Cantabrian regional election, 2019
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 35 seats in the Parliament of Cantabria 18 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
The 2019 Cantabrian regional election is scheduled to be held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of Cantabria. All 35 seats in the Parliament will be up for election. The election will be held simultaneously with regional elections in at least six other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.[1]
Overview
Electoral system
The Parliament of Cantabria is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Cantabria, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Cantabrian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Autonomous Community.[2] Voting for the Parliament is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered in Cantabria and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Cantabrians abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[3]
The 35 members of the Parliament of Cantabria will be elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied regionally. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution.[2][4]
The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in Cantabria. Electors are barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[4][5][6]
Election date
The term of the Parliament of Cantabria expires four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Parliament are fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, setting the election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 26 May 2019.[2][4][5][6]
The President of the Autonomous Community has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Cantabria and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process, no nationwide election is due and some time requirements are met: namely, that dissolution does not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament is to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances will not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remains of their four-year terms.[2]
Opinion polls
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 18 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Cantabria.
- Color key:
Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SyM Consulting[p 1][p 2] | 4–5 Jun 2018 | 781 | 65.0 | 20.9 8 |
35.2 14/15 |
22.2 8/9 |
4.2 0 |
10.8 4 |
1.8 0 |
– | 13.0 |
SyM Consulting[p 3][p 4] | 2–4 Mar 2018 | 724 | 67.2 | 30.5 11/12 |
27.8 10/11 |
14.9 5 |
5.1 2 |
15.5 6 |
1.2 0 |
– | 2.7 |
2016 general election | 26 Jun 2016 | N/A | 68.5 | 41.5 15 |
– | 23.5 9 |
w.UP | 14.4 5 |
w.UP | 17.7 6 |
18.0 |
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | N/A | 71.0 | 36.9 14 |
– | 22.4 8 |
17.9 7 |
15.2 6 |
4.4 0 |
– | 14.5 |
2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | N/A | 66.2 | 32.6 13 |
29.9 12 |
14.0 5 |
8.9 3 |
6.9 2 |
2.5 0 |
– | 2.7 |
References
- Opinion poll sources
- ↑ "Estimación oleada Cantabria Junio 2018. Autonómicas 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 25 June 2018.
- ↑ "CANTABRIA. Elecciones autonómicas. Encuesta SyM Consulting. Junio 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 25 June 2018.
- ↑ "Estimación Cantabria. Marzo 2018". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 12 March 2018.
- ↑ "CANTABRIA. Elecciones autonómicas. Sondeo SyM Consulting. Marzo 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 12 March 2018.
- Other
- 1 2 "El 26 de mayo de 2019: elecciones europeas, autonómicas y municipales". Telecinco (in Spanish). 20 March 2018. Retrieved 31 March 2018.
- 1 2 3 4 "Statute of Autonomy of Cantabria of 1981". Organic Law No. 8 of 30 December 1981. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 18 September 2017.
- ↑ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
- 1 2 3 "Parliament of Cantabria Elections Law of 1987". Law No. 5 of 27 March 1987. Official Gazette of Cantabria (in Spanish). Retrieved 18 September 2017.
- 1 2 "General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 December 2016.
- 1 2 "Representation of the people Institutional Act". juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.