United States presidential election in Nebraska, 2008

United States presidential election in Nebraska, 2008

November 4, 2008

 
Nominee John McCain Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Arizona Illinois
Running mate Sarah Palin Joe Biden
Electoral vote 4 1
Popular vote 452,979 333,319
Percentage 56.5% 41.6%

County Results

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2008 United States presidential election in Nebraska took place on November 4, 2008, as part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 5 electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. However, this state is one of the two states of the U.S. that, instead of giving all of its electors to the winner based on its statewide results, just 2 of them vote based on the statewide results, and the others vote based on their individual congressional district results.

Nebraska, statewide, was not a swing state in 2008. Located in the Great Plains of the United States, it is one of the most staunchly Republican states in the country. While some hypothetical general election match-up polls between Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama showed the race to be seemingly close, they were largely regarded as outliers as more polls released showed McCain leading in double digits. McCain wound up carrying the popular vote in Nebraska by 14.93 points, taking in 56.53% of the total statewide vote. However, Obama narrowly defeated McCain in Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, which contains Omaha and the surrounding areas. Due to Nebraska's system of allocating electoral votes to winners of Congressional Districts, Obama was able to win one electoral vote while John McCain received the state's other four electoral votes. On top of this, his 41.6% of the statewide popular vote is the highest a Democratic presidential candidate has won in the Cornhusker State since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.

Primaries & caucuses

Campaign statewide

Polling

McCain led in every single pre-election poll. Since May, he led in each poll by a double-digit margin of victory and each with at least 52% of the vote.[1]

Fundraising

John McCain raised a total of $678,059 in the state, while Barack Obama raised $864,393.[2]

Advertising and visits

Obama spent $55,807 while McCain and the Republican Trust PAC spent a total of just $1,225.[3] Both Obama and McCain visited the state once. Obama held a downtown rally at Omaha[4] and McCain traveled to both Omaha and Ashland. Palin also visited Omaha once.[5]

Campaign in Omaha

Nebraska has two electoral votes that go to the winner of the popular vote in the state, while the other three are split based on whichever candidate wins the popular vote in each of Nebraska's three congressional districts, all of which have trended Republican in the past elections. However Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District, based in the city of Omaha, is significantly less conservative.

The second CD of Nebraska was actually considered as a battleground area by some, leading the Obama campaign to open a single campaign office in Omaha with 15 staff members to cover the congressional district in September 2008.[6] More than 900 people attended the opening of those offices. Democratic Mayor Mike Fahey of Omaha said that he would do whatever it takes to deliver the electoral vote tied to the 2nd Congressional District to Obama, and the Obama Campaign considered Nebraska's 2nd congressional district "in play".[7] Former Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Kerrey and then senior U.S. Senator Ben Nelson campaigned in the city for Obama.[8]

Analysis

Nebraska, part of the conservative Great Plains region, is one of the most Republican states in the nation. It has only gone Democratic in a presidential election seven times since statehood. Continuing on that trend, McCain won the Cornhusker State by nearly 15 points. Obama was only able to win four counties: Douglas County, which contains Omaha; Lancaster County, which contains the state capital of Lincoln and the University of Nebraska; Saline County; and Thurston County, which contains a Native American reservation and was the only county to be won by John Kerry in 2004. No Democratic presidential nominee since Lyndon B. Johnson's landslide 1964 victory has ever won more than four counties in Nebraska.[9] In 2008, McCain won Nebraska's 1st Congressional District and Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District by fairly safe margins,[10] along with the state as a whole, but Obama managed to carry Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District, based in Omaha, by a slim margin of 1,260 votes, resulting in one of Nebraska's five electoral votes being awarded to Obama.[11] This was a particularly notable win, because with Nebraska's split electoral vote system Obama became the first Democratic presidential candidate to win an electoral vote from Nebraska since 1964.[12]

Obama did particularly well in the state's two most populated counties, Douglas and Lancaster. While John Kerry had lost these counties by double-digits, Obama was able to carve out small victories in a state he lost by a landslide.[13]

During the same election, Republicans held the open U.S. Senate seat vacated by Republican Chuck Hagel who retired. Former Republican Governor Mike Johanns easily defeated Democrat Scott Kleeb, a rancher, by 17.46 points. Johanns received 57.52% of the total vote while Kleeb took in 40.06%. At the state level, a candidate known to be a Republican picked up a seat in the nonpartisan and unicameral Nebraska Legislature in 2008.

As of the 2016 presidential election, this is the last election in which Saline County voted Democratic.

Results

Statewide

United States presidential election in Nebraska, 2008
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican John McCain Sarah Palin 452,979 56.53% 4
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 333,319 41.60% 1
Independent Ralph Nader Matt Gonzalez 5,406 0.67% 0
Constitution Chuck Baldwin Darrell Castle 2,972 0.37% 0
Write-ins Write-in candidates 2,837 0.35% 0
Libertarian Bob Barr Wayne Allyn Root 2,740 0.34% 0
Green Cynthia McKinney Rosa Clemente 1,028 0.13% 0
Totals 801,281 100.00% 5
Voter turnout n/a

Congressional District

John McCain carried two of the state’s three congressional districts, while Barack Obama carried one congressional district held by a Republican.

District McCain Obama Representative
1st 54.10% 44.33% Jeff Fortenberry
2nd 48.75% 49.97% Lee Terry
3rd 68.64% 29.63% Adrian Smith

By county

County Obama% Obama# McCain% McCain# Others% Others# Total
Adams County35.47%4,68562.47%8,2522.07%27313,210
Antelope County23.77%75774.82%2,3831.41%453,185
Arthur County14.83%3982.51%2172.66%7263
Banner County14.90%6283.65%3481.44%6416
Blaine County13.61%4384.18%2662.22%7316
Boone County26.16%74272.00%2,0421.83%522,836
Box Butte County38.83%1,88660.37%2,9320.80%394,857
Boyd County22.52%25075.59%8391.89%211,110
Brown County19.85%31177.09%1,2083.06%481,567
Buffalo County30.41%5,86767.88%13,0971.71%32919,293
Burt County41.72%1,41356.30%1,9071.98%673,387
Butler County31.00%1,19066.61%2,5572.40%923,839
Cass County39.21%4,75358.74%7,1202.05%24912,122
Cedar County28.51%1,19069.77%2,9121.72%724,174
Chase County18.49%34180.10%1,4771.41%261,844
Cherry County19.58%59977.15%2,3603.27%1003,059
Cheyenne County24.24%1,17373.82%3,5721.94%944,839
Clay County25.72%78071.78%2,1772.51%763,033
Colfax County35.12%1,12563.00%2,0181.87%603,203
Cuming County31.17%1,27466.85%2,7321.98%814,087
Custer County21.37%1,19277.11%4,3011.52%855,578
Dakota County46.81%2,99451.47%3,2921.72%1106,396
Dawes County34.04%1,28562.94%2,3763.02%1143,775
Dawson County30.04%2,39968.37%5,4601.59%1277,986
Deuel County24.47%24373.72%7321.81%18993
Dixon County33.86%94663.89%1,7852.25%632,794
Dodge County43.02%6,68955.03%8,5571.95%30415,550
Douglas County51.53%116,81046.89%106,2911.59%3,600226,701
Dundy County21.39%21876.84%7831.77%181,019
Fillmore County32.64%96264.91%1,9132.44%722,947
Franklin County28.48%44269.52%1,0792.00%311,552
Frontier County24.86%34973.65%1,0341.50%211,404
Furnas County23.88%55674.10%1,7252.02%472,328
Gage County44.03%4,47353.49%5,4352.48%25210,160
Garden County24.87%28374.17%8440.97%111,138
Garfield County20.58%21277.67%8001.75%181,030
Gosper County24.81%26074.05%7761.15%121,048
Grant County11.17%4186.65%3182.18%8367
Greeley County38.20%45859.63%7152.17%261,199
Hall County36.93%7,85561.01%12,9772.06%43921,271
Hamilton County27.76%1,33270.62%3,3891.63%784,799
Harlan County22.76%40275.25%1,3291.98%351,766
Hayes County15.37%8583.36%4611.27%7553
Hitchcock County25.09%34672.59%1,0012.32%321,379
Holt County21.89%1,08975.31%3,7462.79%1394,974
Hooker County17.12%7581.05%3551.83%8438
Howard County36.15%1,08361.65%1,8472.20%662,996
Jefferson County41.11%1,52056.88%2,1032.00%743,697
Johnson County43.32%91454.12%1,1422.56%542,110
Kearney County27.81%87670.60%2,2241.59%503,150
Keith County24.55%97474.14%2,9421.31%523,968
Keya Paha County21.58%11576.74%4091.69%9533
Kimball County24.24%43974.32%1,3461.44%261,811
Knox County30.73%1,25566.80%2,7282.47%1014,084
Lancaster County51.56%65,73446.59%59,3981.85%2,358127,490
Lincoln County31.00%5,04666.46%10,8172.54%41416,277
Logan County19.47%8178.61%3271.92%8416
Loup County21.88%8676.84%3021.27%5393
McPherson County29.57%4,14268.93%9,6551.50%21014,007
Madison County15.36%4581.91%2402.73%8293
Merrick County28.74%98669.22%2,3752.04%703,431
Morrill County23.69%55773.37%1,7252.93%692,351
Nance County32.16%54965.38%1,1162.46%421,707
Nemaha County35.69%1,24061.43%2,1342.88%1003,474
Nuckolls County29.58%65767.45%1,4982.97%662,221
Otoe County41.10%2,91556.87%4,0332.03%1447,092
Pawnee County34.90%48362.07%8593.03%421,384
Perkins County21.83%31076.90%1,0921.27%181,420
Phelps County23.47%1,05075.12%3,3601.41%634,473
Pierce County24.27%78373.93%2,3851.80%583,226
Platte County28.37%3,79670.04%9,3731.59%21313,382
Polk County26.27%66871.65%1,8222.08%532,543
Red Willow County24.11%1,21674.05%3,7351.84%935,044
Richardson County38.13%1,51359.02%2,3422.85%1133,968
Rock County17.35%13979.90%6402.75%22801
Saline County50.92%2,67446.35%2,4342.72%1435,251
Sarpy County41.18%28,01057.06%38,8161.76%1,19668,022
Saunders County36.89%3,76760.60%6,1882.52%25710,212
Scotts Bluff County32.21%4,74565.91%9,7081.88%27714,730
Seward County35.90%2,70361.72%4,6472.38%1797,529
Sheridan County18.44%45478.84%1,9412.72%672,462
Sherman County37.21%58560.43%9502.35%371,572
Sioux County15.98%11782.38%6031.64%12732
Stanton County26.61%66471.38%1,7812.00%502,495
Thayer County32.34%86065.78%1,7491.88%502,659
Thomas County13.08%5184.87%3312.05%8390
Thurston County52.68%1,12045.72%9721.60%342,126
Valley County29.14%70668.39%1,6572.48%602,423
Washington County36.03%3,71162.38%6,4251.59%16410,300
Wayne County32.80%1,24965.73%2,5031.47%563,808
Webster County30.38%55267.86%1,2331.76%321,817
Wheeler County21.82%9675.91%3342.27%10440
York County24.47%1,60773.81%4,8481.72%1136,568

Electors

Technically the voters of Nebraska cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Nebraska is allocated 5 electors because it has 3 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 5 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded 2 electoral votes, and the other 3 are allocated via the individual results of the congressional districts. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[14] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the 5 members of the Electoral College from the state. 4 of the electors were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin; 2 at large, 1 for each of the 1st and 3rd Congressional districts. 1 was pledged to Barack Obama and Joe Biden:

References

  1. Election 2008 Polls – Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections
  2. Presidential Campaign Finance
  3. "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  4. YouTube – Barack Obama Omaha Rally
  5. "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  6. "Obama Camp Targets Omaha: Obama Makes A Play In Nebraska, One Of Only Two States That Can Split It's Electoral Votes", CBS. Retrieved 9/27/08.
  7. Bratton, A.J. "Hundreds visit Obama's Omaha headquarters", Associated Press. September 10, 2008. Retrieved 9/27/08.
  8. "Senators To Campaign In Omaha For Obama" Archived September 27, 2011, at the Wayback Machine., KETV. September 12, 2008. Retrieved 9/27/08.
  9. Leip, David. "Presidential General Election Map Comparison Nebraska". Retrieved April 19, 2009.
  10. "CNN Election Center 2008 – Nebraska Results". Retrieved November 23, 2008.
  11. "Omaha.com Elections Section". Archived from the original on November 10, 2008. Retrieved November 23, 2008.
  12. "Obama wins electoral votes in Omaha", Omaha World-Herald. November 8, 2008. Retrieved 11/11/08.
  13. "Election Results 2008". New York Times. Archived from the original on November 3, 2004. Retrieved April 19, 2009.
  14. "Electoral College". California Secretary of State. Archived from the original on October 30, 2008. Retrieved November 1, 2008.
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 Nebraska Certificate of Ascertainment, page 1 of 3.. National Archives and Record Administration.
  16. Elector casts first Nebraska Democratic vote in 44 years, Omaha World-Herald.

See also

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