2018 United States Senate election in Ohio

The 2018 United States Senate election in Ohio took place November 6, 2018. The candidate filing deadline was February 7, 2018, and the primary election was held May 8, 2018.[1] Democratic U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown—the only remaining elected Democratic statewide officeholder in Ohio at the time of the election—won his reelection bid for a third term, defeating Republican U.S. Representative Jim Renacci in the general election.[2][3]

2018 United States Senate election in Ohio
November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)
Turnout54.65%
 
Nominee Sherrod Brown Jim Renacci
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 2,355,923 2,053,963
Percentage 53.4% 46.6%
County Results

Brown:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Renacci:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Sherrod Brown
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Sherrod Brown
Democratic

Elections in Ohio

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sherrod Brown (Incumbent) 613,373 100%
Total votes 613,373 100%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary
  • Melissa Ackison, businesswoman[7]
  • Don Elijah Eckhart, candidate for the Republican nomination in 2016[8]
  • Mike Gibbons, investment banker[9]
  • Dennis Jones[10]
  • Dan Kiley[11]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements
Mike Gibbons
U.S. Senators
  • Rand Paul, U.S. Senator (R-KY) and 2016 presidential candidate[26]
Notable Individuals
State Representatives
State Senators
County Commissioners
Organizations
County Parties
Josh Mandel (withdrawn)
U.S. Senators
Individuals
Labor unions
  • CPPA – Cleveland Police Patrolmen's Association[66]
Organizations

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Melissa
Ackison		 Don
Eckhart		 Mike
Gibbons		 Dan
Kiley		 Jim
Renacci		 Undecided
Baldwin Wallace University April 24 – May 2, 2018 323 – 4% 1% 11% 4% 25% 55%
Fallon Research April 4–7, 2018 502 ± 4.4% 3% 2% 7% 1% 21% 65%
OnMessage (R-Renacci) March 20, 2018 – – 3% 3% 8% 3% 36% 47%
SurveyUSA March 16–20, 2018 541 ± 5.7% 5% 5% 10% 1% 21% 58%

Results
Results by county:
Republican primary results[72]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Renacci 363,622 47.34%
Republican Mike Gibbons 243,426 31.69%
Republican Melissa Ackison 100,543 13.09%
Republican Dan Kiley 30,684 3.99%
Republican Don Eckhart 29,796 3.88%
Write-in 78 0.01%
Total votes 768,149 100%

General election

Candidates
  • Sherrod Brown (D)
  • Stephen Faris (I, write-in)[73]
  • Philena Irene Farley (G, write-in)[74]
  • Bruce Jaynes (L, write-in)
  • Jim Renacci (R)

Debates

Endorsements
Sherrod Brown (D)
Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
Others
Labor unions
Organizations
Jim Renacci (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
Statewide Office Holders
State Representatives
  • Steve Hambley
U.S. Representatives
Mayors
Notable Individuals
County Parties
Organizations
State Parties
Newspapers

Note: These endorsements are only for the primary, not the general election.

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[137] Likely D October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[138] Safe D November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[139] Likely D November 5, 2018
Fox News[140][lower-alpha 1] Likely D November 5, 2018
CNN[141] Likely D November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[142] Lean D November 5, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Sherrod
Brown (D)		 Jim
Renacci (R)		 Other Undecided
Change Research November 2–4, 2018 923 – 53% 43% – –
Research Co. November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 53% 39% – 8%
Cygnal (R) October 30–31, 2018 503 ± 4.4% 52% 42% – 6%
Gravis Marketing October 29–30, 2018 789 ± 3.5% 46% 37% – 17%
Emerson College October 26–28, 2018 566 ± 4.3% 49% 43% 2%[143] 6%
Baldwin Wallace University October 19–27, 2018 1,051 ± 3.8% 51% 32% – 17%
Suffolk University October 4–8, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 54% 36% 0%[144] 10%
Baldwin Wallace University September 8 – October 8, 2018 1,017 ± 3.5% 50% 33% – 18%
University of Akron September 10 – October 4, 2018 1,000 ± 3.0% 43% 31% – 26%
Ipsos September 13–21, 2018 1,074 ± 3.0% 50% 39% 2% 9%
Triton Polling & Research (R) September 18–20, 2018 1,003 ± 3.1% 53% 42% – 5%
Marist College September 16–20, 2018 564 LV ± 5.0% 49% 35% 7%[145] 8%
52% 39% 1% 7%
796 RV ± 4.2% 49% 33% 10%[146] 9%
52% 39% 1% 8%
Baldwin Wallace University September 5–15, 2018 1,048 ± 3.6% 49% 32% – 19%
Morning Consult September 2–11, 2018 1,592 ± 2.0% 47% 31% – 22%
Change Research (D-Innovation Ohio) August 31 – September 4, 2018 822 ± 3.0% 46% 42% – 12%
TRZ Communications (R-WTPC) June 30 – July 10, 2018 1,485 ± 3.0% 45% 41% – 14%
SurveyMonkey/Axios June 11 – July 2, 2018 951 ± 5.0% 52% 44% – 4%
Marist College June 17–22, 2018 778 ± 4.4% 51% 38% 1% 10%
Quinnipiac University June 7–12, 2018 1,082 ± 3.7% 51% 34% 1% 12%
Suffolk University June 6–11, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 53% 37% 2% 8%
America First Action (R) May 29–31, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 45% 41% – 10%
Fallon Research May 21–25, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 48% 34% 3%[147] 15%
Grassroots Targeting (R-Ohio First) April 2018 1,266 – 41% 40% – 19%
SurveyUSA March 16–20, 2018 1,408 ± 3.5% 52% 38% – 11%
Baldwin Wallace University February 28 – March 9, 2018 1,011 ± 3.0% 41% 29% – 30%
SurveyMonkey/Axios February 12 – March 5, 2018 1,995 ± 3.6% 50% 45% – 5%
Grassroots Targeting (R-Ohio First) February 2018 – – 43% 38% – 19%

Results

The election was not close, with Brown winning by 6.82%. Brown was the only Democrat who won statewide in Ohio in this election cycle. Brown was able to win re-election by winning back most of the rust belt, which swung Republican in 2016. Brown did well in Portage County, Summit County, and Trumbull County, which are all very heavily pro union counties. Brown also did well in the rust belt from Lucas County, home of Toledo, all the way to Cuyahoga County, home of Cleveland. Brown also trounced Renacci in Franklin County and Hamilton County home of Columbus and Cincinnati respectively, the latter, Hamilton County was once considered a Republican stronghold. Renacci, while performing well in most rural areas of the state, underperformed Mike DeWine the Republican Party's nominee and eventual winner for governor. Exit polls also show Brown had a very strong showing amongst minority and women voters, which was key to his victory. Brown was sworn in for a third term as the senior senator from Ohio on January 3, 2019.

United States Senate election in Ohio, 2018[148]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Sherrod Brown (Incumbent) 2,355,923 53.41% +2.70%
Republican Jim Renacci 2,053,963 46.57% +1.87%
Write-in 1,012 0.02% N/A
Total votes 4,417,079 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

References
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  84. Sherrod Brown. "Thank you to everyone who joined us at our canvass kick-off and rally in Columbus with @KamalaHarris, @JoyceBeatty, @RichCordray, @BettySutton, @Donnelly4Ohio, and @RobForOhio!". Twitter.
  85. Sherrod Brown. "What a great day on the campaign trail with some very special guests!". Twitter.
  86. Nan Whaley. "Renacci = corporate first. Sherrod Brown = worker first. I know who I am with! #TeamSherrod #TeamOhio #OHSendebate". Twitter.
  87. Martin O'Malley. "#WinBackYourState Stark County!". Twitter.
  88. Justin Fairfax. "Proud to campaign for great Ohio Senator @SherrodBrown in Cincinnati! Let's take back Congress in 2018! #WeRiseTogether". Twitter.
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  90. John Legend. "Great to be back in my home state of Ohio supporting amazing Democrats running for office this year. If you live in Ohio, be sure to vote @SherrodBrown for Senate, @RichCordray for Gov, yes on Issue 1 and Dem up and down the ticket!". Twitter.
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  110. ".@JimRenacci has worked so hard on Tax Reductions, Illegal Immigration, the Border and Crime. I need Jim very badly to help our agenda and to keep MAKING AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! He will be a fantastic Senator for the Great State of Ohio, and has my full endorsement!". Twitter. April 24, 2018. Retrieved April 24, 2018.
  111. Mike Pence. "Congrats to my friend @JimRenacci on his #OHSen primary win tonight. I was for Jim Renacci before it was cool – back when we served together in the House. @RealDonaldTrump and I are with you & look forward to working with you in the US Senate. #MAGA". Twitter.
  112. Rob Portman. ". @JimRenacci has a track record of success as a job creator and battle-tested conservative leader, and I am proud to endorse him in the race for U.S. Senate". Twitter.
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  114. Mary Taylor. "My friend @JimRenacci is best positioned to advance President @realDonaldTrump's economic agenda. It's time to send career politician Sherrod Brown home, so I'll be voting Renacci on Nov. 6. (even though he once dressed an actress who was supposed to be me up in a cat suit 😂)". Twitter.
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  118. Eric Trump. "Great being in OHIO in support of @JimRenacci and @Bob_Gibbs! Two great people who will #MakeAmericaGreatAgain". Twitter.
  119. Jim Renacci. "Wave of conservative momentum behind our campaign for #OHsen continues. Honored to have earned the Brown County GOP's endorsement for US Senate tonight". Twitter.
  120. Jim Renacci. "Honored to have earned the Cuyahoga County Republican Party's endorsement today for U.S. Senate. Momentum & support from conservatives across Ohio continues to grow behind our campaign to defeat @SherrodBrown. #OHsen". Twitter.
  121. Jim Renacci. "Momentum keeps building for our campaign for Senate. Proud to have the support of Fulton County". Twitter.
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  123. Jim Renacci. "Thank you Preble County GOP for the overwhelming support! #OHSEN". Twitter.
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  130. Students for Trump. "Ohio has benefited tremendously under President Trump's policies, but liberal Sherrod Brown has obstructed every step of the way and voted against your big beautiful tax cut. Ohio must elect @JimRenacci in November!". Twitter.
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  133. Jim Renacci. "Proud to be endorsed by Ohioans for Concealed Carry. #OHSen". Twitter.
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  143. Stephen Faris (write-in) with 2%
  144. Stephen Faris (write-in) with 0%
  145. Bruce Jaynes (L, write-in) with 4%, Philena Farley (G, write-in) with 2%, other with 1%
  146. Bruce Jaynes (L, write-in) with 6%, Philena Farley (G, write-in) with 3%, other with 1%
  147. Philena Farley (G, write-in) 3%
  148. "United States Senate general election in Ohio, 2018".
Official campaign websites
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