Queensland state election, 2020

Queensland state election, 2020
31 October 2020
All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Queensland
47 Assembly seats are needed for a majority

 
Leader Annastacia Palaszczuk Deb Frecklington
Party Labor Liberal National
Leader since 28 March 2012 (2012-03-28) 12 December 2017 (2017-12-12)
Leader's seat Inala Nanango
Last election 48 seats 39 seats
 
Leader Robbie Katter Steve Dickson
Party Katter's Australian One Nation
Leader since 2 February 2015 (2015-02-02) 23 January 2017 (2017-01-23)
Leader's seat Traeger Outside parliament
Last election 3 seats 1 seat
 
Leader Michael Berkman
Party Greens
Leader since 25 November 2017 (2017-11-25)
Leader's seat Maiwar
Last election 1 seat
Incumbent Premier

Annastacia Palaszczuk
Labor

The next Queensland state election is scheduled to be held on Saturday 31 October 2020 to elect the 57th Parliament of Queensland. All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly of the unicameral parliament will be up for election. The two-term incumbent Labor government, currently led by Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk, will seek a third term against the Liberal National opposition, currently led by Opposition Leader Deb Frecklington.

Queensland has compulsory voting and uses full-preference instant-runoff voting for single-member electorates. The election will be conducted by the Electoral Commission of Queensland (ECQ).

Date

The election will be for all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly. Pursuant to Constitution (Fixed Term Parliament) Amendment Act 2015 Queensland has had fixed terms, with all elections following this election held every 4 years on the last Saturday of October. The Governor may call an election earlier than scheduled if the Government does not maintain confidence, or the annual appropriation bill fails to pass.

Background

At the 2017 election, Labor won majority government with 48 of 93 seats. The Liberal Nationals won 39 seats. On the crossbench, Katter's Australian Party won three seats, One Nation won one seat, the Greens won one seat and Independent Sandy Bolton won the seat of Noosa.

Labor has won all but one state election since 1989, and has only been out of government for five years since then. It lost its majority in 1996, giving way to a Coalition minority government that was defeated in 1998. In 2012, it suffered the worst defeat of a sitting government in the state's history, but regained power in 2015.

Opinion polling

Several research, media and polling firms conduct opinion polls during the parliamentary term and prior to the state election in relation to voting. Most firms use the flow of preferences at the previous election to determine the two-party-preferred vote; others ask respondents to nominate preferences.

Legislative Assembly polling
Date Firm Primary vote TPP vote
ALP LNP Green ON Other ALP LNP
8–9 August 2018 YouGov[1] 35% 37% 11% 10% 7% 51% 49%
9–10 May 2018 YouGov[2] 38% 35% 10% 12% 5% 53% 47%
7–8 Feb 2018 YouGov[3] 37% 36% 10% 10% 7% 52% 48%
12 December 2017 Deb Frekleington becomes leader of the Liberal National Party and Leader of the Opposition
25 Nov 2017 election 35.4% 33.7% 10.0% 13.7% 7.2% 51.2% 48.8%
21–24 Nov 2017 Newspoll[4] 36% 34% 10% 13% 7% 52.5% 47.5%
24 Nov 2017 Galaxy[5] 37% 35% 9% 12% 7% 52% 48%
20 Nov 2017 ReachTEL[6] 34% 30% 10% 17% 9% 51% 49%

References

  1. ↑ "YouGov Galaxy: 51-49 to state Labor in Queensland". 12 August 2018.
  2. ↑ "YouGov Galaxy: 53-47 to state Labor in Queensland". 13 May 2018.
  3. ↑ "YouGov Galaxy: 52-48 to state Labor in Queensland". 12 February 2018.
  4. ↑ "Queensland election: swing to ALP but Hanson strings attached". The Australian. Retrieved 25 November 2017.
  5. ↑ "Subscribe | couriermail". www.couriermail.com.au. Retrieved 23 November 2017.
  6. ↑ "Labor leads LNP by 2 points in Qld: Poll". ReachTEL/Sky News. Retrieved 21 November 2017.
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