42nd British Columbia general election

The 42nd British Columbia general election will be held on or before October 16, 2021, to elect members of the Legislative Assembly in the Canadian province of British Columbia.

42nd British Columbia general election
On or before October 16, 2021 (2021-10-16)
87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia
44 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Andrew Wilkinson John Horgan Adam Olsen[lower-alpha 1]
Party Liberal New Democratic Green
Leader since February 3, 2018 May 4, 2014 January 6, 2020
Leader's seat Vancouver-Quilchena Langford-Juan de Fuca Saanich North and the Islands
Last election 43 seats, 40.36% 41 seats, 40.28% 3 seats, 16.84%
Current seats 42 41 2
Seats needed 2 3 42
Incumbent Premier

John Horgan
New Democratic

Elections BC administered a postal referendum from October to December 2018 on whether the current first-past-the-post (FPTP) voting system should be maintained or if the province should switch to a proportional representation (PR) system. The referendum ended with a majority voting to maintain the existing FPTP system.[1]

Timing

Section 23 of British Columbia's Constitution Act provides that general elections occur on the third Saturday in October of the fourth calendar year after the last election.[2] The fixed election date was previously set for the second Tuesday in May, but the BC NDP passed legislation amending the section of the constitution pertaining to the set election day.[3] The same section, though, makes the fixed election date subject to the Lieutenant Governor's prerogative to dissolve the Legislative Assembly as he or she sees fit (in practice, on the advice of the Premier or following a vote of non-confidence).[2][4]

2018 electoral reform referendum
Main article: 2018 British Columbia electoral reform referendum

A referendum on electoral reform took place by postal ballot between October 22 and December 7, 2018, in British Columbia. In the referendum, electors were asked:[5]

  1. to choose whether to maintain the current first-past-the-post voting system or to switch to a proportional system;
  2. to rank three PR systems by preference, should the province switch to PR:

The referendum ended with a majority voting in favour of maintaining the existing first-past-the-post system.[1]

Retiring incumbents

Liberals

New Democrats

Independents

Candidates by riding
  • Names in bold are outgoing cabinet ministers, and names in italics are party leaders. The premier is in both.
  • † denotes incumbent MLAs who are not seeking re-election.
  • ‡ denotes incumbent MLAs who are seeking re-election in a different riding.
  • A riding name in brackets below the name of the incumbent MLA indicates the name of the predecessor riding contested in the last election.
  • Candidate names are given as they appeared on the ballot, and may include formal names and middle names that the candidate does not use in day-to-day political life. For example, Greg Kyllo appeared on the ballot as Gregory James Kyllo.

Northern British Columbia
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal NDP GreenOther
Nechako Lakes John Rustad
North Coast Jennifer Rice
Peace River North Dan Davies
Peace River South Mike Bernier
Prince George-Mackenzie Mike Morris
Prince George-Valemount Shirley Bond
Skeena Ellis Ross
Stikine Doug Donaldson

Kootenays
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal NDP GreenOther
Columbia River-Revelstoke Doug Clovechok
Kootenay East Tom Glenn Shypitka
Kootenay West Katrine Conroy
Nelson-Creston Michelle Mungall

Okanagan, Shuswap and Boundary
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal NDP GreenOther
Boundary-Similkameen Linda Larson†
Kelowna-Lake Country Norm Letnick
Kelowna-Mission Steve Thomson†
Kelowna West Ben Stewart
Penticton Dan Ashton
Shuswap Greg Kyllo
Vernon-Monashee Eric Foster

Thompson and Cariboo
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal NDP GreenOther
Cariboo-Chilcotin Donna Barnett†
Cariboo North Coralee Oakes
Fraser-Nicola Jackie Tegart
Kamloops-North Thompson Peter Milobar
Kamloops-South Thompson Todd Stone

Fraser Valley
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal NDP GreenOther
Abbotsford-Mission Simon Gibson
Abbotsford South Bruce Banman[14] Darryl Plecas
Abbotsford West Mike de Jong
Chilliwack John Martin
Chilliwack-Kent Laurie Throness
Langley Mary Polak
Langley East Rich Coleman†
Maple Ridge-Mission Bob D'Eith
Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows Cheryl Ashlie[14] Lisa Beare

Surrey
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal NDP GreenOther
Surrey-Cloverdale Marvin Hunt
Surrey-Fleetwood Jagrup Brar
Surrey-Green Timbers Rachna Singh
Surrey-Guildford Garry Begg[15] Garry Begg
Surrey-Newton Harry Bains
Surrey-Panorama Jinny Sims
Surrey South Stephanie Cadieux
Surrey-Whalley Bruce Ralston
Surrey-White Rock Tracy Redies

Richmond and Delta
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal NDP GreenOther
Delta North Ravi Kahlon
Delta South Ian Paton
Richmond North Centre Teresa Wat
Richmond-Queensborough Jas Johal
Richmond South Centre Linda Reid†
Richmond-Steveston John Yap

Burnaby, New Westminster, and Coquitlam
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal NDP GreenOther
Burnaby-Deer Lake Anne Kang
Burnaby-Edmonds Raj Chouhan
Burnaby-Lougheed Katrina Chen
Burnaby North Janet Routledge
Coquitlam-Burke Mountain Joan Isaacs
Coquitlam-Maillardville Selina Robinson
New Westminster Judy Darcy
Port Coquitlam Mike Farnworth
Port Moody-Coquitlam James Robertson[14] Rick Glumac

Vancouver
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal NDP GreenOther
Vancouver-Fairview George Heyman
Vancouver-False Creek Sam Sullivan
Vancouver-Fraserview George Chow
Vancouver-Hastings Shane Simpson
Vancouver-Kensington Mable Elmore
Vancouver-Kingsway Adrian Dix
Vancouver-Langara Michael Lee
Vancouver-Mount Pleasant Melanie Mark
Vancouver-Point Grey David Eby
Vancouver-Quilchena Andrew Wilkinson
Vancouver-West End Spencer Chandra Herbert

North Shore and Sunshine Coast
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal NDP GreenOther
North Vancouver-Lonsdale Bowinn Ma
North Vancouver-Seymour Jane Thornthwaite
Powell River-Sunshine Coast Nicholas Simons
West Vancouver-Capilano Ralph Sultan†
West Vancouver-Sea to Sky Jordan Sturdy

Vancouver Island
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal NDP GreenOther
Courtenay-Comox Ronna-Rae Leonard
Cowichan Valley Sonia Furstenau
Mid Island-Pacific Rim Scott Fraser
Nanaimo Sheila Malcolmson
Nanaimo-North Cowichan Doug Routley
North Island Claire Trevena
Parksville-Qualicum Michelle Stilwell

Greater Victoria
Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Liberal NDP GreenOther
Esquimalt-Metchosin Mitzi Dean
Langford-Juan de Fuca John Horgan
Oak Bay-Gordon Head Roxanne Helme[14] Andrew Weaver†
Saanich North and the Islands Adam Olsen
Saanich South Lana Popham
Victoria-Beacon Hill Carole James†
Victoria-Swan Lake Rob Fleming

Opinion polls

The following is a list of scientific opinion polls of published voter intentions.

Fieldwork date Polling organization / client Sample size Liberal NDP Green Con Others[lower-alpha 2] Lead
June 1, 2020 Innovative Research Group[16] 261 34% 43% 10% 12% 1% 9%
May 25, 2020 Research Co.[17] 800 33% 41% 16% 9% 1% 8%
May 24, 2020 Angus Reid[18] 528 29% 47% 12% n/a 12% 18%
May 5, 2020 Innovative Research Group[19] 261 36% 42% 10% 12% 3% 6%
February 28, 2020 Angus Reid[20] 536 31% 36% 21% n/a 12% 5%
January 6, 2020 Adam Olsen is chosen as interim leader of the Green Party.
November 7–9, 2019 Insight West[21] 808 32% 35% 14% 17% 2% 3%
October 7, 2019 Andrew Weaver announces his resignation as leader of the Green Party.
Jun 6–12, 2019 Insights West[22] 848 30% 35% 18% 14% 3% 5%
May 20–22, 2019 Research Co.[23] 800 30% 39% 21% 9% 1% 9%
April 8, 2019 Trevor Bolin is elected leader of the BC Conservatives.
Mar 20–21, 2019 Mainstreet[24] 923 32.4% 39.0% 13.3% 12.1% 3.3% 6.6%
Feb 26 – Mar 13, 2019 Justason[25] 812 31% 30% 16% 19% 3% 1%
Jan 13–14, 2019 Mainstreet[26] 887 34.9% 37.0% 14.6% 11.2% 2.2% 2.1%
Nov 2–6, 2018 Insights West[27] 814 32.9% 38.2% 13.2% 11.8% 3.9% 5.3%
Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2018 Mainstreet[28] 616 33.9% 32.3% 18.2% 12.6% 3% 1.6%
Jul 15–17, 2018 Mainstreet[29] 933 33.9% 33.2% 16.0% 14.6% 2.3% 0.7%
Jul 12–15, 2018 Insights West[30] 1,053 32% 37% 17% 12% 2% 5%
May 4–7, 2018 Angus Reid[31] 809 36% 41% 17% n/a 6% 5%
Apr 16–18, 2018 Mainstreet[32] 900 36.8% 34.8% 15.7% 11.4% 1.4% 2.0%
Apr 12–15 2018 Mainstreet[33] 1,496 37% 31% 17% 13% 2% 6%
Mar 5–6, 2018 Mainstreet[34] 1,511 30.7% 36.0% 21.9% 8.9% 2.5% 5.3%
Feb 3, 2018 Andrew Wilkinson is elected leader of the BC Liberals and becomes the leader of the Opposition.
Jan 15–17, 2018 Insights West[35] 829 31% 40% 19% 8% 2% 9%
Jan 3–4, 2018 Mainstreet[36] 817 33.9% 38.5% 27.6% n/a n/a 4.6%
Aug 14–15, 2017 Mainstreet[37] 2,050 38% 37% 16% n/a 9% 1%
Aug 4, 2017 Christy Clark resigns as leader of the BC Liberals and Rich Coleman is chosen as interim leader.
Jul 18, 2017 John Horgan becomes premier of British Columbia.
Jun 29, 2017 Christy Clark resigns as premier; John Horgan is invited to form government.
Jun 29, 2017 BC Liberal government is defeated in a confidence vote.
Jun 26–28, 2018 Ipsos[38] 800 44% 38% 14% n/a 4% 6%
Jun 23–28, 2017 Insights West[39] 821 36% 41% 19% n/a 4% 5%
Jun 26–27 2017 Mainstreet[40] 1,650 45% 34% 17% n/a 4% 11%
Jun 15–19, 2017 Angus Reid[41] 810 39% 38% 20% n/a 3% 1%
Jun 8–11, 2017 Ipsos[42] 802 40% 42% 15% n/a 2% 2%
May 11–13, 2017 Mainstreet[43] 1,650 38% 39% 22% n/a n/a 1%
May 9, 2017 General election results[44] n/a 40.4% 40.3% 16.8% 0.5% 2.5% 0.1%

Notes
  1. Interim leader until the 2020 Green Party of British Columbia leadership election is held
  2. Can include the British Columbia Conservative Party depending on the poll

References
  1. "B.C. votes to keep first-past-the-post electoral system". CBC News. December 20, 2018. Retrieved December 21, 2018.
  2. Constitution Act, s. 23.
  3. Shaw, Rob (October 4, 2017). "NDP changes B.C.'s fixed election date from May to October – Vancouver Sun". Vancouversun.com. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
  4. Zussman, Richard (May 26, 2017). "Christy Clark gets 1st chance to govern, but how long can it last?". CBC News.
  5. "B.C. unveils its proposed question for voters in electoral-reform referendum". Retrieved June 25, 2018.
  6. "Barnett to step down as Cariboo-Chilcotin MLA". Prince George Citizen. January 31, 2020. Retrieved January 31, 2020.
  7. "Langley Liberal MLA Rich Coleman Retires". Langley Advance Times. February 29, 2020. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
  8. "Larson leaves her legacy with permanent Daylight Saving Time". Osoyoos Times. October 31, 2019. Retrieved December 31, 2019.
  9. "B.C.'s longest-serving female MLA announces retirement after 28 years". The Abbotsford News. October 25, 2019. Retrieved December 31, 2019.
  10. "West Vancouver's Sultan won't run again". North Shore News. October 17, 2019. Retrieved December 31, 2019.
  11. "Liberal MLA Steve Thomson won't be running in next B.C. election". Vancouver Sun. December 9, 2019. Retrieved December 31, 2019.
  12. "Carole James, pillar of the NDP, supported by all sides after Parkinson's diagnosis". CBC News. March 8, 2020. Retrieved March 9, 2020.
  13. Larsen, Karin (October 7, 2019). "Andrew Weaver says he'll step down as B.C. Green Party leader". CBC News. Retrieved October 7, 2019.
  14. "B.C. Liberal Candidates". B.C. Liberal Party. Retrieved June 26, 2020.
  15. "B.C. NDP Media Centre". B.C. NDP. Retrieved June 26, 2020.
  16. "Canada This Month National Political Overview" (PDF). Research Co. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 1, 2020.
  17. "BC NDP Keeps Upper Hand in British Columbia's Political Scene". Research Co. May 28, 2020. Retrieved May 28, 2020.
  18. "Provincial Spotlight". Angus Reid. June 8, 2020. Retrieved June 8, 2020.
  19. "Most governments are receiving high marks for their handling of COVID-19" (PDF). Innovative Research. May 6, 2020. Retrieved May 8, 2020.
  20. "Provincial Outlook" (PDF). Angus Reid. February 28, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2020.
  21. "Government of British Columbia Report Card" (PDF). Insight West. November 25, 2019. Retrieved November 26, 2019.
  22. "2019 BC Government Report Card" (PDF). Insights West. July 11, 2019. Retrieved July 12, 2019.
  23. Canseco, Mario (May 29, 2019). "NDP Ahead in British Columbia Two Years After Last Election". Research Co.
  24. "BC NDP Widen Their Lead Over BC Liberals". Retrieved March 25, 2019.
  25. "For B.C. voters it's still a tie » Justason Market Intelligence". Justasonmi.com. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
  26. "BC NDP Take A Slender Lead Over BC Liberals". Retrieved January 21, 2019.
  27. "Survey on BC Referendum on Electoral Reform" (PDF). Insights West. November 9, 2018. Retrieved November 12, 2018.
  28. "Electoral Referendum A Dead Heat, Liberals and NDP Remain Tied". Retrieved November 9, 2018.
  29. "NDP and BC Liberals In A Dead Heat, BCers Do Not Like Any Of The Party Leaders". Retrieved July 30, 2018.
  30. "Premier Horgan's Approval Rating Dips While Housing Affordability Continues to Weigh on British Columbians". Insights West. July 25, 2018. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
  31. "One year later: British Columbians mixed on NDP's performance, but support its affordability policies" (PDF). Angusreid.org. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
  32. "BC Liberals Take Lead From NDP; Horgan Government Hurt By Kinder Morgan Opposition". Mainstreetresearch.ca. April 26, 2018. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
  33. "Federal and provincial governments get failing grades on protecting BC wild salmon". Mainstreetresearch.ca. April 25, 2018. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
  34. "Horgan NDP With A Five Point Lead Over Liberals". Retrieved March 21, 2018.
  35. "Anxiety Over Housing, Homelessness and Poverty Rises in British Columbia". Insights West. January 19, 2018. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
  36. "Horgan NDP Lead Over BC Liberals, BC Liberal Leadership Race Headed For Multiple Ballots". Retrieved January 22, 2018.
  37. August 25, Scott Brown Updated; 2017 (August 25, 2017). "Poll suggests Mike de Jong is Liberals best choice for leader – Vancouver Sun". Vancouversun.com. Retrieved April 22, 2019.CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  38. "BC Liberals Go Out on Top". Ipsos.com. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
  39. "Throne Speech Does Little to Sway British Columbians". Insights West. June 29, 2017. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
  40. "BC Liberals Lead Post Throne Speech". Retrieved June 29, 2017.
  41. "Snap Election? Snap out of it, say majority of British Columbians as legislative session looms" (PDF). Angusreid.org. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
  42. "BC Is Still Too Close to Call". Ipsos.com. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
  43. "Vote by Vote Preferred Over Coalition". Retrieved June 29, 2017.
  44. "Results of the 2017 General Election". Elections BC. Retrieved July 31, 2017.
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