Wisconsin gubernatorial election, 2014

Wisconsin gubernatorial election, 2014
November 4, 2014

 
Nominee Scott Walker Mary Burke
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Rebecca Kleefisch John Lehman
Popular vote 1,259,706 1,122,913
Percentage 52.3% 46.6%
County Results

Walker:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Burke:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Governor before election

Scott Walker
Republican

 Elected Governor

Scott Walker
Republican

The 2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to determine the governor and lieutenant governor of the U.S. state of Wisconsin. It occurred concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker won re-election to a second term in office, defeating Democratic businesswoman and Madison school board member Mary Burke and two minor party candidates in the general election.

Walker, who was elected in 2010, survived an attempted recall in 2012, the first governor in United States history to do so, defeating Democratic nominee Tom Barrett. Wisconsin voters have elected a governor from a different political party than the sitting president in 27 of the last 31 elections since 1932; only once has a Democratic candidate been elected governor in Wisconsin in the last 18 contests when a Democrat was in the White House.[1] Eleven of the last twelve Wisconsin governors, dating back to Republican Vernon Wallace Thomson in the late 1950s, had, unlike Burke, previously won an election to state government, the exception being Republican Lee S. Dreyfus in 1978.[2]

The polling leading up to the election was very close, with no candidate clearly in the lead. The consensus among The Cook Political Report, Governing, The Rothenberg Political Report, Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Walker 238,715 99.42
Republican Steve Evans (write-in) 94 0.04
No party Scattering 1,293 0.54%
Total votes 240,102 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Disqualified

Declined

Endorsements

Mary Burke

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Mary
Burke		 Brett
Hulsey		 Marcia Mercedes
Perkins		 Hari
Trivedi		 Other Undecided
Marquette University May 15–18, 2014 ? ± ? 66% 3% 1% 1% — 24%

Results

Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Burke 259,926 83.28
Democratic Brett Hulsey 51,830 16.61
No party Scattering 350 0.11%
Total votes 312,106 100

Third parties and independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Running mate: Joseph Brost

Disqualified

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[30] Tossup November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Lean R November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[32] Tilt R November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[33] Tossup November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Scott
Walker (R)		 Mary
Burke (D)		 Other Undecided
YouGov October 25–31, 2014 1,494 ± 3.4% 45% 43% 1% 11%
Public Policy Polling October 28–30, 2014 1,814 ± 3% 48% 47% — 5%
Marquette University October 23–26, 2014 1,164 LV ± 3% 49.9% 42.7% 0.7% 6.7%
1,409 RV ± 2.7% 46.1% 44.7% 0.8% 8.5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 3,308 ± 3% 46% 45% 0% 10%
Rasmussen Reports October 20–21, 2014 973 ± 3% 48% 49% 1% 2%
WPR/St. Norbert College October 18–21, 2014 525 ± 4.4% 47% 46% — 6%
Public Policy Polling October 17–18, 2014 860 ± ? 47% 46% — 7%
Marquette University October 9–12, 2014 803 LV ± 3.5% 47.4% 47.3% 0.4% 4.9%
1,004 RV ± 3.2% 47.8% 45.4% 0.5% 6.3%
Gravis Marketing October 3–4, 2014 837 ± 3% 50% 46% — 4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 1,444 ± 3% 48% 49% 0% 3%
Marquette University September 25–28, 2014 585 LV ± 4.1% 50.5% 44.7% 0.7% 4.1%
801 RV ± 3.5% 46.4% 45.1% 0.9% 7.6%
Gravis Marketing September 22–23, 2014 908 ± 3% 45% 50% — 4%
Rasmussen Reports September 15–16, 2014 650 ± 4% 48% 46% 3% 3%
Marquette University September 11–14, 2014 589 LV ± 4.1% 49.4% 45.8% 0.5% 4.3%
800 RV ± 3.5% 46.2% 46.3% 0.7% 6.9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 1,473 ± 4% 49% 45% 0% 5%
We Ask America September 3, 2014 1,170 LV ± 3% 44% 48% 2% 6%
Marquette University August 21–24, 2014 609 LV ± 4.1% 46.5% 48.6% 0.6% 4.2%
815 RV ± 3.5% 47.5% 44.1% 0.8% 7.5%
Rasmussen Reports August 13–14, 2014 750 ± 4% 48% 47% — 5%
Gravis Marketing July 31–August 2, 2014 1,346 ± 3% 47% 47% — 6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,968 ± ? 47% 46% 1% 5%
Marquette University July 17–20, 2014 549 LV ± 4.3% 46% 47% 1% 8%
804 RV ± 3.5% 46% 45% 1% 8%
Marquette University May 15–18, 2014 805 ± 3.5% 46% 46% — 6%
Public Policy Polling April 17–20, 2014 1,144 ± 2.9% 48% 45% — 7%
Magellan Strategies April 14–15, 2014 851 ± 3.36% 47% 47% 2% 4%
St. Norbert College March 24–April 3, 2014 401 ± 5% 55% 40% — 5%
Marquette University March 20–23, 2014 801 ± 3.5% 48% 41% — 11%
Gravis Marketing March 17, 2014 988 ± 4% 49% 44% — 7%
Rasmussen Reports March 10–11, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 45% 45% 5% 5%
Marquette University January 20–23, 2014 802 ± 3.5% 47% 41% — 8%
Marquette University October 21–24, 2013 800 ± 3.5% 47% 45% — 8%
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,180 ± 2.9% 48% 42% — 10%

Results

Wisconsin gubernatorial election, 2014[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Walker (Incumbent) 1,259,706 52.26
Democratic Mary Burke 1,122,913 46.59
Libertarian Robert Burke 18,720 0.78
Independent Dennis Fehr 7,530 0.31
Majority 136,793 5.67%
Total votes 2,410,314 100
Republican hold

References

  1. ↑ Ostermeier, Eric (August 23, 2013). "Scott Walker's Ticket to Ride: Obama in the White House?". Smart Politics.
  2. ↑ Ostermeier, Eric (September 17, 2014). "Wisconsin Gubernatorial Pathways: How Does Burke's Measure Up?". Smart Politics.
  3. ↑ "8 firebrand GOP governors meet 2014's political reality". Greenbay Press Gazette. June 5, 2013. Retrieved September 1, 2014.
  4. 1 2 "Official Election Results" (PDF). G.A.B. Canvass Reporting System. Retrieved September 1, 2014.
  5. ↑ Bauer, Scott (June 25, 2013). "Democrats testing potential candidacy of Mary Burke against Walker in 2014". Star Tribune. Retrieved June 27, 2013.
  6. 1 2 3 Craver, Jack (April 21, 2014). "Brett Hulsey running for Wisconsin governor: 'I promise you it will be very entertaining'". The Capital Times. Retrieved April 21, 2014.
  7. ↑ Schultze, Steve (February 26, 2013). "Citing rapport with Gov. Walker, Abele says he's not contemplating 2014 Democratic run for governor". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved August 8, 2013.
  8. ↑ Umhoefer, Dave (June 4, 2013). "Barrett: Will Walker run for governor again?". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved June 8, 2013.
  9. ↑ Kertscher, Tom (March 18, 2013). "Run for governor? Brewer Deb Carey prefers suds to hot oil". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved August 8, 2013.
  10. ↑ Walker, Don (June 7, 2013). "Russ Feingold teases Democrats about 2016 Senate run". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved June 8, 2013.
  11. ↑ Glauber, Bill (August 30, 2013). "Winnebago County Exec Mark Harris declines run for governor". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved August 30, 2013.
  12. ↑ Beckett, Andrew (June 8, 2013). "Kind says no plans to run for governor". Wisconsin Radio Network. Retrieved June 8, 2013.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Stein, Jason (December 15, 2012). "Few Democrats lining up to challenge Walker in 2014". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved December 19, 2012.
  14. 1 2 Adair, Paul (July 2, 2013). "Who Will be Elected Governor in 2014". Germantown Now. Retrieved August 26, 2013.
  15. ↑ Patrick Marley (January 17, 2014). "Kathleen Vinehout announces she won't run for governor". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved January 17, 2014.
  16. 1 2 3 4 Ross, JR (June 9, 2012). "2014 Dem field unclear as party looks to next shot at Walker". Wispolitics.com. Retrieved December 18, 2012.
  17. 1 2 Penzenstadler, Nick; Opoien, Jessica (June 7, 2013). "Walker's next opponent could come from Northeastern Wisconsin". Green Bay Press-Gazette. Retrieved June 8, 2013.
  18. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Camp, Aaron (June 6, 2013). "Can a woman defeat Scott Walker in 2014? YES!!!". The Apollo Report. Retrieved August 15, 2013.
  19. 1 2 3 4 Camp, Aaron (August 12, 2013). "Is a competitive Democratic primary for Governor of Wisconsin inevitable?". The Prairie Badger. Retrieved August 15, 2013.
  20. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Penzenstadler, Nick; Opoien, Jessie (June 7, 2013). "Fox Valley's Nelson, Harris could present challenge to Walker in 2014". The Post-Crescent. Retrieved August 8, 2013.
  21. ↑ "WI-Gov: Sara Johann considering run". Daily Kos. May 24, 2013. Retrieved August 8, 2013.
  22. ↑ Stein, Jason (October 24, 2013). "EMILY's List endorses Mary Burke, could bring big campaign money". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved October 24, 2013.
  23. ↑ "ENDORSED CANDIDATES". ppawi.com. Retrieved November 7, 2013.
  24. ↑ DeFour, Matthew (October 22, 2013). "On Politics: Progressives United will support Mary Burke against Scott Walker". Wisconsin State Journal. Retrieved October 24, 2013.
  25. ↑ "Wisconsin League of Conservation Voters Endorses Mary Burke for Governor" (PDF). Wisconsin League of Conservation Voters. April 21, 2014. Retrieved April 21, 2014.
  26. ↑ Kertscher, Tom (February 14, 2014). "A Mary Burke and a Robert Burke running for governor?". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved April 4, 2014.
  27. ↑ Aarik Woods (March 19, 2014). "Local man launches campaign for governor's race". wqow.com. Retrieved April 10, 2014.
  28. ↑ Wagman, Jen (October 23, 2014). "State Rep. Brad Hulsey launches write-in campaign for governor". The Daily Cardinal. Retrieved October 28, 2014.
  29. ↑ Horne, Michael (June 8, 2013). "Ahoy! Pirate Party Will Rally Downtown". Urban Milwaukee. Retrieved June 13, 2013.
  30. ↑ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
  31. ↑ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
  32. ↑ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
  33. ↑ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
  34. ↑ (PDF) http://gab.wi.gov/sites/default/files/11.4.14%20Summary%20Results-all%20offices.pdf. Missing or empty |title= (help)
Official campaign websites (Archived)
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