Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election

This article provides a collection of statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2008 United States presidential election.

Democratic nominee
Barack Obama
Republican nominee
John McCain
Democratic Vice Presidential nominee
Joe Biden
Republican Vice Presidential nominee
Sarah Palin

Opinion polling

Alabama

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Alabama opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 27–28	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	61%	25
Capital Survey Research Center	Oct 15–21	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	54%	20
Survey USA	Oct 8–9	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	62%	27
Capital Research Center	Oct 6–7	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	54.5%	19.5
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 22	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	60%	21
Survey USA	Sept 16–17	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	64%	30
American Research Group	Sept 13–16	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	58%	22
University of South Alabama/ Press-Register	Sept 8–15	Barack Obama	25%	John McCain	52%	27
Capital Survey Research Center/ Alabama Education Association	Sept 3–9	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	55%	20
Capital Survey Research Center/ Alabama Education Association	July 29 – Aug 4	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	47%	13
Rasmussen Reports	July 31	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	58%	20

Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Alaska opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Hays Research **	Nov 2	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	58%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 28	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	57%	16
Ivan Moore Research	Oct 17–19	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	53%	11
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Oct 14–16	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	57%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 6	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	55%	15
Fairleigh Dickinson University	Sept 17–21	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%	18
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Sept 15–17	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	55%	17
American Research Group	Sept 9-11	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 9	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	64%	31
American Viewpoint **	Sept 2	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	57%	24
Ivan Moore Research	Aug 30- Sept 2	Barack Obama	34.9%	John McCain	53.5%	18.6
Hays Research Group **	Aug 6–7	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	40%	5
Rasmussen Reports	July 30	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	48%	6
Ivan Moore Research	July 18–22	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Rasmussen Reports	July 17	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%	5
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	July 14–16	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	51%	10

Arizona

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Arizona opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
American Research Group	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	50%	4
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
NBC News/Mason Dixon	Oct 27–28	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23–28	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	53%	7
Northern Arizona University/ University of Washington	Oct 18–27	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	49%	8
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 26	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%	5
Arizona State University/ Cronkite/Eight	Oct 23–26	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%	2
Myers Research/Grove Insight/ Project New West **	Oct 23–25	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	44%	4
Zimmerman & Associates/ Marketing Intelligence **	Oct 16–18	Barack Obama	41.5%	John McCain	43.5%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 29	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	59%	21
Arizona State University/ Cronkite/Eight	Sept 25–28	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	45%	7
American Research Group	Sept 11–14	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	56%	17
Walter Cronkite School/ Channel 8 (KAET)	Aug 20	Barack Obama	30%	John McCain	40%	10
Mason-Dixon	Aug 13–15	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	47%	6
Public Policy Polling(PPP)	July 30–31	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	52%	12
Rasmussen Reports	July 30	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	57%	19

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Arkansas opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
American Research Group	Oct 28–31	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	51%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 27	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	54%	10
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 21–22	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	52%	11
University of Arkansas	Oct 1–21	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	51%	15
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 22	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	51%	9
American Research Group	Sept 20–22	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	53%	12
Rasmussen Reports	July 17	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	52%	13

California

55 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

California opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 29–31	Barack Obama	60%	John McCain	36%	24
Field Poll	Oct 18–28	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	33%	22
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 25	Barack Obama	61%	John McCain	34%	27
Public Policy Institute of California	Oct 12–19	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	33%	23
Survey USA	Oct 15–16	Barack Obama	59%	John McCain	35%	24
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 9	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	40%	16
Survey USA	Oct 4–5	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
Survey USA	Sept 23–24	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 22	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%	17
American Research Group	Sept 18–20	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
Public Policy Institute of California	Sept 9–16	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	40%	10
Field Research Corporation	Sept 5–14	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	36%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 21	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	41%	13
Public Policy Institute of California	Aug 12–19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	39%	9
Rasmussen Reports	July 24	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Public Policy Institute of California	July 8–22	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	35%	15
Field Research Corporation	July 8–14	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	30%	24
Zogby International *	June 11–30	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	32%	20
Rasmussen Reports	June 23	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	30%	28

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Colorado opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
Rasmussen/Fox News	Nov 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
American Research Group	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
Public Policy Polling	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	44%	10
Denver Post/Mason-Dixon	Oct 28–29	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Marist College	Oct 27–28	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23–28	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	45%	8
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Oct 23–27	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Politico/InsiderAdvantage	Oct 26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	45%	8
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22–26	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Rocky Mountain News/ CBS4 News/ Public Opinion Strategies	Oct 21–23	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	40%	12
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 20	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 19	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 16	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 11–14	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Suffolk University	Oct 10–13	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	Oct 8–12	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%	9
Public Policy Polling	Oct 8–10	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 6	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Rasmussen Reports Fox News	Oct 5	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Mason Dixon/Denver Post	Sept 29 – Oct 1	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	44%	0
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 28	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
American Research Group	Sept 23–25	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Insider Advantage/ Poll Position	Sept 23	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
CNN/Time Magazine	Sept 21–23	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Ciruli Associates/ Economic Development Council of Colorado	Sept 19–23	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%	1
Public Policy Polling	Sept 20–21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	Sept 14–21	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Insider Advantage/ Poll Position	Sept 17	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Sept 11–15	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	44%	1
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 14	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
American Research Group	Sept 10–13	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%	2
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 10	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
Public Policy Polling	Sept 9	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 7	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
Tarrance Group **	Sept 2–3	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 24–26	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1
Hill Research Consultants **	Aug 23–24	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	40%	3
Suffolk University	Aug 21–24	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	39%	5
Quinnipiac University	Aug 15–21	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1	Ralph Nader	2%
Quinnipiac University	Aug 15–21	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%		Other	8%
Mason Dixon	Aug 13–15	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	43%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 13	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Rocky Mtn News/CBS4	Aug 11–13	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	44%		Bob Barr	3%
						3	Ralph Nader	2%
							Other	2%
Public Policy Polling	Aug 5–7	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
FrederickPolls	July 16–22	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	41%	4
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	July 14–22	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%	2	Other	3%
Rasmussen Reports	July 21	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Public Policy Polling	July 9–10	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Zogby International *	June 11–30	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	38%		Bob Barr	8%
						2	Ralph Nader	2%
							Other	4%

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Connecticut opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Hartford Courant/ University of Connecticut	Oct 18–22	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	31%	25
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 14	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%	17
Survey USA	Sept 24–25	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	38%	16
American Research Group	Sept 17–19	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 16	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Rasmussen Reports	July 31	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	36%	15
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	June 30 – July 2	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	35%	22
Rasmussen Reports	July 1	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	35%	17

Delaware

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Delaware opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 27–28	Barack Obama	63%	John McCain	33%	30
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 10	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	41%	15
West Chester University	Oct 6–8	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%	17
Survey USA	Sept 22–23	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	37%	20
Fairleigh Dickinson University	Sept 17–21	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	36%	20
American Research Group	Sept 13–15	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 13	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	43%	12

District of Columbia

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

District of Columbia opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
American Research Group	Sept 11–13	Barack Obama	82%	John McCain	13%	69

Florida

27 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Florida opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
SurveyUSA	Oct 31 – Nov 3	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31 – Nov 3	Barack Obama	49.25%	John McCain	48%	1.2
Datamar Inc.	Nov 1–2	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48.2%	1.2
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	50%	1
Strategic Vision	Oct 31 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	48%	2
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	47.5%	John McCain	46.2%	1.3
Quinnipiac University	Oct 27 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
American Research Group	Oct 29–31	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Datamar Inc.	Oct 29–30	Barack Obama	46.7%	John McCain	46.7%	0
Mason-Dixon	Oct 29–30	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23–28	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Los Angeles Times/ Bloomberg	Oct 25–27	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%	7
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Oct 23–27	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	44%	1
Suffolk University	Oct 26	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Datamar Inc.	Oct 25–26	Barack Obama	49.2%	John McCain	44.4%	4.8
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23–26	Barack Obama	47.2%	John McCain	46.9%	0.3
Quinnipiac University	Oct 22–26	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22–26	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	43%	2
Politico/ InsiderAdvantage	Oct 22	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Strategic Vision	Oct 20–22	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
St. Petersburg Times/ Bay News 9/ Miami Herald	Oct 20–22	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 20–21	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
Quinnipiac University	Oct 16–21	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Rasmussen Reports/	Oct 19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Public Policy Polling	Oct 16–19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
SurveyUSA	Oct 16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Research 2000 Times-Union South Florida Sun Sentinel	Oct 13–15	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 11–14	Barack obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 13	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Rasmussen Reports Fox News	Oct 12	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 8	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Strategic Vision	Oct 6–8	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Research 2000	Oct 6–8	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 4–6	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 5	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 30	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 28–30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Suffolk University/WSVN	Sept 27–30	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	42%	4
Quinnipiac University	Sept 27–29	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
Rasmussen Reports/	Sept 28	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Public Policy Polling	Sept 27–28	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
SurveyUSA	Sept 27–28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
American Research Group	Sept 23–25	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 24	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
Strategic Vision	Sept 20–22	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 21	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%	5
NBC/Mason Dixon	Sept 16–18	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Florida Times-Union/ South Florida Sun-Sentinel/ Research 2000	Sept 15–18	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
SurveyUSA	Sept 16–17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%	6
American Research Group	Sept 14–17	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%	0
Miami Herald/ St. Petersberg Times/ Schroth, Eldon & Associates/ The Polling Company	Sept 14–17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 14–16	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Sept 11–15	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	44%	0
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 14	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%	5
Insider Advantage/ Poll Position	Sept 10	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	50%	8
Quinnipiac University	Sept 5–9	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%	7

Georgia

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Georgia opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Nov 2	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
Strategic Vision	Oct 31 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	50%	4
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	50%	2
SurveyUSA/ 13WAMZ	Oct 30 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	52%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 30	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	52%	5
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23–28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	52%	5
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 27	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 23	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 22–23	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	49%	6
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 22	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%	5
Strategic Vision	Oct 20–22	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%	6
Democracy Corps/ Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner **	Oct 16–19	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%	2
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 14–15	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	49%	6
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 11–14	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%	6
SurveyUSA	Oct 12	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	51%	8
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 9	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 7	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	54%	9
Strategic Vision	Oct 5–7	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%	7
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 29 – Oct 1	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%	7
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 30	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%	6
SurveyUSA	Sept 28–29	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8
American Research Group	Sept 18–21	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	57%	18
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 18	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	54%	11
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 17	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	51%	8
SurveyUSA	Sept 14–16	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	57%	16
Public Opinion Strategies	Sept 9-11	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	56%	21
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 10	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	56%	18
Strategic Vision	Sept 7–9	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	52%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 14	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	53%	9
Rasmussen Reports	July 17	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	53%	11
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position/ Majority Opinion Research	July 2	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%	2

Hawaii

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Hawaii opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	68%	John McCain	27%	41
American Research Group	Sept 7–12	Barack Obama	63%	John McCain	32%	31
Survey USA	Feb 26–29	Barack Obama	61%	John McCain	31%	30

Idaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Idaho opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Harstead Strategic Research	Oct 19–22	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	55%	23
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 16–17	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	62%	29
American Research Group	Sept 8–10	Barack Obama	25%	John McCain	68%	43
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 9	Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	68%	39
Greg Smith & Associates	Aug 18–22	Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	52%	23
Research 2000/Daily Kos	July 28–30	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	53%	16

Illinois

21 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Illinois opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 1	Barack Obama	60%	John McCain	38%	22
Research 2000	Oct 20–23	Barack Obama	59%	John McCain	35%	24
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19–22	Barack Obama	61%	John McCain	32%	29
Chicago Tribune	Oct 16–18	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	32%	24
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 13	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%	17
St Louis Post-Dispatch/ Research 2000	Sept 15–18	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	36%	20
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 17	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	40%	16
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14–17	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	37%	16
American Research Group	Sept 13–16	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 12	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Rasmussen Reports	July 8	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%	11

Indiana

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Indiana opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31 – Nov 3	Barack Obama	45.1%	John McCain	50.4%	5.3
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	43.9%	John McCain	49.1%	5.2
American Research Group	Oct 28–31	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
SurveyUSA/ Mike Downs Center	Oct 27–30	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 28–29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Indianapolis Star/WTHR/ Selzer & Co.	Oct 26–28	Barack Obama	45.9%	John McCain	45.3%	0.6
Research 2000/WISH-TV	Oct 24–28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23–26	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50.2%	6.2
Research 2000/ South Bend Tribune/ WSBT-TV	Oct 23–25	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Howey/Gauge	Oct 23–25	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%	2
Survey USA	Oct 21–22	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19–22	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Public Policy Polling	Oct 18–19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 7	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%	7
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 3–6	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%	5
Research 2000/WISH-TV	Sept 29 – Oct 3	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%	0
Research 2000	Sept 28–29	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
Survey USA	Sept 28–29	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 17–18	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
American Research Group	Sept 14–18	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14–17	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%	4
Indianapolis Star/WTHR/ Selzer & Co.	Sept 14–16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	44%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 14–16	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%	6
Howey/Gauge	Aug 29–30	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	45%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 19–21	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	49%	6
Survey USA	Aug 16–18	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%	6

Iowa

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Iowa opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Des Moines Register/ Selzer & Co.	Oct 28–31	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	37%	17
SurveyUSA	Oct 28–29	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Research 2000/ KCCI-TV	Oct 27–29	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
Marist College	Oct 23–24	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 23	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 22–23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%	11
Quad City Times/ Research 2000	Oct 19–22	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19–22	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	39%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 8–9	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	41%	13
Research 2000/ KCCI-TV	Sept 29–30	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 25	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
Marist College	Sept 18–21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
American Research Group	Sept 17–20	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
SurveyUSA	Sept 17–18	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	43%	11
Quad-City Times/ Lee Enterprises	Sept 15–17	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14–17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
Des Moines Register/ Selzer & Co.	Sept 8–10	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	40%	12
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 31 – Sept 2	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Hawkeye Poll	Aug 13	Barack Obama	49.5%	John McCain	43.1%	6.4
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 7	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Rasmussen Reports	July 10	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Kansas opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
SurveyUSA	Oct 27–28	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	58%	21
SurveyUSA	Oct 21–22	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	53%	12
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 13	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	54%	13
SurveyUSA	Sept 21–22	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	53%	12
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 18	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	58%	20
American Research Group	Sept 7–10	Barack Obama	31%	John McCain	63%	32
SurveyUSA	Aug 18–20	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	58%	23
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 11	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	55%	14
Rasmussen Reports	July 14	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	58%	23

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Kentucky opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Nov 1	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	56%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 29	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	51%	9
Louisville Courier-Journal/ Mason-Dixon	Oct 27–29	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	55%	12
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 27–29	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	56%	17
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 21	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8
Research 2000/ Lexington Herald-Leader/ WKYT-TV	Oct 19–21	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%	16
Survey USA	Oct 18–20	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	54%	13
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 15–16	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	53%	14
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 30	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	52%	10
Louisville Courier-Journal/ Mason-Dixon	Sept 22–25	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	53%	8
Survey USA	Sept 21–22	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	57%	19
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 15–17	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%	18
American Research Group	Sept 8–12	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	57%	20
Survey USA	Aug 9-11	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%	18
Research 2000/Daily Kos	July 28–30	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	56%	21
Rasmussen Reports	July 29	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	52%	9

Louisiana

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Louisiana opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Loyola University/ WAFB 9News	Oct 24–26	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	43%	3
SE Louisiana University	Oct 20–23	Barack Obama	38.3%	John McCain	50.6%	12.3
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 21	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	57%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 25	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	55%	15
American Research Group	Sept 9–12	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 17	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	57%	18
Rasmussen Reports	July 9	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	56%	19

Maine

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Maine opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 1	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	43%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 19–20	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Critical Insights	Oct 16–19	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	35%	21
Pan Atlantic SMS	Oct 13–16	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%	12
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 14–15	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%	17
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
SurveyUSA	Sept 22–23	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 17	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
American Research Group	Sept 8–10	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Sept 8–10	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%	14
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 12	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
Rasmussen Reports	July 17	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%	8

Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Maryland opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 20	Barack Obama	60%	John McCain	37%	23
American Research Group	Sept 17–19	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies	Aug 29 – Sept 5	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%	14
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 18	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10

Massachusetts

12 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Massachusetts opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 28	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%	17
Survey USA	Oct 14	Barack Obama	59%	John McCain	35%	24
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 13	Barack Obama	62%	John McCain	34%	28
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	38%	20
Survey USA	Sept 22–23	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
American Research Group	Sept 20–22	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 5	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	38%	16
Suffolk University	July 31 – Aug 3	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	38%	9

Michigan

17 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Michigan opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
Selzer/Detroit Free Press/WDIV	Oct 28–31	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	37%	16
Public Policy Polling	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	42%	13
Strategic Vision	Oct 27–29	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	41%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 28	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
Detroit News/ EPIC-MRA	Oct 26–28	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	38%	12
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19–22	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	36%	22
Detroit News/ EPIC-MRA	Oct 19–22	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	37%	14
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	October 8–12	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	38%	16
Rasmussen Reports	October 8	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	40%	16
Rossman/Denno-Noor/ MIRS	October 1–4	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	39%	5	Other	~4%
Public Policy Polling	September 29- October 1	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Selzer/Detroit Free Press/ WDIV	September 22–24	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	38%	13
Strategic Vision	September 22–24	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	September 21–23	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%	6
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Sept 18–23	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%	0
EPIC-MRA/ Detroit News	Sept 20–22	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	38%	10
Allstate/National Journal/ FD	Sept 18–22	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%	8
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	Sept 14–21	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
American Research Group	Sept 16–19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
Marketing Resource Group of Lansing	Sept 15–19	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	46%	3
Marist College	Sept 16–17	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%	9
EPIC-MRA/ Detroit News	September 14–17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	42%	3
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14–17	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Rasmussen Reports	September 10	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
InsiderAdantagev/ Poll Position	September 10	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	45%	1
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	September 7–9	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	42%	3
Public Policy Polling	September 6–7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
Strategic Vision	September 5–7	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	44%	1
EPIC-MRA/ Detroit News	Aug 18–21	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	41%	2
Selzer/ Detroit Free Press/ WDIV	Aug 17–20[1]	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	39%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 7	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Public Policy Polling	July 23–27	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	43%	3
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	July 14–22	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	42%	4
Detroit News/ EPIC-MRA	July 13–16	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	41%	2
Rasmussen Reports	July 10	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%	8

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Minnesota opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
SurveyUSA	October 30 – Nov 1	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
Star Tribune/Princeton Survey Research Associates International	October 29–31	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	42%	11
Public Policy Polling	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	41%	16
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 27–29	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%	15
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 28	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	43%	12
NBC News/Mason Dixon	Oct 27–28	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	40%	8
University of Minnesota/ Minnesota Public Radio News	Oct 24–28	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	37%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 22	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	41%	15
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19–22	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	38%	19
St. Cloud State University	Oct 14–22	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	37%	5
National Journal/FD	Oct 16–20	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	40%	10
SurveyUSA	October 16–18	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%	6
Star Tribune/Princeton Survey Research Associates International	October 16–17	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%	11
Research 2000/Daily Kos	October 15–16	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	39%	13
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	October 8–12	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 7	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
American Research Group	Oct 4–7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
Minnesota Public Radio News/Humphrey Institute	Oct 3–5	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	40%	14
Star Tribune/ Princeton Survey Research Associates International	Sept 30- October 2	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	37%	18
SurveyUSA	Sept 30- October 1	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1
Minnesota Public Radio News/Humphrey Institute	Sept 29- October 1	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 28–30	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	43%	11
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	Sept 14–21	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
American Research Group	Sept 18–20	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 18	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14–17	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Star Tribune Minnesota/ Princeton Survey Research Associates International	Sept 10–12	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
Survey USA	Sept 10–11	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 31- September 2	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Minnesota Public Radio/ University of Minnesota	Aug 7–17	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	38%	10
Survey USA	Aug 13–14	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 13	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Rasmussen Reports	July 22	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	39%	13
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	July 14–22	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%	2
Rasmussen Reports	July 10	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	37%	17

Mississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Mississippi opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Oct 27–29	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	53%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 27	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	53%	8
Press-Register/ University of South Alabama	Oct 13–23	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	46%	13
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Oct 14–15	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	50%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 30	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8
American Research Group	Sept 13–16	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%	16
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Sept 8–10	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%	18
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 21	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	56%	13
Rasmussen Reports	July 28	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	54%	12
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	July 21–23	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	51%	9

Missouri

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Missouri opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31 – Nov 3	Barack Obama	48.8%	John McCain	48.8%	0
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	49%	0
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	49.4%	John McCain	48.6%	0.8
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	47.4%	John McCain	45.7%	1.7
Survey USA	Oct 30 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
American Research Group	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Politico/ Insider Advantage	Oct 29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	50%	3
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 28–29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23–28	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	50%	2
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Survey USA	Oct 25–26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23–26	Barack Obama	48.2%	John McCain	45.7%	2.5
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 22–23	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
Research 2000/ Post-Dispatch	Oct 20–23	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 19	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Suffolk University	Oct 17–19	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	45%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 15	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 11–14	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 12	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Public Policy Polling	Oct 11–12	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
SurveyUSA	Oct 10–12	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
American Research Group	Oct 4–6	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 5	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 28–30	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
Survey USA	Sept 23–24	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
St Louis Post-Dispatch/ Research 2000	Sept 22–24	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
St Louis Post-Dispatch/ Research 2000	Sept 15–18	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%	4
American Research Group	Sept 11–15	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	50%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 11	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%	5
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 7–9	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
Public Policy Polling	Aug 13–17	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	50%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 7	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%	6
Survey USA	July 29–31	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%	5
Research 2000/ St. Louis Post Dispatch	July 7–10	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%	5
Rasmussen Reports	July 7	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	47%	5
Public Policy Polling	July 2–5	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3

Montana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Montana opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Other	%
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1	Ron Paul	4%
American Research Group	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	50%	4
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 23–25	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
Montana State University	Oct 16–20	Barack Obama	44.4%	John McCain	40.2%	4.2	Ron Paul^‡	4.2%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 15–16	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%	4
American Research Group	Oct 6–8	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	50%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 1	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 22–24	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	52%	13
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 21–23	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	49%	9	Bob Barr	1%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 21–23	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	49%		Ralph Nader	1%
American Research Group	Sept 7–9	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 8	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	53%	11
Rasmussen Reports	July 31	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0

‡ Ron Paul replaced Chuck Baldwin on the ballot in Montana.

Nebraska

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Nebraska opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 30	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	56%	19
American Research Group	Sept 12–17	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	60%	26
Rasmussen Reports	July 28	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	55%	19
Rasmussen Reports	June 23	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	52%	16

Nevada

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Nevada opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31 – Nov 3	Barack Obama	53.2%	John McCain	42.4%	10.8
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	50.7%	John McCain	42.9%	7.8
Las Vegas Review-Journal/ Mason-Dixon	Oct 28–29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Reno Gazette-Journal/ Channel 2	Oct 23–28	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	5
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23–28	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 27	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Suffolk University	Oct 23–26	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	40%	10
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23–26	Barack Obama	48.2%	John McCain	44%	4.2
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22–26	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	40%	12
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 19–21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
Politico/ InsiderAdvantage	Oct 20	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 16	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	5
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 13	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
Las Vegas Review-Journal/ Mason-Dixon	Oct 8–9	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 6	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
Reno Gazette-Journal/ Channel 2 News/ Research 2000	Oct 3–6	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 30	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 28–30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
American Research Group	Sept 27–29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Suffolk University	Sept 17–21	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
Project New West/ Myers Research/ Grove Insight **	Sept 14–19	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
American Research Group	Sept 12–14	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 11	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 10	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 24–26	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Research 2000/ Reno Gazette-Journal/KTVN	Aug 18–20	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%	1
Mason-Dixon/ Las Vegas Review Journal	Aug 13–15	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	46%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 11	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Rasmussen Reports	July 16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

New Hampshire opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
SurveyUSA	Oct 29–30	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	42%	11
Univ. of New Hampshire/ WMUR	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
American Research Group	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	41%	15
Concord Monitor/ Research 2000	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Suffolk University	Oct 27–29	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
Strategic Vision	Oct 27–29	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Univ. of New Hampshire/ WMUR	Oct 25–27	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	33%	25
Univ. of New Hampshire/ WMUR	Oct 24–26	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22–26	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	37%	18
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 23–25	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	39%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 23	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Marist College	Oct 22–23	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	5
University of New Hampshire/ Boston Globe	Oct 18–22	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Concord Mintor/ Research 2000	Oct 17–19	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%	7
American Research Group	Oct 6–8	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%	9
CNN/Time Magazin/ Opinion Research	Oct 3–6	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	45%	8
Survey USA	Oct 4–5	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 1	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
St. Anselm/SRBI	Sept 25–30	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	37%	12
Concord Monitor/ Research 2000	Sept 22–24	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Strategic Vision	Sept 22–24	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%	1
Suffolk University	Sept 20–24	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Sept 18–22	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%	1
Marist College	Sept 17–21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
University of New Hampshire	Sept 14–21	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%	2
American Research Group	Sept 13–15	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3	Others	1%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 9	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 20	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
American Research Group	Aug 18–20	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%	1
Rasmussen Reports	July 23	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
American Research Group	July 19–21	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
University of New Hampshire	July 11–20	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	43%	3

New Jersey

15 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

New Jersey opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 2	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	42%	15
Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey	Oct 29–31	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	34%	21
SurveyUSA	Oct 29–30	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Fairleigh Dickinson University	Oct 23–29	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	35%	18
The Record/Research 2000	Oct 26–28	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	38%	16
Strategic Vision	Oct 24–26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%	15
Marist College	Oct 20–21	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%	17
Quinnipiac University	Oct 16–19	Barack Obama	59%	John McCain	36%	23
Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey	Oct 15–18	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%	17
SurveyUSA	Oct 12	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 7	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%	8
Fairleigh Dickinson University	Sept 29- October 5	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	37%	13
SurveyUSA	Sept 27–28	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Strategic Vision	Sept 26–28	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	39%	9
American Research Group	Sept 19–21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	42%	9
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 16	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	42%	13
Strategic Vision	Sept 14–16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey	Sept 11–14	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%	8
Quinnipiac University	Sept 10–14	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
The Record/ Research 2000	Sept 9-11	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Marist College	Sept 5–8	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Fairleigh Dickinson University	Sept 4–7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	41%	6
Quinnipiac University	Aug 4–10	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 4	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey	July 17–21	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	36%	14
Strategic Vision	July 11–13	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	38%	9
Rasmussen Reports	July 7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	44%	3

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

New Mexico opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
SurveyUSA	Oct 29–31	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
Albuquerque Journal/ Research & Polling	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
Public Policy Polling	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	41%	17
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 28	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	44%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 13	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	42%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 12–13	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
Albuquerque Journal/ Research & Polling	Sept 29- October 2	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	40%	5	Ralph Nader	1%
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 1	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
SurveyUSA	Sept 29–30	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Public Policy Polling	Sept 17–19	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	42%	11
SurveyUSA	Sept 14–16	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
American Research Group	Sept 14–16	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Allstate/National Journal/ FD	Sept 11–15	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 8	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 24–26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 20	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Mason-Dixon	Aug 13–15	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	45%	4
Rasmussen Reports	July 24	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%	6

New York

31 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

New York opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 27–28	Barack Obama	62%	John McCain	33%	29
Marist College	Oct 21–22	Barack Obama	65%	John McCain	29%	36
Siena College	Oct 19–21	Barack Obama	62%	John McCain	31%	31
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 14	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	37%	20
Survey USA	Oct 11–12	Barack Obama	64%	John McCain	31%	33
Survey USA	Sept 23–24	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	38%	19
American Research Group	Sept 14–16	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%	17
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 15	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	42%	13
Siena College	Sept 8–10	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	41%	5
Siena College	Aug 11–14	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%	8
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 4	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	36%	19
Quinnipiac University	July 31 – Aug 4	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	36%	21
Siena College	July 17–29	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	26%	18
Siena College	July 7–10	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	37%	13

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

North Carolina opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
American Research Group	Oct 31 – Nov 3	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31 – Nov 3	Barack Obama	49.5%	John McCain	49.1%	0.4
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	50%	1
Survey USA	Oct 30 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	49%	1
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	47.7%	John McCain	49.3%	1.6
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 29	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	48%	2
Politico/ Insider Advantage	Oct 29	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 28–29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Civitas Institute/ TelOpinion	Oct 27–29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23–28	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Oct 23–27	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Public Policy Polling	Oct 25–26	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23–26	Barack Obama	49.7%	John McCain	46.4%	3.3
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22–26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 23–25	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 23	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	50%	2
WSOC-TV	Oct 20–21	Barack Obama	48.4%	John McCain	46.4%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 19–21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
InsiderAdvantage/ Politico	Oct 20	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
SurveyUSA/WTVD-TV	Oct 18–20	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Civitas Institute/ TelOpinion	Oct 18–20	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 19	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	48%	3
Public Policy Polling	Oct 18–19	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Winthrop University/ETV	Sept 28- October 19	Barack Obama	44.6%	John McCain	44.2%	0.4
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Oct 14–15	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%	2
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 13	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 12	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Public Policy Polling	Oct 11–12	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 8	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
Civitas/TelOpinion	Oct 6–8	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%	5
WSOC-TV	Oct 6–7	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47.8%	1.8
SurveyUSA	Oct 5–6	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 3–6	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	49%	0
Public Policy Polling	Oct 4–5	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%	6
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 30	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
American Research Group	Sept 27–29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Public Policy Polling	28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	20	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
Public Policy Polling	Sept 17–19	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%	0
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 18	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	50%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 14–16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
American Research Group	Sept 13–16	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	52%	11
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Sept 8–10	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	55%	17
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	Sept 6–10	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Public Policy Polling	Sept 9	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
SurveyUSA	Sept 6–8	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	58%	20
Garin Hart Yang	Sept 5–7	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Democracy Corps/ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner	Aug 20–26	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Public Policy Polling	Aug 23	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	45%	3
InsiderAdvantage	Aug 19	Barack Obama	42.8%	John McCain	44.5%	1.7
Zogby International *	Aug 15–19	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%	8
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	Aug 14–17	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	46%	6
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 13	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%	6
Survey USA	Aug 9-11	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%	4
Research 2000/Daily Kos	July 28–30	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%	4
Public Policy Polling	July 23–27	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	July 14–16	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	43%	3
Rasmussen Reports	July 15	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Survey USA	July 12–14	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	50%	5

North Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

North Dakota opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28–29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 14–15	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
The Bismarck Tribune	Oct 13–14	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	41%	3
Minnesota State University/ Fargo Forum	Oct 6–8	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	43%	2
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 16–17	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	53%	13
American Research Group	Sept 15–17	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	52%	9
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 8	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	55%	14
North Dakota United Transportation Union/ DFM Research **	Aug 23–27	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	40%	3
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	July 21–23	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	45%	3
Rasmussen Reports	July 8	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1

Ohio

20 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Ohio opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31 – Nov 3	Barack Obama	49.4%	John McCain	47.4%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	49%	0
Strategic Vision	Oct 31 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	48%	2
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	50.2%	John McCain	43.9%	6.3
SurveyUSA	Oct 30 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
University of Cincinnati	Oct 29 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	51.5%	John McCain	45.7%	5.8
Quinnipiac University	Oct 27 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%	7
Columbus Dispatch	Oct 22–31	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
Mason-Dixon	Oct 28–29	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23–28	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
SurveyUSA	Oct 26–27	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Los Angeles Times/ Bloomberg	Oct 25–27	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%	9
Allstate/National Journal/ FD	Oct 23–27	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	41%	7
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Marist College	Oct 24–26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23–26	Barack Obama	49.7%	John McCain	45.1%	4.6
Quinnipiac University	Oct 22–26	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	42%	9
AP/GfK	Oct 22–26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	41%	7
Public Policy Polling	Oct 21–23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Ohio University	Oct 12–23	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	41%	16
Politico/ InsiderAdvantage	Oct 22	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Strategic Vision	Oct 20–22	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19–22	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
University of Cincinnati/ Ohio News Organization	Oct 18–22	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 19–21	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Quinnipiac University	Oct 16–21	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%	14
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 19	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Suffolk University	Oct 16–19	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	42%	9
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 16–17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 14	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	49%	0
SurveyUSA	Oct 12–13	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	5
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 12	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
InsiderAdvantage/ PollPosition	Oct 9	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Strategic Vision	Oct 6–8	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
Marist College	Oct 5–8	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
University of Cincinnati/ Ohio News Organization	Oct 4–8	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
American Research Group	Oct 4–7	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 3–6	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 5	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
Public Policy Polling	Oct 4–5	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%	6
ABC News/ Washington Post	Oct 3–5	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Columbus Dispatch	Sept 24 – Oct 4	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Democracy Corps/ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner **	Sept 29 – Oct 1	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%	6
Insider Advantage/ PollPosition	Sept 29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
SurveyUSA	Sept 28–29	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Quinnipiac University	Sept 27–29	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%	8
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 22	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%	0
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 21	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	50%	4
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14–17	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%	1
University of Cincinnati/ Ohio News Organization	Sept 12–16	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	48%	6
Marist College	Sept 11–15	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Allstate/National Journal/ FD	Sept 11–15	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	42%	1
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 14	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 13–14	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
Public Policy Polling	Sept 13–14	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
SurveyUSA	Sept 12–14	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%	4
American Research Group	Sept 10–13	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%	6
Suffolk University	Sept 10–13	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	46%	4
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 10	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
University of Cincinnati	Sept 5–10	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4	Other	5%
Strategic Version	Sept 7–9	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
Quinnipiac University	Sept 5–9	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 7	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	51%	7
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 31 – Sept 2	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Quinnipiac University	Aug 17–24	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%	1
The Columbus Dispatch	Aug 12–21	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	42%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 20	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	48%	5
Public Policy Polling	Aug 12–14	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
Quinnipiac University	July 23–29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%	2
Rasmussen Reports	July 21	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	52%	10
Public Policy Polling	July 17–20	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	40%	8

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Oklahoma opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
SurveyUSA	Oct 28–29	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	63%	29
TVPoll.com	Oct 24–26	Barack Obama	34.8%	John McCain	61.8%	27
SurveyUSA/KFOR-TV	Oct 18–19	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	59%	24
TVPoll.com	Oct 10–12	Barack Obama	31.9%	John McCain	63.0%	31.1
TVPoll.com	Oct 4–5	Barack Obama	29.1%	John McCain	65.5%	36.4
SurveyUSA	Sept 28–29	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	64%	30
TVPoll.com	Sept 26–28	Barack Obama	26.5%	John McCain	67.6%	41.1
TVPoll.com	Sept 20–22	Barack Obama	26.2%	John McCain	65.8%	39.6
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 16–18	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	59%	23
American Research Group	Sept 15–18	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	61%	27
TVPoll.com	Sept 14	Barack Obama	26.9%	John McCain	69.1%	42.2
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 11	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	63%	31
TVPoll.com	Sept 7	Barack Obama	27.9%	John McCain	65.9%	38
SurveyUSA	Sept 5–7	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	65%	33
Sooner Poll/ Tulsa World	July 19–23	Barack Obama	24%	John McCain	56%	32

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Oregon opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 30	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	42%	12
SurveyUSA	Oct 29–30	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	38%	19
Public Policy Polling	Oct 28–30	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	42%	15
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 27–29	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
SurveyUSA	Oct 25–26	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	38%	19
Riley Research	Oct 10–20	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	34%	14
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Oct 14–15	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%	15
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 14	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	41%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 11–12	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	40%	17
Grove Insight **	Oct 7–9	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	39%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 9	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	43%	11
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 22–24	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
Survey USA	Sept 22–23	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%	11
American Research Group	Sept 19–22	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 15	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Portland Tribune/ Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall	Sept 11–14	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	40%	10
Hoffman Research Group **	Sept 8–9	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	39%	6
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 7	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Survey USA	Aug 2–4	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Rasmussen Reports	July 15	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%	9

Pennsylvania

21 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Pennsylvania opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
SurveyUSA	Oct 31 – Nov 3	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%	9
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31 – Nov 3	Barack Obama	51.2%	John McCain	41.4%	9.8
Strategic Vision	Oct 31 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	45%	8
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	53.7%	John McCain	40%	13.7
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 29 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
Quinnipiac University	Oct 27 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 1	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
SurveyUSA	Oct 29–31	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
American Research Group	Oct 29–31	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 27–31	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 26–30	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 28–29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Strategic Vision	Oct 27–29	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 25–29	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 27–28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23–28	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	43%	12
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 27	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	46%	7
Marist College	Oct 26–27	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	41%	14
Politico/ InsiderAdvantage	Oct 26	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	42%	9
Quinnipiac University	Oct 22–26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22–26	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	40%	12
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 22–26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
Franklin & Marshall College	Oct 21–26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
Temple University	Oct 20–26	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 19–23	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	40%	12
Strategic Vision	Oct 20–22	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%	7
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19–22	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%	11
SurveyUSA	Oct 21	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Quinnipiac University	Oct 16–21	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
National Journal/FD	Oct 16–20	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 15–19	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Susquehanna Polling and Research/ Pittsburgh Tribune-Review	Oct 16–18	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	40%	8
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 11–15	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	37%	16
SurveyUSA	Oct 11–13	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Marist College	Oct 5–8	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Strategic Vision	Oct 5–7	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	40%	14
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 3–7	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	38%	12
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 6	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	41%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 5–6	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 1–5	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	38%	11
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Sept 30- October 3	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%	12
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Sept 27- October 1	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Quinnipiac University	Sept 27–29	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Sept 25–29	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%	8
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 28	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%	8
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Sept 24–28	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Franklin & Marshall	Sept 23–28	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	38%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 24	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
SurveyUSA	Sept 23–24	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%	6
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Sept 21–24	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 21–23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8	Bob Barr	1%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 21–23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%		Ralph Nader	3%
American Research Group	Sept 20–22	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Strategic Vision	Sept 20–22	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Sept 18–22	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	41%	2
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 21	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Sept 16–18	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%	2
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14–17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
Marist College	Sept 11–15	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 14	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Quinnipiac University	Sept 5–9	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 8	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Strategic Vision	Sept 5–7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 24–26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%	5
Quinnipiac University	Aug 17–24	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Susquehanna Polling & Research	Aug 11–14	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	41%	5
Franklin & Marshall College	Aug 4–10	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	41%	5
Quinnipiac University	July 23–29	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Strategic Vision	July 25–27	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%	9
Rasmussen Reports	July 23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6

Rhode Island

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Rhode Island opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rhode Island College	Sept 17–24	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	34%	13
Brown University	Sept 15–16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	34%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 13	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	39%	19
American Research Group	Sept 11–13	Barack Obama	59%	John McCain	33%	26
Brown University	Aug 18–20	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	30%	20

South Carolina

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

South Carolina opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 28–29	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8
NBC/Princeton Survey Research	Oct 25–28	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	53%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 20	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	54%	11
Winthrop University/ETV	Sept 28 – Oct 19	Barack Obama	34.9%	John McCain	55.1%	20.2
Survey USA	Oct 12–13	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	55%	14
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 22–24	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	54%	15
Survey USA	Sept 21–22	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	58%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 18	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%	6
American Research Group	Sept 14–17	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	59%	22
Research 2000/Daily Kos	July 22–23	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	53%	13
Public Policy Polling	July 9–11	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	45%	6

South Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

South Dakota opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 30	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	53%	9
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 22–24	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	50%	9
Argus Leader Media/KELO-TV	Oct 13–15	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	48%	7
American Research Group	Sept 19–21	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 9	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	54%	17
Rasmussen Reports	July 9	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%	4

Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Tennessee opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 21–22	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	54%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 16	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	54%	12
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 29	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	58%	19
Middle Tennessee State University	Sept 15–27	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	48%	12
Mason-Dixon	Sept 22–24	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%	16
American Research Group	Sept 16–19	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	59%	23
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 20	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	60%	25
Ayres, McHenry & Associates **	Aug 10–12	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	51%	15

Texas

34 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Texas opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
University of Texas	Oct 15–22	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	51%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 21	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	54%	10
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 14–15	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	52%	12
American Research Group	Oct 5–8	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	57%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 29	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	52%	9
American Research Group	Sept 13–16	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	57%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 21	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	54%	10
University of Texas	July 18–30	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	43%	10
Rasmussen Reports	July 29	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8

Utah

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Utah opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Deseret News/KSL-TV Dan Jones & Associates	Oct 24–30	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	57%	25
American Research Group	Sept 10–13	Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	65%	36
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 10	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	64%	32
Deseret News/ Dan Jones & Associates	Sept 8–11	Barack Obama	24%	John McCain	62%	38
Mason Dixon	Aug 13–15	Barack Obama	23%	John McCain	62%	39

Vermont

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Vermont opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 6	Barack Obama	65%	John McCain	32%	33
American Research Group	Sept 18–22	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	38%	18
Research 2000	Sept 14	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	36%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 13	Barack Obama	60%	John McCain	36%	24

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Virginia opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
American Research Group	Oct 31 – Nov 3	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31 – Nov 3	Barack Obama	51.7%	John McCain	45.3%	6.4
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Nov 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	50.7%	John McCain	44.6%	6.1
SurveyUSA	Oct 30 – Nov 1	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Mason-Dixon/ Richmond Times-Dispatch	Oct 29–30	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	44%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23–28	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	44%	9
Marist College	Oct 26–27	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Oct 23–27	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
SurveyUSA	Oct 25–26	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%	9
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23–26	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44.8%	7.2
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22–26	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Roanoke College	Oct 19–26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	39%	9
News/ Washington Post	Oct 22–25	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Public Policy Polling	Oct 21–23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
Virginia Commonwealth University	Oct 20–22	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%	11
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 20–21	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 19–21	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	44%	10
SurveyUSA	Oct 18–19	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Winthrop University/ETV	Sept 28 – Oct 19	Barack Obama	44.6%	John McCain	43.6%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 16	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	44%	10
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 11–14	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
Christopher Newport University	Oct 11–14	Barack Obama	49.2%	John McCain	43.2%	6
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 12	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Public Policy Polling	Oct 6–7	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 5	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	48%	2
SurveyUSA	Oct 4–5	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
Suffolk University	Oct 3–5	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%	12
Mason-Dixon/ Richmond Times-Dispatch	Sept 28 – Oct 1	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 28- 30	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	44%	9
Insider Advantage/ Poll Position	Sept 29	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
American Research Group	Sept 27–29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 28	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 25	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	5
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Sept 17- 22	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 21	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	50%	2
SurveyUSA	Sept 19- 21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
ABC News/ Washington Post	Sept 18- 21	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
American Research Group	Sept 17- 20	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
Insider Advantage/ Poll Position	Sept 17	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Sept 11–15	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	48%	7
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 14	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Public Policy Polling	Sept 13–14	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
SurveyUSA	Sept 12–14	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Christopher Newport University	Sept 10–14	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	48%	9
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 9	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	49%	6
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
SurveyUSA	Sept 5–7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Public Policy Polling	Aug 20–22	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
InsiderAdvantage/ Majority Opinion Research	Aug 12	Barack Obama	42.6%	John McCain	43.1%	0.5
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 12	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
SurveyUSA	Aug 8–10	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
Public Policy Polling	July 17–20	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%	2
Rasmussen Reports	July 16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1

Washington

11 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Washington opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Strategic Vision	Oct 31 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
SurveyUSA	Oct 30 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	40%	16
The Washington Poll/ Pacific Market Research	Oct 27–31	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%	12
SurveyUSA	Oct 26–27	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%	17
Strategic Vision	Oct 25–26	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	42%	12
The Washington Poll/ Pacific Market Research	Oct 18–26	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	34%	21
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 22	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	43%	11
Elway Poll	Oct 16–19	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	36%	19
SurveyUSA	Oct 12–13	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	40%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 2	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
SurveyUSA	Sept 21–22	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	43%	11
American Research Group	Sept 16–18	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%	14
Strategic Vision	Sept 14–16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	42%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 10	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
Elway Poll	Sept 6–8	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	37%	9
SurveyUSA	Sept 5–7	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
SurveyUSA	Aug 11–12	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 6	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	42%	12
Elway Poll	July 27–31	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	35%	12
Strategic Vision	July 25–27	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	37%	11
SurveyUSA	July 13–15	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
Moore Information	July 9–10	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	37%	10
Rasmussen Reports	July 9	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

West Virginia opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
American Research Group	Oct 31 – Nov 3	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	53%	11
Public Policy Polling	Oct 29–30	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	55%	13
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23–26	Barack Obama	40.4%	John McCain	50.3%	9.9
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Oct 22–24	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	49%	6
Wesleyan College/ The State Journal	Oct 20–21	Barack Obama	43.5%	John McCain	49.2%	5.7
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 19–21	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	53%	9
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 20	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	52%	9
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 16–17	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	47%	6
Public Policy Polling	Oct 16–17	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	50%	8
Rainmaker Media Group	Oct 14–15	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	42%	1
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 13	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
American Research Group	Oct 4–8	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%	8
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 24	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	50%	8
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 21–23	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%	5
American Research Group	Sept 14–16	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%	4
Mark Blankenship Enterprises	Sept 6–7	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	44%	5

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Wisconsin opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Strategic Vision	Oct 31 – Nov 2	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 28–29	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
Research 2000/ WISC-TV	Oct 27–28	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	42%	11
UW Badger Poll	Oct 21–28	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Strategic Vision	Oct 24–26	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19–22	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
Research 2000/ WISC-TV	Oct 20–21	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%	11
National Journal/FD	Oct 16–20	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 18–19	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 16–17	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%	12
Wisconsin Public Radio/ St Norbert College	Oct 9–17	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	38%	13
University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee	Oct 8–15	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	36%	15
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	Oct 8–12	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	37%	17
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 6	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	44%	10
Research 2000	Oct 5–6	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
SurveyUSA	Oct 5–6	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 3–6	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
Strategic Vision	Sept 22–26	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%	9
WISC-TV/Research 2000	Sept 23–24	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%	6
American Research Group	Sept 18–21	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	5
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	Sept 14–21	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14–17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	44%	1
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 14–16	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 15	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
Strategic Vision	Sept 5–7	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	43%	3
Strategic Vision	Aug 8–10	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	42%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 5	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Wisconsin Policy Research Institute	Aug 3–4	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	38%	6
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	July 14–22	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	39%	11
Rasmussen Reports	July 8	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10

Wyoming

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Wyoming opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 27–29	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	61%	25
SurveyUSA/Roll Call	Oct 18–19	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	58%	21
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 14–16	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	58%	23
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 22–24	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	57%	21
American Research Group	Sept 9-11	Barack Obama	28%	John McCain	66%	38
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 10	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	58%	19
Mason Dixon	Aug 13–15	Barack Obama	25%	John McCain	62%	37

Notes

* a scientific poll conducted via the Internet (not used in calculating results below).
** a poll commissioned by an organization affiliated with a specific candidate (not used in calculating results below).

Latest results (using latest polling when available)

This results section uses only the last polls for each state. It is for indicative purposes only, and is highly susceptible to polling errors. The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of electoral votes awarded to each state. A total of 538 electoral votes are distributed among the states and DC. Margins of 10% or more are considered "safe"; margins of 5% to 9.9% are considered "likely" and margins of 0.1% to 4.9% are considered "leaning". Margins of multiple polls concluded the same day are averaged out. Because of small sample size, it is highly volatile and should only be taken as examples.

Barack Obama − Joe Biden

Total states (28 states & D.C. − 356 electoral votes)
Safe states (19 states & D.C. − 233 electoral votes)
- California (55)
- Connecticut (7)
- Delaware (3)
- District of Columbia (3)
- Hawaii (4)
- Illinois (21)
- Iowa (7)
- Maine (4)
- Maryland (10)
- Massachusetts (12)
- Michigan (17)
- Nevada (5)
- New Hampshire (4)
- New Jersey (15)
- New York (31)
- Oregon (7)
- Rhode Island (4)
- Vermont (3)
- Washington (11)
- Wisconsin (10)
Likely states (3 states − 39 electoral votes)
- New Mexico (5)
- Pennsylvania (21)
- Virginia (13)
Leaning states (6 states − 84 electoral votes)
- Colorado (9)
- Florida (27)
- Minnesota (10)
- Montana (3)
- North Carolina (15)
- Ohio (20)

John McCain − Sarah Palin

Total states (21 states − 171 electoral votes)
Safe states (13 states − 106 electoral votes)
- Alabama (9)
- Alaska (3)
- Idaho (4)
- Kansas (6)
- Kentucky (8)
- Mississippi (6)
- Nebraska (5)
- Oklahoma (7)
- Tennessee (11)
- Texas (34)
- Utah (5)
- West Virginia (5)
- Wyoming (3)
Likely states (4 states − 28 electoral votes)
- Arkansas (6)
- Indiana (11)
- South Carolina (8)
- South Dakota (3)
Leaning states (4 states − 37 electoral votes)
- Arizona (10)
- Georgia (15)
- Louisiana (9)
- North Dakota (3)

Tied

Total states (1 state − 11 electoral votes)
- Missouri (11)

Maps of recent polling data

Map and totals updated at 11-3-08 11:10AM EST. Maps are based on a weighted average for the previous 10 polling results, and as such may be slow to show changes in countrywide opinion – click on the image to view its history. The second map is altered to convey the proportional amount of electoral votes of each state. The number of electoral votes of a given state is based on its population. Candidates must win at least 270 electoral votes to win the election, and the House of Representatives votes in the event no one qualifies.

Safe Obama – over 10% (243)	Likely Obama – over 5% (291) (48)	Leans Obama – over 1% (338) (47)	Tossup – within 1% (29)	Leans McCain – over 1% (171) (39)	Likely McCain – over 5% (132) (14)	Safe McCain – over 10% (118)
District of Columbia (3) – 69.0% Hawaii (4) – 38.3% New York (31) – 29.0% Vermont (3) – 27.4% Delaware (3) – 23.8% Illinois (21) – 22.8% California (55) – 22.7% Massachusetts (12) – 20.3% Connecticut (7) – 20.1% Maryland (10) – 18.2% Rhode Island (4) – 17.0% New Jersey (15) – 16.5% Oregon (7) – 15.4% Washington (11) – 14.6% Maine (4) – 14.0% Michigan (17) – 13.8% Iowa (7) – 13.0% New Hampshire (4) – 12.9% Minnesota (10) – 11.9% Wisconsin (10) – 11.3% New Mexico (5) – 10.1%	Pennsylvania (21) – 7.4% Colorado (9) – 7.2% Nevada (5) – 6.1% Virginia (13) – 5.6%	Ohio (20) – 4.6% Florida (27) – 3.1%	North Carolina (15) – 0.9% Obama Missouri (11) – 0.1% McCain North Dakota (3) – 0.5% McCain	Arizona (10) – 4.7% Georgia (15) – 4.1% Montana (3) – 2.5% Indiana (11) – 1.3%	Arkansas (6) – 9.7% South Dakota (3) – 9.0% West Virginia (5) – 7.9%	Oklahoma (7) – 29.3% Utah (5) – 26.2% Idaho (4) – 25.2% Wyoming (3) – 23.6% Alabama (9) – 23.4% Nebraska (5) – 20.7% Kansas (6) – 16.8% Alaska (3) – 16.7% Tennessee (11) – 15.2% Kentucky (8) – 13.7% Texas (34) – 11.9% South Carolina (8) – 11.5% Mississippi (6) – 11.0% Louisiana (9)- 10.2%

Totals

Obama leads: 338 electoral votes
McCain leads: 171 electoral votes

Election Day projection

FINAL UPDATE: 22:32, 4 November 2008 (UTC)

Data derived from Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com weighted averages and statistical polling analysis, which determines what the best guess as to what will happen on Election Day is rather than what would happen if the election were held today. (Methodology)
Each state is colored according to which candidate is currently projected to win, and both the state's total electoral votes and the winning candidate's projected margin of victory are listed.
The actual result matches this map with the exceptions that Barack Obama won Indiana and Nebraska's second congressional district.

References

"Poll: Obama Leading McCain In Mich – Politics News Story – WDIV Detroit". Clickondetroit.com. Retrieved 2008-09-05.

External links

FiveThirtyEight.com: Detailed analysis of state-by-state general election polling
Electoral-Vote.com
Pollster.com Graphic display of aggregated polls
Rasmussen Reports: Balance of Power Calculator
Real Clear Politics
Princeton Election Consortium
Survey USA
CNN's Electoral Map
American Research Group's Ballot Lead Calculator

This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.

[1] "Poll: Obama Leading McCain In Mich – Politics News Story – WDIV Detroit". Clickondetroit.com. Retrieved 2008-09-05.

Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election

Opinion polling

Alabama

Alaska

Arizona

Arkansas

California

Colorado

Connecticut

Delaware

District of Columbia

Florida

Georgia

Hawaii

Idaho

Illinois

Indiana

Iowa

Kansas

Kentucky

Louisiana

Maine

Maryland

Massachusetts

Michigan

Minnesota

Mississippi

Missouri

Montana

Nebraska

Nevada

New Hampshire

New Jersey

New Mexico

New York

North Carolina

North Dakota

Ohio

Oklahoma

Oregon

Pennsylvania

Rhode Island

South Carolina

South Dakota

Tennessee

Texas

Utah

Vermont

Virginia

Washington

West Virginia

Wisconsin

Wyoming

See also

Notes

Latest results (using latest polling when available)

Maps of recent polling data

Election Day projection

References

External links