Portuguese presidential election, 2021

Portuguese presidential election, 2021
January 2021

Incumbent President

Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa
PSD
Portugal
Coat of arms of Portugal
This article is part of a series on the
politics and government of
Portugal
Constitution
Foreign relations

Presidential elections will be held in Portugal in January 2021. The elections will elect the successor to the President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa or re-elect him to a second term. Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa is allowed to run for a second term as President.

Background

Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa was elected in January 2016 with 52% of the votes on the first round. He took the oath of office on March 9th, 2016 and since then, has been in a Cohabitation with Socialist Prime Minister António Costa, who has the support of the Left Bloc, the Communist Party and the Greens.

In Portugal, the president is the head of state, has mostly ceremonial powers. However, the president does have some political influence and can dissolve the Parliament of Portugal if a crisis occurs. The president also has an official residence in the Belém Palace in Lisbon.

Electoral system

Under Portuguese law, a candidate must receive a majority of votes (50% plus one vote) to be elected. If no candidate achieved a majority in the first round, a runoff election (i.e., second round, held between the two candidates who received the most votes in the first round) has to be held.

In order to stand for election, candidates had to each gather 7,500 signatures of support one month before the election, and submit them to the Constitutional Court of Portugal. Then, the Constitutional Court has to certified if the candidacies submitted met the requirements to appear on the ballot. The highest number of candidacies ever accepted was ten in 2016.

Potential candidates

Opinion polls

Approval ratings

The table below lists the evolution of public opinion on the president's performance in office.

Polling
firm		 Fieldwork
date		 Sample
size		 Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa
Approve Disapprove No opinion Net
Eurosondagem 5–12 Sep 2018 1,008 73.0 8.7 18.3 64.3
Eurosondagem 4–11 Jul 2018 1,011 72.5 8.3 19.2 64.2
Aximage 9–12 Jun 2018 602 84.0 6.5 9.5 77.5
Aximage 5–9 May 2018 600 87.0 4.9 8.1 82.1
Eurosondagem 3–9 May 2018 1,008 73.0 9.0 18.0 64.0
Aximage 8–12 Apr 2018 601 86.0 4.8 9.2 81.2
Eurosondagem 8–14 Mar 2018 1,010 72.0 8.1 19.9 63.9
Aximage 2–5 Mar 2018 605 88.2 4.4 7.4 83.8
Aximage 3–6 Feb 2018 603 87.3 5.5 7.2 81.8
Eurosondagem 14–17 Jan 2018 1,018 71.8 8.2 20.0 63.6
Aximage 6–9 Jan 2018 600 87.0 4.8 8.2 82.2
Eurosondagem 6–12 Dec 2017 1,017 71.7 8.7 19.6 63.0
Aximage 1–4 Dec 2017 603 84.8 6.9 8.3 77.9
Eurosondagem 8–15 Nov 2017 1,010 70.0 7.5 22.5 62.5
Aximage 4–6 Nov 2017 600 84.1 8.1 7.8 76.0
Aximage 14–17 Oct 2017 603 87.0 6.0 7.0 81.0
Eurosondagem 4–11 Oct 2017 1,011 69.1 7.1 23.8 62.0
Eurosondagem 31 Aug–6 Sep 2017 1,007 72.0 10.3 17.7 61.7
Aximage 29–30 Aug 2017 597 87.4 6.2 6.4 81.2
Eurosondagem 27 Jul–2 Aug 2017 1,011 71.0 9.5 19.5 61.5
Aximage 6–11 Jul 2017 604 87.8 5.6 6.6 82.2
Eurosondagem 28 Jun–5 Jul 2017 1,008 70.7 9.8 19.5 60.9
Aximage 7–11 Jun 2017 601 89.2 4.9 5.9 84.3
Eurosondagem 1–7 Jun 2017 1,010 70.0 9.4 20.6 60.6
Eurosondagem 3–10 May 2017 1,005 69.0 8.5 22.5 60.5
Aximage 5–8 May 2017 603 88.1 4.4 7.5 83.7
Eurosondagem 30 Mar–5 Apr 2017 1,003 71.7 11.7 16.6 60.0
Aximage 2–4 Apr 2017 600 88.8 3.9 7.3 84.9
Eurosondagem 1–8 Mar 2017 1,011 72.0 13.8 14.2 58.2
Aximage 4–6 Mar 2017 608 88.2 4.4 7.4 83.8
Aximage 5–8 Feb 2017 601 92.6 2.8 4.6 89.8
Eurosondagem 1–8 Feb 2017 1,017 69.0 14.0 17.0 55.0
Eurosondagem 5–11 Jan 2017 1,010 70.0 13.1 16.9 56.9
Aximage 6–9 Jan 2017 603 92.9 3.0 4.1 89.9
Eurosondagem 7–14 Dec 2016 1,016 68.0 11.2 20.8 56.8
Aximage 2–4 Dec 2016 605 92.8 3.1 4.1 89.7
UCP–CESOP 19–22 Nov 2016 977 90.0 5.0 5.0 85.0
Eurosondagem 2–9 Nov 2016 1,011 70.7 13.7 15.6 57.0
Aximage 31 Oct–1 Nov 2016 601 92.2 3.0 4.8 89.2
Eurosondagem 6–12 Oct 2016 1,010 69.4 11.0 19.6 58.4
Aximage 1–3 Oct 2016 608 91.2 2.9 5.9 88.3
Eurosondagem 7–14 Sep 2016 1,009 71.0 13.3 15.7 57.7
Aximage 2–5 Sep 2016 603 91.1 3.1 5.8 88.0
Eurosondagem 26 Jul–2 Aug 2016 1,005 70.0 12.5 17.5 57.5
Aximage 15–17 Jul 2016 606 91.0 3.1 5.9 87.9
Eurosondagem 30 Jun–6 Jul 2016 1,023 68.6 13.1 18.3 55.5
Eurosondagem 1 Jun–7 Jun 2016 1,025 70.0 13.6 16.4 56.4
Aximage 30 May–1 Jun 2016 606 87.9 4.5 7.6 83.4
Eurosondagem 5–11 May 2016 1,031 68.4 12.1 19.5 56.3
Aximage 7–9 May 2016 600 92.4 3.6 4.0 88.8
Eurosondagem 7–13 Apr 2016 1,026 68.0 12.5 19.5 55.5
Aximage 2–3 Apr 2016 601 87.9 6.2 5.9 81.7

See also

References

  1. ↑ Marcelo: “Até setembro de 2020 direi se sou recandidato” , Expresso (January 22, 2017).
  2. ↑ “Se há uma coisa que aprendi é que nunca se deve dizer nunca a nada”, Público (January 24, 2018).
  3. ↑ “Sócrates pode estar a pensar fazer de uma candidatura presidencial parte da estratégia de defesa” , Expresso (January 29, 2018).
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