Opinion polling for the United Kingdom general election, 2001
In the run up to the general election of 2001, several polling organisations carried out opinion polling in regards to voting intention in Great Britain (i.e. the UK excluding Northern Ireland, which is usually excluded from such voting intention surveys). Results of such polls are displayed below.
The election took place on 7 June 2001. The previous general election was held on 1 May 1997, and had seen Labour return to power with a landslide victory after 18 years, led by Tony Blair. Such was the scale of Labour's victory that it was widely accepted - even within the Conservative Party - that the next election would produce another Labour victory, with the best realistic target for other parties being to reduce the Labour majority.
The parliamentary term of 1997-2001 had seen the opinion polls led by the Labour Party, mostly with a lead in excess of 10 points, over the Conservatives (who had replaced John Major with William Hague as their new leader), apart from a brief spell in the autumn of 2000 when fuel protests threatened to bring Britain to a standstill. However, the blockades which had caused the protests were quickly resolved and Labour support recovered to the extent that Blair felt able to call an election for 3 May 2001, although the recent foot and mouth crisis meant that the election was delayed for five weeks until 7 June.
Another rare success for the Conservatives during this parliamentary term came in June 1999, when it enjoyed the largest share of the votes in the European parliament elections, with William Hague vowing to keep the pound at Britain's currency, whereas Tony Blair was refusing to rule out eventually adopting the Euro.
In the event, the election produced a low turnout (with many voters perhaps feeling that another Labour victory was inevitable) and Labour won a second successive landslide, with the British political scene remaining almost completely unchanged with only a few seats changing hands.
Graphical Summary
Results
Date(s) Conducted | Polling organisation/client | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 June 2001 | Election Result | 40.7% | 31.7% | 18.3% | 9% |
6 June 2001 | Gallup/Daily Telegraph | 47% | 30% | 18% | 17% |
5 June 2001 | MORI/The Times | 45% | 30% | 18% | 15% |
4 June 2001 | ICM/The Guardian | 43% | 32% | 19% | 11% |
3 June 2001 | ICM/Evening Standard | 47% | 30% | 18% | 17% |
3 June 2001 | Rasmussen/The Independent | 44% | 33% | 16% | 11% |
2 June 2001 | MORI/Sunday Telegraph | 50% | 27% | 17% | 23% |
1 June 2001 | ICM/Channel 4 | 43% | 31% | 19% | 12% |
1 June 2001 | ICM/Observer | 46% | 34% | 15% | 12% |
1 June 2001 | NOP/Sunday Times | 47% | 30% | 16% | 17% |
29 May 2001 | Gallup/Telegraph | 47% | 31% | 16% | 16% |
29 May 2001 | MORI/Times | 48% | 30% | 16% | 18% |
28 May 2001 | ICM/Guardian | 47% | 28% | 17% | 19% |
27 May 2001 | Rasmussen/Independent | 44% | 32% | 17% | 12% |
25 May 2001 | NOP/Sunday Telegraph | 49% | 30% | 14% | 19% |
23 May 2001 | Gallup/Telegraph | 48% | 32% | 15% | 16% |
22 May 2001 | MORI | 52% | 27% | 16% | 25% |
22 May 2001 | Rasmussen/Independent | 44% | 32% | 16% | 12% |
21 May 2001 | ICM/Guardian | 45% | 32% | 17% | 13% |
20 May 2001 | Gallup/BES | 55% | 25% | 14% | 30% |
18 May 2001 | NOP/Sunday Times | 49% | 30% | 14% | 19% |
15 May 2001 | Gallup/Telegraph | 48% | 32% | 13% | 16% |
15 May 2001 | MORI/Times | 54% | 28% | 12% | 26% |
14 May 2001 | Gallup/BES | 53% | 32% | 11% | 21% |
14 May 2001 | ICM/Guardian | 46% | 31% | 16% | 15% |
14 May 2001 | MORI/Economist | 54% | 26% | 14% | 28% |
13 May 2001 | ICM/Evening Standard | 48% | 32% | 14% | 16% |
13 May 2001 | Rasmussen/Independent | 46% | 32% | 13% | 14% |
12 May 2001 | MORI/Sunday Telegraph | 51% | 31% | 13% | 20% |
11 May 2001 | ICM/Observer | 48% | 32% | 15% | 16% |
11 May 2001 | NOP/Sunday Times | 49% | 32% | 13% | 17% |
8 May 2001 | Gallup/Telegraph | 49% | 32% | 13% | 17% |
8 May 2001 | MORI/Times | 54% | 30% | 13% | 24% |
6 May 2001 | NOP/Channel 4 | 49% | 34% | 11% | 15% |
6 May 2001 | NOP/Express | 51% | 31% | 13% | 20% |
2 May 2001 | NOP/Channel 4 | 51% | 29% | 13% | 22% |
1 May 2001 | MORI/Sun | 50% | 32% | 13% | 18% |
24 April 2001 | MORI/Times | 50% | 30% | 13% | 20% |
22 April 2001 | ICM/Guardian | 47% | 33% | 14% | 14% |
12 April 2001 | MORI/Daily Mail | 53% | 29% | 12% | 24% |
10 April 2001 | Gallup/Telegraph | 53% | 27% | 15% | 26% |
4 April 2001 | NOP/Channel 4 | 52% | 30% | 12% | 22% |
31 March 2001 | MORI/Sunday Telegraph | 48% | 32% | 15% | 16% |
30 March 2001 | ICM/Guardian | 49% | 34% | 13% | 15% |
27 March 2001 | MORI/Times | 50% | 31% | 14% | 19% |
18 March 2001 | ICM/Guardian | 44% | 35% | 16% | 9% |
16 March 2001 | NOP/Sunday Times | 51% | 31% | 13% | 20% |
13 March 2001 | Gallup/Telegraph | 55% | 29% | 12% | 26% |
20 February 2001 | MORI/Times | 50% | 30% | 14% | 20% |
18 February 2001 | ICM/Guardian | 47% | 32% | 15% | 15% |
7 February 2001 | Gallup/Telegraph | 50% | 29% | 17% | 21% |
26 January 2001 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 49% | 31% | 14% | 18% |
22 January 2001 | MORI/Times | 50% | 31% | 14% | 19% |
21 January 2001 | ICM/Guardian | 44% | 34% | 16% | 10% |
16 January 2001 | Gallup/Telegraph | 51% | 31% | 13% | 20% |
13 January 2001 | MORI/Sunday Telegraph | 52% | 31% | 11% | 21% |
12 January 2001 | NOP/Sunday Times | 48% | 33% | 14% | 15% |
6 January 2001 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 46% | 35% | 14% | 11% |
15 December 2000 | MORI/News of the World | 47% | 32% | 16% | 15% |
13 December 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 47% | 32% | 14% | 15% |
12 December 2000 | MORI/Times | 46% | 34% | 14% | 12% |
3 December 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 44% | 34% | 16% | 10% |
28 November 2000 | MORI/Times | 48% | 33% | 13% | 15% |
25 November 2000 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 47% | 34% | 13% | 13% |
7 November 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 45% | 34% | 14% | 11% |
5 November 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 40% | 34% | 20% | 6% |
3 November 2000 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 42% | 34% | 17% | 8% |
23 October 2000 | MORI/Times | 45% | 32% | 17% | 13% |
16 October 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 40% | 35% | 19% | 5% |
13 October 2000 | NOP/Sunday Times | 42% | 35% | 17% | 7% |
10 October 2000 | MORI/Carlton | 40% | 38% | 19% | 2% |
30 September 2000 | ICM/News of the World | 38% | 37% | 20% | 1% |
30 September 2000 | MORI/Sun | 43% | 36% | 16% | 7% |
29 September 2000 | NOP/Sunday Express | 43% | 37% | 13% | 6% |
26 September 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 39% | 36% | 20% | 3% |
26 September 2000 | MORI/Times | 37% | 35% | 21% | 2% |
23 September 2000 | NOP/Channel 4 | 32% | 40% | 22% | 8% |
22 September 2000 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 35% | 39% | 21% | 4% |
19 September 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 35% | 40% | 16% | 5% |
19 September 2000 | MORI/Salomon Smith Barney | 36% | 36% | 21% | Tie |
17 September 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 34% | 38% | 22% | 4% |
16 September 2000 | NOP/Sunday Times | 37% | 37% | 21% | Tie |
15 September 2000 | MORI/News of the World | 36% | 38% | 18% | 2% |
12 September 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 45% | 32% | 16% | 13% |
12 September 2000 | MORI | 45% | 30% | 17% | 15% |
6 September 2000 | MORI | 48% | 32% | 13% | 16% |
21 August 2000 | MORI/Times | 51% | 29% | 15% | 22% |
18 August 2000 | MORI/News of the World | 51% | 32% | 12% | 19% |
13 August 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 44% | 34% | 17% | 10% |
7 August 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 47% | 32% | 14% | 15% |
24 July 2000 | MORI/Times | 49% | 33% | 12% | 16% |
22 July 2000 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 51% | 32% | 11% | 19% |
15 July 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 42% | 35% | 17% | 7% |
14 July 2000 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 47% | 32% | 15% | 15% |
11 July 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 45% | 35% | 14% | 10% |
30 June 2000 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 46% | 32% | 17% | 14% |
27 June 2000 | MORI/Times | 47% | 33% | 13% | 14% |
26 June 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 43% | 32% | 17% | 11% |
23 June 2000 | MORI/News of the World | 47% | 34% | 14% | 13% |
9 June 2000 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 41% | 38% | 16% | 3% |
6 June 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 49% | 30% | 15% | 19% |
23 May 2000 | MORI/Times | 48% | 32% | 15% | 16% |
19 May 2000 | MORI/Daily Mail | 46% | 33% | 14% | 13% |
15 May 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 41% | 34% | 18% | 7% |
9 May 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 47% | 31% | 14% | 16% |
7 May 2000 | ICM/Conservative Party | 43% | 35% | 15% | 8% |
18 April 2000 | MORI/Times | 51% | 27% | 15% | 24% |
15 April 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 45% | 32% | 15% | 13% |
11 April 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 50% | 32% | 12% | 18% |
28 March 2000 | MORI/Times | 50% | 29% | 14% | 21% |
19 March 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 44% | 32% | 16% | 12% |
7 March 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 51% | 31% | 11% | 20% |
23 February 2000 | MORI/Times | 50% | 29% | 15% | 21% |
14 February 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 44% | 29% | 18% | 15% |
7 February 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 49% | 28% | 15% | 21% |
28 January 2000 | MORI/Daily Mail | 49% | 29% | 15% | 20% |
26 January 2000 | MORI/Times | 50% | 30% | 15% | 20% |
18 January 2000 | ICM/Guardian | 47% | 30% | 17% | 17% |
13 January 2000 | Gallup/Telegraph | 53% | 30% | 12% | 23% |
14 December 1999 | MORI/Times | 54% | 28% | 13% | 26% |
12 December 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 48% | 29% | 17% | 19% |
1 December 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 53% | 27% | 15% | 26% |
22 November 1999 | MORI/Times | 55% | 25% | 14% | 30% |
14 November 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 44% | 34% | 15% | 10% |
10 November 1999 | MORI/Daily Mail | 50% | 32% | 12% | 18% |
2 November 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 52% | 28% | 14% | 24% |
26 October 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 45% | 32% | 17% | 13% |
25 October 1999 | MORI/Times | 56% | 28% | 11% | 28% |
14 October 1999 | MORI/Sun | 52% | 31% | 13% | 21% |
29 September 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 52% | 29% | 13% | 23% |
27 September 1999 | MORI/Times | 52% | 25% | 17% | 27% |
19 September 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 45% | 32% | 16% | 13% |
11 September 1999 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 49% | 32% | 13% | 17% |
1 September 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 52% | 27% | 13% | 25% |
23 August 1999 | MORI/Times | 49% | 27% | 17% | 22% |
15 August 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 48% | 30% | 16% | 18% |
4 August 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 51% | 30% | 12% | 21% |
26 July 1999 | MORI/Times | 51% | 28% | 14% | 23% |
11 July 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 48% | 31% | 16% | 17% |
21 June 1999 | MORI/Times | 51% | 28% | 13% | 23% |
5 June 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 46% | 29% | 19% | 17% |
2 June 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 52% | 24% | 16% | 28% |
24 May 1999 | MORI/Times | 52% | 28% | 14% | 24% |
8 May 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 51% | 28% | 16% | 23% |
1 May 1999 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 50% | 30% | 14% | 20% |
28 April 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 52% | 29% | 13% | 23% |
26 April 1999 | MORI/Times | 56% | 25% | 13% | 31% |
17 April 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 52% | 29% | 16% | 23% |
7 April 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 54% | 27% | 13% | 27% |
22 March 1999 | MORI/Times | 54% | 27% | 13% | 27% |
7 March 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 52% | 29% | 16% | 23% |
4 March 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 52% | 30% | 11% | 22% |
22 February 1999 | MORI/Times | 51% | 30% | 14% | 21% |
7 February 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 49% | 28% | 16% | 21% |
3 February 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 53% | 29% | 13% | 24% |
25 January 1999 | MORI/Times | 56% | 24% | 14% | 32% |
12 January 1999 | NOP/Evening Standard | 57% | 25% | 12% | 32% |
6 January 1999 | Gallup/Telegraph | 52% | 29% | 13% | 23% |
3 January 1999 | ICM/Guardian | 50% | 30% | 15% | 20% |
15 December 1998 | NOP/Evening Standard | 55% | 27% | 12% | 28% |
14 December 1998 | MORI/Times | 54% | 27% | 12% | 27% |
7 December 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 49% | 29% | 16% | 20% |
2 December 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 55% | 29% | 11% | 26% |
23 November 1998 | MORI/Times | 53% | 29% | 13% | 24% |
6 November 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 51% | 27% | 17% | 24% |
4 November 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 54% | 28% | 14% | 26% |
26 October 1998 | MORI/Times | 53% | 26% | 16% | 27% |
4 October 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 51% | 29% | 15% | 22% |
30 September 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 57% | 23% | 15% | 34% |
21 September 1998 | MORI/Times | 56% | 24% | 15% | 32% |
6 September 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 48% | 29% | 17% | 19% |
3 September 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 54% | 28% | 12% | 26% |
24 August 1998 | MORI/Times | 52% | 28% | 14% | 24% |
9 August 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 47% | 31% | 17% | 16% |
5 August 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 53% | 28% | 13% | 25% |
21 July 1998 | MORI/Times | 53% | 28% | 14% | 25% |
4 July 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 52% | 27% | 17% | 25% |
1 July 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 52% | 28% | 14% | 24% |
30 June 1998 | MORI/Times | 56% | 27% | 13% | 29% |
26 June 1998 | MORI/Sun | 51% | 28% | 15% | 23% |
6 June 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 51% | 29% | 16% | 22% |
3 June 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 54% | 28% | 12% | 26% |
24 May 1998 | MORI/Times | 55% | 26% | 14% | 29% |
19 May 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 50% | 29% | 16% | 21% |
29 April 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 54% | 25% | 16% | 29% |
27 April 1998 | MORI/Times | 55% | 27% | 14% | 28% |
26 April 1998 | MORI/Sun | 54% | 30% | 13% | 24% |
22 April 1998 | ICM/Observer | 52% | 29% | 16% | 23% |
5 April 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 48% | 31% | 16% | 17% |
1 April 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 54% | 26% | 16% | 28% |
23 March 1998 | MORI/Times | 53% | 28% | 14% | 25% |
8 March 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 46% | 33% | 17% | 13% |
4 March 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 51% | 29% | 14% | 22% |
23 February 1998 | MORI/Times | 52% | 28% | 15% | 24% |
8 February 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 47% | 31% | 18% | 16% |
4 February 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 54% | 29% | 11% | 25% |
26 January 1998 | MORI/Times | 54% | 28% | 14% | 26% |
11 January 1998 | ICM/Guardian | 48% | 30% | 17% | 18% |
7 January 1998 | Gallup/Telegraph | 56% | 26% | 12% | 30% |
15 December 1997 | MORI/Times | 55% | 26% | 15% | 29% |
6 December 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 50% | 29% | 17% | 21% |
3 December 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 57% | 21% | 17% | 36% |
24 November 1997 | MORI/Times | 56% | 24% | 16% | 32% |
14 November 1997 | MORI/Sun | 56% | 30% | 11% | 26% |
8 November 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 52% | 30% | 14% | 22% |
4 November 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 63% | 23% | 11% | 40% |
27 October 1997 | MORI/Times | 60% | 24% | 12% | 36% |
6 October 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 59% | 23% | 13% | 36% |
1 October 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 60% | 22% | 14% | 38% |
29 September 1997 | MORI/Times | 59% | 25% | 13% | 34% |
8 September 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 60% | 24% | 10% | 36% |
3 September 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 58% | 26% | 12% | 32% |
25 August 1997 | MORI/Times | 54% | 28% | 15% | 26% |
6 August 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 58% | 25% | 12% | 33% |
28 July 1997 | MORI/Times | 57% | 23% | 15% | 34% |
28 June 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 61% | 23% | 12% | 38% |
23 June 1997 | MORI/Times | 58% | 24% | 15% | 34% |
4 June 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 59% | 23% | 13% | 36% |
1 May 1997 | Election Result | 43.2% | 30.7% | 16.8% | 12.5% |