Spanish general election, 2004

Spanish general election, 2004
14 March 2004
All 350 seats in the Congress of Deputies and 208 (of 259) seats in the Senate
176 seats needed for a majority in the Congress of Deputies
Opinion polls
Registered 34,571,831 1.8%
Turnout 26,155,436 (75.7%)
7.0 pp

  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero Mariano Rajoy Josep Antoni Duran i Lleida
Party PSOE PP CiU
Leader since 22 July 2000 2 September 2003 24 January 2004
Leader's seat Madrid Madrid Barcelona
Last election 125 seats, 34.2% 183 seats, 44.5% 15 seats, 4.2%
Seats won 164 148 10
Seat change 39 35 5
Popular vote 11,026,163 9,763,144 835,471
Percentage 42.6% 37.7% 3.2%
Swing 8.4 pp 6.8 pp 1.0 pp
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Josep-Lluís Carod-Rovira Josu Erkoreka Gaspar Llamazares
Party ERC EAJ/PNV IU
Leader since 31 January 2004 2004 29 October 2000
Leader's seat Barcelona Biscay Madrid
Last election 1 seat, 0.8% 7 seats, 1.5% 9 seats, 5.9%[lower-alpha 1]
Seats won 8 7 5
Seat change 7 0 4
Popular vote 652,196 420,980 1,284,081
Percentage 2.5% 1.6% 5.0%
Swing 1.7 pp 0.1 pp 0.9 pp
Constituency results map for the Congress of Deputies
Prime Minister before election

José María Aznar
PP

 Elected Prime Minister

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
PSOE

The 2004 Spanish general election was held on Sunday, 14 March 2004, to elect the 8th Cortes Generales of the Kingdom of Spain. All 350 seats in the Congress of Deputies were up for election, as well as 208 of 259 seats in the Senate.

For the first time since the Spanish transition to democracy, none of the three main party leaders had previously led a general election campaign. The governing People's Party (PP) was led into the campaign by Mariano Rajoy, after outgoing Prime Minister José María Aznar had announced his intention not to seek a third term in office. The opposition Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) was led by José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, while Gaspar Llamazares stood as United Left (IU) candidate.

The electoral outcome was heavily influenced by the aftermath of the 11 March 2004 Madrid train bombings. For the remaining days before the election, the PP government kept claiming evidence that the terrorist organization ETA was responsible for the bombings. However, it soon became evident that the bombings had not been authored according to ETA's modus operandi, and new evidence pointed out to an Islamist attack with possible links to al-Qaeda. The government was accused of hiding information so as to prevent linking the attack to Islamist groups, as it would have been seen by the Spanish public as a consequence of the PP government taking Spain into the unpopular Iraq War, weakening its chances to being re-elected in the incoming election. Large demonstrations were held across Spain and protests were organized in front of several PP party headquarters the day previous to the election.

In the event, the election result took many by surprise. The PP had been shown to lead all opinion polls conducted before March 11, although its lead over the PSOE had started to narrow as the campaign advanced. The PP government's handling of the 11-M bombings is thought to have accelerated this trend and to have caused a last-minute voter mobilization in favour of the PSOE as a form of protest against the PP. The Socialists ended up leading with an unexpected 5-point margin and a record 11 million votes, the most votes garnered by any party in a Spanish political election up until that date (and only surpassed by PSOE's result of 2008).

The day after the election, Zapatero announced his intention to form a minority PSOE government, without a coalition, saying in a radio interview: "the implicit mandate of the people is for us to form a minority government negotiating accords on each issue with other parliamentary groups". Two minor left-wing parties, Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) and IU, immediately announced their intention to support Zapatero's government. On April 16, 2004, Zapatero got the approval of the outright majority of the new Congress, with 183 out of 350 members voting for him, and became the Prime Minister of Spain the next day.[1]

Overview

Electoral system

The Spanish Cortes Generales were envisaged as an imperfect bicameral system. The Congress of Deputies had greater legislative power than the Senate, having the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a Prime Minister and to override Senate vetoes by an absolute majority of votes. Nonetheless, the Senate possessed a few exclusive, yet limited in number functions—such as its role in constitutional amendment—which were not subject to the Congress' override.[2][3] Voting for the Cortes Generales was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen and in full enjoyment of their political rights.[4]

For the Congress of Deputies, 348 seats were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 3 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Additionally, the use of the D'Hondt method might result in an effective threshold over three percent, depending on the district magnitude.[5] Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Spain. Each constituency was entitled to an initial minimum of two seats, with the remaining 248 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations. Ceuta and Melilla were allocated the two remaining seats, which were elected using plurality voting.[2][6][7][8]

For the Senate, 208 seats were elected using an open list partial block voting, with electors voting for individual candidates instead of parties. In constituencies electing four seats, electors could vote for up to three candidates; in those with two or three seats, for up to two candidates; and for one candidate in single-member districts. Each of the 47 peninsular provinces was allocated four seats, whereas for insular provinces, such as the Balearic and Canary Islands, districts were the islands themselves, with the larger—Majorca, Gran Canaria and Tenerife—being allocated three seats each, and the smaller—Menorca, Ibiza–Formentera, Fuerteventura, La Gomera, El Hierro, Lanzarote and La Palma—one each. Ceuta and Melilla elected two seats each. Additionally, autonomous communities could appoint at least one senator each and were entitled to one additional senator per each million inhabitants.[2][6][7][8]

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[6][8]

Election date

The term of each House of the Cortes Generales—the Congress and the Senate—expired four years from the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election Decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of the Cortes in the event that the Prime Minister did not make use of his prerogative of early dissolution. The Decree was to be published on the following day in the Official State Gazette, with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 12 March 2000, which meant that the legislature's term would expire on 12 March 2004. The election Decree was required to be published no later than 17 February 2004, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Cortes Generales on Sunday, 11 April 2004.[6][8]

The Prime Minister had the prerogative to dissolve both Houses at any given time—either jointly or separately—and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no state of emergency was in force and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. Additionally, both Houses were to be dissolved and a new election called if an investiture process failed to elect a Prime Minister within a two-month period from the first ballot.[2][7] Barred this exception, there was no constitutional requirement for simultaneous elections for the Congress and the Senate, there being no precedent of separate elections and with governments having long preferred that elections for the two Houses take place simultaneously.

Parties and leaders

Below is a list of the main parties and coalitions which contested the election:

Parties and coalitions Ideology Candidate
People's Party (PP) Conservatism, Christian democracy Mariano Rajoy
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) Social democracy José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
United Left (IU) Communism, Socialism Gaspar Llamazares
Convergence and Union (CiU) Centrism, Catalan autonomism Josep Antoni Duran i Lleida
Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) Christian democracy, Basque autonomism Josu Erkoreka
Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG) Left-wing nationalism, Galician nationalism Francisco Rodríguez
Canarian Coalition (CC) Conservatism, Canarian nationalism Paulino Rivero
Andalusian Party (PA) Social democracy, Andalusian nationalism José Antonio González
Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) Left-wing nationalism, Catalan independentism Josep-Lluís Carod-Rovira
Basque Solidarity (EA) Social democracy, Basque nationalism Begoña Lasagabaster
Aragonese Union (CHA) Eco-socialism, Aragonese nationalism José Antonio Labordeta
Navarre Yes (NaBai) Basque nationalism, Navarrese regionalism Uxue Barkos

Opinion polls

6-point average trend line of poll results from 12 March 2000 to 14 March 2004, with each line corresponding to a political party.
  PP
  PSOE
  IU
  CiU
  PNV
  BNG

Results

Congress of Deputies

← Summary of the 14 March 2004 Congress of Deputies election results →
Parties and coalitions Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 11,026,16342.59+8.43 164+39
People's Party (PP) 9,763,14437.71–6.81 148–35
United Left (IU)1 1,284,0814.96–0.93 5–4
Convergence and Union (CiU) 835,4713.23–0.96 10–5
Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) 652,1962.52+1.68 8+7
Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV)2 420,9801.63+0.13 7±0
Canarian Coalition (CC) 235,2210.91–0.16 3–1
Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG) 208,6880.81–0.51 2–1
Andalusian Party (PA) 181,8680.70–0.19 0–1
Aragonese Union (CHA) 94,2520.36+0.03 1±0
Basque Solidarity (EA)2 80,9050.31–0.06 1±0
The Eco-pacifist Greens (LVEP) 68,0270.26+0.16 0±0
The Eco-pacifist Greens (LVEP) 37,4990.14+0.04 0±0
The Greens–The Ecologist Alternative (EV–AE) 30,5280.12New 0±0
Navarre Yes (NaBai)3 61,0450.24+0.15 1+1
Valencian Nationalist Bloc–Green Left (Bloc–EV) 40,7590.16–0.09 0±0
Progressives for the Balearic Islands (PSM–EN, EU, EV, ER)4 40,2890.16–0.06 0±0
Citizens for Blank Votes (CenB) 40,2080.16New 0±0
Aralar–Stand up (Aralar–Zutik) 38,5600.15New 0±0
Aragonese Party (PAR) 36,5400.14–0.03 0±0
Democratic and Social Centre (CDS) 34,1010.13+0.03 0±0
Socialist Party of Andalusia (PSA) 24,1270.09New 0±0
Humanist Party (PH) 21,7580.08±0.00 0±0
The Greens of the Community of Madrid (LVCM) 19,6000.08–0.01 0±0
Republican Left (IR) 16,9930.07New 0±0
Cannabis Party for Legalisation and Normalisation (PCLyN) 16,9180.07New 0±0
Family and Life Party (PFyV) 16,6990.06New 0±0
The Greens (LV) 15,2200.06±0.00 0±0
The Greens of the Region of Murcia (LVRM) 7,0740.03±0.00 0±0
The Greens of Asturias (LV) 5,0130.02±0.00 0±0
The Greens of Extremadura (LV) 3,1330.01±0.00 0±0
National Democracy (DN) 15,1800.06New 0±0
Leonese People's Union (UPL) 14,1600.05–0.13 0±0
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) 12,9790.05–0.01 0±0
The Greens–Green Group (LV–GV) 12,7490.05–0.04 0±0
Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS)5 12,2660.05+0.02 0±0
Majorcan Union (UM) 10,5580.04±0.00 0±0
The Phalanx (FE) 10,3110.04–0.02 0±0
Commoners' Land–Castilian Nationalist Party (TC–PNC) 8,8660.03–0.05 0±0
Internationalist Socialist Workers' Party (POSI) 8,0030.03–0.02 0±0
Republican Social Movement (MSR) 6,7680.03New 0±0
Spanish Democratic Party (PADE) 5,6770.02–0.02 0±0
Convergence of Democrats of Navarre (CDN) 5,5730.02–0.02 0±0
Authentic Phalanx (FA) 4,5890.02New 0±0
Asturianist Party (PAS) 4,2920.02–0.01 0±0
Spain 2000 (E–2000) 4,2310.02–0.02 0±0
Canarian Nationalist Party (PNC) 4,0920.02New 0±0
United Extremadura (EU) 3,9160.02±0.00 0±0
Party of Self-employed and Professionals (AUTONOMO) 3,1240.01–0.01 0±0
Initiative for the Development of Soria (IDES) 2,9340.01New 0±0
Andalusia Assembly (A) 2,9300.01±0.00 0±0
Canarian Popular Alternative (APCa) 2,7150.01New 0±0
European Green Group (GVE) 2,6620.01New 0±0
Independent Candidacy–The Party of Castile and León (CI–PCL) 2,4210.01–0.01 0±0
Unsubmissive Seats–Alternative of Discontented Democrats (Ei–ADD) 2,3320.01New 0±0
Party of the Democratic Karma (PKD) 2,3000.01±0.00 0±0
Galician People's Front (FPG) 2,2570.01±0.00 0±0
Galician Coalition (CG) 2,2350.01±0.00 0±0
Alliance for Development and Nature (ADN) 2,2150.01New 0±0
Party of Precarious Workers (PTPRE) 2,1150.01New 0±0
Kingdom of Valencia Identity (IRV) 2,1110.01New 0±0
Party of Self-employed, Retirees and Widows (PAE) 2,0820.01±0.00 0±0
Andecha Astur (AA) 1,9700.01±0.00 0±0
Union of the Salamancan People (UPSa) 1,8710.01New 0±0
The Greens–Green Alternative (EV–AV) 1,8360.01–0.04 0±0
Carlist Party (PC) 1,8130.01±0.00 0±0
Romantic Mutual Support Party (PMAR) 1,5610.01New 0±0
Cantabrian Nationalist Council (CNC) 1,4310.01±0.00 0±0
Regionalist Party of the Leonese Country (PREPAL) 1,3220.01±0.00 0±0
Another Democracy is Possible (ODeP) 1,3020.01New 0±0
Independent Social Group (ASI) 1,2370.00New 0±0
Independent Social Democratic Party of the Valencian Community (PSICV) 1,0960.00New 0±0
Republican Party (PRF) 1,0510.00New 0±0
Alternative for Gran Canaria (AxGC) 9570.00New 0±0
Alliance for National Unity (AUN) 9230.00New 0±0
Left Assembly–Initiative for Andalusia (A–IZ) 9010.00New 0±0
Christian Positivist Party (PPCr) 8920.00±0.00 0±0
Asturian Left (IAS) 8540.00±0.00 0±0
Socialist Party of the People of Ceuta (PSPC) 8070.00±0.00 0±0
Liberal Centrist Union (UCL) 7980.00New 0±0
Caló Nationalist Party (PNCA) 7570.00–0.01 0±0
United Zamora (ZU) 7540.00New 0±0
Union of Centrists of Menorca (UCM) 7510.00New 0±0
Internationalist Struggle (LI (LIT–CI)) 6680.00–0.01 0±0
Spanish Democratic Front (FDE) 6190.00New 0±0
Castilian Unity (UdCa) 6010.00New 0±0
Andalusian Social Democratic Party (PSDA) 5830.00New 0±0
Nationalist Maga Alternative (AMAGA) 4680.00New 0±0
Balearic People's Union (UPB) 4110.00±0.00 0±0
European Nation State (N) 4100.00±0.00 0±0
Workers for Democracy Coalition (TD) 4070.00New 0±0
National Workers' Party (PNT) 3790.00New 0±0
Party of The People (LG) 3780.00New 0±0
Regionalist Party of Guadalajara (PRGU) 3300.00±0.00 0±0
National Union (UN) 3180.00±0.00 0±0
Citizens Convergence of the South-East (CCSE) 3080.00±0.00 0±0
National Democratic Party of Spain (PDNE) 2320.00New 0±0
Spanish Absolute Honesty Political Group (GPHAE) 520.00New 0±0
Blank ballots 407,7951.58±0.00
Total 25,891,299 350±0
Valid votes 25,891,29998.99–0.33
Invalid votes 264,1371.01+0.33
Votes cast / turnout 26,155,43675.66+6.95
Abstentions 8,416,39524.34–6.95
Registered voters 34,571,831
Sources[9][10]
Popular vote
PSOE
 
 42.59%
PP
 
 37.71%
IU
 
 4.96%
CiU
 
 3.23%
ERC
 
 2.52%
EAJ/PNV
 
 1.63%
CC
 
 0.91%
BNG
 
 0.81%
CHA
 
 0.36%
EA
 
 0.31%
NaBai
 
 0.24%
Others
 
 3.17%
Blank ballots
 
 1.58%
Seats
PSOE
 
 46.86%
PP
 
 42.29%
CiU
 
 2.86%
ERC
 
 2.29%
EAJ/PNV
 
 2.00%
IU
 
 1.43%
CC
 
 0.89%
BNG
 
 0.57%
CHA
 
 0.29%
EA
 
 0.29%
NaBai
 
 0.29%

Senate

← Summary of the 14 March 2004 Senate of Spain election results →
Parties and coalitions Directly elected Regional
appointees		 Total
seats
Total Seats +/− Total Seats Total Seats
People's Party People's Party (PP) 10297–26 2423 126120
Navarrese People's Union (UPN) 3±0 1 4
Valencian Union (UV) 1+1 0 1
Melillan People's Union (UPM) 1±0 0 1
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 8181+28 1515 9696
Catalan Agreement
of Progress		 Socialists' Party of Catalonia–CpC (PSC–CpC) 128+1 42 1610
Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) 3+2 1 4
Initiative for Catalonia Greens–EUiA (ICV–EUiA) 1+1 1 2
Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) 66±0 11 77
Convergence and Union Democratic Convergence of Catalonia (CDC) 44–2 21 65
Democratic Union of Catalonia (UDC) 0–2 1 1
Canarian Coalition Canarian Independent Groups (AIC) 32±0 10 42
Nationalist Canarian Initiative (ICAN) 0–1 1 1
Independent Herrenian Group (AHI) 1±0 0 1
Majorera Assembly (AM) 0–1 0 0
United Left (IU) 00±0 22 22
Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG) 00±0 11 11
Aragonese Party (PAR) 00±0 11 11
Party of Independents from Lanzarote (PIL) 00–1 00 00
Total 208208±0 5151 259259
Sources[11][12][13][10]
Seats
PP
 
 48.65%
PSOE
 
 37.07%
PSC–ERC–ICV
 
 6.18%
EAJ/PNV
 
 2.70%
CiU
 
 2.32%
CC
 
 1.54%
IU
 
 0.77%
BNG
 
 0.39%
PAR
 
 0.39%

Aftermath

Investiture
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero (PSOE)
Ballot → 16 April 2004
Required majority → 176 out of 350 ☑
183 / 350
148 / 350
19 / 350
Absentees
0 / 350
Sources[14]

Notes

  1. ↑ Aggregated data for IU and IC–V in the 2000 election.

Bibliography

  • Chari, Raj (November 2004). "The 2004 Spanish Election: Terrorism as a Catalyst for Change?". West European Politics. 27 (5): 954–963. doi:10.1080/0140238042000283247.

References

  1. ↑ Zapatero, inaugurated as Prime Minister with absolute majority - ABC (Spanish)
  2. 1 2 3 4 "Spanish Constitution of 1978". Act of 29 December 1978. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 December 2016.
  3. ↑ "Constitución española, Sinopsis artículo 66". congreso.es (in Spanish). Congress of Deputies. Retrieved 27 October 2015.
  4. ↑ Carreras et al. 1989, pp. 1077.
  5. ↑ Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  6. 1 2 3 4 "General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  7. 1 2 3 "Constitution" (PDF). congreso.es. Congress of Deputies. Retrieved 19 June 2017.
  8. 1 2 3 4 "Representation of the people Institutional Act". juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
  9. ↑ "Electoral Results Consultation. Congress. March 2004. National totals". infoelectoral.mir.es (in Spanish). Ministry of the Interior. Retrieved 24 September 2017.
  10. 1 2 "General election 14 March 2004". historiaelectoral.com (in Spanish). Electoral History. Retrieved 24 September 2017.
  11. ↑ "Electoral Results Consultation. Senate. March 2004. National totals". infoelectoral.mir.es (in Spanish). Ministry of the Interior. Retrieved 24 September 2017.
  12. ↑ "Senate Election 2004". historiaelectoral.com (in Spanish). Electoral History. Retrieved 24 September 2017.
  13. ↑ "Senate Composition 1977-2017". historiaelectoral.com (in Spanish). Electoral History. Retrieved 24 September 2017.
  14. ↑ "Congress of Deputies: Most important votes". historiaelectoral.com (in Spanish). Electoral History. Retrieved 28 September 2017.
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