United States presidential election in North Dakota, 2012

United States presidential election in North Dakota, 2012

November 6, 2012

 
Nominee Mitt Romney Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Massachusetts Illinois
Running mate Paul Ryan Joe Biden
Electoral vote 3 0
Popular vote 188,320 124,966
Percentage 58.32% 38.70%

County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2012 United States presidential election in North Dakota took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. North Dakota voters chose three electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.

Prior to the election, 17 news organizations considered this a state Romney would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Mitt Romney handily won the state with 58.32% of the vote to Barack Obama's 38.70%, a 19.62% margin of victory.

General Election

Results

United States presidential election in North Dakota, 2012[1]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Mitt Romney Paul Ryan 188,320 58.32% 3
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 124,966 38.70% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson Jim Gray 5,238 1.62% 0
Other 1,860 0.58% 0
Green Jill Stein Cheri Honkala 1,362 0.42% 0
Constitution Virgil Goode Jim Clymer 1,186 0.37% 0
Totals 322,932 100.00% 3

By county

County Romney Votes Obama Votes Others Votes Total
Adams71.34%91625.55%3283.12%401,284
Barnes53.64%2,95343.40%2,3892.96%1635,505
Benson40.27%86757.22%1,2322.51%542,153
Billings81.66%47215.40%892.94%17578
Bottineau64.17%2,24633.23%1,1632.60%913,500
Bowman73.73%1,27723.79%4122.48%431,732
Burke75.17%76922.48%2302.35%241,023
Burleigh64.45%27,81132.53%14,0363.02%1,30143,148
Cass49.92%36,79246.99%34,6323.09%2,28073,704
Cavalier57.76%1,19539.54%8182.71%562,069
Dickey63.48%1,60133.66%8492.85%722,522
Divide63.08%73333.13%3853.79%441,162
Dunn74.04%1,50624.98%5080.98%202,034
Eddy54.77%63142.01%4843.21%371,152
Emmons76.10%1,43020.38%3833.51%661,879
Foster61.30%1,02836.02%6042.68%451,677
Golden79.96%74217.46%1622.59%24928
Grand Forks50.17%15,04446.71%14,0083.12%93729,989
Grant72.54%1,02523.64%3343.82%541,413
Griggs57.42%77039.90%5352.68%361,341
Hettinger73.42%1,00022.98%3133.60%491,362
Kidder65.51%87029.59%3934.89%651,328
LaMoure62.80%1,37433.68%7373.52%772,188
Logan76.24%79921.09%2212.67%281,048
McHenry61.97%1,65134.68%9243.34%892,664
McIntosh67.63%1,02830.00%4562.37%361,520
McKenzie71.18%2,45026.90%9261.92%663,442
McLean63.70%3,13033.78%1,6602.52%1244,914
Mercer70.72%3,13226.21%1,1613.07%1364,429
Morton63.74%8,66932.85%4,4673.41%46413,600
Mountrail56.76%1,96040.57%1,4012.66%923,453
Nelson51.49%86245.76%7662.75%461,674
Oliver68.41%69327.74%2813.85%391,013
Pembina58.43%1,89338.43%1,2453.15%1023,240
Pierce67.34%1,46230.22%6562.44%532,171
Ramsey53.28%2,65943.32%2,1623.41%1704,991
Ransom41.62%1,00855.37%1,3413.01%732,422
Renville66.56%85031.17%3982.27%291,277
Richland55.55%4,22942.01%3,1982.44%1867,613
Rolette23.99%1,09273.66%3,3532.35%1074,552
Sargent43.80%87953.56%1,0752.64%532,007
Sheridan78.10%64219.83%1632.07%17822
Sioux19.53%22378.81%9001.66%191,142
Slope78.03%34118.99%832.97%13437
Stark73.25%8,52124.17%2,8122.58%30011,633
Steele47.83%49549.76%5152.42%251,035
Stutsman59.48%5,68537.51%3,5853.01%2889,558
Towner52.71%62343.65%5163.64%431,182
Traill50.85%1,96346.22%1,7842.93%1133,860
Walsh55.23%2,80941.64%2,1183.13%1595,086
Ward63.74%16,17633.14%8,4123.12%79225,380
Wells69.53%1,65428.29%6732.19%522,379
Williams73.25%7,08723.65%2,2883.10%3009,675

Caucuses

North Dakota Republican caucuses, 2012

March 6, 2012 (2012-03-06)

 
Candidate Rick Santorum Ron Paul
Home state Pennsylvania Texas
Delegate count 6 2
Popular vote 4,510 3,186
Percentage 39.7% 28.1%

 
Candidate Mitt Romney Newt Gingrich
Home state Massachusetts Georgia
Delegate count 20 0
Popular vote 2,691 962
Percentage 23.7% 8.5%

Election results by state legislative district
  Rick Santorum
  Ron Paul
  Mitt Romney
  Tie

The 2012 North Dakota Republican caucuses were held on March 6, 2012.[2] North Dakota has 28 delegates to the Republican National Convention;[3] despite Rick Santorum's nominal win in the preference poll conducted during the caucuses, the majority of the delegates elected by the state party convention later in March said they supported Romney.[4]

North Dakota Republican caucuses, 2012[5]
Candidate Votes Percentage Delegates [2]
Rick Santorum 4,510 39.7% 6
Ron Paul 3,186 28.1% 2
Mitt Romney 2,691 23.7% 20
Newt Gingrich 962 8.5% 0
Unprojected delegates 0
Totals 11,349 100.0% 28

Convention controversy

North Dakota Republican Party had its state convention from Friday March 30 to Sunday April 1 where twenty-five unbound National Convention delegates were elected. Rick Santorum had won the strawpoll at the Legislative Districts caucuses on Super Tuesday with a large margin to Ron Paul in second place and Mitt Romney in third place. The party leaderships recommended slate of delegates was to reflect this strawpoll result. According to Santorum and Paul supporters the slate did not live up to this requirement, but gave Romney a large majority of the delegates. Former NDGOP Chairman Gary Emineth called the vote undemocratic and a railroad job on the Say Anything Blog.[6]

Electors

North Dakota has 3 Electoral votes in the Electoral College. The following names pledged to Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan.

Layton Freborg, State Senator

Mary Lee

David Nething, State Senator

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other Undecided
Mason-Dixon October 26–28 625 ± 4.0% 40% 54% 3% 3%
Forum/Essman October 12–15 500 ± 4.3% 32% 57% - 11%
Rasmussen Reports October 17–18 600 ± 4.0% 40% 54% 2% 4%
Mason-Dixon October 3–5 625 ± 4.0% 40% 54% 1% 5%
Rasmussen Reports July 10–11, 2012 400 ± - 5% 36% 51% 6% 7%
Mason-Dixon June 4–12 625 ± 4.0% 39% 52%

Likely primary voters

Predictions

Real Clear Politics: Solid Romney [7]

Huffington Post: Strong Romney[8]

CNN: Safe Romney[9]

New York Times: Strong Republican[10]

Washington Post: Solid Romney[11]

Karl Rove: Romney[12]

Freedom's Light House: Romney[13]

Election Projection: Solid GOP[14]

See also

References

  1. "North Dakota Secretary of State". Retrieved 2012-11-11.
  2. 1 2 "North Dakota Republican Delegation 2012". The Green Papers. Retrieved 2012-04-08.
  3. Nate Silver (March 4, 2012). "Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved March 5, 2012.
  4. Santorum delegate plan hits wall in North Dakota. Associated Press. 2012-04-07. Retrieved 2012-04-08.
  5. "Live Caucus Results". NDGOP Presidential Caucus Information. Archived from the original on 2012-03-06. Retrieved 2012-03-07.
  6. "Former NDGOP Chairman Calls National Delegate Selection "A Railroad Job"". Say Anything Blog. March 31, 2012. Retrieved April 4, 2012.
  7. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html
  8. "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". Huffington Post.
  9. "CNN Electoral Map". CNN.
  10. "The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". The New York Times.
  11. "2012 Presidential Election Results". The Washington Post.
  12. "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2012-08-28. Retrieved 2012-08-28.
  13. http://freedomslighthouse.net/2012-presidential-election-electoral-vote-map/
  14. http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/president12.php
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