43rd Manitoba general election
The 43rd Manitoba general election is scheduled to occur on or before 2023 to elect members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba. The incumbent Progressive Conservatives will attempt to retain the majority they won in the 2019 election.
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57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba 29 seats are needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Legislature summary
Party | Leader | Candidates | Seats | Popular vote | ||||||
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2019 | Current | Next | +/- | Votes | % | +/- | ||||
Progressive Conservative | Brian Pallister | – | 36 | 36 | ||||||
New Democratic | Wab Kinew | – | 18 | 18 | ||||||
Liberal | Dougald Lamont | – | 3 | 3 | ||||||
Green | James Beddome | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
Manitoba Forward | Wayne Sturby | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
Manitoba First | Douglas Petrick | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
Communist | Darrell Rankin | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
Independents | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Vacant | 0 | – | ||||||||
Blank and invalid votes | ||||||||||
Total | 57 | 57 | – | |||||||
Registered voters/turnout |
Opinion polls
Polling firm | Last date of polling[1] |
Link | PC | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of error[3] |
Sample size[4] |
Polling method[5] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Probe Research | June 11th, 2020 | URL | 38 | 36 | 18 | 7 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | Telephone | 2 | |
Angus Reid | May 24th, 2020 | URL | 45 | 36 | 12 | 6 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 430 | Online | 9 |
Probe Research | March 24th, 2020 | URL | 43 | 33 | 14 | 8 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | Telephone | 10 |
Probe Research | December 10, 2019 | URL | 42 | 36 | 13 | 8 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | Telephone | 6 |
2019 election | September 10, 2019 | 47.1 | 31.4 | 14.5 | 6.4 | 0.6 | 15.7 |
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