Next Extremaduran regional election

Next Extremaduran regional election
No later than 23 June 2019
(scheduled for 26 May 2019)[1]
All 65 seats in the Assembly of Extremadura
33 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls

 
Leader Guillermo Fernández Vara José Antonio Monago Álvaro Jaén
Party PSOE PP Podemos
Leader since 20 September 2006 8 November 2008 14 February 2015
Leader's seat Badajoz Badajoz Cáceres
Last election 30 seats, 41.5% 28 seats, 37.0% 6 seats, 8.0%
Seats needed 3 5 27
 
Leader Victoria Domínguez
Party Cs
Leader since 5 April 2015
Leader's seat Cáceres
Last election 1 seat, 4.4%
Seats needed 32
Incumbent President

Guillermo Fernández Vara
PSOE

The next Extremaduran regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 23 June 2019, to elect the 10th Assembly of the Autonomous Community of Extremadura. All 65 seats in the Assembly will be up for election. As per convention, the election is scheduled to be held on 26 May 2019, simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.[1]

Overview

Electoral system

The Assembly of Extremadura is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Extremadura, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Extremaduran Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Regional Government.[2] Voting for the Assembly is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered in Extremadura and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Extremadurans abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[3]

The 65 members of the Assembly of Extremadura are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Alternatively, parties failing to reach the threshold in one of the constituencies would also be entitled to enter the seat distribution as long as they run candidates in both districts and reach 5 percent regionally. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Badajoz and Cáceres. Each constituency is entitled to an initial minimum of 20 seats, with the remaining 25 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations.[2][4]

The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of at least 2 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they are seeking election. Electors are barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[4][5][6]

Election date

The term of the Assembly of Extremadura expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election Decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Extremadura, with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 24 May 2019. The election Decree shall be published no later than 30 April 2019, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 23 June 2019.[2][4][5][6]

The President of the Regional Government has the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Extremadura and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process and that dissolution does not occur before one year has elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly is to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[2]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 33 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Extremadura.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead
Sigma Dos/Hoy[p 1][p 2] 14–18 May 2018 1,100 ? 40.2
28/30		 32.8
22/23		 7.1
4		 14.7
9/10		 – – – 7.6
SyM Consulting[p 3][p 4] 13–14 Mar 2018 1,430 73.2 42.3
29/31		 32.5
23/24		 6.0
4		 8.5
5/6		 4.7
2		 1.6
0		 – 9.8
Sigma Dos/Hoy[p 5][p 6] 6–13 Mar 2017 1,200 ? 40.1
27/29		 37.0
26/27		 8.8
6		 7.5
4/5		 1.6
0		 – – 3.1
2016 general election 26 Jun 2016 N/A 68.6 34.5
23		 39.9
27		 w.UP 10.5
7		 w.UP – 13.1
8		 5.4
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015 N/A 72.2 36.0
26		 34.8
24		 12.7
8		 11.4
7		 3.0
0		 0.3
0		 – 1.2
2015 regional election 24 May 2015 N/A 71.4 41.5
30		 37.0
28		 8.0
6		 4.4
1		 4.2
0		 1.5
0		 – 4.5

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ↑ "El PSOE volvería a ganar las elecciones pero se aleja de la mayoría absoluta". Hoy (in Spanish). 26 May 2018.
  2. ↑ "EXTREMADURA. Elecciones autonómicas. Encuesta SigmaDos para Hoy. Mayo 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 26 May 2018.
  3. ↑ "Estimación Marzo 2018. Extremadura. Autonómicas 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 22 March 2018.
  4. ↑ "EXTREMADURA. Elecciones autonómicas. Sondeo SyM Consulting. Marzo 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 22 March 2018.
  5. ↑ "El PSOE volvería a ganar en Extremadura, pero perdería hasta tres escaños". Sigma Dos (in Spanish). 21 March 2017.
  6. ↑ "EXTREMADURA, Marzo 2017. Sondeo SigmaDos". Electograph (in Spanish). 18 March 2017.
Other
  1. 1 2 "El 26 de mayo de 2019: elecciones europeas, autonómicas y municipales". Telecinco (in Spanish). 20 March 2018. Retrieved 31 March 2018.
  2. 1 2 3 4 "Statute of Autonomy of the Autonomous Community of Extremadura of 2011". Organic Law No. 1 of 28 January 2011. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 March 2017.
  3. ↑ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  4. 1 2 3 "Assembly of Extremadura Elections Law of 1987". Law No. 2 of 16 March 1987. Official Journal of Extremadura (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 March 2017.
  5. 1 2 "General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  6. 1 2 "Representation of the people Institutional Act". juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
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