United Kingdom general election, 2015 (England)

United Kingdom general election, 2015 (England)
	7 May 2015
	7 May 2015
All 533 English seats to the House of Commons
	A map of English parliamentary constituencies*Seat figure does not include the Speaker of the House of Commons, John Bercow, who was included in the Conservative seat total by some media outlets.

The 2015 United Kingdom general election in England was held on Thursday, 7 May 2015 for 533 English seats to the House of Commons. The Conservatives won a majority of seats in England for the second time in a row.

Both major parties made gains at the expense of the Liberal Democrats, whose support collapsed to its lowest level since 1970. Their vote share declined by 16 percentage points, and the party lost 37 of its 43 seats. The party won 6 seats and 8% of the vote overall. This was the worst result for the Lib Dems or the Liberals in 45 years, while the 16-point drop in vote share was the biggest decline in Lib Dem or Liberal support since 1931.

Although Labour increased their share of the vote by 4% and gained 15 seats, the Conservatives made 21 gains for a total of 318, including winning 6 seats directly from Labour. Together with seats from Scotland and Wales, this allowed the Conservatives to form a majority government with 330 seats, leading to the first majority Conservative government since 1992.

Political context

The general election was fought with the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats having been in coalition since 2010, with Labour being the main opposition, though with the Conservatives holding the majority of English seats. It was also fought following the victory of the UK Independence Party at the European Parliament Elections and in two by-elections the year before, along with George Galloway of the Respect Party having won the Bradford West by-election, 2012 from Labour.

Results summary


Party^[1]		Seats					Votes
Party^[1]		Total	Gains	Losses	Net +/-	% seats	Total votes	% votes	Change
	Conservative	318	32	11	21	59.7	10,483,261	40.9	1.4
	Labour	206	21	6	15	38.6	8,087,684	31.6	3.6
	UKIP	1	1	0	1	0.2	3,611,367	14.1	10.7
	Liberal Democrat	6	0	37	37	1.1	2,098,404	8.2	16.0
	Green	1	0	0		0.2	1,073,242	4.2	3.2
	Speaker	1	0	0		0.2	34,617	0.1
	TUSC	0	0	0		—	32,868	0.1	0.1
	National Health Action	0	0	0		—	20,210	0.1	N/A
	Respect	0	0	0		—	9,989	0.0	0.1
	Yorkshire Party	0	0	0		—	6,811	0.0	N/A
	English Democrat	0	0	0		—	6,431	0.0	0.2
	CISTA	0	0	0		—	4,569	0.0	N/A
	Monster Raving Loony	0	0	0		—	3,432	0.0
	Christian Peoples	0	0	0		—	3,260	0.0
	BNP	0	0	0		—	1,667	0.0	2.1
	Class War	0	0	0		—	526	0.0	N/A
	Other parties	0	0	0		—	127,133	0.5	0.2
							25,571,204	65.9	0.4

Popular vote

Conservative			40.9%
Labour			31.6%
UKIP			14.1%
Liberal Democrats			8.2%
Greens			4.2%
Other			0.9%

Parliament seats

Conservative			59.7%
Labour			38.6%
Liberal Democrats			1.1%
UKIP			0.2%
Greens			0.2%
Speaker			0.2%

Analysis

The Conservatives emerged as the largest party increasing both its number of seats and votes winning seats both from the Liberal Democrats and the Labour party, as well as holding on to many of their key marginal seats.

Labour though increasing both in number of votes and seats after making gains against the Liberal Democrats along with limited gains against the Conservative Party failed to become the largest party losing its Shadow Chancellor Ed Balls to the Conservatives, with its leader Ed Miliband resigning as Labour leader.

The Liberal Democrats lost the vast majority of its seats barely keeping that of its former leader Nick Clegg who resigned on the morning of the election results.

UKIP made large gains in the percentage of votes, though failed to retain Rochester and Strood or to take any seats, leading to the resignation of its leader Nigel Farage.

The Green party increased its share of the vote and held Brighton Pavilion but also failed to make any gains.

Campaign events

31 March: First official day of the general election campaign
13 April: The Labour Party launched its manifesto ^[2]
14 April: The Conservative Party and The Green Party launched their manifestos
15 April: UKIP and the Liberal Democrats launched their manifestos
7 May: BBC Exit poll showed the Conservative party as the largest single party
8 May: The Conservative Party emerges as the largest party in England, gaining a majority of MPs in the House of Commons and forming the next Government of the United Kingdom as a majority, contrary to predictions made at the start of the election campaign.

Target seats

The recorded swing in each case is calculated as two-way swing from the party that won in 2010 to the party targeting the seat. Negative swing implies that the targeting party lost votes to the incumbent party.

Conservative Party

Rank	Constituency	Region		Swing required (%)		Swing to CON (±%)
1	Hampstead and Kilburn	London	Labour	0.10	Labour hold	-1.0
2	Bolton West	North West England	Labour	0.10	Conservative gain	+0.9
3	Solihull	West Midlands	Liberal Democrats	0.16	Conservative gain	+11.9
4	Southampton Itchen	South East England	Labour	0.22	Conservative gain	+2.8
5	Mid Dorset and North Poole	South West England	Liberal Democrats	0.29	Conservative gain	+11.6
6	Wirral South	North West England	Labour	0.66	Labour hold	-4.8
7	Derby North	East Midlands	Labour	0.68	Conservative gain	+0.8
8	Wells	South West England	Liberal Democrats	0.72	Conservative gain	+7.4
9	Dudley North	West Midlands	Labour	0.84	Labour hold	-4.7
10	Great Grimsby	Yorkshire and the Humber	Labour	1.08	Labour hold	-5.7

Labour Party

Rank	Constituency	Region		Swing required (%)		Swing to LAB (±%)
1	North Warwickshire	West Midlands	Conservative	0.06	Conservative hold	−3.1
2	Thurrock	South East England	Conservative	0.10	Conservative hold	−0.5
3	Hendon	London	Conservative	0.11	Conservative hold	−3.7
4	Sherwood	East Midlands	Conservative	0.22	Conservative hold	−4.4
5	Norwich South	East of England	Liberal Democrats	0.33	Labour gain	+13.2
6	Stockton South	North East England	Conservative	0.33	Conservative hold	−4.6
7	Broxtowe	East Midlands	Conservative	0.37	Conservative hold	−3.7
8	Lancaster and Fleetwood	North West England	Conservative	0.39	Labour gain	+1.9
9	Bradford East	Yorkshire and the Humber	Liberal Democrats	0.45	Labour gain	+9.0
10	Amber Valley	East Midlands	Conservative	0.58	Conservative hold	−4.1

Liberal Democrats

Rank	Constituency	Region		Swing required (%)		Swing to LD (±%)
1	Camborne and Redruth	South West England	Conservative	0.08	Conservative hold	−13.8
2	Oxford West and Abingdon	South East England	Conservative	0.16	Conservative hold	−8.3
3	Sheffield Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	Labour	0.20	Labour hold	−22.5
4	Ashfield	East Midlands	Labour	0.20	Labour hold	−12.9
5	Truro and Falmouth	South West England	Conservative	0.45	Conservative hold	−13.2

UKIP

Rank^[3]	Constituency	Region		Swing required (%)		Swing to UKIP (±%)
1	Thanet South	South East England	Conservative	21.2	Conservative hold	+18.4
2	Thurrock	East of England	Conservative	14.7	Conservative hold	+13.7
3	Castle Point	East of England	Conservative	(No candidate in 2010)	Conservative hold	(Vote share: 31.2%)
4	Boston and Skegness	East of England	Conservative	20.0	Conservative hold	+15.0
5	Great Grimsby	Yorkshire and the Humber	Labour	13.3	Labour hold	+5.9

Green Party

Swing for the Greens is measured as one-party swing, i.e. the change in the party's share of the vote.

Rank^[4]	Constituency	Region			Swing to GRN (±%)
1	Norwich South	East of England	Liberal Democrats	Labour gain	−1.0
2	Bristol West	South East England	Liberal Democrats	Labour gain	+23.0
3	St Ives	South West England	Liberal Democrats	Conservative gain	+3.5
4	Sheffield Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	Labour	Labour hold	+12.1
5	Liverpool Riverside	North West England	Labour	Labour hold	+8.6

Opinion polling

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	Election 2015 Results	25,571,204	41.0%	31.6%	8.2%	14.1%	4.2%	0.9%	9.4%
30 Apr–1 May 2015	Survation/Daily Mirror	978	36%	34%	10%	17%	4%	<0.5%	2%
30 Apr 2015	Question Time featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Milliband broadcast on BBC One; Ask Nicola Sturgeon, Ask Leanne Wood and Ask Nigel Farage programmes also shown
27–28 Apr 2015	ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail	872	36%	36%	8%	12%	6%	2%	Tied
25–27 Apr 2015	BMG/May2015.com	877	39%	31%	11%	15%	4%	<0.5%	8%
24–26 Apr 2015	Lord Ashcroft^[5]	870	37%	32%	9%	12%	8%	1%	5%
24–26 Apr 2015	ICM/The Guardian^[6]	863	39%	32%	7%	15%	6%	<0.5%	7%
24–25 Apr 2015	Survation/Mail on Sunday	879	36%	31%	9%	20%	4%	<0.5%	5%
21–24 Apr 2015	Opinium/The Observer	1,668	36%	33%	9%	15%	7%	1%	3%
22–23 Apr 2015	Survation/Daily Mirror	1,072	36%	29%	10%	20%	5%	<0.5%	7%
21–22 Apr 2015	ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail	890	39%	34%	8%	11%	5%	3%	5%
17–19 Apr 2015	Lord Ashcroft^[5]	863	36%	33%	9%	14%	5%	2%	3%
17–19 Apr 2015	ICM/The Guardian^[6]	863	38%	35%	9%	12%	5%	1%	3%
16–17 Apr 2015	Opinium/The Observer	1,655	38%	32%	9%	14%	6%	1%	6%
16–17 Apr 2015	Survation/Daily Mirror	986	35%	34%	8%	18%	3%	1%	1%
16 Apr 2015	*Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate* held on BBC One**
12–15 Apr 2015	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	600	35%	37%	8%	11%	8%	1%	2%
10–12 Apr 2015	Lord Ashcroft^[5]	870	34%	36%	9%	14%	6%	1%	2%
10–12 Apr 2015	ICM/The Guardian^[6]	900	41%	35%	7%	8%	8%	1%	6%
8–9 Apr 2015	Opinium/The Observer	1,626	39%	35%	8%	12%	6%	1%	4%
8–9 Apr 2015	Survation/Daily Mirror	838	33%	36%	9%	16%	5%	1%	3%
7–8 Apr 2015	ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail	718	36%	35%	11%	13%	4%	1%	1%
2–3 Apr 2015	Survation/Daily Mirror	856	34%	33%	9%	21%	3%	<0.5%	1%
2–3 Apr 2015	Opinium/The Observer	1,710	35%	34%	7%	15%	7%	1%	1%
2 Apr 2015	*Seven-way Leaders' Debate* on ITV**
30 Mar 2015	Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
28–29 Mar 2015	ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail	864	38%	32%	9%	13%	6%	2%	6%
27–29 Mar 2015	Lord Ashcroft^[5]	865	40%	34%	7%	11%	7%	1%	6%
26 Mar 2015	First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
24–25 Mar 2015	Opinium/The Observer	1,690	35%	34%	9%	13%	7%	<0.5%	1%
24–25 Mar 2015	Survation/Daily Mirror	851	34%	34%	8%	20%	4%	<0.5%	Tied
20–22 Mar 2015	ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail	864	38%	35%	8%	11%	7%	1%	3%
20–22 Mar 2015	Lord Ashcroft^[5]	860	36%	33%	8%	14%	6%	2%	3%
20–21 Mar 2015	Survation/Mail on Sunday	861	31%	35%	10%	19%	3%	1%	4%
18–19 Mar 2015	Opinium/The Observer	1,702	37%	33%	7%	14%	7%	1%	4%
13–15 Mar 2015	Lord Ashcroft^[5]	863	34%	29%	8%	18%	9%	3%	5%
13–15 Mar 2015	ICM/The Guardian^[6]	910	38%	37%	6%	11%	5%	3%	1%
10–12 Mar 2015	Opinium/The Observer	1,654	35%	35%	7%	15%	7%	<0.5%	Tied
8–11 Mar 2015	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	863	34%	37%	8%	14%	6%	1%	3%
6–8 Mar 2015	Lord Ashcroft^[5]	859	36%	31%	5%	18%	9%	1%	5%
3–6 Mar 2015	Opinium/The Observer	1,626	36%	33%	7%	15%	7%	3%	3%
27 Feb–1 Mar 2015	Lord Ashcroft^[5]	860	36%	32%	8%	14%	7%	2%	4%
24–26 Feb 2015	Opinium/The Observer	1,679	35%	36%	7%	14%	6%	1%	1%
23 Feb 2015	Survation/Daily Mirror	921	30%	34%	10%	21%	3%	2%	4%
20–23 Feb 2015	ComRes/Daily Mail	865	36%	32%	7%	14%	9%	2%	4%
20–22 Feb 2015	Lord Ashcroft^[5]	867	32%	38%	6%	13%	8%	2%	6%
17–20 Feb 2015	Opinium/The Observer	1,704	36%	33%	7%	16%	7%	1%	3%
13–15 Feb 2015	Lord Ashcroft^[5]	863	31%	31%	9%	18%	9%	3%	Tied
13–15 Feb 2015	ICM/The Guardian^[6]	860	38%	34%	7%	10%	8%	2%	4%
10–12 Feb 2015	Opinium/The Observer	1,713	35%	35%	8%	15%	5%	1%	Tied
8–10 Feb 2015	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	844	38%	37%	7%	10%	8%	0%	1%
6–8 Feb 2015	Lord Ashcroft^[5]	860	36%	31%	9%	16%	7%	1%	5%
3–6 Feb 2015	Opinium/The Observer	1,947	33%	35%	7%	15%	8%	2%	2%
30 Jan–1 Feb 2015	Lord Ashcroft^[5]	857	34%	30%	8%	17%	10%	1%	4%
25 Jan 2015	Survation/Daily Mirror	890	34%	30%	7%	25%	4%	<0.5%	4%
23–25 Jan 2015	ComRes/The Independent	852	33%	29%	9%	20%	8%	1%	4%
22–25 Jan 2015	Lord Ashcroft^[5]	859	33%	34%	5%	17%	9%	2%	1%
16–19 Jan 2015	ICM/The Guardian^[6]	863	32%	35%	8%	14%	10%	1%	3%
16–18 Jan 2015	Lord Ashcroft^[5]	871	31%	27%	9%	17%	12%	4%	4%
11–13 Jan 2015	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	854	35%	35%	8%	12%	8%	2%	Tied
9–11 Jan 2015	Lord Ashcroft^[5]	858	37%	29%	7%	17%	8%	2%	8%
12–16 Dec 2014	ICM/The Guardian^[6]	861	31%	33%	11%	17%	5%	3%	2%
13–15 Dec 2014	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	840	36%	31%	9%	14%	10%	0%	5%
12–14 Dec 2014	ComRes/The Independent	897	29%	34%	12%	17%	6%	2%	5%
5–7 Dec 2014	Lord Ashcroft^[5]	860	31%	31%	7%	23%	6%	2%	Tied
6 May 2010	General Election Results	25,085,097	39.6%	28.1%	24.2%	3.5%	1.0%	3.6%	11.5%

Endorsements

References

↑ Election 2015 Results England BBC News
↑ "General Election 2015: Monday 13 April as it happened". Telegraph.co.uk. 13 April 2015.
↑ "Ukip target seats to secure a breakthrough in the 2015 general election". Mirror Online. 1 April 2015. Retrieved 12 May 2015.
↑ "Green Party's top target seats in the General Election if Natalie Bennett is to lead a breakthrough". Mirror Online. 2 April 2015. Retrieved 12 May 2015.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Lord Ashcroft adjusts for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the party they tend to support. The England figures are based on a table that does not adjust for don't knows/refusers.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 ICM adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major party they tend to support. Percentages for England are based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.

This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.

[1] Election 2015 Results England BBC News

[2] "General Election 2015: Monday 13 April as it happened". Telegraph.co.uk. 13 April 2015.

[3] "Ukip target seats to secure a breakthrough in the 2015 general election". Mirror Online. 1 April 2015. Retrieved 12 May 2015.

[4] "Green Party's top target seats in the General Election if Natalie Bennett is to lead a breakthrough". Mirror Online. 2 April 2015. Retrieved 12 May 2015.

[AshcroftEng-5] 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Lord Ashcroft adjusts for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the party they tend to support. The England figures are based on a table that does not adjust for don't knows/refusers.

[ICMeng-6] 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 ICM adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major party they tend to support. Percentages for England are based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.

United Kingdom general election, 2015
← 2010 election Constituencies Debates MPs elected MPs who stood down MPs who lost their seat MPs by seniority Endorsements Opinion polling Parties Target seats 56th Parliament Results breakdown Results by constituency Seat gains and losses
Incumbent Prime Minister: David Cameron (Conservative) Appointed Prime Minister: David Cameron (Conservative) Incumbent Deputy Prime Minister: Nick Clegg (Liberal Democrats) Appointed Deputy Prime Minister: None
Parties elected to the House of Commons	Conservative (David Cameron) Labour (Ed Miliband) Scottish National Party (Nicola Sturgeon) Liberal Democrats (Nick Clegg) Democratic Unionist Party (Peter Robinson) Sinn Féin (Gerry Adams) Plaid Cymru (Leanne Wood) Social Democratic and Labour Party (Alasdair McDonnell) Ulster Unionist Party (Mike Nesbitt) UK Independence Party (Nigel Farage) Green Party of England and Wales (Natalie Bennett)
Parties only represented in Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland, London, or the European Parliament	Green Party in Northern Ireland (Steven Agnew) Scottish Green Party (Patrick Harvie/Maggie Chapman) Traditional Unionist Voice (Jim Allister) Alliance Party of Northern Ireland (David Ford)
Other	Full list of parties standing candidates
Results by area	Northern Ireland (list) Scotland (list) Wales (list) England (list)
United Kingdom local elections, 2015