United States presidential election in Idaho, 2012

United States presidential election in Idaho, 2012
November 6, 2012

 
Nominee Mitt Romney Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Massachusetts Illinois
Running mate Paul Ryan Joe Biden
Electoral vote 4 0
Popular vote 420,911 212,787
Percentage 64.09% 32.40%
County Results
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

 Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2012 United States presidential election in Idaho took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Idaho voters chose four electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan. Prior to the election, 17 news organizations considered this a state Romney would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Romney and Ryan carried Idaho with 64.09% of the popular vote to Obama's and Biden's 32.40%, thus winning the state's four electoral votes.[1]Romney's victory in Idaho made it his fourth strongest state in the 2012 election after Utah, Wyoming and Oklahoma[2].

General election

Candidate Ballot Access:

  • Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan, Republican
  • Barack Obama/Joseph Biden, Democratic
  • Gary Johnson/James P. Gray, Libertarian
  • Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala, Green
  • Virgil Goode/Jim Clymer, Constitution
  • Rocky Anderson/Luis J. Rodriguez, Justice

Results

United States presidential election in Idaho, 2012
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Mitt Romney Paul Ryan 420,911 64.09% 4
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 212,787 32.40% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson Jim Gray 9,453 1.44% 0
Write-Ins Write-Ins 4,429 0.67% 0
Green Jill Stein Cheri Honkala 4,402 0.67% 0
Justice Rocky Anderson Luis J. Rodriguez 2,499 0.38% 0
Constitution Virgil Goode Jim Clymer 2,222 0.34% 0
Peace & Freedom Roseanne Barr Cindy Sheehan 39 0.01% 0
Totals 656,742 100.00% 4

By county

County Obama% Obama# Romney% Romney# Others% Others# Total
Ada County42.72%77,13754.03%97,5543.24%5,855180,546
Adams County28.01%57768.59%1,4133.40%702,060
Bannock County37.48%13,21459.59%21,0102.94%1,03635,260
Bear Lake County10.70%30288.20%2,4891.10%312,822
Benewah County29.97%1,16466.84%2,5963.19%1243,884
Bingham County21.71%3,82276.35%13,4401.94%34117,603
Blaine County58.78%5,99238.64%3,9392.58%26310,194
Boise County30.57%1,05366.30%2,2843.13%1083,445
Bonner County35.07%6,50061.32%11,3673.61%66918,536
Bonneville County22.92%9,90374.69%32,2762.39%1,03443,213
Boundary County26.96%1,22569.06%3,1383.98%1814,544
Butte County20.06%25877.84%1,0012.10%271,286
Camas County27.51%15969.55%4022.94%17578
Canyon County30.06%19,86667.13%44,3692.81%1,85566,090
Caribou County12.65%38685.45%2,6081.90%583,052
Cassia County13.08%1,09885.21%7,1541.72%1448,396
Clark County20.12%6671.65%2358.23%27328
Clearwater County27.92%1,03268.75%2,5413.33%1233,696
Custer County22.53%53074.15%1,7443.32%782,352
Elmore County31.41%2,51365.33%5,2273.26%2618,001
Franklin County05.80%32592.77%5,1951.43%805,600
Fremont County13.96%81084.57%4,9071.47%855,802
Gem County26.13%1,95770.91%5,3112.96%2227,490
Gooding County25.15%1,28772.22%3,6962.64%1355,118
Idaho County21.79%1,70875.55%5,9212.65%2087,837
Jefferson County11.45%1,30386.94%9,8951.61%18311,381
Jerome County25.43%1,69971.91%4,8042.66%1786,681
Kootenai County31.51%18,85165.82%39,3812.67%1,59659,828
Latah County49.56%8,30645.28%7,5895.16%86416,759
Lemhi County23.36%96073.70%3,0292.94%1214,110
Lewis County24.54%39672.68%1,1732.79%451,614
Lincoln County28.22%46968.65%1,1413.13%521,662
Madison County05.77%83293.29%13,4450.94%13514,412
Minidoka County19.93%1,39078.04%5,4422.02%1416,973
Nez Perce County38.29%6,45159.16%9,9672.55%43016,848
Oneida County10.39%21787.98%1,8381.63%342,089
Owyhee County22.37%83375.03%2,7942.60%973,724
Payette County26.73%2,27170.68%6,0042.59%2208,495
Power County33.83%98264.42%1,8701.76%512,903
Shoshone County44.23%2,27752.43%2,6993.34%1725,148
Teton County42.58%1,92654.34%2,4583.07%1394,523
Twin Falls County26.80%7,54170.26%19,7732.94%82828,142
Valley County42.59%2,09554.16%2,6643.25%1604,919
Washington County25.50%1,10472.24%3,1282.26%984,330

Democratic caucuses

President Obama ran alone in the caucuses. The District cast all 31 of its delegate votes at the 2012 Democratic National Convention for Obama.[3]

Idaho Democratic primary, 2012[4]
Candidate State convention delegates Percentage Delegates
Barack Obama 1,400 100% 27
Unpledged delegates: 4
Total: 1,400 100% 31

Republican caucuses

Idaho Republican caucuses, 2012
March 6, 2012 (2012-03-06)

 
Candidate Mitt Romney Rick Santorum Ron Paul
Home state Massachusetts Pennsylvania Texas
Delegate count 32 0 0
Popular vote 27,514 8,115 8,086
Percentage 61.6% 18.2% 18.1%
Idaho results by county
  Mitt Romney
  Rick Santorum
  Ron Paul

The Republican caucuses took place on Super Tuesday, March 6, 2012.[5][6] An advisory primary with no binding effect on delegates, scheduled to be held on Tuesday May 15, 2012, was cancelled by the Idaho Republican Party.[7] Five candidates were on the ballot. In order of filing they are Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich, and Buddy Roemer. Although Roemer had withdrawn from the Republican race before the Idaho caucus, he still appeared on the ballot.[8]

Idaho has 32 delegates to the Republican national convention, of which 3 are RNC and 29 are AL. The 3 RNC delegates pledged to go with the results of the Boise Straw Poll. The delegates will be determined by the caucuses results, based on a two-step approach. First, the delegates are primarily awarded winner-take-all by county after a series of votes in which candidates are successively removed from the ballot. Then, if a candidate receives half or more of the county delegates, he will receive all the 32 delegates; if not, the delegates will be split proportionately according to the number of county delegates.[9] Mitt Romney won 61% of the vote, thanks to a large majority of support (80-90% in most counties) in majority Mormon southeastern Idaho, rendering it a winner-take-all contest. Santorum and Paul split the Panhandle, winning five counties each, but came away empty in the delegate count.

Straw polls

Despite a complete lack of formal polling in the state,[9] there were a total of five straw polls conducted in Idaho, three of which were online. Ron Paul won three of these,[10][11][12] while Mitt Romney won two.[13]

January 2–4 online poll

This was the first ever Idaho straw poll.[14]It was conducted entirely online by Kaz Wittig KStar Enterprises. Ron Paul won with over 70 percent of the vote.[10]

FinishCandidatePercentage
1Ron Paul73.53%
2Rick Santorum8.09%
3Newt Gingrich7.35%
4Mitt Romney5.15%
5Barack Obama3.68%
6Gary Johnson1.47%
7Rick Perry0.74%
8Jon Huntsman0.00%
9Michele Bachmann0.00%
Total100%

January 6 Boise poll

This poll used paper ballots and was conducted in Boise. Ron Paul won this poll. Rick Perry's campaign, although still active in the race at this time, did not participate.[11]

FinishCandidatePercentageVotes
1Ron Paul43%173
2Mitt Romney34%135
3Newt Gingrich12%47
4Rick Santorum10%40
5Jon Huntsman1%4
Total100%399

February 2–4 online poll

This online straw poll was also produced by Kaz Wittig KStar Enterprises. Mitt Romney won the poll by a small margin.[13]

FinishCandidatePercentage
1Mitt Romney45.39%
2Ron Paul42.70%
3Rick Santorum4.49%
4Newt Gingrich3.82%
5Barack Obama3.15%
6Other0.45%
Total100%

March 1–3 online poll

This poll was also produced by Kaz Wittig KStar Enterprises. Ron Paul won by a double-digit margin.[12]

FinishCandidatePercentageVotes
1Ron Paul51.37%525
2Mitt Romney35.03%358
3Gary Johnson3.91%40
4Rick Santorum3.23%33
5Virgil Goode2.84%29
6Buddy Roemer1.96%20
7Newt Gingrich0.98%10
8Barack Obama0.49%5
9Other0.2%2
Total100%1022

Results

Results:[15][16]

FinishCandidatePercentageVotesEstimated National Delegates
1Mitt Romney61.6%27,51432
2Rick Santorum18.2%8,1150
3Ron Paul18.1%8,0860
4Newt Gingrich2.1%9400
5Buddy Roemer0.0%170
Total100%32

County totals

CountyNewt GingrichRon PaulMitt RomneyRick SantorumTotalWinner
Ada3071766423318668172Romney
Adams0851320217Romney
Bannock2425416141462038Romney
Bear Lake21530819344Romney
Benewah249026145265Santorum
Bingham2721521721502564Romney
Blaine477923023379Romney
Boise01281630291Romney
Bonner055504871042Paul
Bonneville6548130442353825Romney
Boundary019364101358Paul
Butte102515323211Romney
Camas04038078Paul
Canyon0617205612963969Romney
Caribou72233626391Romney
Cassia2814312791441594Romney
Clark288817115Romney
Clearwater0850151236Santorum
Custer19489824189Romney
Elmore01582810439Romney
Franklin410585629994Romney
Fremont127672638852Romney
Gem0150379143672Romney
Gooding478429986516Romney
Idaho02840191475Paul
Jefferson1121216421141979Romney
Jerome2874331101534Romney
Kootenai049606741170Santorum
Latah78509197188972Paul
Lemhi446021764385Romney
Lewis00254469Santorum
Lincoln141114749221Romney
Madison72602510502827Romney
Minidoka228065392847Romney
Nez Perce01271240251Paul
Oneida33924118301Romney
Owyhee00177263440Santorum
Payette00428302730Romney
Power91328738347Romney
Shoshone006374137Santorum
Teton134429526378Romney
Twin Falls8333212284092052Romney
Valley01231520275Romney
Washington00222269491Santorum

Notes

  • That these totals reflect the final caucus ballots in each county; where only two candidates have votes totaled, this was likely from other candidates being eliminated in previous rounds of voting. Where all candidates have at least one vote, only one ballot was necessary, since the winning candidate had a majority of votes in that county.
  • Vote totals for Buddy Roemer, who had formally withdrawn from the Republican race before the caucus, are not provided.

See also

References

  1. ↑ "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Idaho". Retrieved 4 January 2013.
  2. ↑ "2012 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved 2018-03-05.
  3. ↑ "Idaho Democratic Delegation 2012". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
  4. ↑ "District of Columbia Democratic Delegation 2012". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
  5. ↑ http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/ID-R
  6. ↑ http://www.FEC.gov/pubrec/fe2012/2012pdates.pdf
  7. ↑ "Idaho Republican Presidential Nominating Process". The Green Papers. Retrieved March 5, 2012.
  8. ↑ http://www.idaho-republican-caucus.com/republican-candidates.html
  9. 1 2 Nate Silver (March 4, 2012). "Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved March 5, 2012.
  10. 1 2 http://www.idahostrawpoll.com/poll/graph1.html
  11. 1 2 http://www.kivitv.com/news/local/136861888.html
  12. 1 2 http://www.idahostrawpoll.com/poll/graph3.html
  13. 1 2 http://www.idahostrawpoll.com/poll/graph2.html
  14. ↑ Bodnar, Marissa. "Idaho GOP Gears Up For 2012 Straw Poll, Caucus". Local News 8. NPG of Idaho, Inc. Retrieved 14 July 2016.
  15. ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2012-07-20. Retrieved 2012-07-19.
  16. ↑ "Idaho County Map". CNN.
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