2021 Western Australian state election

The 2021 Western Australian state election is scheduled for Saturday 13 March 2021 to elect members to the Parliament of Western Australia, where all 59 seats in the Legislative Assembly and all 36 seats in the Legislative Council will be up for election. The first term incumbent Labor government, currently led by Premier Mark McGowan, will seek a second four-year term against the Liberal opposition, currently led by Opposition Leader Liza Harvey.

2021 Western Australian state election
13 March 2021
All 59 seats in the Western Australian Legislative Assembly
and all 36 members in the Western Australian Legislative Council
30 Assembly seats are needed for a majority
 
Leader Mark McGowan Liza Harvey Mia Davies
Party Labor Liberal National
Leader since 23 January 2012 (2012-01-23) 13 June 2019 21 March 2017 (2017-03-21)
Leader's seat Rockingham Scarborough Central Wheatbelt
Last election 41 seats 13 seats 5 seats
Current seats 40 seats 13 seats 6 seats
Seats needed 17 24
TPP @ 2017 55.5% 45.5%
Incumbent Premier

Mark McGowan
Labor

Background

The 2017 state election saw Labor win one of the most comprehensive victories on record at the state or territory level in Australia. Labor won 41 of the 59 seats in the Legislative Assembly—a 23-seat majority—both WA Labor's strongest result ever, and the largest government seat tally and largest government majority in Western Australian parliamentary history. Additionally, Labor exceeded all published opinion polling, winning 55.5 percent of the two-party-preferred vote from a state record landslide 12.8 percent two-party swing.[1][2][3]

Labor also became the largest party in the Legislative Council with 14 of the 36 seats. The Labor government will require at least five additional votes from non-government members to pass legislation.[3][4]

Date

Election dates are set in statute with four-year fixed terms, to be held on the second Saturday of March every four years.[5]

Retiring MPs

Labor

Liberal

Nationals

Greens

Pendulum
GOVERNMENT SEATS
Marginal
Joondalup Emily Hamilton ALP 0.6
Kingsley Jessica Stojkovski ALP 0.7
Jandakot Yaz Mubarakai ALP 1.0
Murray-Wellington Robyn Clarke ALP 1.4
Pilbara Kevin Michel ALP 2.3
Kalamunda Matthew Hughes ALP 2.5
Burns Beach Mark Folkard ALP 2.5
Bicton Lisa O'Malley ALP 2.9
Mount Lawley Simon Millman ALP 4.0
Albany Peter Watson ALP 5.1
Balcatta David Michael ALP 5.8
Fairly safe
Baldivis Reece Whitby ALP v IND 7.2
Wanneroo Sabine Winton ALP 7.3
Southern River Terry Healy ALP 7.9
Forrestfield Stephen Price ALP 9.4
Safe
Bunbury Don Punch ALP 10.8
Belmont Cassie Rowe ALP 11.4
Morley Amber-Jade Sanderson ALP 11.4
Perth John Carey ALP 11.8
Kimberley Josie Farrer ALP 13.0
Midland Michelle Roberts ALP 13.0
Swan Hills Jessica Shaw ALP 14.5
Collie Preston Mick Murray ALP 14.7
Willagee Peter Tinley ALP 15.5
Thornlie Chris Tallentire ALP 15.8
Cockburn Fran Logan ALP 15.9
Victoria Park Ben Wyatt ALP 16.5
Girrawheen Margaret Quirk ALP 16.7
West Swan Rita Saffioti ALP 17.1
Maylands Lisa Baker ALP 17.9
Mandurah David Templeman ALP 18.0
Cannington Bill Johnston ALP 18.1
Kwinana Roger Cook ALP 18.1
Mirrabooka Janine Freeman ALP 19.2
Butler John Quigley ALP 19.5
Bassendean Dave Kelly ALP 21.5
Fremantle Simone McGurk ALP 23.1
Rockingham Mark McGowan ALP 23.4
Warnbro Paul Papalia ALP 23.7
Armadale Tony Buti ALP 25.2
NON-GOVERNMENT SEATS
Marginal
Dawesville Zak Kirkup LIB 0.7
Darling Range Alyssa Hayden LIB 3.5
Hillarys Peter Katsambanis LIB 4.1
Riverton Mike Nahan LIB 4.4
Scarborough Liza Harvey LIB 5.6
Fairly safe
Kalgoorlie Kyran O'Donnell LIB 6.2
South Perth John McGrath LIB 7.1
Nedlands Bill Marmion LIB 8.3
Carine Tony Krsticevic LIB 9.0
Bateman Dean Nalder LIB 9.5
Safe
Churchlands Sean L'Estrange LIB 13.2
Cottesloe David Honey LIB 13.3
Vasse Libby Mettam LIB 14.7
CROSS BENCH SEATS
Geraldton Ian Blayney LIB v ALP 1.3
North West Central Vince Catania NAT v ALP 9.5
Warren-Blackwood Terry Redman NAT v ALP 13.4
Moore Shane Love NAT v LIB 13.9
Roe Peter Rundle NAT v LIB 14.4
Central Wheatbelt Mia Davies NAT v ALP 22.6

Opinion polling
Legislative Assembly (lower house) polling
Date Firm Primary vote TPP vote
ALP LIB NAT GRN OTH ALP LIB
12 August 2018 YouGov-Galaxy[12] 40% 32% 6% 11% 11% 54% 46%
2017 election 42.2% 31.2% 5.4% 8.9% 12.3% 55.5% 44.5%
6–9 March 2017 Newspoll[13] 41% 32% 5% 7% 15% 54% 46%

See also

References
  1. Labor 55.5% 2PP vote and +12.8% 2PP swing sourced from Antony Green's temporary estimate within provided ABC link published 30 March 2017, which states "The two-party preferred count is based on estimates for Baldivis, Moore and Roe. Actual two-party preferred counts for these seats will be available at a later date." – Final 2017 WA Election Results plus a New Electoral Pendulum: Antony Green ABC 30 March 2017
  2. Antony Green (16 March 2017). "The Role of One-Vote One-Value Electoral Reforms in Labor's Record WA Victory". ABC News (Australia). Retrieved 16 March 2017.
  3. "WA Election 2017". ABC News. 11 March 2017. Retrieved 12 March 2017.
  4. "WA Labor misses out on upper house working majority by one seat". ABC News. 26 March 2017.
  5. "'So when is the next election?'". Aph.gov.au. 2016-09-01. Retrieved 2017-09-28.
  6. Munday, Thomas (9 February 2020). "Collie-Preston MLA Mick Murray to retire at 2021 State Election". Bunbury Mail.
  7. Traill, Michael (10 February 2020). "End of an era - Veteran Albany MP Peter Watson announces his retirement". Albany Advertiser.
  8. De Kruijff, Peter (30 October 2019). "Liberal Member for South Perth John McGrath to retire". The West Australian.
  9. "Mike Nahan to retire from politics in 2021". Perth Now. 3 December 2019.
  10. "BOYDELL TO RETIRE AT NEXT ELECTION". Facebook. 21 February 2020.
  11. Hondros, Nathan (27 February 2020). "Freo mayor in tilt for state politics as Greens look to inject X factor". WA Today.
  12. "Opinion poll: WA Labor still hold strong lead over Liberal-National". 12 August 2018.
  13. "Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor in Western Australia". Archived from the original on 10 March 2017.
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