2020 Utah gubernatorial election

The 2020 Utah gubernatorial election will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect the Governor of Utah, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Although incumbent Republican Governor Gary Herbert is eligible to run for re-election to a third full term, he initially announced shortly after being re-elected in 2016 that he would not run again, but indicated in January 2019 that he was open to the possibility of running again before ultimately deciding to retire and endorse his Lieutenant Governor Spencer Cox.[1][2][3] Utah has not had a Democratic governor since Scott M. Matheson left office in January 1985. This is the second longest active streak of one-party leadership, trailing only South Dakota, which has not had a Democratic governor since Harvey L. Wollman left office in 1979.[4][5]

See also: 2020 United States gubernatorial elections
2020 Utah gubernatorial election
November 3, 2020
 
Nominee TBD Christopher Peterson
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Karina Brown
Incumbent Governor

Gary Herbert
Republican
Elections in Utah

The winner of the election will be the first non-incumbent gubernatorial candidate to be elected since Jon Huntsman Jr. in 2004. The primary is scheduled for June 30, 2020. The filing deadline was on June 19, 2020.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Eliminated at the convention
  • Jeff Burningham, businessman[18]
    • Running mate: Dan McCay, state senator[19]
  • Jason Christensen, activist[20]
    • Running mate: Drew Chamberlain[12]
  • Jan Garbett, businesswoman[21]
    • Running mate: Joseph Jarvis, physician and small business owner[22]
  • Aimee Winder Newton, Salt Lake County councilwoman[23]

Declined

Endorsements
Spencer Cox
State officials
Local officials
Organizations
Individuals
Jon Huntsman, Jr.
Federal officials
Organizations
Individuals
Thomas Wright
Federal officials

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Jeff
Burningham		 Spencer
Cox		 Jan
Garbett		 Greg
Hughes		 Jon
Huntsman Jr.		 Aimee
Winder Newton		 Thomas
Wright		 Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce June 17–24, 2020 1,247 (LV) ± 2.77% — 30% — 15% 29% — 6% 19%[lower-alpha 1]
Y2 Analytics UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News June 9-17, 2020 797 (LV)[lower-alpha 2] — — 32% — 23% 36% — 9% —
Y2 Analytics/Cox for Governor[upper-alpha 1] June 13–16, 2020 691 (LV) ± 3.72% — 34% — 20% 28% — 9% 9%[lower-alpha 3]
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce June 1–10, 2020 676 (LV) ± 3.77% — 32%[lower-alpha 4] — 10% 37% — 5% 4%[lower-alpha 5]
Suffolk University/Salt Lake Tribune June 4–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% — 32% — 10% 30% — 8% 17%
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute May 25–31, 2020 643 (LV) — — 28% — 18% 24% — 4% 26%
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News May 9–15, 2020 610 (LV)[lower-alpha 6] — — 40% — 18% 34% — 8% —
Y2 Analytics March 21–30, 2020 738 (LV)[lower-alpha 7] – 5% 39% < 1% 17% 33% 4% 1% < 1%[lower-alpha 8]
Hinckley Institute March 23–28, 2020 265 ± 5.4% 7% 24% 1% 7% 26% 2% 2% 32%
Dan Jones & Associates February 28 – March 11, 2020 338 (V) ± 5.3% 6% 30% 2% 12% 27% 4% 6% 15%
Hinckley Institute February 24 – March 1, 2020 312 ± 5.5% 7% 20% 1% 7% 32% 2% 1% 30%
Suffolk University/Salt Lake Tribune January 18–22, 2020 246 (LV) ± 6.3% 1% 18% – 7% 26% 1% 1% 46%
Hinckley Institute/Deseret News January 15–22, 2020 424 (LV) ± 4.8% 6% 25% – 3% 35% 3% 3% 25%
Y2 Analytics November 19 – December 7, 2019 911 ± 4.6% 5% 41% – 5% 29% 5% 1% 14%[lower-alpha 9]
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce		 October 3–10, 2019 271 (V) – 2% 34% – 2% 30% – 7% 25%
Hypothetical polling
with Rob Bishop, Jason Chaffetz and Sean Reyes
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Rob
Bishop		 Jason
Chaffetz		 Spencer
Cox		 Greg
Hughes		 Greg
Miller		 Sean
Reyes		 Other /
Undecided
University of Utah January 15–24, 2019 311 ± 5.6% 10% 27% 28% 4% 2% 4% 24%
University of Utah October 3–9, 2018 291 ± 6.0% 11% 25% 16% 3% 2% 7% 36%
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce		 June 11–18, 2018 510 ± 4.3% 9% 25% 16% 3% – 9% 37%

Convention results
Republican convention results[49]
Candidate Round 1 Pct. Round 2 Pct. Round 3 Pct. Round 4 Pct. Round 5 Pct. Round 6 Pct.
Spencer Cox 1,081 30.2% 1,082 30.2% 1,223 34.1% 1,287 35.9% 1,488 41.5% 1,884 52.6%
Greg Hughes 663 18.5% 674 18.8% 719 20.0% 901 25.1% 1,107 30.9% 1,544 43.1%
Aimee Winder Newton 500 13.9% 508 14.1% 540 15.0% 703 19.6% 918 25.6% Eliminated
Thomas Wright 489 13.6% 494 13.8% 553 15.4% 658 18.3% Eliminated
Jeff Burningham 487 13.6% 504 14.0% 530 14.8% Eliminated
Jon Huntsman Jr. 315 8.8% 315 8.8% Eliminated
Jason Christensen 44 1.2% Eliminated
Exhausted votes 0 0.0% 2 0.0% 14 0.3% 30 0.8% 66 1.8% 151 4.2%

Primary results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Spencer Cox
Republican Greg Hughes
Republican Jon Huntsman Jr.
Republican Thomas Wright
Total votes 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated at the convention
  • Neil Hansen, former state representative[20]
    • Running mate: Brandy Farmer, candidate for Utah House of Representatives
  • Ryan Jackson[20]
  • Zachary Moses, CEO of HeTravel.com[53]
    • Running mate: Nate Kizerian, community activist[54]
  • Nikki Pino Jr., youth counselor[55]
    • Running mate: Nikki Pino Sr., retired Army lieutenant colonel and father to Nikki Pino Jr.[54]
  • Archie A Williams, 2014 Democratic candidate for District 60 of the Utah House of Representatives III[56]

Declined

Endorsements
Christopher Peterson
State Legislators
Local Officials

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 10]		 Margin
of error		 Neil
Hansen		 Ryan
Jackson		 Zachary
Moses		 Christopher
Peterson		 Nikki
Pino		 Archie
Williams III		 Other /
Undecided
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News March 21–30, 2020 167 (LV) ± 7.6% 11% 11% 7% 38% 28% 5% 10%

Convention results
Democratic convention results[60]
Candidate Pct.
Christopher Peterson 88.4%
Zachary Moses 4.7%
Neil Hansen 4.0%
Nikki Ray Pino 1.4%
Ryan Jackson 1.4%
Archie Williams III 0.1%

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[63] Safe R April 3, 2020
Inside Elections[64] Safe R April 23, 2020
Sabato[65] Safe R January 16, 2020
Politico[66] Safe R April 19, 2020

Endorsements
Christopher Peterson (D)
State Legislators
Local Officials

Polling
Hypothetical polling
with Spencer Eccles
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 10]		 Margin
of error		 Jeff
Burningham		 Spencer
Cox		 Spencer
Eccles		 Greg
Hughes		 Jon
Huntsman Jr.		 Thomas
Wright		 Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce		 Oct 3-10, 2019 599 (LV) ± 4% 2% 26% 5% 2% 33% 4% 21%
with only Spencer Cox, Greg Hughes and Jon Huntsman
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 10]		 Margin
of error		 Spencer
Cox		 Greg
Hughes		 Jon
Huntsman Jr.		 Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce		 Jun 11-Jul 1, 2019 801 (LV) – 37% 8% 43% 12%
with Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 10]		 Margin
of error		 Spencer
Cox		 Greg
Hughes		 Jon
Huntsman Jr.		 Aimee
Winder-Newton		 Thomas
Wright		 Generic
Democrat (D)		 Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce		 Jun 11-Jul 1, 2019 801 (LV) – 33% 5% 32% 2% 5% 11% 13%
with Bishop, Chaffetz, Cox, Dougall, Hughes, Miller, Newton, Reyes and Generic Democrat (D)
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 10]		 Margin
of error		 Rob
Bishop		 Jason
Chaffetz		 Spencer
Cox		 Generic
Democrat (D)		 Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/UtahPolicy Jan 3-15, 2019 822 (RV) ± 3.4% 7% 18% 24% 11% 39%[lower-alpha 11]

Results
2020 Utah gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican TBD
Democratic Christopher Peterson
Libertarian Daniel Cottam
Write-in
Total votes 100.0%

Notes
Additional candidates
  1. "Prefer not to answer" with 19%
  2. Including registered Republican likely primary voters and currently unaffiliated likely primary voters
  3. "Don't know/refused" with 9%
  4. Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. Undecided with 4%
  6. Including registered Republican likely primary voters and currently unaffiliated likely primary voters
  7. Including registered Republican likely primary voters and currently unaffiliated likely primary voters
  8. Christensen with <1%
  9. Rob Bishop with 9% and Sean Reyes with 5%
  10. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  11. Undecided with 26%, Reyes with 5%; "Other" with 3%; Miller and Winder-Newton with 2%; Hughes with 1%; Dougall with 0%
General
  1. Poll sponsored by Cox' campaign

References
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  4. Wood, Benjamin (July 19, 2019). "achary Moses, a Democratic candidate for governor, wants to break up Republican control of Utah and build a space port". Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved 29 August 2019.
  5. Scott, Dylan (November 7, 2018). "Kristi Noem elected first woman governor of South Dakota". Vox. Retrieved August 26, 2019.
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Official campaign websites
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