2020 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election
The 2020 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election will be held by postal ballot in August 2020[2][3] to choose a successor to Andrew Scheer, who announced his pending resignation as leader of the Conservative Party of Canada.[4] The $300,000 entrance fees also make it the most expensive leadership race ever in Canadian politics.[5]
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![]() Map of Canada by constituency |
Date | 21 August 2020 |
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Resigning leader | Andrew Scheer |
Candidates | 4 |
Entrance Fee | $300,000 (of which $100,000 is a refundable compliance deposit)[1] |
On 26 March 2020, the party suspended activities pertaining to the 27 June 2020 leadership election due to the ongoing coronavirus pandemic crisis in Canada.[3] Party officials said they would revisit their decision on 1 May 2020.[3] On 29 April 2020, it was announced that the race would proceed by postal ballot with the election itself being rescheduled from June to August. To be counted, ballots need to be completed and received by 21 August 2020.[6][2]
History
Background
On October 21, 2019, the 2019 Canadian federal election was held. The Conservatives remained in opposition against a minority Liberal government. Under the Conservative Party's constitution, an election loss results in a leadership review at the next party convention. The following day, Scheer announced his intention to remain leader of the party.[7]
As early as October 23, there were reports of that party members were already privately voicing dissatisfaction with Scheer's leadership, and suggestions that he could face a leadership challenge at the next party convention in April.[8] By the end of the month, Conservative figures were making their criticism public, and an online petition was launched that called for Scheer to resign.[9] Former MP and cabinet minister Peter MacKay described the election as "like having a breakaway on an open net and missing the net"; he attributed the loss to Scheer's socially conservative views, which he said "hung around [his] neck like a stinking albatross" and distracted from other policies and issues. MacKay's comments additionally fuelled speculation that he was vying for the leadership.[10]
On November 6, Scheer met with the Conservative caucus for the first time since the election, where they discussed the federal election and why the party failed to win. Scheer attributed the loss not to policy, but poor communication. During the meeting, the caucus voted against adopting the provisions of the Reform Act; as adopting them would have allowed the caucus to begin the process of ousting Scheer, his leadership was seen as safe until the April convention.[11] However, criticism did not abate; a report in the Toronto Star cited calls for Scheer's resignation from within the business community, energy sector and several high-profile party insiders.[12]
On December 12, Scheer announced that he was stepping down as leader, pending the election of his successor. He also said he would stay on as MP for Regina—Qu'Appelle "for the near future".[13] The leadership convention was scheduled for June 27, 2020.[14]
Allegations of hacking
On June 19, 2010, Erin O'Toole accused MacKay's campaign of theft of confidential campaign data and strategy including Zoom video conferences after discovering that their "systems were hacked earlier this week".[15]. Later that day, he filed a filed a formal complaint and requests the RCMP, OPP, and Toronto Police Service to investigate Peter MacKay's campaign and senior campaign staff Jamie Lall.[16] MacKay's campaign dismissed the allegations and called them a "desperate, last ditch strategy" and "mildly amusing."[17] Lall has also publicly denied the allegations on his personal Twitter account.[18]
On June 22, the National Post reported that the O'Toole camp received a confession letter from MP staffer implicating Lall and describing him as a "senior regional adviser to the Peter MacKay campaign."[19] Later in the day, the RCMP released a statement saying they have begun an investigation into O'Toole's allegations against the MacKay campaign, while Lall stated that he is "aggressively pursuing" legal action against the O'Toole campaign.[20] MacKay spokesperson Chisholm Pothier told CBC News Tuesday that the O'Toole team sent its confidential passwords and logins to more than 300 MPs and their political staffers — something Pothier said was done "negligently and with no reasonable expectation of privacy."[21] In response, O'Toole Campaign manager Fred DeLorey tweeted "This is a willful attempt at deception.There is a big diff between sending invitees a code for specific meetings and someone breaking into the private admin and stealing all of the files. The former is standard operations, the latter is a crime. That is what is being investigated."[22]
On June 24, MP Greg McLean's ex-staffer admitted to trying to leak Erin O'Toole's confidential video records, but says the MacKay campaign turned him down, according to Toronto Star's Alex Boutilier and Kieran Leavitt.[23] MP McLean later tweeted "Sadly, this is completely inconsistent with what was told to me and senior O'Toole officials by this young man. I know not to trust this. The police investigation will determine the truth"[24] Erin O'Toole Campaign staffer Anthony Koch also tweeted "How do you explain the Calgary and midtown Toronto IP addresses that accessed the zoom admin account illegally multiple times over the course of a week and downloaded over 140 unique videos?"[25]
Timeline
2019
- 21 October – The 2019 Canadian federal election was held. The Conservatives remained in opposition against a minority Liberal government.[26] Under CPC rules, a loss in an election triggers an automatic leadership review.
- 22 October – CPC Leader Andrew Scheer announced he will continue as leader.[7]
- 12 December – Andrew Scheer announced his pending resignation as leader of the Conservatives, Andrew Scheer will remain MP for Regina—Qu'Appelle when a new leader is elected.[27]
- 21 December – The party executive announced that a national party policy convention scheduled for mid-April 2020 has been postponed until November "so greater focus could be given to the details and organization around the Conservative leadership election process."[28]
- 24 December – The party announced that former Deputy Leader Lisa Raitt will co-chair the organizing committee for the leadership race.[29] Dan Nowlan is the committee's other co-chair.[30]
2020
- 13 January – Leadership election process officially commences.[31][1][32]
- 27 February – Deadline for potential candidates to enter leadership election. Candidates must have, by this date, paid at least $25,000 towards their registration fee and submitted signatures of at least 1,000 party members qualified to nominate them for leader.[1][32][33]
- 25 March – Deadline for candidates to meet all entry requirements, including having paid the $300,000 entrance fee and compliance deposit in full and collected signatures of 3,000 qualified party members from 30 Electoral District Associations, in at least seven provinces or territories.[1][32][34]
- 26 March – Leadership race suspended indefinitely due to ongoing coronavirus pandemic crisis.[3] Party officials said that the schedule for the debates and leadership convention would be revisited on 1 May 2020.[3]
- 29 April – The party's Leadership Election Organizing Committee announced the resumption of the leadership election process, with the vote to occur via mail-in ballot that needs to be received by 21 August 2020.[6][2]
- 15 May – New deadline to sign up as a member for purposes of voting in the leadership race. Previous deadline was 17 April 2020.[35]
- 17 June – French-language debate in Toronto, moderated by Dan Nowlan and Lisa Raitt.[36][37][38]
- 18 June – English-language debate in Toronto, moderated by Dan Nowlan and Lisa Raitt.[36][37][39]
- 19 June – Erin O'Toole files a formal complaint and requests the RCMP, OPP, and Toronto Police Service to investigate Peter MacKay's campaign and senior campaign staff Jamie Lall.[40] O'Toole's accusations include theft of confidential campaign data and strategy including Zoom video conferences after discovering that their "systems were hacked earlier this week".[41]
- 20 June – MacKay's campaign dismissed O'Toole's allegations and called them a "desperate, last ditch strategy" and "mildly amusing."[42] Lall has also publicly denied the allegations on his personal Twitter account.[43]
- 21 August – Deadline for election ballots to be filled out and received in order to be counted. The previous date for the election had been 27 June 2020.[2]
- Late August – According to the Leadership Election Organizing Committee: "The result will be announced as soon as those ballots can be properly processed and examined by scrutineers while respecting any health guidelines in place at that time.”[44]
Debates
No. | Date | Place | Host | Language | Participants | |||||||||||||||||
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P Participant N Non-invitee A Absent invitee O Out of race (exploring or withdrawn) |
Lewis | MacKay | O'Toole | Sloan | ||||||||||||||||||
1 | June 17, 2020 | Toronto, Ontario | Conservative Party of Canada | French | P | P | P | P | ||||||||||||||
2 | June 18, 2020 | Toronto, Ontario | Conservative Party of Canada | English | P | P | P | P | ||||||||||||||
3 | June 24, 2020 | Webex | Etobicoke-Lakeshore Conservative Association | English | P | A | P | P |
Rules and procedures
On 11 January 2020, the party's Leadership Election Organizing Committee released the Rules and Procedures for the 2020 Leadership document.[1][47] It confirmed the vote would be held under instant-runoff voting, open to those who are members of the Conservative Party of Canada as of 17 April. (This date was later pushed back to 15 May.) To appear on the ballot, a member must apply to the Leadership Candidate Nomination Committee between 13 January and 27 February, with 1,000 signatures of endorsement from party members (which must span at least 30 Electoral Districts in 7 provinces),[34] a $25,000 instalment of the registration fee and a completed 42-page Leadership Contestant Questionnaire, which requires them to declare they accept "the policies, principles, goals and objectives" of the Conservative Party.[48] If approved by the Committees, the applicant has until 25 March to provide the remainder of the 3,000 endorsement signatures and $200,000 registration fee.[32] In addition a $100,000 Compliance Deposit is required prior to 25 March but is returned upon completing required financial filings and adhering to Rules and Procedures document. As in the 2017 leadership election, each electoral district is given 100 points which are distributed according to weight of a candidate's vote in that electoral distribute, with the first candidate receiving 16,901 points winning the contest.[49]
Candidates
Verified candidates are authorized contestants that have paid the full $200,000 registration fee, the entire $100,000 compliance deposit, and submitted all 3,000 required signatures of endorsement by 25 March 2020. Verified candidates have secured their name on the leadership ballot.[50][51]
Leslyn Lewis
- Background
Leslyn Lewis, 49, is a Toronto lawyer and the former CPC candidate for Scarborough—Rouge Park, Ontario in the 2015 election.[52] Leslyn Lewis holds a bachelor's degree from University of Toronto, two master's degrees, a law degree from Osgoode Hall Law School[53] and a PhD in International Law.[52] Leslyn Lewis is also a Vice Chair of the Ontario Trillium Foundation and Chair of the Partnership Committee.[53]
- Candidacy announced: 22 January 2020[54]
- Date registered with Elections Canada:
- Campaign website: Leslyn Lewis
- Campaign slogan: Courage • Compassion • Common Sense[55]
- Campaign slogan (Français): Courage • Compassion • Bon Sens[56]
Endorsements of Leslyn Lewis |
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Peter MacKay
- Background
Peter MacKay, 54, was the MP for Central Nova (2004–2015), and for Pictou—Antigonish—Guysborough (1997–2004). He was Minister of Justice and Attorney General (2013–2015), Minister of National Defense (2007–2013), Minister of Foreign Affairs (2006–2007), Deputy Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada (2004–2015). He was the leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Canada (2003) at the time of the merger. Prior to entering politics, Peter MacKay worked as a Crown Attorney.[76][77]
- Candidacy announced: 15 January 2020[78]
- Date registered with Elections Canada:
- Campaign website: www.petermackay.ca
- Campaign slogan: Unite Build Lead[79]
- Campaign slogan (Français): Unir Bâtir Diriger[80]
Erin O'Toole
- Background
Erin O'Toole, 47, is the MP for Durham (2012–present), the Shadow Minister of Foreign Affairs (2017–present), and the former Shadow Minister of Public Safety and Emergency Preparedness (2015–2016) and Minister of Veterans Affairs (2015). He placed third in the 2017 Conservative leadership election. Prior to entering politics, Erin O'Toole served in the Royal Canadian Air Force, where he held the rank of Captain, and was a lawyer after completing military service.[77]
- Candidacy announced: 25 January 2020[220][221]
- Date registered with Elections Canada:
- Campaign website: www.erinotoole.ca
- Campaign slogan: Take back Canada.[222]
- Campaign slogan (Français): Reprendre les rênes du Canada.[223]
Derek Sloan
- Background
Derek Sloan, 35, is the MP for Hastings—Lennox and Addington (2019–present). Prior to entering politics, Derek Sloan worked as a lawyer in private practice.[280][281][282]
- Candidacy announced: 22 January 2020[283]
- Date registered with Elections Canada:
- Campaign website: www
.dereksloan .ca - Campaign slogan: Conservative. Without Apology.[284]
- Campaign slogan (Français): Conservateur Sans Se Dérober[285]
Endorsements of Derek Sloan |
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Platforms
Issue | Leslyn Lewis | Peter MacKay | Erin O'Toole | Derek Sloan |
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Deficit |
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Foreign |
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Health |
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Immigration |
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Indigenous |
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Internal |
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Labour |
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Legal |
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Media |
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Military |
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Provinces and Territories |
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Senate |
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Speech |
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Taxation |
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Fundraising
First quarter of 2020
Verified candidates
- Peter MacKay raised $1,045,851 from 3,355 contributions.[381] Peter MacKay had the most donors in Manitoba, Quebec, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and Newfoundland and Labrador.[382]
- Erin O’Toole raised $784,997 from 4,174 contributions.[381] Erin O'Toole had the most donors in British Columbia, Alberta and Ontario.[382]
- Leslyn Lewis raised $447,646 from 2,941 contributions.[381] Leslyn Lewis had the most donors in Saskatchewan, Prince Edward Island and the combined total of the three territories.[382]
- Derek Sloan raised $410,263 from 2,478 contributions.[381][382]
Withdrawn candidates
- Jim Karahalios (disqualified) raised $294,522 from 1,700 contributions.[381]
- Marilyn Gladu (withdrew) raised $94,734.[381]
- Rick Peterson (withdrew) raised $35,598.[381]
- Rudy Husny (withdrew) raised $28,941.[381]
Withdrew or failed to qualify
Failed to qualify as authorized contestants
Approved applicants who failed to pass the second qualification stage that required 2,000 signatures and the submission of the full $100,000 compliance fee and at least $50,000 of the entrance fee by 25 March 2020 or who disqualified between Stage 1 and Stage 2.[383]
Marilyn Gladu
![](../I/m/Marilyn_Gladu.png)
- Background
Marilyn Gladu, 57, is the MP for Sarnia—Lambton (2015–present), and was the Shadow Minister of Health (2017–2020),[384] Shadow Minister of Science (2015–2017). Prior to entering politics, she was an engineer for Dow Chemical.[385][386]
- Candidacy announced: 9 January 2020[387]
- Candidacy suspended: 25 March 2020
- Date registered with Elections Canada:
- Campaign website:
Rudy Husny
- Background
Rudy Husny is Director of Stakeholder Relations in the Office of the Leader of the Official Opposition and candidate in Outremont in 2011 and 2015.[388][389]
Withdrew due to tight election timeline and rules. Husny cited the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic crisis as his stated reason for suspending his campaign, saying it is just not right to ask people for money during a public health emergency.[392]
Endorsements of Rudy Husny |
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Jim Karahalios
- Background
Jim Karahalios is a corporate lawyer and founder of activist groups "Axe The Carbon Tax" and "Take Back Our PC Party". He sued the Ontario PC party after narrowly losing an election in November 2018 for party president, but the case has not yet been tried. He is accusing the Ontario PC party of ballot stuffing in that election.[394]
Karahalios obtained the required 3,000 verified signatures and collected $300,000 for the entrance fee, but CPC officers refused to put his name on the ballot. The exact reasons for Karahalios's disqualification were not released.[395] Karahalios contested the disqualification in court.[396][44] On May 20, 2020, the Ontario Superior Court of Justice reinstated his candidacy.[397][398] The judge's decision was made on the basis that the subcommittee which disqualified Karahalios did not have the authority to do so. The day after Karahalios was reinstated as a candidate, he was disqualified by the leadership election organizing committee (LEOC), a body which the judge stated had the authority to disqualify candidates.[399]
- Candidacy announced: 28 January 2020[400]
- Disqualified: 20 March 2020
- Reinstated by court: 20 May 2020
- Disqualified: 21 May 2020
- Date registered with Elections Canada:
- Campaign website: Jim Karahalios for Conservative Party Leader
Endorsements of Jim Karahalios |
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Rick Peterson
![](../I/m/Rick-Peterson_(portrait).jpg)
- Background
Rick Peterson, 64, is a venture capitalist, party fundraiser, principal of Peterson Capital, and a former candidate for leadership of the British Columbia Conservative Party. He was a member of the Progressive Conservatives at the time of the merger. He ran and placed 12th in the 2017 Conservative leadership election.[403][404]
Withdrew due to tight election timeline and rules. Peterson also cited the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic crisis as his stated reason for suspending his campaign. Endorsed Peter MacKay.[406]
- Date registered with Elections Canada:
- Campaign website: rickcpc
.ca - Policies
- Implement a 15% federal flat tax[407]
- Eliminate the federal corporate income tax
- Repeal of Bill C-48[407]
- Replace the federal carbon tax with a levy on heavy emitters[407]
- End supply management
Endorsements of Rick Peterson |
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Failed to qualify as approved applicants
Declared candidates who failed to pass the first qualification stage by obtaining at least 1,000 signatures, submit at least $25,000 of the entrance fee by 27 February 2020 and/or pass the vetting process.[383]
Richard Décarie
- Background
Richard Décarie, 60, was the Deputy Chief of Staff to then-Opposition Leader Stephen Harper and Chief of Staff & Senior Advisor to then-Premier Jean Charest.[411][412]
- Candidacy announced: 30 January 2020 [412]
- Notes
- Décarie advocated for social conservative values.[412] "I think 'LGBTQ' is a Liberal term. I don't talk about people that way, I talk about persons, and I think we all need the full respect for being a human being."[413] When asked by an interviewer whether "being gay" was a "choice" or not, Décarie said that it was. This answer lead to calls by Kory Teneycke, a former senior aide to both Stephen Harper and Doug Ford, that he be barred from running.[48] Décarie acquired the required number of signatures and paid the deposit but was disqualified by the party following his interview with the nomination committee.[414] Endorsed Derek Sloan.[286]
Clayton Knutzon
- Background
Clayton Knutzon is a former Freedom Conservative Party candidate in Alberta.[415][400]
- Candidacy announced: 22 December 2019[400]
Bobby Singh
- Background
Bobby Singh is a Toronto businessman and the former CPC candidate for Scarborough—Rouge Park, Ontario in the 2019 election. Endorsed Peter MacKay.[416]
- Candidacy announced: 15 January 2020[54]
Irvin Studin
- Background
Irvin Studin is a senior fellow at the University of Toronto’s Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy, a Rhodes Scholar, former professional soccer player with the Toronto Lynx, and served in the Privy Council Office between 2002 and 2006.[417]
- Candidacy announced: 25 February 2020[417]
Withdrawn prior to 27 February 2020
Bryan Brulotte
- Background
CEO and chair of employment firm MaxSys Staffing and Consulting (1993–present), deputy chief of staff to Paul Dick (1993), Progressive Conservative candidate for Lanark-Carleton in 2000.[418]
- Candidacy announced: 16 December 2019[418][419]
- Candidacy suspended: 14 January 2020[210]
- Campaign Website: www.bryanbrulotte.ca
- Notes
Withdrew following the release of the leadership election rules. Endorsed Peter MacKay.[210]
Aron Seal
Aron Seal, a former policy advisor to Prime Minister Stephen Harper, Director of Policy for Tony Clement and Jim Flaherty.[405][420][421][393]
- Candidacy announced: 22 October 2019
- Candidacy suspended: 25 February 2020[393]
- Campaign website: www
.millennialconservative .ca - Notes
Withdrew saying that new signature requirements and deadlines were "designed to keep outsider candidates out". Endorsed Rudy Husny.[393]
Declined
- Rona Ambrose – Interim Leader of the CPC and Leader of the Official Opposition (2015–2017), MP for Sturgeon River—Parkland (2015–2017) and Edmonton—Spruce Grove, Alberta (2004–2015), Minister of Health (2013–2015), Minister of Public Works and Government Services (2010–2013), Minister of Labour (2008–2010), Minister of Intergovernmental Affairs (2007–2008), Minister of the Environment (2006–2007)[77][422][423]
- John Baird – MP for Ottawa West—Nepean, Ontario (2006–2015), Minister of Foreign Affairs (2011–2015), Leader of the Government in the House of Commons (2010–2011), Minister of the Environment (2007–2008, 2010–2011), Minister of Transport (2008–2010), President of the Treasury Board, (2006–2007), Ontario Progressive Conservative Party MPP (1995–2005) and provincial cabinet minister (1999–2003).[424][425][426]
- Candice Bergen – Opposition House Leader (2016–present), Shadow Minister for Natural Resources (2015–2016), Minister of State for Social Development (2013–2015), MP for Portage—Lisgar, Manitoba (2008–present)[427]
- Maxime Bernier – Leader of the People's Party (2018–present), Shadow Minister of Innovation, Science and Economic Development (2015–2016, 2017–2018), Minister of State for Small Business, Tourism and Agriculture (2011–2015), Minister of Foreign Affairs (2007–2008), and Minister of Industry (2006–2007), MP for Beauce, Quebec (2006–2019), placed second in the 2017 Conservative leadership election[428]
- Jean Charest – Premier of Quebec (2003–2012), Leader of the Quebec Liberal Party (1998–2012), Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Canada (1993–1998), Deputy Prime Minister of Canada (1993), Minister of the Environment (1991–1993), MP for Sherbrooke (1984–1998)[429][430][431]
- Michael Chong – Shadow Minister of Democratic Institutions (2019–present), Shadow Minister of Science (2018–2019), Shadow Minister of Infrastructure and Communities (2017–2018), Shadow Minister of Urban Affairs (2017–2018), Deputy Shadow Minister of the Environment (2015–2016), Minister of Intergovernmental Affairs (2006), Minister of State (Sport) (2006), MP for Wellington—Halton Hills, Ontario (2004–present), placed fifth in the 2017 Conservative leadership election[432][433]
- Christy Clark – Premier of British Columbia (2011–2017), Leader of the British Columbia Liberal Party (2011–2017)[434]
- Gérard Deltell – Shadow Minister of Intergovernmental Affairs (2019–present), Shadow President of the Treasury Board (2017–2019), Shadow Minister of Finance (2016–2017), Shadow Minister of Employment, Workforce Development, and Labour (2015–2016), MP for Louis-Saint-Laurent, Quebec (2015–present), Quebec MNA for Chauveau (2008–2015) and leader of the Action démocratique du Québec (2009–2012)[435][436][437]
- Mario Dumont - Leader of the Official Opposition of Québec (2007–2008), Leader of the Action Démocratique du Québec (1994–2009), MNA for Rivière-du-Loup (1994–2009) [438]
- Michael Fortier – Minister of International Trade (2008), Minister of Public Works and Government Services (2006–2008), Senator from Quebec (2006–2008), placed fifth in the 1998 Progressive Conservative leadership election[439][440]
- Vincenzo Guzzo – Entrepreneur, philanthropist, and television personality (Dragons' Den); CEO of Cinémas Guzzo, Groupe Guzzo Construction Inc., Guzzo Medical and Guzzo Hospitality[441][421][442]
- Stephen Harper – Prime Minister of Canada (2006–2015), Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada (2004–2015), Leader of the Canadian Alliance (2000–2003), MP for Calgary Southwest/Calgary Heritage (2002–2016), MP for Calgary West (1993–1997)[443]
- Jason Kenney – Premier of Alberta (2019–present), Leader of the United Conservative Party (2017–present), Leader of the Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta (2017), and Alberta MLA for Calgary-Lougheed (2017–present), Minister of National Defence (2015), Minister of Employment and Social Development (2013–2015), Minister of Citizenship, Immigration and Multiculturalism (2008–2013), MP for Calgary Midnapore, Alberta (2015–2016) and Calgary Southeast, Alberta (1997–2015). Initially endorsed Ambrose; after she declined to enter the race, endorsed O'Toole.[444][445]
- Bernard Lord – Premier of New Brunswick (1999–2006), Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick (1997–2006)[435][446]
- Caroline Mulroney – Ontario Minister of Transportation (2019–present), Ontario Minister of Francophone Affairs (2018–present), Attorney General of Ontario (2018–2019), Ontario MPP for York—Simcoe (2018–present), daughter of former Prime Minister Brian Mulroney.[447][448] Endorsed MacKay.[449]
- Pierre Poilievre – Shadow Minister of Finance (2017–present), Shadow Minister of Employment, Workforce Development, and Labour (2016–2017), Shadow President of Treasury Board (2015–2016), Minister of Employment and Social Development (2015), Minister for Democratic Reform (2013–2015), MP for Carleton, Ontario (2015–present) and Nepean—Carleton, Ontario (2004–2015)[450][451][452] Though expected to announce his candidacy on 26 January and reported to have formed a campaign team including John Baird as campaign chair and Leo Housakos as Quebec organizer, Poilievre announced on 23 January that he would not run for the leadership.[452]
- Lisa Raitt – Deputy Leader of the CPC and Deputy Leader of the Official Opposition (2017–2019), Shadow Minister of Finance (2015–2016), Minister of Transport (2013–2015), Minister of Labour (2010–2013), Minister of Natural Resources (2008–2010), President and CEO of the Toronto Port Authority (2002–2008), MP for Milton, Ontario (2015–2019) and Halton, Ontario (2008–2015), placed eighth in the 2017 Conservative leadership election[448]
- Michelle Rempel Garner – Shadow Minister of Industry and Economic Development (2019–present), Shadow Minister of Immigration, Refugees, and Citizenship (2015–2019), Minister of Western Economic Diversification (2013–2015), MP for Calgary Nose Hill, Alberta (2015–present) and Calgary Centre-North, Alberta (2011–2015).[453]
- Brad Trost – Shadow Minister of Canada–U.S. Relations (2015–2016), MP for Saskatoon—University, Saskatchewan (2015–2019) and Saskatoon—Humboldt, Saskatchewan (2004–2015), placed fourth in the 2017 Conservative leadership election[454][455] Initially endorsed Décarie;[412] after Décarie was disqualified, endorsed Sloan and Lewis.[69]
- Brad Wall – Premier of Saskatchewan (2007–2018), Leader of the Saskatchewan Party (2004–2018). Endorsed Ambrose.[435][456]
- John Williamson – MP for New Brunswick Southwest (2011–2015, 2019–present), director of communications for the Prime Minister's Office under Stephen Harper, national director of the Canadian Taxpayers Federation (2004–2008).[457][458]
Opinion polling
After candidate registration deadline
Conservative Party members
Polling firm/link | Last date of polling | Sample size | Margin of error | Peter MacKay | Erin O'Toole | Leslyn Lewis | Derek Sloan | Undecided | Notes |
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Mainstreet/iPolitics | 20-21 May 2020 | 7,958 | ± 1.1% | 39% | 31% | 10% | 6% | 14% | |
Mainstreet/iPolitics | 12 May 2020 | 6,624 | ± 2.62% | 40% | 34% | 9% | 5% | 13% |
Conservative Party supporters
Polling firm/link | Last date of polling | Sample size | Margin of error | Peter MacKay | Erin O'Toole | Leslyn Lewis | Derek Sloan | Undecided | Notes |
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Léger | 21 June 2020 | 351 | ± 2.51% | 30% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 47% | |
Abacus Data | 21 May 2020 | 1,800 | ± 2.3% | 69% | 31% | -- | -- | -- | Did not include Lewis and Sloan. |
All Canadians
Polling firm/link | Last date of polling | Sample size | Margin of error | Peter MacKay | Erin O'Toole | Leslyn Lewis | Derek Sloan | Undecided | Notes |
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Léger | 21 June 2020 | 1,521 | ± 2.51% | 18% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 70% | |
Abacus Data | 21 May 2020 | 1,800 | ± 2.3% | 61% | 39% | -- | -- | -- | Did not include Lewis and Sloan. |
Before candidate registration deadline
Conservative Party supporters
Polling firm/link | Last date of polling | Sample size | Margin of error | Notes | |||||||||||||||
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Léger | 4 March 2020 | 382 | ± 2.5% | -- | -- | 38% | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 9% | -- | -- | -- | 6% | 47% | -- |
Léger | 1 February 2020 | 402 | ± 2.53% | -- | -- | 42% | -- | -- | -- | 6% | -- | -- | 4% | -- | -- | -- | 3% | 45% | Gladu 2%
Décarie 1% |
Léger | 7 January 2020 | 392 | ± 2.49% | 18% | 18% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | -- | 29% | -- |
EKOS Research | 17 December 2019 | 340 | ± 5.3% | 27.8% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 4.0% | – | 0.9%* | 8.0% | 0.0%* | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.4% | – | 0.0%* | 19.8%* | 7.6% | *Includes
write-ins |
All Canadians
Polling firm/link | Last date of polling | Sample size | Margin of error | Notes | |||||||||||||||
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Léger | 4 March 2020 | 1,540 | ± 2.5% | -- | 25% | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 14% | 63% | O'Toole 4%
Peterson 2% Gladu 2% Décarie 2% Lewis 1% Sloan 1% Karahalios 1% Husny 1% |
Léger | 1 February 2020 | 1,501 | ± 2.53% | -- | 28% | -- | -- | -- | 4% | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8% | 60% | O'Toole 3%
Gladu 3% Décarie 2% |
Léger | 7 January 2020 | 1,557 | ± 2.49% | 10% | 7% | – | 4% | 9% | 1% | – | 2% | – | 3% | – | – | – | 12% | 51% | – |
EKOS Research | 17 December 2019 | 1,543 | ± 2.5% | 19.3% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.3%* | 0.5%* | – | 2.1% | 0.2%* | 3.9% | 0.4%* | 17.0% | 22.9% | *Write ins |
Angus Reid | 11 December 2019 | 4,516 | ± 1.0% | 27% | 21% | 9% | – | – | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | – | 0% | Respondents could pick up to 3 choices |
Notes
- Originally scheduled for 27 June 2020; rescheduled due to the ongoing coronavirus pandemic in Canada.
- Resident of Ontario. Candidate for Scarborough—Rouge Park, Ontario in 2015.
- Resident of Ontario. Former MP for Central Nova, Nova Scotia.
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- O'Toole, Erin (1 May 2020). "Welcome/Bienvenue, @MartinBowRiver!".
- O'Toole, Erin (1 May 2020). "Welcome/Bienvenue, @GeraldSorokaMP!".
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- O'Toole, Erin (5 May 2020). "Welcome/Bienvenue @WSteinley_SP!".
- O'Toole, Erin (1 May 2020). "Welcome/Bievenue, @DavidSweetMP!".
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- O'Toole, Erin. "Welcome/Bienvenue @takovanpopta !". Twitter. @ErinOTooleMP.
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- O'Toole, Erin (1 May 2020). "Welcome/Bienvenue, @BradleyVis!".
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- O'Toole, Erin (1 May 2020). "Welcome/Bienvenue, Senator Housakos!".
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|title=
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