2016 United States Senate election in New York

The 2016 United States Senate election in New York was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New York, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries took place on June 28.

2016 United States Senate election in New York
November 8, 2016
 
Nominee Chuck Schumer Wendy Long
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 5,221,967 2,009,380
Percentage 70.6% 27.2%
County Results

Schumer:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Long:      50–60%
U.S. senator before election

Chuck Schumer
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Chuck Schumer
Democratic

Elections in New York State

Incumbent Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer won re-election to a fourth term in office.[1] This was considered by many polling aggregate groups to be one of the safest Democratic seats in the nation for this cycle. The prediction turned out to be true, with Schumer winning around 71% of the vote and all but 5 of the state's 62 counties. His final vote total of 5,221,945 makes him the largest vote-getter in the history of statewide elections in New York.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Third Party and Independent Candidates

Libertarian Party
  • Alex Merced, activist[6]

Green Party
  • Robin Laverne Wilson[7]

General election

Debates
Dates Location Schumer Long Link
October 30, 2016 Schenectady, New York Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Safe D September 9, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe D September 19, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[10] Safe D September 2, 2016
Daily Kos[11] Safe D September 16, 2016
Real Clear Politics[12] Safe D September 15, 2016

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Chuck
Schumer (D)		 Wendy
Long (R)		 Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 2,208 ± 4.6% 71% 25% — 4%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 2,132 ± 4.6% 71% 25% — 4%
Siena College November 3–4, 2016 617 ± 4.5% 67% 25% — 8%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 1,949 ± 4.6% 71% 26% — 3%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 1,755 ± 4.6% 70% 26% — 4%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 1,645 ± 4.6% 70% 27% — 3%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 1,734 ± 4.6% 68% 28% — 4%
Siena College October 13–17, 2016 611 ± 4.6% 66% 27% 1% 6%
NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist September 21–23, 2016 676 ± 3.8% 70% 24% 1% 6%
Siena College September 11–15, 2016 600 ± 5.0% 69% 23% — 8%
Emerson College August 28–30, 2016 800 ± 3.4% 60% 23% 4% 12%
Siena College August 7–10, 2016 717 ± 4.3% 63% 24% — 13%
Quinnipiac University July 13–17, 2016 1,104 ± 3.0% 60% 28% 1% 8%
Siena College June 22–28, 2016 803 ± 4.0% 66% 23% — 11%
Siena College May 22–26, 2016 825 ± 3.9% 64% 22% — 14%
Siena College April 24–27, 2016 802 ± 4.1% 64% 24% — 12%
Public Policy Polling April 7–10, 2016 1,403 ± 2.6% 55% 23% — 22%
Quinnipiac University March 22–29, 2016 1,667 ± 2.4% 63% 24% — 11%

Results
United States Senate election in New York, 2016 [13]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Chuck Schumer 4,784,218 64.72% +6.25%
Working Families Chuck Schumer 241,672 3.27% -0.73%
Independence Chuck Schumer 150,654 2.04% -1.82%
Women's Equality Chuck Schumer 45,401 0.61% N/A
Total Chuck Schumer (incumbent) 5,221,945 70.64% +4.31%
Republican Wendy Long 1,723,920 23.32% -3.65%
Conservative Wendy Long 267,622 3.62% -1.62%
Reform Wendy Long 17,813 0.24% N/A
Total Wendy Long 2,009,355 27.18% -5.03%
Green Robin Laverne Wilson 113,413 1.53% +0.61%
Libertarian Alex Merced 48,120 0.65% +0.11%
Total votes '7,392,833' '100.0%' N/A
Democratic hold

References
  1. Emily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015). "Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016". Roll Call. Archived from the original on January 29, 2015. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
  2. Tumulty, Brian (March 3, 2016). "Republican Wendy Long will run against Sen. Chuck Schumer". Gannett News Service. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
  3. Weiner, Mark (April 7, 2015). "U.S. Rep. Richard Hanna says he won't run against Chuck Schumer in 2016 NY senate race". Syracuse.com. Retrieved April 7, 2015.
  4. Johnson, Eliana (June 24, 2015). "Larry Kudlow and NRSC Renew Discussions on Senate Run". National Review. Retrieved June 25, 2015.
  5. Burns, Alexander (September 22, 2015). "Larry Kudlow Weighs Run Against Senator Richard Blumenthal in Connecticut". The New York Times. Retrieved October 1, 2015.
  6. "Candidates 2016". Libertarian Party of New York.
  7. Jun 12, 2016. "Dr. Jill Stein Wins 89% of GPNY Presidential Convention Vote, Robin Laverne Wilson Rallies For US Senate". Green Party of New York.CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  8. "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 9, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
  9. "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  10. "2016 Senate Ratings (September 2, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
  11. "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
  12. "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
  13. "New York State Official Election Night Results" (PDF). New York Board of Elections. Retrieved December 28, 2016.
Official campaign websites
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