2020 Saskatchewan general election

The 2020 Saskatchewan general election, is scheduled to be held no later than October 26, 2020, to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan. This date is provided for under Saskatchewan's amended fixed election date law. Under the law, if the election date is during a federal election campaign, then the election would be moved to April 5, 2021. The law of Saskatchewan currently does not permit the election to be delayed for any other reason. So for example, if the ongoing 2019–20 coronavirus pandemic continues into October 2020 such that an election cannot be held without danger to public health, the Legislative Assembly, which is currently suspended, would have to reconvene before October in order to change the law to allow the election to be delayed past October 2020. Under the Canadian Constitution, the 28th Saskatchewan Legislature must be dissolved by the Lieutenant Governor on or before April 27, 2021 (i.e. five years after the return of writs from the previous election). Section 4(2) of the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms allows a further delay only for "real or apprehended war, invasion or insurrection" with the approval of two-thirds of the Saskatchewan legislature.

Next Saskatchewan general election
On or before October 26, 2020
61 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan
31 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Scott Moe Ryan Meili
Party Saskatchewan New Democratic
Leader since January 27, 2018 March 3, 2018
Leader's seat Rosthern-Shellbrook Saskatoon Meewasin
Last election 51 seats, 62.36% 10 seats, 30.20%
Current seats 46 13
Seats needed 18
Incumbent Premier

Scott Moe
Saskatchewan

The law does not remove the ability of the Lieutenant Governor of Saskatchewan to call an early election due to a vote of no confidence or on the advice of the Premier of Saskatchewan.

The previous election re-elected the Saskatchewan Party to its third consecutive majority government under the leadership of Brad Wall. On August 10, 2017, Wall announced his resignation as leader, pending the election of his successor.[1] On January 27, 2018, Scott Moe was elected leader of the Saskatchewan Party. He was appointed and sworn in as premier on February 2.

Date

Since 2010, the Legislative Assembly has had a fixed four-year term. According to the 2019 amendment to The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007 (Saskatchewan), "the first general election after the coming into force of this subsection must be held on Monday, October 26, 2020".[2][3][4] However, the act also provides that if the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the first Monday of the following April; in this case: April 5, 2021.[4] This law does not infringe on the Lieutenant Governor's right to dissolve the Legislative Assembly at an earlier date on the Premier's advice.

Although Premier Moe hinted at the possibility of a snap election in the Spring of 2020, Moe announced on March 12 that he would not do so, citing the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic in Saskatchewan.[5]

Legislative summary

Summary of the 28th Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan

Party Leader Seats
2016 Current
Saskatchewan Scott Moe 5146
New Democratic Ryan Meili 1013
vacant 02
– Total 6161

Incumbents not contesting their seats

Retiring incumbents

Saskatchewan Party

New Democratic Party

Candidates by riding

People in bold represent cabinet ministers and the speaker. Party leaders are italicized. The symbol † indicates MLAs who are not running again.

Northwest Saskatchewan
Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Liberal Green PC
         
Athabasca   Buckley Belanger
Cut Knife-Turtleford Ryan Domotor[6]   † Larry Doke
Lloydminster Colleen Young   Colleen Young
Meadow Lake Jeremy Harrison   Jeremy Harrison
Rosthern-Shellbrook Scott Moe   Scott Moe
The Battlefords Jeremy Cockrill[7] Amber Stewart   † Herb Cox

Northeast Saskatchewan
Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Liberal Green Other
         
Batoche Delbert Kirsch Lon Borgerson   Delbert Kirsch
Canora-Pelly Terry Dennis Stacey Strykowski   Terry Dennis
Carrot River Valley Fred Bradshaw Rod McCorriston   Fred Bradshaw
Cumberland Doyle Vermette   Doyle Vermette
Kelvington-Wadena Hugh Nerlien Linda Patenaude   Hugh Nerlien
Melfort Todd Goudy   Todd Goudy
Prince Albert Carlton Joe Hargrave Troy Parenteau   Joe Hargrave
Prince Albert Northcote Alana Ross Nicole Rancourt   Nicole Rancourt
Saskatchewan Rivers Nadine Wilson Lyle Whitefish   Nadine Wilson

West Central Saskatchewan
Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Liberal Green Other
         
Arm River Dana Skoropad[8] Cam Goff   † Greg Brkich
Biggar-Sask Valley Randy Weekes   Randy Weekes
Humboldt-Watrous Donna Harpauer   Donna Harpauer
Kindersley Ken Francis   Ken Francis
Martensville-Warman Terry Jenson[9]   †Nancy Heppner
Rosetown-Elrose Jim Reiter   Jim Reiter

Southwest Saskatchewan
Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Liberal Green PC
         
Cypress Hills Doug Steele Kelly Genert   Doug Steele
Lumsden-Morse Lyle Stewart[10]   Lyle Stewart
Moose Jaw North Tim McLeod   †Warren Michelson
Moose Jaw Wakamow Greg Lawrence Melissa Patterson[11]   Greg Lawrence
Swift Current Everett Hindley Stefan Rumpel   Everett Hindley
Wood River Dave Marit   Dave Marit

Southeast Saskatchewan
Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Liberal Green Other
         
Cannington Daryl Harrison   †Dan D'Autremont
Estevan Lori Carr   Lori Carr
Indian Head-Milestone Don McMorris[12] Jared Clarke   Don McMorris
Last Mountain-Touchwood Travis Keisig[13] Thera Nordal   †Glen Hart
Melville-Saltcoats Warren Kaeding   Warren Kaeding
Moosomin Steven Bonk   Steven Bonk
Weyburn-Big Muddy Dustin Duncan[14]   Dustin Duncan
Yorkton Greg Ottenbreit   Greg Ottenbreit

Saskatoon
Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Liberal Green PC
         
Saskatoon Centre Kim Groff[15] Betty Nippi-Albright   †David Forbes
Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood Lisa Lambert Dave McGrane   Lisa Lambert
Saskatoon Eastview Daryl Cooper Matt Love Tyrell Harder   Vacant
Saskatoon Fairview Manmeet Singh Sadhra[16] Vicki Mowat   Vicki Mowat
Saskatoon Meewasin Rylund Hunter Ryan Meili   Ryan Meili
Saskatoon Northwest Gordon Wyant   Gordon Wyant
Saskatoon Nutana Kyle Manzer[17] Erika Ritchie   †Cathy Sproule
Saskatoon Riversdale Marv Friesen Ashlee Hicks   †Danielle Chartier
Saskatoon Silverspring-Sutherland Paul Merriman Tajinder Grewal   Paul Merriman
Saskatoon Southeast Don Morgan Pamela Beaudin   Don Morgan
Saskatoon Stonebridge-Dakota Bronwyn Eyre   Bronwyn Eyre
Saskatoon University Eric Olauson Jennifer Bowes   Eric Olauson
Saskatoon Westview David Buckingham Malik Umar Draz   David Buckingham
Saskatoon Willowgrove Ken Cheveldayoff   Ken Cheveldayoff

Regina
Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Liberal Green Other
         
Regina Coronation Park Mark Docherty[18] Noor Burki   Mark Docherty
Regina Douglas Park Muhammad Naz[19] Nicole Sarauer   Nicole Sarauer
Regina Elphinstone-Centre Meara Conway   †Warren McCall
Regina Gardiner Park Gene Makowsky Faycal Haggui   Gene Makowsky
Regina Lakeview Carla Beck   Carla Beck
Regina Northeast Gary Grewal[20] Yens Pedersen   Yens Pedersen
Regina Pasqua Muhammad Fiaz Bhajan Brar   Muhammad Fiaz
Regina Rochdale Laura Ross Brett Estey   Laura Ross
Regina Rosemont Trent Wotherspoon   Trent Wotherspoon
Regina University Tina Beaudry-Mellor Aleana Young   Tina Beaudry-Mellor
Regina Walsh Acres Derek Meyers[21] Sandra Morin   Vacant
Regina Wascana Plains Christine Tell Mike Sinclair   Christine Tell

Opinion polls

Date(s)
conducted		 Polling organization/client Sample size SK Party NDP Liberal Green PC Others Lead
19–24 May 2020 Angus Reid 459 57.0% 32.0% 3.0% 2.0% 6.0% 25%
6–10 May 2020 The Canadian Perspective 792 51.9% 35.0% 2.9% 5.0% 1.9% 3.3% 16.9%
20–22 March 2019 Mainstreet Research 695 55.0% 31.2% 4.9% 4.0% 5.0% 23.8%
14–15 January 2019 Mainstreet Research 830 55.8% 32.6% 5.9% 2.4% 3.3% 23.2%
30 October–1 November 2018 Mainstreet Research 779 55.1% 30.3% 6.8% 4.2% 3.5% 24.8%
15–17 July 2018 Mainstreet Research 776 52.1% 35.1% 5.6% 4.0% 3.1% 17.0%
16–18 Apr 2018 Mainstreet Research 963 49.8% 38.7% 6.7% 3.3% 1.5% 11.1%
3 Mar 2018Ryan Meili is elected leader of the Saskatchewan NDP.
2 Feb 2018Scott Moe becomes Premier of Saskatchewan.
4–6 Jan 2018 Mainstreet Research 764 50.9% 34.4% 8.8% 5.8% 16.5%
24–27 Aug 2017 The Canadian Perspective 273 42.9% 45.4% 6.2% 4% 1.5% 2.5%
5–12 Jun 2017 Angus Reid 1,053 48% 41% 6% 3% 2% 7%
15–16 May 2017 Mainstreet Research 2,000 40% 49% 6% 5% 9%
11–13 Apr 2017 Insightrix 803 44% 40% 5% 4% 7% 4%
30–31 Mar 2017 Mainstreet Research 1,704 47% 42% 6% 5% 5%
22–23 Aug 2016 Mainstreet Research 1,690 53% 37% 5% 5% 16%
13 Jun 2016 Mainstreet Research 1,400 59% 32% 4% 5% 27%
4 Apr 2016 General election results 433,030 62.4% 30.2% 3.6% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 32.2%

References
  1. Martell, Creeden. "Saskatchewan Premier Brad Wall retiring from politics". cbc.ca. CBC News.
  2. https://globalnews.ca/news/4616592/sask-govt-announces-2020-election-date-tables-election-law-changes/
  3. https://leaderpost.com/news/saskatchewan/province-adjusting-election-dates
  4. "The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007" (PDF). The Queen's Printer (Saskatchewan). 2019. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  5. "No spring election: Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe". Global News. Retrieved 2020-03-12.
  6. "Ryan Domotor Wins Contested Nomination in Cut Knife - Turtleford".
  7. "Jeremy Cockrill Wins Contested Nomination in The Battlefords". Saskatchewan Party.
  8. "Dana Skoropad Nominated in Arm River". Saskatchewan Party. Retrieved 2019-10-25.
  9. "Terry Jenson Wins Contested Nomination in Martensville-Warm". Saskatchewan Party. Retrieved 2019-10-25.
  10. "Lyle Stewart Nominated in Lumsden-Morse". Saskatchewan Party. Retrieved 2019-10-25.
  11. "Saskatchewan NDP Twitter".
  12. "Don McMorris Nominated in Indian Head-Milestone". Saskatchewan Party. Retrieved 2019-10-25.
  13. "Travis Keisig Wins Contested Nomination in Last Mountain-Touchwood". Saskatchewan Party.
  14. "Dustin Duncan Nominated in Weyburn-Big Muddy". Saskatchewan Party. Retrieved 2019-10-25.
  15. August 08. "Kim Groff Nominated in Saskatoon Centre for 2020 Election". Saskatchewan Party. Retrieved 2019-10-25.
  16. "Manmeet Singh Sadhra Wins Contested Nomination in Saskatoon Fairview". Saskatchewan Party.
  17. "Kyle Mazer Acclaimed as Saskatchewan Party Candidate for Saskatoon Nutana".
  18. "Mark Docherty Acclaimed in Regina Coronation Park".
  19. "Muhammad Naz Acclaimed in Regina Douglas Park". Saskatchewan Party. Retrieved 2020-02-02.
  20. "Gary Grewal Wins Contested Nomination in Regina Northeast". Saskatchewan Party. Retrieved 2019-10-25.
  21. "Derek Meyers Acclaimed in Regina Walsh Acres". Saskatchewan Party.
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