2020 United States presidential election in North Dakota

The 2020 United States presidential election in North Dakota is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] North Dakota voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Dakota has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

2020 United States presidential election in North Dakota

November 3, 2020
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden Jo Jorgensen
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Home state Florida Delaware South Carolina
Running mate Mike Pence TBA Spike Cohen

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

TBA

Caucuses

Democratic caucuses

The North Dakota Democratic–NPL Party held a firehouse caucus on March 10, 2020.

2020 North Dakota Democratic presidential caucuses[3]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Bernie Sanders 7,682 53.3 8
Joe Biden 5,742 39.8 6
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn[lower-alpha 1]) 366 2.5
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn[lower-alpha 1]) 223 1.5
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn[lower-alpha 1]) 164 1.1
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn[lower-alpha 1]) 113 0.8
Tulsi Gabbard 89 0.6
Andrew Yang (withdrawn[lower-alpha 1]) 20 0.2
Tom Steyer (withdrawn[lower-alpha 1]) 6 0.0
Michael Bennet (withdrawn[lower-alpha 1]) 3 0.0
John Delaney (withdrawn[lower-alpha 1]) 3 0.0
Deval Patrick (withdrawn[lower-alpha 1]) 2 0.0
Total 14,413 14

Republican caucuses

The North Dakota Republican Party held a non-binding firehouse caucus on March 10, 2020, with incumbent President Donald Trump running unopposed.[4][5]

The party will then formally select their 29 Republican National Convention delegates, unpledged to any particular candidate at the state party convention. The state party convention was originally scheduled for March 27–29, but due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic it has been postponed to a later date to be determined.[6][7]

Libertarian nominee

  • Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Safe R June 19, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe R April 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R June 25, 2020
Politico[11] Safe R April 19, 2020
RCP[12] Safe R June 22, 2020
Niskanen[13] Safe R March 24, 2020
CNN[14] Safe R June 25, 2020

Polling

with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Other Undecided
DFM Research March 3–5, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 55% 38% 2% 5%
DFM Research Jan 28–Feb 1, 2020 600 (A) ± 4.0% 59% 34% 2% 5%
1892 Polling (R-Burgum) July 15–17, 2019 500 ± 4.4% 60% 34%
DFM Research May 14–18, 2019 400 ± 4.9% 54% 39% 2% 5%
Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Other Undecided
DFM Research Jan 28–1 Feb, 2020 600 (A) ± 4.0% 59% 32% 1% 7%

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Other Undecided
DFM Research Jan 28–1 Feb, 2020 600 (A) ± 4.0% 59% 31% 2% 8%

with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Other Undecided
DFM Research Jan 28–1 Feb, 2020 600 (A) ± 4.0% 59% 33% 1% 7%

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
DFM Research March 3–5, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 33% 4% 4%
DFM Research Jan 28–1 Feb, 2020 600 (A) ± 4.0% 61% 32% 1% 5%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
DFM Research Jan 28–1 Feb, 2020 600 (A) ± 4.0% 62% 31% 2% 6%
Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 403 ± 4.9% 47% 36% 17%

See also

Notes

  1. Candidate withdrew after early voting started.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. "2020 Democratic Caucus Results". North Dakota Democratic-NPL Party. Retrieved June 11, 2020.
  4. "6 states will vote in Tuesday's GOP presidential primary. Trump will win all 6". Vox. March 10, 2020.
  5. "North Dakota Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved April 4, 2020.
  6. "North Dakota GOP cancels state convention because of coronavirus threat". KFGO. March 18, 2020.
  7. "2020 State Convention – North Dakota Republican Party". Retrieved March 18, 2020.
  8. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  9. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  10. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  11. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  12. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  13. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  14. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
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