2008 United States presidential election in Mississippi

The 2008 United States presidential election in Mississippi took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 6 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

2008 United States presidential election in Mississippi

November 4, 2008
 
Nominee John McCain Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Arizona Illinois
Running mate Sarah Palin Joe Biden
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 724,597 554,662
Percentage 56.17% 43.00%

County Results

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Mississippi was won by Republican nominee John McCain with a 13.2% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Although the state has the largest African American percentage in the country, Mississippi remains a safe red state at the presidential level, having voted Republican every election year since 1980. While there was comparably high African American turnout compared to previous elections in Mississippi, it was not enough to overcome the state's strong Republican leanings.

Primaries

  • Mississippi Democratic primary, 2008
  • Mississippi Republican primary, 2008

Campaign

Predictions

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

Polling

McCain won every single pre-election poll, each with at least 50% of the vote with the exception of the one of them. The final 3 polls average gave the Republican a lead of 51% to 39%.[14]

Fundraising

John McCain raised a total of $1,386,749 in the state. Barack Obama raised $768,981.[15]

Advertising and visits

Obama spent $238,401. McCain and his interest groups spent $139,999.[16] The McCain ticket visited three times. Obama's ticket visited the state once.[17]

Analysis

Mississippi is one of the most racially polarized states in presidential elections. African Americans uniformly vote Democratic while Caucasians vote Republican nearly as uniformly. In 2004, 14% of Caucasians voted for John Kerry and 10% of African Americans voted for Bush, according to exit polling.[18]

White Democrats began splitting their tickets in national elections as early as the 1940s when the national party became more friendly to the Civil Rights Movement, culminating when Barry Goldwater carried the state with a staggering 87 percent of the vote in 1964. The Republican trend accelerated in the late 1970s with the rise of the religious right. The last Democratic presidential nominee to win Mississippi was Jimmy Carter in 1976, even then, he only won it by 1.9 points. Due to its status as a safe red state, little campaigning took place in Mississippi by either of the two major party candidates. Indeed, the state was last seriously contested in 1980.

In 2008, Barack Obama was able to improve on Kerry's performance by six percent, mainly due to the higher African American turnout. Obama's main support was in the western delta counties next to the Mississippi River. In contrast, McCain's margins came from the regions bordering the Gulf Coast, the northeast Appalachian area and the Jackson and Memphis suburbs. Voting became even more polarized: nine in ten whites voted Republican, and nearly all blacks voted Democratic in Mississippi, according to exit polls.[18] As expected, McCain carried the Magnolia State by a comfortable 13.18-point margin over Obama. McCain's margin of victory, however, was less than that of George W. Bush's 19.69-point margin of victory over John Kerry in 2004.

Mississippi was also the only state to list the official candidates of the Reform Party on their ballot.[19]

At the same time, incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Thad Cochran was reelected with 61.44% of the vote over Democrat Erik Fleming who received 38.56%. Appointed U.S. Senator Roger Wicker stood for election as well in 2008 against former Democratic Governor Ronnie Musgrove. The race was expected to be much closer, but the Republicans ran ads accusing Musgrove of supporting gay rights, not a popular position in this strongly socially conservative state. Wicker defeated Musgrove by almost 10 points, 54.96%-45.04%.

Results

2008 United States presidential election in Mississippi[20]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican John McCain Sarah Palin 724,597 56.17% 6
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 554,662 43.00% 0
Independent Ralph Nader Matt Gonzalez 4,011 0.31% 0
Constitution Chuck Baldwin Darrell Castle 2,551 0.20% 0
Libertarian Bob Barr Wayne Allyn Root 2,529 0.20% 0
Green Cynthia McKinney Rosa Clemente 1,034 0.08% 0
Reform Ted Weill Frank McEnulty 481 0.04% 0
Write-ins Write-ins 74 0.01% 0
Totals 1,289,939 100.00% 6
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 61.2%

Results breakdown

By county

County Obama% Obama# McCain% McCain# Others% Others# Total
Adams58.52%7,63040.65%5,3000.84%10913,039
Alcorn27.01%3,70171.18%9,7521.80%24713,700
Amite43.74%3,32055.51%4,2140.75%577,591
Attala41.50%3,73957.82%5,2090.68%619,009
Benton47.98%2,22450.25%2,3291.77%824,635
Bolivar67.10%9,47131.79%4,4871.11%15614,114
Calhoun35.28%2,24264.01%4,0680.71%456,355
Carroll34.13%2,02765.43%3,8860.44%265,939
Chickasaw50.27%4,05348.80%3,9340.93%758,062
Choctaw35.34%1,45963.57%2,6241.09%454,128
Claiborne84.46%3,56114.99%6320.55%234,216
Clarke36.59%2,72762.78%4,6790.63%477,453
Clay58.91%6,42440.46%4,4120.62%6810,904
Coahoma73.10%6,94726.33%2,5020.57%549,503
Copiah53.00%7,64046.36%6,6830.63%9114,414
Covington40.64%3,82658.45%5,5030.91%869,415
DeSoto30.46%19,26568.79%43,5100.75%47463,249
Forrest42.75%11,62256.27%15,2960.98%26627,184
Franklin36.94%1,72262.13%2,8960.92%434,661
George16.35%1,39882.45%7,0501.20%1038,551
Greene23.56%1,36275.37%4,3581.07%625,782
Grenada44.33%4,99555.16%6,2150.51%5811,268
Hancock21.19%3,19577.03%11,6141.78%26815,077
Harrison36.57%22,17562.56%37,9270.87%52760,629
Hinds69.82%68,79429.62%29,1870.56%55298,533
Holmes81.58%6,94517.67%1,5040.75%648,513
Humphreys71.41%3,18027.91%1,2430.67%304,453
Issaquena61.38%52337.79%3220.82%7852
Itawamba20.66%1,93877.17%7,2402.17%2049,382
Jackson31.69%15,53467.24%32,9591.06%52249,015
Jasper54.68%4,47644.71%3,6600.61%508,186
Jefferson86.96%3,29511.88%4501.16%443,789
Jefferson Davis60.55%3,92438.76%2,5120.69%456,481
Jones29.87%8,08969.14%18,7261.00%27027,085
Kemper62.49%2,87636.81%1,6940.70%324,602
Lafayette43.32%7,99755.68%10,2781.00%18518,460
Lamar21.42%4,69477.42%16,9691.16%25421,917
Lauderdale40.00%13,04859.38%19,3680.61%20032,616
Lawrence36.50%2,51362.73%4,3180.77%536,884
Leake43.90%3,57555.37%4,5090.74%608,144
Lee34.20%11,76965.09%22,4030.71%24534,417
Leflore68.14%8,91431.38%4,1050.47%6213,081
Lincoln33.56%5,50565.73%10,7810.71%11616,402
Lowndes48.01%13,11051.03%13,9340.96%26227,306
Madison41.89%18,03457.56%24,7810.55%23543,050
Marion33.64%3,76465.68%7,3500.68%7611,190
Marshall58.61%9,57340.72%6,6500.67%11016,333
Monroe40.91%7,13758.27%10,1650.82%14317,445
Montgomery45.67%2,24453.68%2,6380.65%324,914
Neshoba26.19%2,58473.01%7,2050.80%799,868
Newton32.38%3,06367.00%6,3380.61%589,459
Noxubee76.33%4,97023.15%1,5070.52%346,511
Oktibbeha49.63%9,32649.60%9,3200.78%14618,792
Panola52.34%8,37047.00%7,5150.66%10615,991
Pearl River18.52%3,72780.28%16,1561.20%24220,125
Perry27.04%1,52171.82%4,0401.14%645,625
Pike51.25%7,95847.92%7,4410.82%12815,527
Pontotoc23.12%2,95175.64%9,6561.25%15912,766
Prentiss27.60%3,02070.39%7,7032.02%22110,944
Quitman67.20%2,79732.05%1,3340.74%314,162
Rankin22.79%14,23576.27%47,6450.95%59162,471
Scott42.90%4,70956.53%6,2050.56%6210,976
Sharkey68.31%1,72231.10%7840.60%152,521
Simpson39.21%4,39359.44%6,6601.36%15211,205
Smith23.94%1,82175.12%5,7150.95%727,608
Stone26.83%1,74671.62%4,6611.55%1016,508
Sunflower70.40%7,15828.52%2,9001.08%11010,168
Tallahatchie59.45%3,64639.70%2,4350.85%526,133
Tate39.02%4,95160.21%7,6390.76%9712,687
Tippah26.50%2,51471.76%6,8091.74%1659,488
Tishomingo23.26%1,94174.24%6,1952.49%2088,344
Tunica76.42%2,91722.64%8640.94%363,817
Union24.42%2,72774.34%8,3021.24%13811,167
Walthall44.22%3,42154.86%4,2440.92%717,736
Warren48.53%9,50250.84%9,9530.63%12319,578
Washington66.94%12,88432.60%6,2740.46%8819,246
Wayne38.69%3,86060.69%6,0560.62%629,978
Webster24.51%1,32174.82%4,0320.67%365,389
Wilkinson68.60%3,49830.52%1,5560.88%455,099
Winston45.38%4,60653.92%5,4730.70%7110,150
Yalobusha45.95%3,10453.35%3,6040.70%476,755
Yazoo57.16%5,72542.13%4,2190.71%7110,015

By congressional district

John McCain carried three of the state’s four congressional districts, including two districts held by Democrats.

District McCain Obama Representative
1st 61.28% 37.74% Roger Wicker (110th Congress)
Travis Childers (111th Congress)
2nd 33.57% 65.86% Bennie G. Thompson
3rd 61.08% 38.17% Chip Pickering (110th Congress)
Gregg Harper (111th Congress)
4th 67.27% 31.76% Gene Taylor

Electors

Technically the voters of Mississippi cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Mississippi is allocated 6 electors because it has 4 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 6 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 6 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[21] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 6 were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin:[22]

  1. Jim Barksdale
  2. Barry Bridgforth
  3. Fred Carl
  4. Bobby Chain
  5. Charles Doty
  6. Victor Mavar

References

  1. "D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries". Archived from the original on 2009-01-01. Retrieved 2009-12-20.
  2. Presidential | The Cook Political Report Archived May 5, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  3. Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions Archived April 22, 2009, at the Wayback Machine
  4. Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
  5. Based on Takeaway
  6. POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com
  7. RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map
  8. CQ Politics | CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008 Archived October 29, 2008, at the Wayback Machine
  9. "Electoral College Map". The New York Times. Retrieved 2010-05-26.
  10. "October 2008 CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs". CNN. Retrieved 2010-05-26.
  11. "Winning the Electoral College". Fox News. 2010-04-27.
  12. roadto270
  13. Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports™
  14. Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections
  15. "Presidential Campaign Finance". Archived from the original on 2009-03-24. Retrieved 2009-08-19.
  16. "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved 2010-05-26.
  17. "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved 2010-05-26.
  18. "CNN Election 2004". CNN. Retrieved 2009-04-06.
  19. http://reformpa.web.aplus.net/news.htm%5B%5D
  20. "Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". Retrieved 2013-01-13.
  21. "Electoral College". California Secretary of State. Archived from the original on October 30, 2008. Retrieved 2008-11-01.
  22. http://www.sos.state.ms.us/elections/2008/PDF/PRESIDENTIAL%20ELECTORS2.pdf

See also

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