2020 United States Senate election in Tennessee
The 2020 United States Senate election in Tennessee will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Tennessee, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Lamar Alexander announced that he would not run for reelection on December 17, 2018.[1]
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Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Byron Bush, dentist[2]
- Roy Dale Cope[3][4]
- Terry Dicus[4]
- Tom Emerson, Jr., Tea Party candidate in the 2014 United States Senate election in Tennessee[5]
- George Flinn, Jr., Republican candidate in Tennessee's 8th congressional district in 2016 and 2018[6]
- Bill Hagerty, businessman, former United States Ambassador to Japan and former Commissioner of the Tennessee Department of Economic and Community Development[7][8]
- Jon Henry[6]
- Kent Morrell[6]
- Glen Neal, Jr.[6]
- John Osborne[6]
- Aaron Pettigrew, truck driver[9]
- David Schuster, Navy veteran[5]
- Manny Sethi, orthopedic surgeon[10]
Disqualified from the primary ballot
- Jim Elkins, Republican candidate for Tennessee's 3rd congressional district in 2020[11]
- Johnny Presley, retired physician's assistant, hospital and clinic owner, farmer[12]
Withdrawn
- Clyde Benson, army veteran and Republican candidate for District 39 of the Tennessee House of Representatives in 2016[13][5]
- Larry Crim[14][5]
- Josh Gapp, physician (running for TN-01)[15][16]
- Garrett "Lance" Nichols[6][5]
- Stokes Nielson, music industry executive and guitarist for The Lost Trailers[17]
Declined
- Lamar Alexander, incumbent U.S. Senator[1][18]
- Mae Beavers, former state senator[19]
- Diane Black, former U.S. Representative for Tennessee's 6th congressional district and candidate for Governor in 2018[20]
- Randy Boyd, former Commissioner of the Tennessee Department of Economic and Community Development, candidate for Governor in 2018, and President of the University of Tennessee System[21]
- Bob Corker, former U.S. Senator[22]
- Stephen Fincher, former U.S. Representative for Tennessee's 8th congressional district[23] and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[7]
- Chuck Fleischmann, U.S. Representative for Tennessee's 3rd congressional district[24]
- Mark E. Green, U.S. Representative for Tennessee's 7th congressional district and former state senator[25]
- Tre Hargett, Tennessee Secretary of State[19]
- Beth Harwell, former Speaker of the Tennessee House of Representatives and candidate for Governor in 2018[7]
- Bill Haslam, former Governor of Tennessee[26]
- David Kustoff, U.S. Representative for Tennessee's 8th congressional district and former U.S. Attorney[27]
- Peyton Manning, retired NFL quarterback[28]
- Jeff Webb, businessman[23]
- Jamie Woodson, former State Senator[29]
Endorsements
| Bill Hagerty |
|---|
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| Manny Sethi |
|---|
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Polling
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||
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Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Clifford Adkins | |||
| Republican | Natisha Brooks | |||
| Republican | Byron Bush | |||
| Republican | Roy Dale Cope | |||
| Republican | Terry Dicus | |||
| Republican | Tom Emerson, Jr. | |||
| Republican | George Flinn, Jr. | |||
| Republican | Bill Hagerty | |||
| Republican | Jon Henry | |||
| Republican | Kent Morrell | |||
| Republican | Glen Neal, Jr. | |||
| Republican | John Osborne | |||
| Republican | Aaron Pettigrew | |||
| Republican | David Schuster | |||
| Republican | Manny Sethi | |||
| Total votes | 100.0% | |||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Disqualified from the primary ballot
- Tharon Chandler, journalist, economist and conservationist[47]
Withdrawn
- Diana C. Onyejiaka, college professor and consultant
Declined
- Andy Berke, incumbent mayor of Chattanooga and former state senator[48]
- Phil Bredesen, former mayor of Nashville and Governor of Tennessee and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018[21] (endorsed James Mackler)[49]
- John Ray Clemmons, state representative and candidate for Mayor of Nashville in 2019[20]
- Karl Dean, former mayor of Nashville and nominee for Governor of Tennessee in 2018[7]
- Sara Kyle, incumbent state senator[50]
- Tim McGraw, singer-songwriter[45]
- Madeline Rogero, former mayor of Knoxville[51]
- Renata Soto, executive director of Conexión Américas[7]
- Jeff Yarbro, minority leader of the Tennessee State Senate[7]
Endorsements
| Robin Kimbrough Hayes |
|---|
|
| James Mackler |
|---|
|
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Marquita Bradshaw | |||
| Democratic | Gary G. Davis | |||
| Democratic | Robin Kimbrough Hayes | |||
| Democratic | James Mackler | |||
| Democratic | Mark Pickrell | |||
| Total votes | 100.0% | |||
Independents
Declared
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[64] | Safe R | June 18, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[65] | Safe R | April 3, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[66] | Safe R | April 30, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[67] | Safe R | June 4, 2020 |
| Politico[68] | Likely R | April 19, 2020 |
| RCP[69] | Likely R | June 25, 2020 |
| Niskanen[70] | Safe R | April 28, 2020 |
Polling
- with Bill Hagerty
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Bill Hagerty (R) |
James Mackler (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon | Jan 28-30, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4% | 55% | 33% | 12% |
- with Manny Sethi
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 3] |
Margin of error |
Manny Sethi (R) |
James Mackler (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon | Jan 28-30, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4% | 46% | 35% | 19% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | TBA | ||||
| Democratic | TBA | ||||
| Independent | Romi Faparusi, Sr. | ||||
| Independent | Jeffrey Grunau | ||||
| Independent | Ronnie Henley | ||||
| Independent | Dean Hill | ||||
| Independent | Stephen Hooper | ||||
| Independent | Aaron James | ||||
| Independent | Elizabeth Macleod | ||||
| Independent | Kacey Morgan | ||||
| Independent | Eric William Stansberry | ||||
| Total votes | 100.0% | ||||
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Does not matter" with 26%; unsure with 5%
References
- Burgess Everett [@burgessev] (December 17, 2018). "HOLY COW Lamar Alexander: "I will not be a candidate for re-election to the United States Senate in 2020"" (Tweet). Retrieved December 17, 2018 – via Twitter.
- "Byron Bush for Tennessee Senate". Retrieved 2020-03-27.
- "CopeTN2020 - TN Candidate for US Senate 2020". Retrieved 2020-03-27.
- "State Republicans Dump Basil Marceaux, Others". The Chattanoogan. April 16, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- Elbert, Joel (April 10, 2020). "See who's running for statewide, federal and legislative offices in Tennessee in 2020". The Tennessean. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- "Tennessee Senate 2020 Race". Open Secrets. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- "Who will succeed Lamar Alexander as Tennessee's next U.S. Senator?". The Tennessean. Retrieved 2018-12-17.
- Sher, Andy (July 12, 2019). "Trump announces, endorses Bill Hagerty bid for Tennessee U.S. Senate seat". Chattanooga Times Free Press. Retrieved July 12, 2019.
- "Aaron Pettigrew". Ballotpedia. Retrieved 2020-01-05.
- "Nashville trauma surgeon Manny Sethi launches 2020 U.S. Senate bid". amp.tennessean.com. Retrieved 2019-06-03.
- Humphrey, Scott (April 16, 2020). "J.J. PRESLEY REMOVED FROM REPUBLICAN AUGUST PRIMARY BALLOT FOR U.S. SENATE SEAT". 1057 News. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- "Johnny Presley FEC Campaign Finance Data". FEC. Retrieved 2020-02-10.
- "Local doctor announces bid for U.S. Senate". WBIR. July 25, 2019. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- "Larry Crim for U.S. Senate (R-TN) 2020" (PDF). FEC. August 26, 2019. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- Whetstone, Tyler (July 25, 2019). "Knoxville doctor running for U.S. Senate says 'political correctness' is a cancer". Knoxville News Sentinel. Retrieved July 25, 2019.
- "Josh Gapp for Congress | TN-01".
- Elliott, Stephen (April 5, 2019). "Country artist running for U.S. Senate". Nashville Post. Retrieved April 6, 2019.
- Joseph, Cameron (17 December 2018). "Sen. Lamar Alexander Says He Won't Run For Reelection In 2020". Talking Points Memo. Archived from the original on 17 December 2018.
- "With Bill Haslam opting against 2020 US Senate run, other potential candidates weigh decisions". The Tennessean.
- Ebert, Joel (December 17, 2018). "Tennessee Sen. Lamar Alexander will not seek re-election in 2020". Daily Local News. Retrieved December 17, 2018.
- "Who will succeed Lamar Alexander as Tennessee's next U.S. Senator?". The Tennessean. Retrieved 2018-12-18.
- Weaver, Al (December 17, 2018). "Bob Corker says 'no' 14 times to running for Lamar Alexander's Senate seat". Washington Examiner. Retrieved December 20, 2018.
- Pathé, Simone (December 17, 2018). "Who Might Run for Alexander's Tennessee Senate Seat in 2020?". Roll Call. Retrieved December 17, 2018.
- "Fleischmann announces $1.4 million raised in re-election campaign so far". Times Free Press. July 16, 2019. Retrieved August 24, 2019.
- Ebert, Joel; Allison, Natalie (July 11, 2019). "US Rep. Mark Green says he won't run for US Senate in 2020". The Tennessean. Retrieved July 11, 2019.
- "Bill Haslam: Why I am not running for U.S. Senate in 2020 | Opinion". The Tennessean. Retrieved 2019-07-11.
- Bardos, Istvan (July 28, 2019). "U.S. Rep. David Kustoff will not run for Lamar Alexander's Senate seat in 2020". Local Memphis. Retrieved July 29, 2019.
- Wegmann, Philip. "The GOP front office should draft Peyton Manning for Lamar Alexander's seat". The Washington Examiner. Washington Examiner, Ltd. Retrieved 3 February 2020.
- {{cite news|last1=Ashe|first1=Victor|title=While Trump promotes Hagerty for Senate, local party bigwigs turn out for Manny Sethi|url=https://knoxnews.com/story/opinion/2019/08/12/trump-promotes-hagerty-senate-locals-turn-out-manny-sethi/1965124001/|newspaper=Knoxville News Sentinel|date=August 12, 2019|accessdate=August 12, 2019}}
- Ebert, Joel. "Tom Cotton endorses Bill Hagerty in Tennessee's Republican US Senate primary". The Tennessean.
- "Tweet". twitter.com. Retrieved 2020-06-29.
- Nikki Haley. "Such a fun Valentine weekend. Now off to Tennessee and North Carolina to campaign for @BillHagertyTN and @ThomTillis #Election2020". Twitter.
- "Hagerty nabs endorsements in Senate race". Nashville Post.
- Donald J. Trump. "Tennessee loving Bill Hagerty, who was my Tennessee Victoy Chair and is now the very outstanding Ambassador to Japan, will be running for the U.S. Senate. He is strong on crime, borders & our 2nd A. Loves our Military & our Vets. Has my Complete & Total Endorsement!". Twitter.
- Ramsey, Ron. "Excited to support true #MAGA conservative @BillHagertyTN for #TNSen. I watched firsthand as Bill brought high-quality jobs to TN as @TNECD commish. He's the senator we need to stand up for TN Values and Keep America Great. He'll have @realdonaldtrump's back 100%. We need him". Twitter.
- "Susan B. Anthony List Endorses Bill Hagerty For U.S. Senate". Bill Hagerty for U.S. Senate. June 3, 2020.
- Montellaro, Zach. "What we learned from the monthly FEC filings". POLITICO.
- Ebert, Joel (June 5, 2020). "Rand Paul endorses Manny Sethi in Tennessee's Republican US Senate primary". The Tennessean.
- "Dr. Manny Sethi Announces General Burwell B. Bell III (Ret.) as Chair of "Veterans for Dr. Manny"". www.drmannyforsenate.com. June 18, 2020.
- https://www.t-g.com/story/2662540.html
- Elliott, Stephen (October 3, 2019). "Another Democrat Joins U.S. Senate Race". Nashville Scene. Retrieved October 24, 2019.
- "Gary Davis (Tennessee)". Ballotpedia. Retrieved October 28, 2019.
- "Robin Kimbrough Hayes for U.S. Senate". Retrieved April 27, 2020.
- Mackler, James (2019-01-08). "I'm @James_Mackler, and after 9/11 I joined the 101st Airborne Division, because I felt it was my duty to serve the country I love. Now I'm running for U.S. Senate, and it's my duty to tell the truth about Donald Trump. Join the campaign at http://JamesMackler.com #tnsenpic.twitter.com/dGdbxDiKon". @James_Mackler. Retrieved 2019-01-08. External link in
|title=(help) - Elliott, Stephen (December 5, 2018). "Democrats 'disappointed but not discouraged' as they look to 2020". Nashville Post. Retrieved December 6, 2018.
- "Mark Pickrell to Seek Election to the United States Senate for the State of Tennessee". Business Wire. April 14, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- Gang, Duane; Allison, Natalie (April 8, 2020). "Tennessee Democratic Party removes Rep. John DeBerry from ballot as a Democratic candidate". USA Today. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- Sher, Andy; Taylor, Sarah Grace (June 14, 2019). "Chattanooga Mayor Andy Berke announces he will not seek U.S. Senate seat in 2020". Chattanooga Times Free Press. Retrieved June 17, 2019.
- Mackler, James. "Humbled and honored to have Gov. @PhilBredesen on the team to win this #TNSen race!". Twitter.
- Richard, Brandon (February 9, 2019). "Sara Kyle: Not running for U.S. Senate". WMC. Retrieved February 11, 2019.
- Whetstone, Tyler (December 18, 2018). "Will Knoxville Mayor Madeline Rogero run for Lamar Alexander's Senate seat?". Knoxville News Sentinel. Retrieved December 18, 2018.
- Our Revolution Nashville & Mid TN (May 4, 2020). "BREAKING 🚨 OUR REVOLUTION NASHVILLE AND MIDDLE TN ANNOUNCES ENDORSEMENTS". Retrieved May 5, 2020 – via Instagram.
- "TN-Sen: Sen. Tim Kaine (D. VA) Helps James Mackler (D) Flip This Seat From Red To Blue". DailyKos.
- https://twitter.com/sethmoulton/status/1217914969985036291
- https://twitter.com/chelseahandler/status/1220862613896065024
- "DSCC Endorses James Mackler in Tennessee Senate Race". DSCC. January 16, 2020.
- Muller, Tiffany (January 21, 2020). "End Citizens United Endorses 39 Candidates 10 Years After Citizens United Decision". End Citizens United.
- "Our Candidates". Flip the Senate. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
- "Giffords Endorses James Mackler for Senate in Tennessee". Giffords.
- "Endorsements - NARAL Pro-Choice America". prochoiceamerica.org.
- "2020 Endorsements". plannedparenthoodaction.org.
- "Candidates". VoteVets.org.
- "The Green Papers: Tennessee 2020 General Election". The Green Papers. April 25, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
- "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
- "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
- "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
External links
- Official campaign websites
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