United States presidential election in North Dakota, 2004

United States presidential election in North Dakota, 2004

November 2, 2004

 
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote 3 0
Popular vote 196,651 111,052
Percentage 62.9% 35.5%

County Results

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

The 2004 United States presidential election in North Dakota took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 3 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

North Dakota was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 27.4% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. The state has voted Republican in 24 of the last 29 elections. In 2004, George W. Bush defeated John Kerry with 63% of the vote. The state’s population of about 650,000 is little changed from what it was 80 years ago, as ND is one of seven states with the minimum three electoral votes.

Caucuses

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]

  1. D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
  2. Associated Press: Solid Bush
  3. CNN: Bush
  4. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
  5. Newsweek: Solid Bush
  6. New York Times: Solid Bush
  7. Rasmussen Reports: Bush
  8. Research 2000: Solid Bush
  9. Washington Post: Bush
  10. Washington Times: Solid Bush
  11. Zogby International: Bush
  12. Washington Dispatch: Bush

Polling

Bush won both pre-election polls with a double-digit margin.[2]

Fundraising

Bush raised $135,493.[3] Kerry raised $36,600.[4]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign visited or advertised in this state during the fall campaign.[5][6]

Analysis

In 2000, Al Gore won two counties, compared to Kerry who won four counties in the state, including his best performance in Sioux County, North Dakota, where he won with 70% of the vote. Overall, Bush dominated the state, winning a wide majority of the state's counties, and with large margins. In just two counties did Bush obtain less than 40% of the vote.[7]

Results

[8]

2004 United States presidential election in ND[9]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican George W. Bush (incumbent) 196,651 62.86%
Democratic John Kerry 111,052 35.50%
Independent Ralph Nader 3,756 1.20%
Libertarian Michael Badnarik 851 0.27%
Constitution Michael Peroutka 514 0.16%
Write In - 9 0.0%
Majority
Turnout 64.2%

Results breakdown

By county

County Bush Votes Kerry Votes Others Votes Total
Adams County, North Dakota91070.87%35127.34%231.79%1,284
Barnes County, North Dakota3,51960.88%2,17537.63%861.49%5,780
Benson County, North Dakota1,00044.58%1,19553.28%482.14%2,243
Billings County, North Dakota44979.61%9917.55%162.84%564
Bottineau County, North Dakota2,45767.02%1,16331.72%461.25%3,666
Bowman County, North Dakota1,28074.64%39723.15%382.22%1,715
Burke County, North Dakota80769.45%33428.74%211.81%1,162
Burleigh County, North Dakota26,37068.52%11,51129.91%6041.57%38,485
Cass County, North Dakota39,51759.41%25,92738.98%1,0771.62%66,521
Cavalier County, North Dakota66262.51%37335.22%242.27%1,059
Dickey County, North Dakota1,88967.03%88131.26%481.70%2,818
Divide County, North Dakota74859.37%48338.33%292.30%1,260
Dunn County, North Dakota1,17666.44%56932.15%251.41%1,770
Eddy County, North Dakota65353.97%53344.05%241.98%1,210
Emmons County, North Dakota77767.98%34229.92%242.10%1,143
Foster County, North Dakota1,21568.96%51829.40%291.65%1,762
Golden Valley County, North Dakota71577.55%19421.04%131.41%922
Grand Forks County, North Dakota17,25556.78%12,61141.50%5251.73%30,391
Grant County, North Dakota95076.61%26421.29%262.10%1,240
Griggs County, North Dakota90362.97%50435.15%271.88%1,434
Hettinger County, North Dakota1,04269.93%40327.05%453.02%1,490
Kidder County, North Dakota90165.86%43331.65%342.49%1,368
LaMoure County, North Dakota1,58968.14%71230.53%311.33%2,332
Logan County, North Dakota84474.96%26123.18%211.87%1,126
McHenry County, North Dakota1,74361.87%1,02836.49%461.63%2,817
McIntosh County, North Dakota1,25372.76%43725.38%321.86%1,722
McKenzie County, North Dakota1,88468.73%84030.65%170.62%2,741
McLean County, North Dakota2,99563.49%1,65135.00%711.51%4,717
Mercer County, North Dakota3,27771.15%1,24326.99%861.87%4,606
Morton County, North Dakota8,27965.94%4,04132.19%2351.87%12,555
Mountrail County, North Dakota1,52050.31%1,46348.43%381.26%3,021
Nelson County, North Dakota1,10757.60%77840.48%371.93%1,922
Oliver County, North Dakota78970.64%30927.66%191.70%1,117
Pembina County, North Dakota2,46163.92%1,32034.29%691.79%3,850
Pierce County, North Dakota1,46667.12%68431.32%341.56%2,184
Ramsey County, North Dakota2,94160.06%1,88438.47%721.47%4,897
Ransom County, North Dakota1,35151.98%1,19746.06%511.96%2,599
Renville County, North Dakota94464.79%49433.91%191.30%1,457
Richland County, North Dakota5,25564.05%2,82034.37%1301.58%8,205
Rolette County, North Dakota1,39134.45%2,55963.37%882.18%4,038
Sargent County, North Dakota1,14552.19%1,01746.35%321.46%2,194
Sheridan County, North Dakota72577.05%19921.15%171.81%941
Sioux County, North Dakota31827.99%80170.51%171.50%1,136
Slope County, North Dakota34578.23%8920.18%71.59%441
Stark County, North Dakota7,19569.43%3,00128.96%1671.61%10,363
Steele County, North Dakota58448.30%61450.79%110.91%1,209
Stutsman County, North Dakota6,49564.38%3,42933.99%1651.64%10,089
Towner County, North Dakota75454.21%60643.57%312.23%1,391
Traill County, North Dakota2,53959.84%1,65038.89%541.27%4,243
Walsh County, North Dakota3,18961.55%1,90536.77%871.68%5,181
Ward County, North Dakota16,97066.39%8,22332.17%3671.44%25,560
Wells County, North Dakota1,65164.59%85833.57%471.84%2,556
Williams County, North Dakota5,09970.89%1,97527.46%1191.65%7,193

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

District Bush Kerry Representative
At-large 62.9% 35.5% Earl Pomeroy

Electors

Technically the voters of ND cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. ND is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 congressional district and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All were pledged to and voted for Bush and Cheney:[10]

  1. Betsy Dalrymple (wife of Jack Dalrymple)
  2. Ben Clayburgh
  3. Jackie Williams

References

  1. http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW%5Bpermanent+dead+link%5D
  2. http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=38
  3. http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04
  4. http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04
  5. "CNN.com Specials". CNN.
  6. "CNN.com Specials". CNN.
  7. http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/
  8. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on May 13, 2009. Retrieved July 17, 2009.
  9. "2004 Presidential General Election Results - North Dakota". David Leip. Retrieved 2014-03-25.
  10. "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2006-01-04. Retrieved 2009-10-10.

See also

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