51st Newfoundland and Labrador general election

The 51st Newfoundland and Labrador general election will elect members to the 50th general assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador. It is tentatively scheduled for October 10, 2023, but due to Premier Dwight Ball's eventual resignation, the election must occur no more than one year following a Liberal leadership election, after which Ball will formally resign.

51st Newfoundland and Labrador general election
On or before October 10, 2023
All 40 seats in the 50th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
21 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
NDP
Leader Dwight Ball Ches Crosbie Alison Coffin
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since November 17, 2013 April 28, 2018 March 5, 2019
Leader's seat Humber - Gros Morne Windsor Lake St. John's East-Quidi Vidi
Last election 20 seats, 43.9% 15 seats, 42.6% 3 seats, 6.3%
Current seats 20 15 3
Seats needed 1 6 18
Incumbent Premier

Dwight Ball
Liberal

Timeline

2019

  • May 16, 2019 – The Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador wins 20 of the 40 seats in the House of Assembly during the general election, re-electing Premier Dwight Ball but forcing the Liberals to form a minority government. This is the first time the province has elected a minority government since 1971.[1]
  • May 30, 2019 - Premier Ball's cabinet is sworn in; all minister maintain their previous portfolios with the exception of MHA Warr entering cabinet.[2][3]
  • September 13, 2019 - Minister Trimper resigns from cabinet after comments critical of the Innu Nation were left on the voicemail of an Innu Nation staffer and publicly revealed.[4]
  • September 13, 2019 - MHA Bragg is appointed Minister of Municipal Affairs and Environment replacing Trimper.[5]
  • December 5, 2019 - The House of Assembly votes to reprimand Minister Chris Mitchelmore for his hiring of Carla Foote at The Rooms despite her lack of qualifications and her political connections to the Liberals. The House of Assembly orders that Mitchelmore apologize to the Board of Directors of The Rooms and to the House of Assembly and also be suspended two-week without pay.[6]
  • April 4, 2020 - Service NL Minister Sherry Gambin-Walsh was removed from cabinet as the RCMP launched a criminal investigation into allegations that she leaked cabinet documents.[9][10]
  • August 3, 2020 - The NL Liberal Party is scheduled to elect a new leader.

Opinion polls
Polling Firm Final Day of Polling Link Liberal PC NDP NLA
Angus Reid June 8, 2020 [11] 48 35 12 –
Narrative Research May 26, 2020 [12] 60 26 13 –
Narrative Research February 23, 2020 [13] 37 35 26 –
Narrative Research November 22, 2019 [14] 42 33 24 –
Narrative Research August 25, 2019 [15] 42 32 24 –
MQO Research July 31, 2019 [16] 50 34 13 1
Election 2019 May 16, 2019 – 43.9 42.6 6.3 2.4

References
  1. McKenzie-Sutter, Holly (May 16, 2019). "Liberals re-elected with minority government in Newfoundland and Labrador vote". CTV News. Retrieved November 8, 2019.
  2. "Cabinet of Premier Dwight Ball Sworn in as New Government is Formed". Government of Newfoundland and Labrador - Executive Council. May 30, 2019. Retrieved January 22, 2020.
  3. "Dwight Ball goes to Warr to fill out new cabinet". The ChronicleHerald. Saltwire Network. May 31, 2019. Retrieved January 22, 2020.
  4. "N.L. cabinet minister apologizes after describing Innu as playing 'race card' in leaked voicemail recording". CBC News. September 12, 2019. Retrieved January 22, 2020.
  5. "Premier: Trimper Stays in Liberal Caucus, Bragg to Assume Portfolio". VOCM.com. Stingray Group Inc. September 13, 2019. Retrieved January 22, 2020.
  6. "All you need to know about the Mitchelmore-Foote fiasco, from beginning to end". CBC News. December 8, 2019. Retrieved January 22, 2020.
  7. Mullin, Malone (February 17, 2020). "Dwight Ball stepping down as Newfoundland and Labrador premier". CBC News. Retrieved February 17, 2020.
  8. Maher, David (February 17, 2020). "Newfoundland and Labrador Premier Dwight Ball stepping down". The Telegram. Retrieved February 17, 2020.
  9. "Sherry Gambin-Walsh removed from provincial cabinet". CBC News. CBC. Retrieved April 5, 2020.
  10. Maher, David (April 4, 2020). "UPDATE: Premier removes Newfoundland MHA Sherry Gambin-Walsh from cabinet". The Telegram. Retrieved April 5, 2020.
  11. "Provincial Spotlight". Angus Reid. June 8, 2020. Retrieved June 8, 2020.
  12. Connors, Michael (May 28, 2020). "Narrative Research poll for NL". Twitter.com. Retrieved May 28, 2020.
  13. "Satisfaction with Premier Ball's government drops dramatically, coinciding with resignation announcement". Narrative Research. Retrieved March 12, 2020.
  14. Connors, Michael (December 10, 2019). "Narrative Research Poll: Decided Voters". Twitter.com. Retrieved January 22, 2020.
  15. "PCs drop and NDP jumps while Liberals hold steady in N.L. support". CBC News. September 17, 2019. Retrieved January 22, 2020.
  16. "NL Liberals Hold Lead Following Election". MQO Research. Retrieved March 9, 2020.
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