Murcian regional election, 2011

Murcian regional election, 2011
22 May 2011
All 45 seats in the Regional Assembly of Murcia
23 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered 974,998 1.2%
Turnout 662,086 (67.9%)
0.1 pp

  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Ramón Luis Valcárcel Begoña García Retegui José Antonio Pujante
Party PP PSOE IU–V–RM
Leader since 5 October 1991 3 October 2010 2006
Last election 29 seats, 58.3% 15 seats, 32.0% 1 seat, 6.3%
Seats won 33 11 1
Seat change 4 4 0
Popular vote 382,871 155,506 50,988
Percentage 58.8% 23.9% 7.8%
Swing 0.5 pp 8.1 pp 1.5 pp
Constituency results map for the Regional Assembly of Murcia
President before election

Ramón Luis Valcárcel
PP

 Elected President

Ramón Luis Valcárcel
PP

The 2011 Murcian regional election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 8th Regional Assembly of the Autonomous Community of the Region of Murcia. All 45 seats in the Regional Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

The election was won by the People's Party (PP), which obtained its best result ever in the Region. With over 70% of the seats (33), it obtained thrice the number of seats of the second most voted party, the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), which plummeted to just below 24% and 11 seats. The PP had won its first election in 1995, and under Ramón Luis Valcárcel it had achieved an absolute majority of seats and votes in all elections held ever since.

All in all, the PP gained four seats from the PSOE, with United Left (IU) holding its solitary seat but gaining ground, increasing its % of the share from 6.3% to 7.8%. The 5% regional threshold prevented Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) from winning a seat as, although it polled 5.3% in District Three, its vote in the entire Murcian region was 4.5%.

Overview

Electoral system

The Regional Assembly of Murcia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Murcia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Murcian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Region.[1] Voting for the Regional Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered in the Region of Murcia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2011 required for Murcians abroad to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2]

The 45 members of the Regional Assembly of Murcia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Seats were allocated to constituencies, which were established by law as follows:

Each constituency was entitled to an initial minimum of one seat, with the remaining 40 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations.[3]

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[3][4][5]

Election date

The term of the Regional Assembly of Murcia expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Regional Assembly were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 27 May 2007, setting the election date for the Regional Assembly on Sunday, 22 May 2011.[1][3][4][5]

The President of the Region had the prerogative to dissolve the Regional Assembly of Murcia and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Regional Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 23 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Regional Assembly of Murcia.

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 22 May 2011 Regional Assembly of Murcia election results →
Parties and coalitions Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
People's Party (PP) 382,87158.79+0.49 33+4
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 155,50623.88–8.12 11–4
United Left–Greens of the Region of Murcia (IU–V–RM) 50,9887.83+1.58 1±0
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 29,2794.50New 0±0
The Greens of the Region of Murcia–Ecolo (LV–Ecolo) 7,6591.18New 0±0
Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL) 3,9300.60+0.02 0±0
Party for the Regeneration of Democracy in Spain (PRDE) 1,1770.18New 0±0
Employment Business Party (PEE) 1,0570.16New 0±0
National Democracy (DN) 8560.13–0.02 0±0
Renewed United Democratic Centre (CDUR) 8340.13New 0±0
Centre and Democracy Forum (CyD) 8240.13New 0±0
Communist Unification of Spain (UCE) 7190.11New 0±0
Nostradamus' State Reform (REN) 6210.10New 0±0
The Phalanx (FE) 4880.07New 0±0
Republican Platform-Republican Coalition (PRCR) 2200.03New 0±0
Citizens Convergence of the South-East (CCSE) 1820.03New 0±0
Blank ballots 14,0502.16+0.83
Total 651,261 45±0
Valid votes 651,26198.37–0.87
Invalid votes 10,8251.63+0.87
Votes cast / turnout 662,08667.91–0.10
Abstentions 312,91232.09+0.10
Registered voters 974,998
Sources[6][7][8]
Popular vote
PP
 
 58.79%
PSOE
 
 23.88%
IU–V–RM
 
 7.83%
UPyD
 
 4.50%
LV–Ecolo
 
 1.18%
Others
 
 1.67%
Blank ballots
 
 2.16%
Seats
PP
 
 73.33%
PSOE
 
 24.44%
IU–V–RM
 
 2.22%

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ↑ "El PP arrebataría un diputado al PSRM hasta alcanzar los 30". La Verdad (in Spanish). 14 May 2011.
  2. ↑ "La encuesta del CEMOP otorga al PP 30 escaños en la Asamblea Regional". La Verdad (in Spanish). 15 May 2011.
  3. ↑ "El PP blinda sus feudos". La Razón (in Spanish). 16 May 2011.
  4. ↑ "El PP podría recuperar la alcaldía de Palma de Mallorca". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 7 May 2011.
  5. ↑ "Los cuatro inexpugnables". La Razón (in Spanish). 25 April 2011.
  6. ↑ "Barómetro electoral autonómico" (PDF). Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 9 May 2011.
  7. ↑ "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2011. Región de Murcia (Estudio nº 2880. Marzo-Abril 2011)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 5 May 2011.
  8. ↑ "El PSOE fija su objetivo: salvar los muebles". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 6 May 2011.
  9. ↑ "El Mundo 25-27 de Abril 2011". El Mundo (in Spanish). 25 April 2011.
  10. ↑ "Valcárcel tendría dos tercios del Parlamento de Murcia (El Mundo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 25 April 2011.
  11. ↑ "El PP arrasa con Valcárcel, que amplía su hegemonía y hunde aún más al PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 8 May 2011.
  12. ↑ "Región de Murcia: PP 31 escaños, PSOE 13, IU 1 (Grupo Vocento)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 8 May 2011.
  13. ↑ "Barómetro Región de Murcia Primavera 2011". CEMOP (in Spanish). 12 April 2011.
  14. ↑ "El PP podría acaparar hasta dos tercios de la Asamblea en Murcia (El Mundo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 7 January 2011.
  15. ↑ "Barómetro de la Región de Murcia. Otoño 2010". CEMOP (in Spanish). 19 November 2010.
  16. ↑ "Caso electoral histórico en más comunidades autónomas (El Mundo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 1 June 2010.
  17. ↑ "Barómetro de la Región de Murcia. Primavera 2010". CEMOP (in Spanish). 4 June 2010.
  18. ↑ "Si hoy hubiera elecciones, el PP murciano obtendría el 60% de los votos". Consultores CSA (in Spanish). 29 November 2009.
  19. ↑ "Barómetro Región de Murcia. Otoño 2009". CEMOP (in Spanish). 28 November 2009.
  20. ↑ "Barómetro Región de Murcia. Primavera 2009". CEMOP (in Spanish). 10 May 2009.
Other
  1. 1 2 3 "Statute of Autonomy for the Region of Murcia of 1982". Organic Law No. 4 of 9 June 1982. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 22 February 2017.
  2. ↑ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. 1 2 3 "Region of Murcia Electoral Law of 1987". Law No. 2 of 24 February 1987. Official Gazette of the Region of Murcia (in Spanish). Retrieved 22 February 2017.
  4. 1 2 "General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  5. 1 2 "Representation of the people Institutional Act". juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
  6. ↑ "Regional Assembly of Murcia election, 2011". datoselecciones.com (in Spanish). Election Data. Retrieved 30 September 2017.
  7. ↑ "Regional Elections. Evolution of Turnout and Votes from the Main Political Parties". econet.carm.es (in Spanish). Regional Statistics Center of Murcia. Retrieved 30 September 2017.
  8. ↑ "Regional Assembly of Murcia elections since 1983". historiaelectoral.com (in Spanish). Electoral History. Retrieved 30 September 2017.
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