United States Senate election in South Carolina, 2016

United States Senate election in South Carolina, 2016[1]
November 8, 2016

 
Nominee Tim Scott Thomas Dixon
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,241,609 757,022
Percentage 60.6% 36.9%
County results

Scott:
     40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Dixon
     40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. Senator before election

Tim Scott
Republican

 Elected U.S. Senator

Tim Scott
Republican

The 2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Carolina, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Both major parties held their primaries on June 14.

Incumbent Republican Senator Tim Scott won re-election to a first full term in office.[2]

This election was only the third in U.S. history in which both major party nominees in a Senate election were African-American, as well as the second such election in South Carolina history.

Background

Two-term Republican Senator Jim DeMint was re-elected with 61.48% of the vote in 2010. He resigned at the start of 2013 to become President of The Heritage Foundation and U.S. Representative Tim Scott of South Carolina's 1st congressional district was appointed to replace him by Governor Nikki Haley.[3] Scott subsequently won the special election in 2014 for the remaining two years of the term.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Thomas Dixon, pastor and community activist (also running with Green Party nomination)[4]

Declined

General election

Candidates

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Safe R September 9, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R September 19, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[11] Safe R September 2, 2016
Daily Kos[12] Safe R September 16, 2016
Real Clear Politics[13] Safe R September 15, 2016

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Tim
Scott (R)		 Thomas
Dixon (D/G)		 Bill
Bledsoe (L/C)		 Michael
Scarborough (A)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 9–10, 2016 1,290 ± 2.7% 45% 30%[14] 4% 2% 20%
Starboard Communications (R) September 7–9, 2016 600 ± 4.8% 58% 22% — — 16%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 1,762 ± 4.6% 56% 39% — — 5%
SurveyMonkey October 26 – November 1, 2016 1,588 ± 4.6% 57% 40% — — 3%
SurveyMonkey October 27 – November 2, 2016 1,501 ± 4.6% 58% 39% — — 3%
SurveyMonkey October 28 – November 3, 2016 1,583 ± 4.6% 58% 39% — — 3%
SurveyMonkey October 31 – November 6, 2016 1,642 ± 4.6% 58% 39% — — 3%
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 1,698 ± 4.6% 59% 38% — — 3%

Results

General election results[15][16]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Tim Scott (Incumbent) 1,241,609 60.57% -0.55%
Democratic Thomas Dixon 757,022 36.93% -0.16%
Libertarian Bill Bledsoe 37,482 1.83% N/A
American Michael Scarborough 11,923 0.58% N/A
Other Write-Ins 1,857 0.09% +0.05%
Majority 484,587 23.62% -0.41%
Turnout 2,049,893 65.75% +22.75%
Republican hold Swing

References

  1. ↑ http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2016&fips=45&f=0&off=3&elect=0&class=3
  2. 1 2 Emily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015). "Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016". Roll Call. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
  3. ↑ Jeff Zeleny (December 17, 2012). "Rep. Tim Scott Chosen to Replace Jim DeMint as South Carolina Senator". The New York Times.
  4. ↑ Rindge, Brenda (February 22, 2016). "Thomas Dixon to challenge U.S. Sen. Tim Scott". The Post and Courier. Retrieved February 23, 2016.
  5. ↑ "SOUTH CAROLINA: Richland Co Councilwoman & '14 nom Joyce Dickerson (D) back for a second run vs US Sen Tim Scott (R)". Politics1. Twitter. November 2, 2015. Retrieved March 14, 2016.
  6. ↑ "Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election". South Carolina Election Commission. Retrieved March 18, 2016.
  7. 1 2 3 4 "Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election". South Carolina Election Commission. Retrieved August 14, 2016.
  8. ↑ Crowder, Mike (May 15, 2016). "American Party of SC nominates candidates for a handful of offices". WRHI. Retrieved August 9, 2016.
  9. ↑ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 9, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
  10. ↑ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  11. ↑ "2016 Senate Ratings (September 2, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
  12. ↑ "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
  13. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
  14. ↑ Fusion voting total- 28% as D, 2% as G
  15. ↑ "2016 Statewide General Election official results". South Carolina State Election Commission. Retrieved December 20, 2016.
  16. ↑ "2016 South Carolina Senatorial Election Turnout Data".
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