2020 United States presidential election in New York

The 2020 United States presidential election in New York is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] New York voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New York has 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2] It has also been announced that New York will not be incumbent President Trump’s home state for this election, now Florida.

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in New York
November 3, 2020
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Alliance TBA TBA
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence TBA
President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

 Elected President

TBA

Elections in New York State

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020. On March 28, New York State elections officials moved the primary date to June 23 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[3]

Canceled Republican primary
Further information: 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries § Cancellation of state caucuses or primaries

On March 3, 2020, the New York Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to officially cancel their respective primaries and caucuses. Donald Trump was the only Republican candidate to submit the required number of names of his 162 total delegates, both the 94 primary ones and the alternates. Among Trump's major challengers, Bill Weld only submitted about half of his required delegates, and neither Rocky De La Fuente nor Joe Walsh sent in any names at all. With the cancellation, Trump automatically gets to send his 94 New York pledged delegates to the national convention.[4][5]

Democratic primary

On April 27, 2020, New York State elections officials had decided to cancel the state's Democratic primary altogether, citing the fact that former Vice President Joe Biden was the only major candidate left in the race after all the others had suspended their campaigns, and canceling it would save the state millions of dollars from printing the extra sheet on the ballot.[6] However on May 5, a federal judge ruled that the Democratic primary must proceed on June 23.[7]

Among the other major candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand, one of New York's two current senators, and Bill de Blasio, the mayor of New York City. However on August 29, 2019, Gillibrand dropped out of the race. Bill de Blasio as well dropped out on September 20, 2019, after failing to qualify for the 4th Democratic debate.

Results
This section is an excerpt from 2020 New York Democratic presidential primary[edit]
2020 New York Democratic presidential primary[8]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[9][10]
Joe Biden 504,055 67.57% 196
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 141,782 19.01% 11
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 32,960 4.42%
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) 25,761 3.45%
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 12,469 1.67%
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 11,625 1.56%
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 5,860 0.79%
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 5,815 0.78%
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 2,186 0.29%
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 2,060 0.28%
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 1,402 0.19%
Total 745,975 100.00% 207 (of 274)

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Safe D June 19, 2020
Inside Elections[12] Safe D April 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe D June 25, 2020
Politico[14] Safe D April 19, 2020
RCP[15] Safe D June 22, 2020
Niskanen[16] Safe D March 24, 2020
CNN[17] Safe D June 25, 2020
JHK Forecasts[18] Safe D June 27, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided[lower-alpha 1] Margin
270 to Win May 27, 2020 May 27, 2020 57.0% 32.0% 11.0% Biden + 25.0

with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Other Undecided
Siena College May 17-21, 2020 767 (RV) ± 3.7% 32% 57% – 11%
Quinnipiac Apr 30-May 4, 2020 915 (RV) ± 3.2% 32% 55% 5%[lower-alpha 3] 8%
Siena College Apr 19-23, 2020 803 (RV) ± 3.7% 29% 65% – 6%
Siena College Mar 22–26, 2020 566 (RV) ± 4.5% 33% 58% – 10%
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 36% 55% – 5%
Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Michael
Bloomberg (D)		 Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 33% 58% – 9%

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)		 Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 37% 56% – 7%

with Donald Trump and Bill de Blasio

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bill
de Blasio (D)		 Other Undecided
Siena College Jun 2–6, 2019 812 ± 4.1% 36% 48% 13% 3%

with Donald Trump and Kirsten Gillibrand

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)		 Other Undecided
Siena College Jun 2–6, 2019 812 ± 4.1% 34% 58% 5% 3%

with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Amy
Klobuchar (D)		 Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 37% 53% – 10%

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)		 Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 38% 56% – 7%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)		 Other Undecided
Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 39% 53% – 8%

See also

Notes
  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 2%

References
  1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. "New York presidential primary postponed amid record numbers of coronavirus cases". ABC News. March 28, 2020.
  4. "New York might cancel Republican presidential primary". Politico. February 28, 2020.
  5. "New York cancels Republican presidential primary". Politico. March 3, 2020.
  6. "New York cancels Democratic presidential primary". Politico. April 28, 2020.
  7. "Judge rules New York Democratic presidential primary will take place as planned". CNN. May 6, 2020.
  8. "NYS Board of Elections Unofficial Election Night Results". nyenr.elections.ny.gov. New York State Board of Elections. Retrieved June 26, 2020.
  9. "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved June 23, 2020.
  10. "New York primary results". ABC News. ABC News Internet Ventures. Retrieved 25 June 2020.
  11. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  12. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  13. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  14. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  15. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  16. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  17. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
  18. "JHK Forecasts » 2020 President". JHK Forecasts. Retrieved 2020-06-27.
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