United States Senate election in North Dakota, 2016

United States Senate election in North Dakota, 2016

November 8, 2016

 
Nominee John Hoeven Eliot Glassheim
Party Republican Democratic-NPL
Popular vote 268,788 58,116
Percentage 78.5% 17.0%

County Results

Hoeven:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      90–100%

Glassheim:      50–60%

U.S. Senator before election

John Hoeven
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Hoeven
Republican

The 2016 United States Senate election in North Dakota was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Dakota, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held June 14.

Incumbent Republican Senator John Hoeven won re-election to a second term with 78.5% of the vote, the largest margin in the state's history.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Republican primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Hoeven 103,677 99.57%
Republican Write-in 445 0.43%
Total votes 104,122 100.00%

Democratic-NPL primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic-NPL primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic-NPL Eliot Glassheim 17,243 99.72%
Democratic-NPL Write-in 48 0.28%
Total votes 17,291 100.00%

Libertarian Party

Candidates

  • Robert Marquette[4]
Libertarian primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Robert Marquette 1,089 99.54%
Libertarian Write-in 5 0.46%
Total votes 1,094 100.00%

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe R September 9, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R September 19, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[7] Safe R September 2, 2016
Daily Kos[8] Safe R September 16, 2016
Real Clear Politics[9] Safe R September 15, 2016

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Hoeven (R)
Eliot
Glassheim (D)
Undecided
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 279 ± 4.6% 71% 27% 2%
SurveyMonkey October 26 – November 1, 2016 254 ± 4.6% 72% 25% 3%
SurveyMonkey October 27 – November 2, 2016 260 ± 4.6% 72% 24% 4%
SurveyMonkey October 28 – November 3, 2016 276 ± 4.6% 74% 24% 2%
SurveyMonkey October 31 – November 6, 2016 288 ± 4.6% 73% 24% 3%
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 313 ± 4.6% 74% 23% 3%

Results

General election results[10]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican John Hoeven 268,788 78.48% +2.40%
Democratic-NPL Eliot Glassheim 58,116 16.97% -5.20%
Libertarian Robert Marquette 10,556 3.08% +1.45%
Independent James Germalic 4,675 1.36% N/A
Write-ins 366 0.11% N/A
Majority 210,672 61.51%
Turnout 342,501 100.00%
Republican hold Swing

References

  1. 1 2 Jonathan Easley (December 31, 2014). "Is Heitkamp eyeing a run for governor?". The Hill. Retrieved January 6, 2015.
  2. 1 2 3 "North Dakota Secretary of State". ND Secretary of State. Retrieved September 22, 2016.
  3. Nowatzki, Mike (April 2, 2016). "ND Democrat Glassheim says he's healthy and ready to run for US Senate". The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Forum Communications. Retrieved April 4, 2016.
  4. Williamson, Brett (November 7, 2015). "Libertarians select slate of candidates for 2016". The Bismarck Tribune. Retrieved December 28, 2015.
  5. "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 9, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
  6. "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  7. "2016 Senate Ratings (September 2, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
  8. "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
  9. "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
  10. "North Dakota Official Results General Election - November 8, 2016". North Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved December 20, 2016.
Official campaign websites
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