United States Senate election in Texas, 2014

United States Senate election in Texas, 2014

November 4, 2014
Turnout 33.1%

 
Nominee John Cornyn David Alameel
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 2,855,068 1,594,252
Percentage 61.6% 34.4%

County results

Cornyn:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      90–100%

Alameel:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Senator before election

John Cornyn
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Cornyn
Republican

The 2014 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 4, 2014 to elect a member of the United States Senate. Incumbent Republican Senator and Senate Minority Whip John Cornyn ran for re-election to a third term. Primary elections were held on March 4, 2014. The Democratic primary required a runoff election on May 27, 2014 to choose an opponent to Cornyn. David Alameel, who came in first in the primary, won the runoff and became his party's nominee.

Republican primary

In February 2014, Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell was featured in a controversial television advertisement by Dwayne Stovall. Stovall belittled McConnell, Cornyn's superior in the Senate leadership, as an ineffective "Beltway turtle" who is out-of-touch with the party rank-and-file.[1] Until the controversial advertisement, the media had largely ignored Stovall's candidacy. Greta Van Susteren of Fox News called Stovall a "jerk" for running the "turtle" ad against McConnell: "You can be clever and funny in ads... or you can be gratuitously insulting."[2]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

John Cornyn

Individuals

Organizations

Steve Stockman

Individuals

Organizations

Linda Vega

Individuals

  • Erick Wyatt, former candidate for the U.S. Senate[11]
Dwayne Stovall

Groups

  • Cypress Tea Party
  • Alvin Tea Party
  • Texas Conservatives
  • ICV
  • Fire Fighters for Liberty
  • Republican Liberty Caucus of CD36
  • Bigfoot's Hot Shot Transport
  • Justin Register
  • Pearland TEA Party
  • TexasConservatives.org
  • Grassroots America - We the People
  • South Texas Tea Party Network
  • Nacogdoches Tea Party
  • Stand Across America
  • Young Republicans of Houston
  • Republican Liberty Caucus of CD 36
  • Katy LiberTea
  • Southern Conservative
  • Kaufman Tea Party
  • Pearland Tea Party
  • Facebook Tea Party
  • TeaParty911
  • Montague County Tea Party
  • Sam Houston Tea Party
  • Llano Tea Party
  • Cass County Tea Party
  • Wichita Falls Tea Party
  • Lake Jackson Tea Party (straw poll win)
  • Ellis County (straw poll win)
  • Tri-County Tea Party
  • Clearlake Tea Party
  • Overpasses for Obama's Impeachment
  • Alvin Tea Party
  • Firefighters for Liberty

[28]

Declined to endorse

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Curt
Cleaver
Ken
Cope
John
Cornyn
Chris
Mapp
Reid
Reasor
Steve
Stockman
Dwayne
Stovall
Linda
Vega
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–4, 2013 388 ± 4.4% 41% 18% 44%
Wilson Perkins Allen December 13, 2013 762 ± 3.6% 50% 6% 5% 39%
Gravis Marketing February 10–12, 2014 729 ± 3.6% 43% 28% 29%
UoT/Texas Tribune February 7–17, 2014 461 ± 4.56% 1% 4% 62% 3% 3% 16% 4% 7%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Cornyn
Someone
more conservative
Undecided
Gravis Marketing October 26, 2013 563 ± 3% 33% 46% 21%
Public Policy Polling November 1–4, 2013 388 ± 4.4% 33% 49% 18%

Results

Republican primary results[35]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Cornyn 781,259 59.43%
Republican Steve Stockman 251,577 19.13%
Republican Dwayne Stovall 140,794 10.71%
Republican Linda Vega 50,057 3.80%
Republican Ken Cope 34,409 2.61%
Republican Chris Mapp 23,535 1.79%
Republican Reid Reasor 20,600 1.56%
Republican Curt Cleaver 12,325 0.94%
Total votes 1,314,556 100.00%

Because Cornyn surpassed a majority in the primary, he faced no runoff election.[36] Cornyn's winning percent and margin of victory were the lowest by any Texas Republican U.S. Senator in a primary election in state history.[37]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

David Alameel
Individuals
Organizations
  • Bexar County African-American Political Alliance[44]
  • Bexar County Northside Coalition of Women[44]
  • Bexar County Mexican American Democrats[44]
  • Bexar County Second Chance Democrats[44]
  • Bexar County Tejano Democrats[44]
  • Bexar County Young Tejano Democrats[44]
  • Hispanic Women for Better Justice[44]
  • Houston GLBT Political Caucus[44]
  • Mexican American Democrats of Texas, San Antonio Chapter[44]
  • Texas Young Democrats Women's Caucus[44]
Media
Michael Fjetland
Media
Kesha Rogers
Organizations
  • Doctors Against Murderous Obamacare[47]
Maxey Scherr
Individuals
Organizations
  • Amalgamated Transit Union Local 694[48]
  • American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) Local 59[48]
  • Austin Environmental Democrats[48]
  • Austin North by Northwest (NxNW) Democrats[48]
  • Austin Progressive Coalition[48]
  • Austin Stonewall Democrats[48]
  • Austin Young Democrats[48]
  • Bay Area New Democrats (BAND)[48]
  • Capital Area Asian American Democrats[48]
  • Central Austin Democrats[48]
  • Democracy for Houston[48]
  • El Paso Black Democrats[48]
  • El Paso Central Labor Union[48]
  • El Paso West Side Democrats[48]
  • Galveston Democratic Coalition[48]
  • International Association of Fire Fighters Local 51[48]
  • NE Travis County Democrats[48]
  • San Antonio Stonewall Democrats[48]
  • South East Texas Stonewall Democrats[48]
  • State Tejano Democrats[48]
  • Texas Womans Coalition[48]
  • University Democrats (UDems)[48]
  • University of Houston Democrats[48]
Media

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
David
Alameel
Michael
Fjetland
Harry
Kim
Kesha
Rogers
Maxey
Scherr
Other Undecided
UoT/Texas Tribune February 7–17, 2014 263 ± 6.04% 27% 9% 14% 35% 15%

Results

Democratic primary results[51]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Alameel 239,914 47.04%
Democratic Kesha Rogers 110,146 21.59%
Democratic Maxey Scherr 90,359 17.71%
Democratic HyeTae "Harry" Kim 45,207 8.86%
Democratic Michael Fjetland 24,383 4.80%
Total votes 510,009 100.00%

Because no candidate received over 50% of the vote in the primary, the two with the most votes – David Alameel and Kesha Rogers – advanced to a runoff on May 27.[52]

Democratic primary runoff results[53]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Alameel 145,039 72.16%
Democratic Kesha Rogers 55,953 27.84%
Total votes 200,992 100.00%

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Declared

Results

Rebecca Paddock won the nomination.

Green nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Emily Marie Sanchez[55]

Results

Sanchez won the nomination.

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[56] Solid R November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[57] Safe R November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[58] Safe R November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[59] Safe R November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Cornyn (R)
David
Alameel (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 10–13, 2014 559 ± 4.1% 49% 32% 20%
UoT/Texas Tribune May 30 – June 8, 2014 1,200 ± 2.83% 36% 25% 13%[60] 26%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 4,353 ± 3.7% 52% 35% 3% 10%
Rasmussen Reports August 4–5, 2014 4,353 ± 3.0% 47% 29% 6% 19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 2014 4,189 ± 2% 55% 39% 3% 8%
Texas Lyceum September 11–25, 2014 666 ± 3.8% 48% 30% 8%[61] 14%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 2014 4,177 ± 2% 55% 35% 1% 9%
Rasmussen Reports October 1–2, 2014 840 ± 3.5% 50% 29% 6% 15%
UoT/Texas Tribune October 10–19, 2014 866 ± 3.6% 57% 31% 12%[62]
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 3,987 ± 3% 57% 35% 1% 8%

Results

United States Senate election in Texas, 2014[63]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Cornyn 2,855,068 61.55%
Democratic David Alameel 1,594,252 34.36%
Libertarian Rebecca Paddock 133,467 2.87%
Green Emily Marie Sanchez 54,587 1.20%
Independent Mohammed Tahiro 1,178 0.02%
Majority 1,022,814 22.05%
Total votes 4,638,552 100.00%
Turnout 33.07
Republican hold

See also

References

  1. "Samantha Lachman, "GOP Senate Candidate Calls Mitch McConnell 'Beltway Turtle' in Anti-Cornyn Ad", February 14, 2014". Huffington Post. February 14, 2014. Retrieved February 16, 2014.
  2. "Greta Slams Longshot GOP Candidate as 'Jerk' for McConnell Insult, February 14, 2014". newsmax.com. Retrieved February 16, 2014.
  3. 1 2 Tinsley, Anna M. (December 9, 2013). "Filing ends, ballot set for 2014 election". Roll Call. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
  4. "John Cornyn Airs First Re-Election Campaign Spot". Roll Call. October 7, 2013. Retrieved November 24, 2013.
  5. "A Local Man Plans on Running for U.S. Senate". Crossroads Today. November 13, 2013. Retrieved November 24, 2013.
  6. Alexa Ura (November 29, 2013). "Democrat Alameel Will Run for Cornyn's Senate Seat". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved December 10, 2013.
  7. Kant, Garth (December 9, 2013). "Tea-Party Favorite Takes on GOP Big Name". WorldNetDaily. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
  8. "U.S. Senate hopeful addresses Lone Star Patriots of Leon County". Leon County Today. June 4, 2013. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
  9. "Attorney Vega challenging Cornyn in GOP primary". Houston Chronicle. October 23, 2013. Retrieved October 23, 2013.
  10. Alexis Levinson (February 22, 2013). "Cornyn draws primary challenger". The Daily Caller. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
  11. 1 2 "Erick Wyatt Withdraws from US Senate Race". Facebook. November 25, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
  12. "Greg Abbott for Governor". Retrieved July 14, 2013.
  13. Kopan, Tal. "David Barton won't run against John Cornyn". Politico. Retrieved November 6, 2013.
  14. Stutz, Terrence (January 4, 2013). "David Dewhurst '101 percent' sure he'll seek re-election as Texas lieutenant governor". Dallasnews.com. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
  15. "Dewhurst affirms re-election campaign". KTRK-TV Houston. Associated Press. August 7, 2013. Retrieved August 9, 2013.
  16. Burka, Paul (August 8, 2013). "Gohmert v. Cornyn". Texas Monthly. Retrieved August 9, 2013.
  17. Vogas, Joseph (December 9, 2013). "BOR Elections Weekly Round Up, Dec. 2 - 8: A Busy Final Week of Filing". Burnt Orange Report. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
  18. "Debra Medina - Looking forward to a weekend of..." Facebook. June 27, 2013. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
  19. Joseph, Cameron; Hooper, Molly K. (December 10, 2013). "Lawmakers: Cornyn will easily defeat Stockman". The Hill. Retrieved December 12, 2013.
  20. Tilove, Jonathan (November 15, 2013). "Rick Perry offers John Cornyn a ringing endorsment [sic] for re-election". Austin American-Statesman. Retrieved December 8, 2013.
  21. Glenn Evan, "Cornyn plans campaign stop in Longview", Longview News-Journal, February 8, 2014
  22. "Senator Cornyn is Proud to Accept the Endorsement of Former RPT Chairman George Strake". John Cornyn for U.S. Senate. December 10, 2013. Retrieved December 12, 2013.
  23. "Cornyn Campaign Announces Endorsement of State's Oldest and Largest Pro-Life Organization". John Cornyn for U.S. Senate. October 14, 2013. Retrieved December 12, 2013.
  24. Joseph, Cameron (December 10, 2013). "Chamber of Commerce backs Cornyn in primary". The Hill. Retrieved December 12, 2013.
  25. "endorsement statement". teaparty.org. Retrieved February 17, 2014.
  26. "Revolution PAC Endorses Stockman for US Senate". Revolution PAC. December 11, 2013. Retrieved December 12, 2013.
  27. Swartsell, Nick (December 18, 2013). "NRA backs Cornyn; another gun group supports Stockman in Senate race | Dallas Morning News". Dallasnews.com. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
  28. "Putting Texas First". All For Stovall. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
  29. MacNeal, Caitlin (December 11, 2013). "Abbott Won't Endorse In Texas Senate Race". Talking Points Memo. Retrieved December 12, 2013.
  30. "Sen. Ted Cruz won't endorse Sen. John Cornyn for re-election, August 23, 2013". Dallas Morning News. Retrieved February 16, 2014.
  31. 1 2 Gillman, Todd J.; Swartsell, Nick (December 11, 2013). "Lawmakers on right aren't flocking to help Stockman unseat Cornyn". The Dallas Morning News. Retrieved December 12, 2013.
  32. Levinson, Alexis (December 11, 2013). "Gohmert says no endorsement in Stockman's Senate bid". The Daily Caller. Retrieved December 12, 2013.
  33. Strauss, Daniel (December 10, 2013). "Ted Nugent Won't Endorse Rep. Stockman Or Sen. Cornyn". Talking Points Memo. Retrieved December 12, 2013.
  34. Strauss, Daniel (December 10, 2013). "Club For Growth Staying Out Of GOP Primary In Texas Senate Race". Talking Points Memo. Retrieved December 12, 2013.
  35. 2014 Republican Party Primary Election Archived January 9, 2014, at the Wayback Machine.
  36. McCormick, John (March 5, 2014). "Republican Cornyn Wins Primary in Texas Over Tea Party Foe". bloomberg.com. Retrieved March 6, 2014.
  37. Ostermeier, Eric (March 5, 2014). "Cornyn Records Weakest Ever Primary Win for Texas GOP US Senator". Smart Politics.
  38. 1 2 Gillman, Todd J. (December 2, 2013). "Dallas dentist David Alameel brings big fortune to U.S. Senate race". Dallas Morning News. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
  39. "Republican turned Democrat runs for Cornyn's Senate seat". blog.chron.com. November 22, 2013. Retrieved November 24, 2013.
  40. Swartsell, Nick (December 6, 2013). "Anti-Obama Democrat Kesha Rogers files for U.S. Senate". The Dallas Morning News. Retrieved December 8, 2013.
  41. "Democratic Candidates". Texpatriate. October 28, 2013. Retrieved October 28, 2013.
  42. Catherine Thompson (August 5, 2013). "Texas governor race 2014: Wendy Davis: I will run for reelection or governor". Politico. Retrieved August 6, 2013.
  43. "Bill White says Texas lagging in skilled jobs". Houston Chronicle. February 28, 2013. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
  44. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 "Endorsements". David Alameel for U.S. Senate. Retrieved February 19, 2014.
  45. Swartsell, Nick (January 13, 2014). "Wendy Davis endorses David Alameel for U.S. Senate". The Dallas Morning News. Retrieved January 20, 2014.
  46. "Texpatriate endorses in US Senate Democratic primary". Texpatriate. February 13, 2014. Retrieved February 19, 2014.
  47. Overton, Ian (February 13, 2014). "Kesha Rogers Receives Endorsement from Doctors Against Murderous Obamacare". Kesha Rogers for U.S. Senate. Retrieved February 19, 2014.
  48. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 "Endorsements". Maxey Scherr for U.S. Senate. Retrieved February 19, 2014.
  49. 1 2 3 Kuffner, Charles (December 6, 2013). "Maxey Scherr kicks off her campaign". Off the Kuff. Retrieved December 8, 2013.
  50. "Burnt Orange Report Endorses Maxey Scherr for US Senate". Burnt Orange Report. February 19, 2014. Retrieved February 19, 2014.
  51. 2014 Democratic Party Primary Election Archived January 9, 2014, at the Wayback Machine.
  52. Weissert, Will (March 5, 2014). "Alameel, Rogers Advance to Texas Senate Runoff". abcnews.go.com. ABC News. Retrieved March 6, 2014.
  53. "Texas - Summary Vote Results". Associated Press. May 28, 2014. Retrieved May 29, 2014.
  54. 1 2 3 "2014 Federal Candidates". Libertarian Party of Texas. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
  55. "Texas Greens Occupy Ballot In 2014". Green Party. December 10, 2013. Retrieved January 29, 2014.
  56. "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  57. "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  58. "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  59. "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  60. Rebecca Paddock (L) 5%, Emily Marie Sanchez (G) 3%, Other 5%
  61. Rebecca Paddock (L) 4%, Emily Marie Sanchez (G) 4%
  62. Rebecca Paddock (L) 7%, Emily Marie Sanchez (G) 5%
  63. "Office of the Secretary of State 2014 General Election Election Night Returns". Texas Secretary of State. Archived from the original on November 5, 2014. Retrieved November 30, 2014.
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