Swing
A post-election analysis of Lord Ashcroft of inter-party swing (between specific parties):
Poll: Expressed voting choice in 2017 of electors who say they voted in 2015[1]
Party |
New choice of party of sample-polled previous voters |
Conservative |
Labour |
LD |
SNP |
UKIP |
Green |
Other |
|
Conservative |
82% |
10% |
5% |
– |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|
Labour |
9% |
83% |
5% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
– |
|
Liberal Democrat |
16% |
30% |
50% |
1% |
– |
2% |
1% |
|
SNP |
6% |
12% |
2% |
80% |
– |
– |
– |
|
UKIP |
57% |
18% |
3% |
– |
19% |
2% |
1% |
Seats which changed hands
|
Conservative to Liberal Democrat
Liberal Democrat to Labour
Liberal Democrat to Conservative
Ulster Unionist to Sinn Féin
SDLP to Democratic Unionist
Ulster Unionist to Democratic Unionist
Liberal Democrat to Plaid Cymru
|
England
Party |
Seats |
Votes |
Total |
Gained |
Lost |
Net |
Total |
% |
Change (%) |
|
Conservative[n 2] |
297 |
8 |
30 |
−22 |
12,376,530 |
45.6 |
+4.6 |
|
Labour |
227 |
27 |
6 |
+21 |
11,386,624 |
41.9 |
+10.3 |
|
Liberal Democrat |
8 |
5 |
3 |
+2 |
2,121,672 |
7.8 |
−0.4 |
|
Green |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
506,905 |
1.9 |
−2.3 |
|
UKIP |
0 |
0 |
1 |
−1 |
557,174 |
2.1 |
−12.1 |
|
Others |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
210,321 |
0.8 |
+0.6 |
Total |
533 |
|
|
|
27,159,226 |
Turnout |
69.1% |
[2]
Northern Ireland
Party |
Seats |
Votes |
Total | Gained | Lost |
Net |
Total |
% |
Change (%) |
|
DUP |
10 |
2 |
0 |
+2 |
292,316 |
36.0 |
+10.3 |
|
Sinn Féin |
7 |
3 |
0 |
+3 |
238,915 |
29.4 |
+4.9 |
|
SDLP |
0 |
0 |
3 |
−3 |
95,419 |
11.7 |
−2.2 |
|
UUP |
0 |
0 |
2 |
−2 |
83,280 |
10.3 |
−5.8 |
|
Alliance |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
64,553 |
7.9 |
−0.6 |
|
Green (NI) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7,452 |
0.9 |
−0.0 |
|
TUV |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3,282 |
0.4 |
−1.9 |
|
Others |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26,966 |
3.3 |
−1.8 |
Total | 18 | | |
|
812,183 |
Turnout |
65.4% |
Scotland
Party |
Seats |
Votes |
Total |
Gained |
Lost |
Net |
Total |
% |
Change (%) |
|
SNP |
35 |
0 |
21 |
−21 |
977,569 |
36.9 |
−13.1 |
|
Conservative |
13 |
12 |
0 |
+12 |
757,949 |
28.6 |
+13.7 |
|
Labour |
7 |
6 |
0 |
+6 |
717,007 |
27.1 |
+2.8 |
|
Liberal Democrat |
4 |
3 |
0 |
+3 |
179,061 |
6.8 |
−0.8 |
|
Scottish Green |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5,886 |
0.2 |
−1.1 |
|
UKIP |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5,302 |
0.2 |
−1.4 |
|
Others |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6,920 |
0.3 |
+0.2 |
Total |
59 |
|
|
|
2,649,695 |
Turnout |
66.4% |
[3]
Wales
Party |
Seats |
Votes |
Total | Gained | Lost |
Net |
Total |
% |
Change (%) |
|
Labour |
28 |
3 |
0 |
+3 |
771,354 |
48.9 |
+12.1 |
|
Conservative |
8 |
0 |
3 |
−3 |
528,839 |
33.6 |
+6.3 |
|
Plaid Cymru |
4 |
1 |
0 |
+1 |
164,466 |
10.4 |
−1.7 |
|
Liberal Democrats |
0 |
0 |
1 |
−1 |
71,039 |
4.5 |
−2.0 |
|
UKIP |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31,376 |
2.0 |
−11.6 |
|
Green |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5,128 |
0.3 |
−2.2 |
|
Others |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3,612 |
0.2 |
−0.1 |
Total | 40 | | |
|
1,575,814 |
Turnout |
68.6% |