Oklahoma gubernatorial election, 2018

Oklahoma gubernatorial election, 2018
November 6, 2018

 
Nominee Kevin Stitt Drew Edmondson
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent Governor

Mary Fallin
Republican

The 2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial election will take place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next Governor of Oklahoma. Incumbent Republican Governor Mary Fallin is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a third consecutive term. Primary elections occurred on June 26, 2018, with primary runoff elections having occurred on August 28, 2018.[1] The Democratic Party nominated former Attorney General of Oklahoma Drew Edmondson. The Republican primary advanced to a runoff between former Oklahoma City mayor Mick Cornett and businessman Kevin Stitt. On August 28, 2018, Kevin Stitt won the Republican primary runoff and became the Republican nominee for governor. The Libertarian primary also advanced to a runoff, with former OKLP chair Chris Powell winning the nomination. This is the first time the Libertarian Party has been on the ballot to participate in a gubernatorial election in Oklahoma.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

  • Kevin Stitt, businessman[3]

Eliminated primary runoff

Eliminated in initial primary

Endorsements

Mick Cornett
Mayors
Individuals
  • Gary Richardson, Former Eastern District Attorney and Candidate for Governor in 2002 & 2018[28]
Organizations
Todd Lamb
U.S. Representatives
Individuals
Organizations
Gary Richardson
Individuals
Organizations
  • Sooner Politics News[39]
  • The Edmond Republican GROUP[40]
Kevin Stitt
Presidents of the United States
U.S. Senators
Individuals
  • Blake "Cowboy" Stephens, Rancher, Educator and Candidate for Governor of Oklahoma in 2018[46]
Organizations

First round

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Mick
Cornett		 Dan
Fisher		 Gary
Jones		 Todd
Lamb		 Gary
Richardson		 Kevin
Stitt		 Other Undecided
Right Strategy Group (R) June 6–7, 2018 435 ± 4.5% 21% 4% 2% 20% 6% 20% – 28%
Oklahoma Strategic Solutions (R-Richardson) May 22–23, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 13% 4% 3% 20% 13% 17% – 30%
Right Strategy Group (R) May 22–23, 2018 409 ± 5.0% 20% 4% 3% 20% 4% 21% – 29%
SoonerPoll May 15–23, 2018 319 – 20% 3% 4% 23% 3% 14% 1% 31%
Magellan Strategies April 18–19 and 22, 2018 644 ± 3.9% 17% 5% 5% 19% 12% 19% – 23%
SoonerPoll March 14–22, 2018 294 – 22% 4% 3% 21% 7% 8% – 36%
Oklahoma Strategic Solutions (R-Richardson) March 9, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 15% 2% 3% 14% 10% 8% – 48%
SoonerPoll January 4–9, 2018 213 – 24% 4% 3% 18% 9% 3% – 39%

Results

Results by county:
Republican primary results[48]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mick Cornett 132,806 29.3
Republican Kevin Stitt 110,479 24.4
Republican Todd Lamb 107,985 23.9
Republican Dan Fisher 35,818 7.9
Republican Gary Jones 25,243 5.6
Republican Gary Richardson 18,185 4.0
Republican Blake Stephens 12,211 2.7
Republican Christopher Barnett 5,240 1.2
Republican Barry Gowdy 2,347 0.5
Republican Eric Foutch 2,292 0.5
Total votes 452,606 100.0

Runoff

Campaign Finance

Pre-Runoff report due Aug. 20th
Candidate Total
raised		 Total
spent		 Total
cash-on-hand
Kevin Stitt $6,542,863.91 $6,018,662.13 $368,557.72
Mick Cornett $3,242,795.74 $2,826,305.70 $336,691.50

[49]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Mick
Cornett		 Kevin
Stitt		 Undecided
Remington (R) August 1–2, 2018 1,757 ± 2.3% 37% 47% 16%
Right Strategy Group (R) August 1–2, 2018 385 ± 5.0% 33% 41% 26%
SoonerPoll July 18–20, 2018 483 ± 4.5% 37% 37% 25%

Results

Results by county:
Republican primary runoff results[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kevin Stitt 164,892 54.56
Republican Mick Cornett 137,316 45.44
Total votes 302,208 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Drew
Edmondson		 Connie
Johnson		 Undecided
Right Strategy Group (R) June 6–7, 2018 – – 45% 11% 45%
SoonerPoll May 15–23, 2018 297 ± 5.7% 44% 14% 43%

Results

Results by county:
Democratic primary results[48]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Drew Edmondson 242,764 61.4
Democratic Connie Johnson 152,730 38.6
Total votes 395,494 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary runoff

  • Rex L. Lawhorn, former Oklahoma Americans Elect Party chair, and Oklahoma State Director for Our America Intiative.[63]

Eliminated in initial primary

Endorsements

Chris Powell
Individuals
  • Norma Sapp, Director, Oklahoma chapter of the National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws[65]
  • Frank Grove, President, Drug Reform Network of Oklahoma[65]
  • Tim Gillespie, founder, Oklahoma 2nd Amendment Association
  • Ken Young, Chair, Oklahoma State Board of Cosmetology
  • Tom Laurent, former Chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party and former member of the Libertarian National Committee
  • Robert T. Murphy, former Chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party and former member of the Libertarian National Committee and '16 nominee for US Senate
  • D. Frank Robinson, first Chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party and founding member of the national Libertarian Party
  • Tina Kelly, former Chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party
  • Steve Galpin, former Chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party
  • Jimmy Cook, former Chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party
  • Angela O’Dell, former Chair of the Oklahoma Libertarian Party

[66]

First round

Results

Initial primary results by county:
Libertarian primary results[48]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Chris Powell 1,740 48.9
Libertarian Rex L. Lawhorn 1,154 32.4
Libertarian Joe Exotic 664 18.7
Total votes 3,558 100%

Runoff

Campaign Finance

Pre-Runoff report due Aug. 20th
Candidate Total
raised		 Total
spent		 Total
cash-on-hand
Chris Powell $10,142.88 $6,991.02 $3,017.51
Rex L. Lawhorn $4,575.00 $5,286.87 ($736.87)

[49]

Results

Results by county:
Libertarian primary runoff results[50]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Chris Powell 547 59.1
Libertarian Rex L. Lawhorn 379 40.9
Total votes 926 100.0

General election

Oklahoma determines ballot order by a random drawing which took place for this election cycle on July 12th, resulting in the Libertarian Party being listed first, Republicans second, and Democrats third. [67]

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[68] Lean R October 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[69] Lean R September 14, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[70] Lean R September 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[71] Lean R September 15, 2018
Daily Kos[72] Lean R September 5, 2018
Fox News[73][lower-alpha 1] Likely R October 9, 2018
Politico[74] Lean R October 9, 2018
Notes
  1. ↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Kevin
Stitt (R)		 Drew
Edmondson (D)		 Chris
Powell (L)		 Undecided
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass (R) September 25–29, 2018 500 ± 4.3% 46% 40% 4% –
Right Strategy Group (R) September 25–26, 2018 1,058 ± 3.0% 47% 43% 2% 8%
SoonerPoll September 5–10, 2018 407 ± 4.9% 47% 44% 3% 6%
Right Strategy Group (R) August 1–2, 2018 737 ± 4.0% 41% 42% – 17%
SoonerPoll July 18–20, 2018 404 ± 4.9% 39% 40% – 21%
SoonerPoll May 15–23, 2018 622 ± 3.9% 25% 32% – 43%

Results

Oklahoma gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Kevin Stitt
Democratic Drew Edmondson
Libertarian Chris Powell
Majority
Total votes

See also

References

  1. ↑ "2018 Election Calendar". Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved May 14, 2018.
  2. ↑ https://newsok.com/article/5589210/three-libertarians-competing-in-partys-first-oklahoma-gubernatorial-primary
  3. ↑ "2018: Kevin Stitt Announces Republican Bid For Governor". 17 July 2017. Retrieved 22 May 2018.
  4. ↑ "Oklahoma City Mayor Mick Cornett announces plan to run for governor". KFOR.com. 2017-05-31. Retrieved 2017-06-01.
  5. ↑ "Christopher Barnett for Governor". chrisforgov.com. Retrieved 22 May 2018.
  6. ↑ Press, Associated. "Former Rep. Lawmaker Dan Fisher To Run For State Governor". Retrieved 22 May 2018.
  7. 1 2 3 "Candidate Filings, 2018". www.ok.gov. Retrieved 22 May 2018.
  8. ↑ Murphy, Sean (May 8, 2017). "Oklahoma Auditor Gary Jones to Run for Governor in 2018". U.S. News and World Report. Retrieved May 18, 2017.
  9. ↑ "Lt. Governor Todd Lamb files candidacy paperwork for 2018 governor's race". KFOR.com. 2017-04-07. Retrieved 2017-06-01.
  10. ↑ Felder, Ben (April 24, 2017). "Richardson announces run for governor, seeks Republican ticket". The Oklahoman. Retrieved April 24, 2017.
  11. ↑ "Mayor Smiley Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018.
  12. ↑ "Mayor Cathey Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018.
  13. ↑ "Mayor Copeland Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018.
  14. ↑ "Mayor Thurmond Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018.
  15. ↑ "Former Mayor Ross Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018.
  16. ↑ "Mayor Linley Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018.
  17. ↑ "Former Mayor Douglas Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018.
  18. ↑ "Former Mayor Naifeh Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018.
  19. ↑ "Mayor White Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018.
  20. ↑ "Mayor Sheway Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018.
  21. ↑ "Mayor Fitch Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018.
  22. ↑ "Former Mayor Adams Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018.
  23. ↑ "Mayor Nicholson Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018.
  24. ↑ "WHAT A SHOCK! Mayor Shockley Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018.
  25. ↑ "Mayor Petersen Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018.
  26. ↑ "Mayor Burdge Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018.
  27. ↑ "Former Mayor Bartlett Jr. Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018.
  28. ↑ "Richardson Endorses Mick". Mick 2018. June 29, 2018.
  29. ↑ "Mick Cornett Endorsed by Oklahomans for Public Education". Mick 2018. June 6, 2018.
  30. ↑ "The Oklahoman Endorses Mick Cornett". Mick 2018. July 7, 2018.
  31. ↑ "The Yukon Review Endorses Mick Cornett!". Mick 2018. June 23, 2018.
  32. ↑ "Tulsa World editorial: We could hope for better, but Mick Cornett is the best choice available on the GOP governor's ballot". Tulsa World. June 9, 2018.
  33. ↑ "REP. STEVE RUSSELL ENDORSES LAMB FOR GOVERNOR". Todd Lamb for Oklahoma Governor. September 18, 2017.
  34. ↑ "Todd Lamb Officially Files for Governor; Retired General Tommy Franks Offers Endorsement". Todd Lamb for Oklahoma Governor. April 11, 2018.
  35. ↑ Casteel, Chris (May 3, 2018). "Donald Trump Jr. talks politics, hunting at fundraiser for Lamb". NewsOK.
  36. ↑ "OKAgFund endorses, funds candidates in state elections". Oklahoma Farm Bureau. May 22, 2018.
  37. ↑ "Log In or Sign Up to View". www.facebook.com.
  38. ↑ {{https://www.facebook.com/monica.deon.7?lst=100013518932692%3A1276895352%3A1528595215 }}
  39. ↑ "The Edmond Republican GROUP". www.facebook.com.
  40. ↑ "Endorsement: Gary Richardson For Governor". Sooner Politics.org.
  41. ↑ Donald J. Trump (2018-08-30). "Kevin Stitt ran a great winning campaign against a very tough opponent in Oklahoma. Kevin is a very successful businessman who will be a fantastic Governor. He is strong on Crime & Borders, the 2nd Amendment, & loves our Military & Vets. He has my complete and total Endorsement!". Twitter.
  42. ↑ "President Donald Trump endorses Kevin Stitt: He 'will be a fantastic governor'". Tulsa World. August 31, 2018.
  43. ↑ "Tom Coburn endorses Stitt for governor". 21 August 2018. Retrieved 22 August 2018.
  44. ↑ "Senator Ted Cruz endorses Kevin Stitt for governor". 22 August 2018. Retrieved 22 August 2018.
  45. ↑ "Rick Santorum Endorsement". 6 August 2018. Retrieved 17 August 2018.
  46. ↑ "Blake Stephens endorses Stitt". Blake Stephens Facebook. September 5, 2018.
  47. ↑ Kevin Stitt (2018-06-07). "It's an honor to be endorsed by Tulsa Firefighters @IAFFLocal176! A Stitt admin is going to deliver accountability &efficiency for every taxpayer $ spent in order to provide funding certainty to core services like public safety, education & infrastructure". Twitter.
  48. 1 2 3 "State Election Results, Statewide Primary Election, June 26, 2018". www.ok.gov.
  49. 1 2 "Pre-Runoff Finance Reports: Governor's race". www.muskogeepolitico.com.
  50. 1 2 "UNOFFICIAL RESULTS". Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved August 28, 2018.
  51. ↑ Denwalt, Dale (May 1, 2017). "Drew Edmondson announces run for Oklahoma governor". The Oklahoman. Retrieved May 1, 2017.
  52. ↑ Charles, Michelle (March 8, 2017). "Gubernatorial candidate Connie Johnson kicks off OSU speaker series". NewsPress. Retrieved March 10, 2017.
  53. ↑ Ogle, Abigail (26 October 2017). "Rep. Scott Inman ends bid for governor, to step down from Legislature". Koco. Retrieved 26 October 2017.
  54. ↑ "Candidate Detail". guardian.ok.gov.
  55. 1 2 Murphy, Sean (January 11, 2016). "Dan Boren Contemplating Governor's Run; David Boren Advises Against It". KGOU. Retrieved July 8, 2016.
  56. ↑ Beaty, James (October 19, 2016). "Dan Boren considering governor's race". Tahlequah Daily Press. Retrieved November 4, 2016.
  57. ↑ Murphy, Sean (November 29, 2016). "Dan Boren decides not to run for Oklahoma governor in 2018". McClatchy Washington Bureau. Retrieved November 29, 2016.
  58. ↑ Brooks, Adam (January 12, 2016). "Dorman Won't Seek Governor's Office Again If Boren Decides To Run". KGOU. Retrieved July 8, 2016.
  59. ↑ Rey, Oliver (May 17, 2016). "Talking to Cleveland County Dems, Dorman indicates a plan to run as-yet-undetermined office". Red Dirt Report. Retrieved July 8, 2016.
  60. ↑ Casteel, Chris (October 17, 2016). "After ho-hum year for state political contests, 2018 will be 'transformational'". The Oklahoman. Retrieved November 4, 2016.
  61. ↑ "Dorman won't run for Oklahoma governor". 30 November 2016. Retrieved 22 May 2018.
  62. ↑ https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/oklahoma/articles/2017-05-25/animal-park-operator-among-libertarians-running-for-governor
  63. ↑ Press, Associated (1 May 2017). "Former AG Edmondson announces bid for governor". Retrieved 22 May 2018.
  64. ↑ "Joe Exotic is running for Governor…". 8 May 2017. Retrieved 22 May 2018.
  65. 1 2 "Quick 5: Libertarians seeking governor's post address issues".
  66. ↑ "RDR talks to Libertarian gubernatorial candidate Chris Powell". 19 September 2018.
  67. ↑ "Oklahoma Ballot Order Lottery puts Libertarian Party on Top Line in November 2018 Election - Ballot Access News". ballot-access.org.
  68. ↑ "2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
  69. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
  70. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
  71. ↑ "2018 Governor Races". Retrieved September 15, 2018.
  72. ↑ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
  73. ↑ "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News.
  74. ↑ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico.
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