2004 United States presidential election in North Dakota

The 2004 United States presidential election in North Dakota took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose three representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

2004 United States presidential election in North Dakota

November 2, 2004
 
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote 3 0
Popular vote 196,651 111,052
Percentage 62.86% 35.50%

County Results

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

North Dakota was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 27.4% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. The state has voted Republican in 24 of the last 29 elections. In 2004, George W. Bush defeated John Kerry with 63% of the vote. The state's population of about 650,000 is little changed from what it was 80 years ago, as North Dakota is one of seven states with the minimum three electoral votes.

Caucuses

  • 2004 North Dakota Democratic caucuses

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]

  1. D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
  2. Associated Press: Solid Bush
  3. CNN: Bush
  4. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
  5. Newsweek: Solid Bush
  6. New York Times: Solid Bush
  7. Rasmussen Reports: Bush
  8. Research 2000: Solid Bush
  9. Washington Post: Bush
  10. Washington Times: Solid Bush
  11. Zogby International: Bush
  12. Washington Dispatch: Bush

Polling

Bush won both pre-election polls with a double-digit margin.[2]

Fundraising

Bush raised $135,493.[3] Kerry raised $36,600.[4]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign visited or advertised in this state during the fall campaign.[5][6]

Analysis

In 2000, Al Gore won two counties, compared to Kerry who won four counties in the state, including his best performance in Sioux County, North Dakota, where he won with 70% of the vote. Overall, Bush dominated the state, winning a wide majority of the state's counties, and with large margins. In just two counties did Bush obtain less than 40% of the vote.[7]

Results

[8]

2004 United States presidential election in North Dakota[9]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican George W. Bush (incumbent) 196,651 62.86%
Democratic John Kerry 111,052 35.50%
Independent Ralph Nader 3,756 1.20%
Libertarian Michael Badnarik 851 0.27%
Constitution Michael Peroutka 514 0.16%
Write In - 9 0.0%
Majority
Turnout 64.2%

Results breakdown

By county

County Bush Votes Kerry Votes Others Votes Total
Adams91070.87%35127.34%231.79%1,284
Barnes3,51960.88%2,17537.63%861.49%5,780
Benson1,00044.58%1,19553.28%482.14%2,243
Billings44979.61%9917.55%162.84%564
Bottineau2,45767.02%1,16331.72%461.25%3,666
Bowman1,28074.64%39723.15%382.22%1,715
Burke80769.45%33428.74%211.81%1,162
Burleigh26,37068.52%11,51129.91%6041.57%38,485
Cass39,51759.41%25,92738.98%1,0771.62%66,521
Cavalier66262.51%37335.22%242.27%1,059
Dickey1,88967.03%88131.26%481.70%2,818
Divide74859.37%48338.33%292.30%1,260
Dunn1,17666.44%56932.15%251.41%1,770
Eddy65353.97%53344.05%241.98%1,210
Emmons77767.98%34229.92%242.10%1,143
Foster1,21568.96%51829.40%291.65%1,762
Golden Valley71577.55%19421.04%131.41%922
Grand Forks17,25556.78%12,61141.50%5251.73%30,391
Grant95076.61%26421.29%262.10%1,240
Griggs90362.97%50435.15%271.88%1,434
Hettinger1,04269.93%40327.05%453.02%1,490
Kidder90165.86%43331.65%342.49%1,368
LaMoure1,58968.14%71230.53%311.33%2,332
Logan84474.96%26123.18%211.87%1,126
McHenry1,74361.87%1,02836.49%461.63%2,817
McIntosh1,25372.76%43725.38%321.86%1,722
McKenzie1,88468.73%84030.65%170.62%2,741
McLean2,99563.49%1,65135.00%711.51%4,717
Mercer3,27771.15%1,24326.99%861.87%4,606
Morton8,27965.94%4,04132.19%2351.87%12,555
Mountrail1,52050.31%1,46348.43%381.26%3,021
Nelson1,10757.60%77840.48%371.93%1,922
Oliver78970.64%30927.66%191.70%1,117
Pembina2,46163.92%1,32034.29%691.79%3,850
Pierce1,46667.12%68431.32%341.56%2,184
Ramsey2,94160.06%1,88438.47%721.47%4,897
Ransom1,35151.98%1,19746.06%511.96%2,599
Renville94464.79%49433.91%191.30%1,457
Richland5,25564.05%2,82034.37%1301.58%8,205
Rolette1,39134.45%2,55963.37%882.18%4,038
Sargent1,14552.19%1,01746.35%321.46%2,194
Sheridan72577.05%19921.15%171.81%941
Sioux31827.99%80170.51%171.50%1,136
Slope34578.23%8920.18%71.59%441
Stark7,19569.43%3,00128.96%1671.61%10,363
Steele58448.30%61450.79%110.91%1,209
Stutsman6,49564.38%3,42933.99%1651.64%10,089
Towner75454.21%60643.57%312.23%1,391
Traill2,53959.84%1,65038.89%541.27%4,243
Walsh3,18961.55%1,90536.77%871.68%5,181
Ward16,97066.39%8,22332.17%3671.44%25,560
Wells1,65164.59%85833.57%471.84%2,556
Williams5,09970.89%1,97527.46%1191.65%7,193

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

District Bush Kerry Representative
At-large 62.9% 35.5% Earl Pomeroy

Electors

Technically the voters of ND cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. ND is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 congressional district and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All were pledged to and voted for Bush and Cheney:[10]

  1. Betsy Dalrymple (wife of Jack Dalrymple)
  2. Ben Clayburgh
  3. Jackie Williams

References

  1. http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=38
  2. "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. Retrieved 2020-03-01.
  3. "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. Retrieved 2020-03-01.
  4. "CNN.com Specials". CNN.
  5. "CNN.com Specials". CNN.
  6. David Leip. "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". Uselectionatlas.org. Retrieved 2020-03-01.
  7. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on May 13, 2009. Retrieved July 17, 2009.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  8. "2004 Presidential General Election Results - North Dakota". David Leip. Retrieved 2014-03-25.
  9. "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2006-01-04. Retrieved 2009-10-10.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
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