Navarrese regional election, 2019

Navarrese regional election, 2019
26 May 2019[1]
All 50 seats in the Parliament of Navarre
26 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls

 
Leader Javier Esparza Uxue Barkos Adolfo Araiz
Party UPN GBai EH Bildu
Leader since 30 November 2014 3 October 2014 11 October 2014
Last election 15 seats, 27.4% 9 seats, 15.8% 8 seats, 14.2%
Seats needed 11 17 18
 
Leader Eduardo Santos María Chivite Ana Beltrán
Party Podemos/Ahal Dugu PSN–PSOE PP
Leader since 21 May 2017 13 December 2014 6 March 2015
Last election 7 seats, 13.7% 7 seats, 13.4% 2 seats, 3.9%
Seats needed 19 19 19
Incumbent President

Uxue Barkos
GBai

The Navarrese regional election, 2019 is scheduled to be held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Parliament of the Foral Community of Navarre. All 50 seats in the Parliament will be up for election. The election will be held simultaneously with regional elections in at least seven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.[1]

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Navarre is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the Foral Community of Navarre, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Reintegration and Enhancement of the Foral Regime of Navarre Law, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Foral Community.[2] Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered in Navarre and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Navarrese abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[3]

The 50 members of the Parliament of Navarre are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 3 percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied regionally. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution.[4]

The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in Navarre. Electors are barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[4][5][6]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Navarre expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election Decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Navarre, with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 24 May 2019. The election Decree shall be published no later than 30 April 2019, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 23 June 2019.[2][4][5][6]

The President of the Foral Community has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Navarre and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process, no nationwide election is due and some time requirements are met: namely, that dissolution does not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a three-month period from the election date, the Parliament is to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[2]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 26 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Navarre.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead
Telwind/Diario de Noticias[p 1][p 2] 3–4 Sep 2018 1,200 68.6 25.4
13/14		 19.9
10/11		 14.9
8		 10.5
5		 13.6
7		 3.0
0/1		 4.2
2		 5.4
2/3		 – 5.5
SyM Consulting[p 3][p 4] 5–6 Jun 2018 700 66.1 24.3
13/14		 15.4
8		 14.5
8		 5.3
2/3		 20.0
11		 2.4
0		 5.9
3		 7.6
4		 – 4.3
GBai[p 5] 6 Jun 2018 ? ? ?
14		 ?
9/11		 ?
8		 ?
3/5		 ?
7/8		 ?
0/1		 ?
2		 ?
3		 – ?
Gizaker/EiTB[p 6] 14–21 May 2018 600 ? 24.8
13		 19.6
11		 14.5
8		 8.5
4		 13.7
7		 1.6
0		 7.2
4		 6.4
3		 – 5.2
SyM Consulting[p 7][p 8] 8–10 Mar 2018 1,100 69.6 23.9
13/14		 17.1
9		 16.7
9		 6.0
3		 16.0
9		 2.6
0		 4.9
2		 8.6
4/5		 – 6.8
InPactos[p 9][p 10] 15–27 Jan 2018 515 70 28.0
15		 18.0
10		 15.0
8		 7.0
4		 16.0
8		 4.0
2		 4.0
2		 3.0
1		 – 10.0
UPNA/Parliament of Navarre[p 11][p 12] 25 Sep–8 Oct 2017 900 70 28.3
16		 15.3
8		 16.5
9		 11.2
6		 10.4
5		 5.3
3		 3.7
2		 3.1
1		 – 11.8
Gizaker/EiTB[p 13] 16–20 May 2017 600 ? 25.2
14		 20.5
11		 15.1
8		 12.3
7		 11.2
6		 4.0
2		 4.4
2		 – – 4.7
Telwind/Noticias[p 14][p 15] 3–9 May 2017 1,200 ? 26.7
14/15		 18.0
10		 14.8
8		 12.8
7		 11.7
6		 3.8
2		 4.5
2		 3.1
0/1		 – 8.7
UPNA/Parliament of Navarre[p 16][p 17][p 18] 12–26 Sep 2016 800 67.4 27.5
15		 15.5
8/9		 15.6
8/9		 11.7
6		 12.4
7		 5.3
3		 3.8
2		 2.6
0		 – 11.9
2016 general election 26 Jun 2016 N/A 67.4 w.PP 4.3
2		 9.4
5		 w.UP 17.3
9		 31.9
17		 w.UP 6.1
3		 28.3
15		 3.6
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015 N/A 70.9 w.PP 8.7
4		 9.9
5		 23.0
12		 15.5
8		 28.9
16		 4.1
2		 7.1
3		 – 5.9
2015 regional election 24 May 2015 N/A 68.3 27.4
15		 15.8
9		 14.2
8		 13.7
7		 13.4
7		 3.9
2		 3.7
2		 3.0
0		 – 11.6

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ↑ "Los partidos del cambio mantienen ventaja sobre el bloque conservador". Diario de Noticias (in Spanish). 16 September 2018.
  2. ↑ "Encuesta electoral prevé entrada de C's con 2-3 escaños en Parlamento Foral". Navarra Información (in Spanish). 16 September 2018.
  3. ↑ "Estimación Junio 2018. Navarra. Autonómicas 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 28 June 2018.
  4. ↑ "NAVARRA. Elecciones autonómicas. Sondeo SyM Consulting. Junio 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 28 June 2018.
  5. ↑ "Una encuesta interna de Geroa Bai refleja la dura caída de Podemos en Navarra ante unas elecciones". Navarra.com (in Spanish). 6 June 2018.
  6. ↑ "Navarra: UPN ganaría con menos escaños y la coalición gobernante ampliaría su mayoría". EiTB (in Spanish). 6 June 2018.
  7. ↑ "Estimación Marzo 2018. Navarra. Autonómicas 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 19 March 2018.
  8. ↑ "NAVARRA. Elecciones autonómicas. Sondeo SyM Consulting. Marzo 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 19 March 2018.
  9. ↑ "UPN gana, suben Geroa Bai y PSN y C's entra en el Parlamento foral". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 13 February 2018.
  10. ↑ "NAVARRA. Elecciones autonómicas. Sondeo Inpactos, Enero 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 February 2018.
  11. ↑ "Barómetro de opinión pública del Parlamento de Navarra 2017" (PDF). Departamento de Sociología Universidad Pública de Navarra (in Spanish). 20 December 2017.
  12. ↑ "II Barómetro de Opinión Pública del Parlamento de Navarra. Edición 2017" (PDF). Departamento de Sociología Universidad Pública de Navarra (in Spanish). 20 December 2017.
  13. ↑ "El Gobierno del cambio se reforzaría en Navarra y en Pamplona". EiTB (in Spanish). 4 June 2017.
  14. ↑ "Los grupos del cambio ganan terreno". Diario de Noticias (in Spanish). 28 May 2017.
  15. ↑ "Prospección electoral en unas posibles elecciones forales". Diario de Noticias (in Spanish). 28 May 2017.
  16. ↑ "Barómetro de opinión pública del Parlamento de Navarra 2016" (PDF). Departamento de Sociología Universidad Pública de Navarra (in Spanish). 6 December 2016.
  17. ↑ "I Barómetro de Opinión Pública del Parlamento de Navarra. Edición 2017" (PDF). Departamento de Sociología Universidad Pública de Navarra (in Spanish). 6 December 2016.
  18. ↑ "NAVARRA, Septiembre 2016. Sondeo UPNA (Navarrómetro)". Electograph (in Spanish). 6 December 2016.
Other
  1. 1 2 "El 26 de mayo de 2019: elecciones europeas, autonómicas y municipales". Telecinco (in Spanish). 20 March 2018. Retrieved 31 March 2018.
  2. 1 2 3 "Reintegration and Enhancement of the Foral Regime of Navarre Law of 1982". Organic Law No. 13 of 10 August 1982. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 18 June 2017.
  3. ↑ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  4. 1 2 3 "Parliament of Navarre Elections Foral Law of 1986". Law No. 16 of 17 December 1986. Official Gazette of Navarre (in Spanish). Retrieved 18 June 2017.
  5. 1 2 "General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  6. 1 2 "Representation of the people Institutional Act". juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.