2016 United States Senate election in Vermont

The 2016 United States Senate election in Vermont was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Vermont, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held August 9.

2016 United States Senate election in Vermont
November 8, 2016
 
Nominee Patrick Leahy Scott Milne
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 192,243 103,637
Percentage 61.3% 33.0%
County results
Leahy:      50–60%      60–70%
Milne:      40–50%
U.S. senator before election

Patrick Leahy
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Patrick Leahy
Democratic

Elections in Vermont

Incumbent Democratic Senator Patrick Leahy, the most senior member in the Senate and the longest-serving U.S. Senator in Vermont history as well as the only Democrat to ever be elected to a Senate seat in Vermont, won re-election to a record eighth term in office.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Results
Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Patrick Leahy (incumbent) 62,412 89.15%
Democratic Cris Ericson 7,595 10.85%
Total votes 70,007 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Scott Milne, businessman, candidate for the State House in 2006 and nominee for Governor in 2014[4][5]

Liberty Union primary

This election was the last in which Diamondstone ran prior to his death in 2017. Diamondstone had run for Vermont statewide office in every biennial election since 1970.

Candidates

Declared

Other candidacies

Declared
  • Jerry Trudell, independent candidate, environmental activist, candidate for House of Representatives in 2014[7]
  • Cris Ericson, Marijuana Party perennial candidate, previously sought Democratic nomination

General election

Candidates

Predictions

Polls and predictions show the race as being safely Democratic.

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Safe D September 9, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe D September 19, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[10] Safe D September 2, 2016
Daily Kos[11] Safe D September 16, 2016
Real Clear Politics[12] Safe D September 15, 2016

Debates
Dates Location Leahy Milne Ericson Trudell Diamondstone Link
October 18, 2016 Burlington, Vermont Participant Participant Participant Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Patrick
Leahy (D)		 Scott
Milne (R)		 Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 454 ± 4.6% 75% 24% — 1%
SurveyMonkey October 31 – November 6, 2016 447 ± 4.6% 75% 24% — 1%
SurveyMonkey October 28 – November 3, 2016 449 ± 4.6% 69% 28% — 3%
SurveyMonkey October 27 – November 2, 2016 424 ± 4.6% 65% 32% — 3%
SurveyMonkey October 26 – November 1, 2016 428 ± 4.6% 64% 34% — 2%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 436 ± 4.6% 64% 33% — 3%
Braun Research/WCAX October 19–22, 2016 603 ± 4.0% 64% 29% 3% 5%
Castleton University September 29 – October 14, 2016 579 ± 3.9% 59% 22% 7% 10%
Emerson College September 2–5, 2016 600 ± 3.9% 57% 34% 4% 5%
Castleton University July 11–23, 2016 637 ± 3.9% 62% 23% 1% 11%

Results
United States Senate election in Vermont, 2016[13][14]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Patrick Leahy (incumbent) 192,243 61.26% -3.10%
Republican Scott Milne 103,637 33.03% +2.10%
Marijuana Cris Ericson 9,156 2.92% +1.76%
Independent Jerry Trudell 5,223 1.66% N/A
Liberty Union Peter Diamondstone 3,241 1.03% +0.42%
Write-in Write-ins 309 0.10% N/A
Total votes '313,809' '100.0%' N/A
Democratic hold

References
  1. Emily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015). "Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016". Roll Call. Archived from the original on January 29, 2015. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
  2. O'Gorman, Josh (May 27, 2016). "Voters to see familiar faces and new races". The Rutland Herald. Archived from the original on May 30, 2016. Retrieved June 2, 2016.
  3. "Vermont Results". Politico. August 24, 2010. Retrieved August 24, 2010.
  4. Heintz, Paul (October 5, 2015). "Scott Milne Considers Challenging Patrick Leahy". Seven Days. Retrieved October 7, 2015.
  5. Gram, Dave (May 26, 2016). "Milne hopes to unseat Sen. Leahy". The Burlington Free Press. Retrieved May 27, 2016.
  6. "Candidates register to appear on ballots". The Burlington Free Press. Retrieved June 5, 2016.
  7. "Jerry Trudell for Senate VT". Archived from the original on October 25, 2016. Retrieved October 24, 2016.
  8. "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 9, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
  9. "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  10. "2016 Senate Ratings (September 2, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
  11. "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
  12. "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
  13. "Vermont Election Results". Burlington Free Press. Retrieved January 29, 2017.
  14. "Official Results - General Election - November 8, 2016". Vermont Secretary of State. November 8, 2016. Retrieved December 28, 2016.

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Debates
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