, 2020.
  13. Lovell, Blaze (January 21, 2019). "Sen. Kai Kahele Gets A Jump On 2020 In Announcing Congressional Bid". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  14. "Gabbard's decision breaks 2nd District race wide open". www.kitv.com. Retrieved October 26, 2019.
  15. Lerer, Lisa; Astor, Maggie (March 19, 2020). "Tulsi Gabbard Drops Out of Presidential Race". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 20, 2020.
  16. "Candidate Filing". elections.hawaii.gov. Retrieved June 4, 2020.
  17. "2020 Election United States House - Hawaii - District 02". FEC.gov.
  18. "Noelle Famera | Noelle For Congress | United States". ElectNoelle. Retrieved May 10, 2020.
  19. "Chad Blair: Handicapping Hawaii's CD2 Election". Honolulu Civil Beat. November 1, 2019. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  20. Cocke, Sophie (November 18, 2019). "Former Kauai Mayor Bernard Carvalho endorses Kai Kahele for Congress". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  21. Elfrink, Tim (October 24, 2019). "Tulsi Gabbard won't run for reelection to Congress as she seeks Democratic presidential nomination". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 24, 2019.
  22. Ing, Kaniela [@KanielaIng] (November 4, 2019). "BIG ANNOUNCEMENT: Since Tulsi Gabbard announced that she would not seek re-election, a lot of people have been asking what my plans are. Learn more and join me here: bit.ly/34xquPf#VoteKai #Kahele2020" (Tweet). Retrieved November 4, 2019 – via Twitter.
  23. Singer, Jeff (October 28, 2019). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 10/28". Daily Kos. Retrieved October 28, 2019.
  24. Lauer, Nancy Cook (October 27, 2019). "Congressional race likely to get crowded". West Hawaii Today. Retrieved October 31, 2019.
  25. "Windward Oahu representative announces plan to run for state Senate". Hawaii News Now. November 4, 2019. Retrieved November 4, 2019.
  26. McAvoy, Audrey (October 25, 2019). "Gabbard drops congressional race to focus on presidential". Washington Post. AP. Retrieved November 1, 2019.
  27. "Public endorsements". kaikahele.com. Retrieved May 19, 2020.
  28. "We are excited to announce that U.S. Senator @maziehirono has endorsed Kai for Congress!". June 2, 2020.
  29. "Union Endorsements". kaikahele.com. Retrieved May 19, 2020.
  30. Noelle Famera [@ElectNoelle] (May 23, 2020). "Some of Our Recent Endorsements Include: @HeidiBriones and @MyLifeIsMunitz See the rest of our endorsements on our website: electnoelle.com/endorsements #NoelleForHI02 #YangGang #YangGangForCongress #AlohaGang #UBI #vote" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  31. "Endorsements for Noelle For Congress".
  32. Harlow, Casey (December 25, 2019). "'You Still Have A Job To Do': 2nd Congressional District Candidates Voice Opinions Of Gabbard". Hawaii Public Radio. Retrieved June 19, 2020.
  33. "2020 House Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  34. "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  35. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 House". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  36. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  37. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  38. "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 30, 2020.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
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