Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election
In the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations are expected to carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article.
The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 8 June 2017, to the present day. Under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, the next general election is scheduled to be held no later than 5 May 2022.[1]
Most opinion polls cover only Great Britain, excluding Northern Ireland as its 18 seats are contested by a different set of political parties.
Graphical summaries
The graph shows polls conducted for the next UK general election, including polls released by 7 October 2018. The trendline is based on the average of the last 15 polls.
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrats
SNP
UKIP
Greens
National poll results
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order.[2] Most pollsters only include responses from within Great Britain, excluding Northern Ireland; however, some, such as Survation, do include Northern Ireland. The table below indicates whether a poll is Great Britain (GB)-only or United Kingdom (UK)-wide. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The 'party lead' column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold.
The parties with the largest numbers of votes in the 2017 general election are listed here. Other parties are included in the "Other" column.
2018
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Area | Sample size | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | SNP | Plaid | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-12 Oct | Opinium/The Observer | GB | 2,010 | 41% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
| 8–9 Oct | YouGov/Times | GB | 1,647 | 41% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
| 3–5 Oct | Opinium/The Observer | GB | 2,007 | 39% | 39% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
| 3–5 Oct | BMG Research/Independent | GB | 1,503 | 38% | 39% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 1% |
| 30 Sep–1 Oct | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,607 | 42% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 6% | |
| 28–29 Sep | BMG Research/HuffPost UK | GB | 1,203 | 35% | 40% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
| 26–28 Sep | Opinium/The Observer | GB | 2,008 | 39% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
| 26–27 Sep | ComRes/Daily Express | GB | 2,036 | 39% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| 24–25 Sep | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,625 | 42% | 36% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 6% | |
| 21–24 Sep | ICM/The Guardian | GB | 2,006 | 41% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
| 21–22 Sep | BMG Research/HuffPost UK | GB | 1,006 | 38% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 0% | Tie |
| 18–20 Sep | Opinium | GB | 2,003 | 37% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| 18–19 Sep | YouGov/The Times | GB | 2,509 | 40% | 36% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 4% | |
| 14–18 Sep | Ipsos Mori | GB | 1,070 | 39% | 37% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 2% |
| 12–13 Sep | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,620 | 40% | 36% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
| 11–13 Sep | Opinium/Observer | GB | 2,011 | 39% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| 6–10 Sep | Kantar Public | GB | 1,119 | 40% | 35% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 5% |
| 7–9 Sep | ICM/The Guardian | GB | 2,051 | 42% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
| 7 Sep | Survation/Daily Mail | UK | 1,039 | 38% | 37% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 1% |
| 4–7 Sep | BMG Research/Independent | GB | 1,533 | 37% | 38% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| 3–4 Sep | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,883 | 39% | 35% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 4% | |
| 31 Aug–1 Sep | Survation | UK | 1,017 | 37% | 41% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 4% |
| 28–29 Aug | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,664 | 39% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 2% | |
| 20–21 Aug | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,697 | 40% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 3% | |
| 17–19 Aug | ICM/The Guardian | GB | 2,021 | 40% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 3% | Tie |
| 14–17 Aug | Opinium/Observer | GB | 2,003 | 39% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| 14–16 Aug | Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday | GB | 1,904 | 37% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 3% |
| 13–14 Aug | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,660 | 41% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 3% | |
| 9–13 Aug | Kantar Public | GB | 1,119 | 40% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| 9–13 Aug | Number Cruncher Politics | GB | 1,036 | 38% | 40% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| 6–10 Aug | BMG/The Independent | GB | 1,481 | 37% | 39% | 10% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 2% |
| 8–9 Aug | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,675 | 39% | 35% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
| 3–5 Aug | ICM/The Guardian | GB | 2,049 | 39% | 40% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
| 30–31 Jul | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,718 | 38% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 1% | Tie | |
| 20–24 Jul | Ipsos MORI | GB | 1,023 | 38% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
| 22–23 Jul | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,650 | 38% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 0% | Tie | |
| 20–22 Jul | ICM Research | GB | 2,010 | 40% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| 19–20 Jul | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,668 | 38% | 39% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| 16–17 Jul | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,657 | 36% | 41% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 5% | |
| 12–14 Jul | Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday | GB | 1,484 | 37% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
| 10–13 Jul | Opinium/Observer | GB | 2,005 | 36% | 40% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
| 10–11 Jul | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,732 | 37% | 39% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 2% | |
| 8–9 Jul | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,669 | 39% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | Tie | |
| 6–9 Jul | ICM/The Guardian | GB | 2,013 | 41% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| 5–9 Jul | Kantar TNS | GB | 1,086 | 40% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| 7 Jul | Survation | UK | 1,007 | 38% | 40% | 10% | 3% | 1% | N/A | N/A | 7% | 2% |
| 3–5 Jul | BMG Research | GB | 1,511 | 39% | 37% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 2% |
| 3–4 Jul | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,641 | 41% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| 22–27 Jun | Ipsos MORI | GB | 1,026 | 41% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| 25–26 Jun | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,645 | 42% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 5% | |
| 22–24 Jun | ICM/The Guardian | GB | 2,013 | 41% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| 19–20 Jun | Survation/Good Morning Britain | UK | 1,022 | 41% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
| 18–19 Jun | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,606 | 42% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | |
| 11–12 Jun | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,638 | 42% | 39% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | |
| 8–10 Jun | ICM/The Guardian | GB | 2,021 | 42% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
| 5–8 Jun | BMG Research/Independent | GB | 1,490 | 38% | 41% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| 5–7 Jun | Opinium/Observer | GB | 2,005 | 42% | 40% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| 4–5 Jun | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,619 | 44% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 7% | |
| 31 May–4 Jun | Survation | UK | 2,012 | 41% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| 28–29 May | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,670 | 42% | 39% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | |
| 25–29 May | ICM/The Guardian | GB | 2,002 | 43% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| 18–22 May | Ipsos MORI | GB | 1,015 | 40% | 40% | 7% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 0% | Tie |
| 20–21 May | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,660 | 42% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
| 16–17 May | ComRes/Daily Mail | GB | 2,045 | 41% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
| 15–16 May | Opinium//Observer | GB | 2,009 | 43% | 39% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
| 13–14 May | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,634 | 43% | 38% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 5% | |
| 11–13 May | ICM/The Guardian | GB | 2,050 | 43% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
| 8–10 May | Survation | UK | 1,585 | 41% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| 8–9 May | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,648 | 43% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 5% | |
| 1–4 May | BMG Research/Independent | GB | 1441 | 39% | 39% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
| 3 May | English local and mayoral elections | |||||||||||
| 30 Apr–1 May | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,595 | 42% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
| 27–29 Apr | ComRes/Daily Express | GB | 2,030 | 40% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
| 27–29 Apr | ICM/Guardian | GB | 2,026 | 42% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
| 24–25 Apr | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,668 | 43% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 5% | |
| 20–24 Apr | Ipsos MORI | GB | 1,004 | 41% | 40% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| 16–17 Apr | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,631 | 43% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 5% | |
| 14 Apr | Survation/Mail on Sunday | UK | 2,060 | 40% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | Tie |
| 14 Apr | Gerard Batten officially becomes leader of the UK Independence Party | |||||||||||
| 10–13 Apr | BMG Research[3] | GB | 1,562 | 39% | 38% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 1% |
| 11–12 Apr | ComRes/Sunday Express | GB | 2,038 | 40% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| 10–12 Apr | Opinium/Observer | GB | 2,008 | 40% | 40% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | Tie |
| 9–10 Apr | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,639 | 40% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | Tie | |
| 6–8 Apr | ICM Research/The Guardian | GB | 1,682 | 42% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
| 4–5 Apr | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,662 | 42% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| 27 Mar–5 Apr | Number Cruncher Politics | UK | 1,037 | 43% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 5% |
| 26–27 Mar | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,659 | 43% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% | |
| 16–18 Mar | ICM Research/The Guardian | GB | 1,642 | 44% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| 13–16 Mar | BMG Research | GB | 1,815 | 38% | 40% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| 14–15 Mar | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,986 | 42% | 39% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | |
| 13–15 Mar | Opinium/Observer | GB | 2,001 | 42% | 40% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
| 7–8 Mar | Survation/GMB | UK | 1,038 | 37% | 44% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 7% |
| 2–7 Mar | Ipsos MORI | GB | 1,012 | 43% | 42% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% |
| 5–6 Mar | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,641 | 41% | 43% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | |
| 2–4 Mar | ICM Research/The Guardian | GB | 2,030 | 43% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
| 26–27 Feb | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,662 | 41% | 42% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| 19–20 Feb | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,650 | 40% | 42% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 2% | |
| 16–19 Feb | ICM Research/The Guardian | GB | 1,662 | 42% | 43% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% |
| 12–13 Feb | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,639 | 40% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| 6–12 Feb | Kantar Public | GB | 2,448 | 39% | 39% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | Tie |
| 6–9 Feb | BMG Research | GB | 1,507 | 40% | 40% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 1% | Tie |
| 6–8 Feb | Opinium/The Observer | GB | 2,002 | 42% | 39% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| 5–6 Feb | YouGov/The Times | GB | 2,000 | 43% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
| 2–4 Feb | ICM Research/The Guardian | GB | 2,021 | 41% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| 28–29 Jan | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,669 | 42% | 42% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | Tie | |
| 26–29 Jan | Survation | UK | 1,059 | 40% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% |
| 19–23 Jan | Ipsos MORI | GB | 1,031 | 39% | 42% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | |
| 10–19 Jan | ICM Research/The Guardian | GB | 4,117 | 41% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
| 16–17 Jan | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,672 | 41% | 42% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% | |
| 12–14 Jan | ICM Research/The Guardian | GB | 2,027 | 40% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
| 11–12 Jan | Opinium/The Observer | GB | 2,008 | 40% | 40% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
| 9–12 Jan | BMG Research | GB | 1,513 | 40% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| 7–8 Jan | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,663 | 40% | 41% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% | |
2017
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Area | Sample size | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | SNP | Plaid | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19–20 Dec | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,610 | 40% | 42% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2% | |
| 12–14 Dec | ICM Research/Sun on Sunday | GB | 2,004 | 41% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
| 12–14 Dec | Opinium/Observer | GB | 2,005 | 39% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| 10–11 Dec | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,680 | 42% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | |
| 8–10 Dec | ICM Research/The Guardian | GB | 2,006 | 42% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 2% |
| 5–8 Dec | BMG Research/Independent | GB | 1,509 | 37% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
| 4–5 Dec | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,638 | 40% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| 30 Nov–1 Dec | Survation/Mail on Sunday | UK | 1,003 | 37% | 45% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 8% |
| 29 Nov–1 Dec | ICM Research/Sun on Sunday | GB | 2,050 | 40% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
| 24–28 Nov | Ipsos MORI | GB | 1,003 | 37% | 39% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 2% | |
| 24–26 Nov | ICM Research/The Guardian | GB | 2,029 | 41% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 0% | Tie |
| 22–23 Nov | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,644 | 39% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% | |
| 19–20 Nov | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,677 | 40% | 43% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | |
| 14–20 Nov | Kantar Public | GB | 2,437 | 42% | 38% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% |
| 14–17 Nov | BMG Research | GB | 1,507 | 40% | 41% | 8% | N/A | N/A | 4% | N/A | 7% | 1% |
| 14–16 Nov | Opinium/Observer | GB | 2,032 | 40% | 42% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 2% |
| 10–12 Nov | ICM Research/The Guardian | GB | 2,010 | 41% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 1% | Tie |
| 7–8 Nov | YouGov/The Times | GB | 2,012 | 40% | 43% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | |
| 27 Oct–1 Nov | Ipsos MORI | GB | 1,052 | 38% | 40% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 3% | N/A | 2% | |
| 23–24 Oct | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,637 | 41% | 43% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | |
| 20–23 Oct | ICM Research/The Guardian | GB | 2,022 | 42% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | Tie |
| 17–20 Oct | BMG Research | GB | 1,506 | 37% | 42% | 10% | N/A | N/A | 4% | N/A | 7% | 5% |
| 18–19 Oct | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,648 | 40% | 42% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | |
| 10–11 Oct | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,680 | 39% | 42% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 3% | |
| 6–8 Oct | ICM Research/The Guardian | GB | 2,052 | 41% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | Tie |
| 4–6 Oct | Opinium/The Observer | GB | 1,225 | 40% | 42% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| 4–5 Oct | Survation | UK | 2,047 | 38% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
| 4–5 Oct | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,615 | 40% | 42% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | |
| 29 Sep | Henry Bolton becomes leader of the UK Independence Party[4] | |||||||||||
| 26–29 Sep | BMG/The Independent | GB | 1,910 | 37% | 42% | 10% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
| 22–24 Sep | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,716 | 39% | 43% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 4% | |
| 22–24 Sep | ICM Research/The Guardian | GB | 1,968 | 40% | 42% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 2% |
| 22 Sep | Survation/Mail on Sunday | UK | 1,174 | 38% | 42% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
| 19–22 Sep | Opinium | GB | 2,004 | 42% | 40% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| 15–20 Sep | Survation/LabourList | UK | 1,614 | 40% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| 15–18 Sep | Ipsos MORI | GB | 1,023 | 40% | 44% | 9% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| 12–15 Sep | Opinium | GB | 1,219 | 41% | 41% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 0% | Tie |
| 12–15 Sep | BMG/The Independent | GB | 1,447 | 39% | 38% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| 12–13 Sep | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,660 | 41% | 42% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| 8–10 Sep | ICM Research/The Guardian | GB | 2,052 | 42% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 0% | Tie | |
| 31 Aug–1 Sep | Survation/The Mail on Sunday | UK | 1,046 | 39% | 43% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% | N/A | 3% | 4% |
| 30–31 Aug | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,658 | 41% | 42% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 1% | |
| 25–28 Aug | ICM Research/The Guardian | GB | 1,972 | 42% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% | Tie |
| 21–22 Aug | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,664 | 41% | 42% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 1% | |
| 15–18 Aug | Opinium/Observer | GB | 1,256 | 40% | 43% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 3% |
| 7–11 Aug | BMG/The Independent | GB | 1,512 | 42% | 39% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
| 31 Jul–1 Aug | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,665 | 41% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | |
| 20 Jul | Vince Cable becomes leader of the Liberal Democrats[5] | |||||||||||
| 18–19 Jul | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,593 | 41% | 43% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | |
| 14–18 Jul | Ipsos MORI | GB | 1,071 | 41% | 42% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| 14–16 Jul | ICM Research/The Guardian | GB | 2,046 | 42% | 43% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% |
| 14–15 Jul | Survation/Mail on Sunday | UK | 1,024 | 39% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 11–14 Jul | Opinium/Observer | GB | 2,013 | 41% | 43% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 2% |
| 11–14 Jul | BMG Research | GB | 1,518 | 37% | 42% | 10% | N/A | N/A | 4% | N/A | 7% | 5% |
| 10–11 Jul | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,700 | 40% | 45% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 5% | |
| 5–6 Jul | YouGov/The Times | GB | 1,648 | 38% | 46% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 8% | |
| 30 Jun–3 Jul | ICM Research/The Guardian | GB | 2,044 | 41% | 43% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
| 28–30 Jun | Survation | UK | 1,016 | 41% | 40% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 1% |
| 27–29 Jun | Opinium/Observer | GB | 2,010 | 39% | 45% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 6% |
| 16–21 Jun | Panelbase/Sunday Times | GB | 5,481 | 41% | 46% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| 17 Jun | Survation/Good Morning Britain | UK | 1,005 | 41% | 44% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% |
| 10 Jun | Survation/Mail on Sunday | UK | 1,036 | 39% | 45% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 3% | N/A | 2% | 6% |
| 8 Jun | 2017 election (GB only)[6] | GB | 31,384,105 | 43.5% | 41.0% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.5% |
| 8 Jun | 2017 election (UK-wide)[7] | UK | 32,204,124 | 42.4% | 40.0% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
Sub-national polling
Scotland
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | SNP | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | UKIP | Others | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3–5 Oct 2018 | Survation/Scottish National Party | 1,013 | 37% | 28% | 26% | 6% | N/A | N/A | 2% | 9% | |
| 28 Sep-4 Oct 2018 | Panelbase/Sunday Times | 1,024 | 38% | 27% | 24% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 11% | |
| 28 Sep - 2 Oct 2018 | Survation/Sunday Post | 1,036 | 41% | 26% | 24% | 7% | N/A | N/A | 3% | 15% | |
| 5–10 Jul 2018 | Survation/Daily Record | 1,002 | 42% | 24% | 23% | 8% | N/A | N/A | 3% | 18% | |
| 21–26 Jun 2018 | Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland | 1,018 | 38% | 27% | 25% | 7% | 2% | TBC | TBC | 11% | |
| 8–13 Jun 2018 | Panelbase/Sunday Times | 1,021 | 38% | 27% | 27% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 11% | |
| 1–5 Jun 2018 | YouGov/The Times | 1,075 | 40% | 27% | 23% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 13% | |
| 23–28 Mar 2018 | Panelbase/Sunday Times | 1,037 | 36% | 28% | 27% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 8% | |
| 5–11 Mar 2018 | Ipsos Mori / STV | 1,050 | 39% | 25% | 26% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 13% | |
| 24–28 Jan 2018 | Survation/Daily Record | 1,020 | 39% | 24% | 27% | 7% | N/A | N/A | 3% | 12% | |
| 12–16 Jan 2018 | YouGov/The Times | 1,135 | 36% | 23% | 28% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 8% | |
| 1–5 Dec 2017 | Survation/Sunday Post | 1,006 | 38% | 24% | 29% | 7% | N/A | N/A | 3% | 9% | |
| 27–30 Nov 2017 | Survation/Daily Record | 1,017 | 37% | 25% | 28% | 7% | N/A | N/A | 3% | 9% | |
| 18 Nov 2017 | Richard Leonard becomes leader of the Scottish Labour Party[8] | ||||||||||
| 2–5 Oct 2017 | YouGov/The Times | 1,135 | 40% | 23% | 30% | 5% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 10% | |
| 8–12 Sep 2017 | Survation/Scottish Daily Mail | 1,016 | 39% | 26% | 26% | 7% | N/A | N/A | 1.6% | 13% | |
| 31 Aug–7 Sep 2017 | Panelbase | 1,021 | 41% | 27% | 24% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 14% | |
| 8 Jun 2017 | General election results[9] | 2,649,695 | 36.9% | 28.6% | 27.1% | 6.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 8.3% | |
Wales
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Plaid | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2018 | Adam Price becomes leader of Plaid Cymru[10] | ||||||||||
| 6 Sep 2018 | Paul Davies becomes leader of the Welsh Conservatives[11] | ||||||||||
| 28 June–2 July 2018 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,015 | 44% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 3% | N/A | 3% | 13% | |
| 12–15 March 2018 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,015 | 46% | 33% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 13% | |
| 8–25 Feb 2018 | ICM Research | 1,001 | 49% | 32% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 17% | |
| 21–24 Nov 2017 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,016 | 47% | 31% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 16% | |
| 3 Nov 2017 | Jane Dodds becomes leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats[12] | ||||||||||
| 4–7 Sep 2017 | YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer | 1,011 | 50% | 32% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 18% | |
| 8 June 2017 | General election results[13] | 1,575,814 | 48.9% | 33.6% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 15.3% | |
Northern Ireland
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | DUP | SF | SDLP | UUP | Alliance | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 June 2017 | General election results[14] | 1,242,698 | 36.0% | 29.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% |
Regional polling in England
London
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Green | UKIP | Others | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3–7 Sep 2018 | YouGov | 1,218 | 48% | 26% | 15% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 22% | |
| 3 May 2018 | London local elections 2018 | |||||||||
| 20–24 Apr 2018 | YouGov / QMUL | 1,099 | 52% | 31% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 21% | |
| 12–15 Feb 2018 | YouGov / QMUL | 1,155 | 53% | 33% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 20% | |
| 25–29 Sep 2017 | YouGov / QMUL | 1,044 | 55% | 30% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 25% | |
| 8 June 2017 | General election results | 3,821,233 | 54.6% | 33.2% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 21.4% | |
Polls of individual constituencies
Bath
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lib Dem | Con | Lab | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7–14 Sep 2017 | Survation/Bath Labour | 555 | 45.8% | 32.1% | 17.0% | 5.2% | 13.7% |
| 8 Jun 2017 | 2017 Election Result | 49,582 | 47.3% | 35.8% | 14.7% | 2.3% | 11.5% |
Leadership approval polling
Preferred Prime Minister polling
Some opinion pollsters ask voters which party leader they think would make the best Prime Minister – Theresa May (Conservative Party) or Jeremy Corbyn (Labour Party). The questions differ slightly from pollster to pollster:
- Opinium: "Which, if any, of the following people do you think would be the best Prime Minister?"
- BMG Research: "If you had to choose between the two, who would you prefer to see as the next Prime Minister?"
- YouGov / Survation: "Which of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister?"
- Ipsos MORI: "Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, the Conservatives’ Theresa May, or Labour’s Jeremy Corbyn?"
- ICM: "Putting aside which party you support, and only thinking about your impressions of them as leaders, which one of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister for Britain?"
Theresa May vs Jeremy Corbyn
2018
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Theresa May | Jeremy Corbyn | None of these | Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8-9 Oct | YouGov | TBC | 36% | 25% | N/A | 40% | 11% |
| 3-5 Oct | BMG Research | 1,503 | 34% | 28% | N/A | 38% | 6% |
| 30 Sep–1 Oct | YouGov | 1,607 | 34% | 23% | N/A | 43% | 11% |
| 26–28 Sep | Opinium | 2,008 | 33% | 23% | 34% | 10% | 10% |
| 18–20 Sep | Opinium | 2,003 | 33% | 23% | 36% | 9% | 10% |
| 18–19 Sep | YouGov | 2,509 | 36% | 23% | N/A | 41% | 13% |
| 12–13 Sep | YouGov | 1,620 | 36% | 23% | N/A | 41% | 13% |
| 11–13 Sep | Opinium | 2,011 | 32% | 23% | 35% | 10% | 9% |
| 4 - 7 Sep | BMG Research | 1,533 | 26% | 25% | N/A | 49% | 1% |
| 3–4 Sep | YouGov/The Times | 1,883 | 34% | 25% | N/A | 41% | 9% |
| 28–29 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,664 | 35% | 23% | N/A | 42% | 12% |
| 20–21 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,697 | 36% | 23% | N/A | 42% | 13% |
| 14 Aug | Opinium | 2,003 | 30% | 24% | N/A | 46% | 6% |
| 13–14 Aug | YouGov | 1,660 | 35% | 24% | N/A | 41% | 11% |
| 8–9 Aug | YouGov | 1,674 | 36% | 22% | N/A | 39% | 14% |
| 30–31 July | YouGov | 1,718 | 32% | 25% | N/A | 40% | 7% |
| 22–23 July | YouGov | 1,650 | 32% | 26% | N/A | 39% | 6% |
| 16–17 July | YouGov | 1,657 | 33% | 25% | N/A | 38% | 8% |
| 10–13 July | Opinium | 2,005 | 29% | 25% | 36% | 10% | 4% |
| 8–9 July | YouGov / The Times | 1,669 | 34% | 27% | N/A | 36% | 7% |
| 3–4 July | YouGov / The Times | 1,641 | 35% | 25% | N/A | 37% | 10% |
| 25–26 Jun | YouGov / The Times | 1,645 | 38% | 26% | N/A | 34% | 12% |
| 18–19 Jun | YouGov | 1,606 | 38% | 26% | N/A | 34% | 12% |
| 11–12 Jun | YouGov | 1,638 | 39% | 24% | N/A | 37% | 15% |
| 5–7 Jun | Opinium | 2,005 | 35% | 25% | 29% | 11% | 10% |
| 4–5 Jun | YouGov | 1,619 | 37% | 24% | N/A | 37% | 13% |
| 28–29 May | YouGov | 1,670 | 38% | 27% | N/A | 35% | 11% |
| 20–21 May | YouGov | 1,660 | 37% | 27% | N/A | 35% | 10% |
| 15–16 May | Opinium | 2,009 | 36% | 23% | 30% | 10% | 13% |
| 13–14 May | YouGov/The Times | 1,634 | 40% | 25% | N/A | 35% | 15% |
| 8–9 May | YouGov/The Times | 1,648 | 39% | 25% | N/A | 36% | 14% |
| 30 Apr–1 May | YouGov/The Times | 1,595 | 37% | 27% | N/A | 36% | 10% |
| 16–17 Apr | YouGov/The Times | 1,631 | 39% | 25% | N/A | 35% | 14% |
| 14 Apr | Survation | 2,060 | 43% | 30% | N/A | 28% | 13% |
| 10–12 Apr | Opinium | 2,008 | 36% | 24% | 31% | 9% | 12% |
| 9–10 Apr | YouGov | 1,639 | 37% | 26% | N/A | 37% | 11% |
| 4–5 Apr | YouGov | 1,662 | 39% | 26% | N/A | 35% | 13% |
| 26–27 Mar | YouGov | 1,659 | 38% | 27% | N/A | 35% | 11% |
| 13–15 Mar | Opinium/The Observer | 2,001 | 34% | 26% | 29% | 11% | 8% |
| 5–6 Mar | YouGov | 1,641 | 36% | 29% | N/A | 35% | 7% |
| 26–27 Feb | YouGov | 1,622 | 36% | 30% | N/A | 33% | 6% |
| 19–20 Feb | YouGov/The Times | 1,650 | 36% | 29% | N/A | 35% | 7% |
| 12–13 Feb | YouGov/The Times | 1,539 | 36% | 29% | N/A | 35% | 7% |
| 6–9 Feb | BMG Research | 1,507 | 32% | 30% | N/A | 38% | 2% |
| 6–8 Feb | Opinium/The Observer | 2,002 | 34% | 28% | 28% | 10% | 6% |
| 5–6 Feb | YouGov/The Times | 2,000 | 37% | 29% | N/A | 33% | 8% |
| 28–29 Jan | YouGov/The Times | 1,669 | 35% | 29% | N/A | 36% | 6% |
| 16–17 Jan | YouGov | 1,672 | 36% | 31% | N/A | 33% | 5% |
| 11–12 Jan | Opinium | 2,008 | 33% | 28% | 29% | 11% | 5% |
| 7–8 Jan | YouGov | 1,663 | 37% | 31% | N/A | 31% | 6% |
2017
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Theresa May | Jeremy Corbyn | None of these | Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19–20 Dec | YouGov | 1,610 | 37% | 31% | N/A | 32% | 6% |
| 12–14 Dec | Opinium | 1,680 | 34% | 28% | 27% | 11% | 6% |
| 9–10 Dec | YouGov | 1,680 | 37% | 28% | N/A | 35% | 9% |
| 5–8 Dec | BMG Research | 1,509 | 32% | 33% | N/A | 38% | 1% |
| 4–5 Dec | YouGov | 1,638 | 34% | 30% | N/A | 36% | 4% |
| 29 Nov–1 Dec | ICM Research | 2,050 | 40% | 32% | N/A | 28% | 8% |
| 14–16 Nov | Opinium | 2,003 | 34% | 29% | 27% | 10% | 5% |
| 7–8 Nov | YouGov/The Times | 2,012 | 34% | 31% | N/A | 35% | 3% |
| 10–11 Oct | YouGov/The Times | 1,680 | 33% | 33% | N/A | 35% | Tie |
| 6–8 Oct | ICM/The Guardian | 2,052 | 41% | 32% | N/A | 27% | 9% |
| 4–6 Oct | Opinium/Observer | 2,009 | 32% | 29% | 28% | 11% | 3% |
| 4–5 Oct | YouGov/The Times | 1,615 | 36% | 33% | N/A | 32% | 3% |
| 26–29 Sep | BMG Research | 1,910 | 30% | 32% | N/A | 38% | 2% |
| 22–24 Sep | YouGov/The Times | 1,716 | 37% | 29% | N/A | 33% | 8% |
| 19–22 Sep | Opinium/Observer | 2,004 | 36% | 26% | 28% | 10% | 10% |
| 15–18 Sep | Ipsos MORI | 1,023 | 45% | 38% | 10% | 6% | 7% |
| 12–15 Sep | Opinium/Observer | 2,009 | 36% | 28% | 26% | 11% | 8% |
| 30–31 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,658 | 37% | 32% | N/A | 31% | 5% |
| 21–22 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,664 | 37% | 33% | N/A | 31% | 4% |
| 15–18 Aug | Opinium/Observer | 1,256 | 34% | 30% | 27% | 9% | 4% |
| 7–11 Aug | BMG/The Independent | 1,512 | 32% | 33% | 26% | 10% | 1% |
| 31 Jul–1 Aug | YouGov/The Times | 1,665 | 36% | 33% | N/A | 31% | 3% |
| 18–19 Jul | YouGov/The Times | 1,593 | 37% | 32% | N/A | 30% | 5% |
| 14–18 Jul | Ipsos MORI | 1,071 | 46% | 38% | 10% | 6% | 8% |
| 14–15 Jul | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,024 | 43% | 35% | N/A | 21% | 8% |
| 11–14 Jul | Opinium/Observer | 2,013 | 36% | 33% | 22% | 9% | 3% |
| 10–11 Jul | YouGov/The Sunday Times | 1,700 | 38% | 33% | N/A | 29% | 5% |
| 28–30 Jun | Survation | 1,017 | 44% | 38% | N/A | 19% | 6% |
| 27–29 Jun | Opinium/Observer | 2,010 | 35% | 34% | 23% | 8% | 1% |
| 21–22 Jun | YouGov/The Times | 1,670 | 34% | 35% | N/A | 30% | 1% |
| 9–10 Jun | YouGov/The Sunday Times | 1,720 | 39% | 39% | N/A | 22% | Tie |
Previous polling
The following graphs show UK general election polling over a period of the previous 25 years and previous 7 years.
Long-term opinion polling over the span of 25 years. This runs from the 1992 general election to the 2017 general election. The grey vertical lines mark the general elections of 1997, 2001, 2005, 2010 and 2015.
Conservative
Labour
UKIP
Liberal Democrats
Green
_since_2010.png)
All UK opinion polling since the 2010 general election. This graph covers both 2015 and 2017 general elections, but not opinion polls that have followed the 2017 general election.
Conservative
Labour
UKIP
Liberal Democrats
Green
See also
- Opinion polling for the United Kingdom general election, 2017
- United Kingdom general election, 2017
- Endorsements in the United Kingdom general election, 2017
- Leadership approval opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election
- Opinion polling for the National Assembly for Wales election
- Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election
Notes
References
- ↑ "Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011". www.legislation.gov.uk. Retrieved 2017-06-12.
- ↑ "Westminster Voting Intention". UK Opinion Bee. Retrieved 31 January 2015.
- ↑ "BMG's Westminster Voting Intention Results: An Update - BMG Research". BMG Research. 2018-05-02. Retrieved 2018-05-02.
- ↑ "Henry Bolton elected UKIP leader". 29 September 2017 – via www.bbc.co.uk.
- ↑ "Vince Cable is new Lib Dem leader". BBC News. 20 July 2017. Retrieved 20 July 2017.
- ↑ "Results of the 2017 General Election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
- ↑ "Results of the 2017 General Election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
- ↑ "Richard Leonard to lead Scottish Labour". BBC News. 2017-11-18. Retrieved 2017-11-18.
- ↑ "Results of the 2017 general election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
- ↑ "Plaid Cymru Leadership Contest: Adam Price wins". 28 September 2018 – via www.bbc.co.uk.
- ↑ "Paul Davies wins Welsh Tory assembly group leadership poll". 6 September 2018 – via www.bbc.co.uk.
- ↑ "Jane Dodds is new Welsh Liberal Democrat leader". 3 November 2017 – via www.bbc.co.uk.
- ↑ "Results of the 2017 general election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
- ↑ "Results of the 2017 General Election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
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