Opinion polling for the 1997 United Kingdom general election
The 1997 United Kingdom general election saw the Labour Party win a landslide victory and end 18 years of Conservative government, with Tony Blair becoming prime minister. He had become leader of the party in July 1994, two months after the sudden death of his predecessor John Smith, and rebranded it "New Labour", in a move which was well received by voters and which saw the abandonment of many traditional socialist policies of the Labour Party, including the mass nationalisation of industry which had been pioneered by Clement Attlee half a century earlier and remained on the Labour manifesto until the mid-1990s, whereas the Conservative government of Margaret Thatcher had privatised most of the state-owned industries and utilities during the 1980s, and the process had continued on a lesser scale under her successor John Major since November 1990.
The previous general election in 1992 had seen the Conservative win for the fourth successive election, although its majority was cut to 21 seats compared to the 102-seat majority it had won in 1987. However, the Black Wednesday debacle on 16 September 1992 had seriously damaged the Conservative government's reputation for economic excellence, and the Labour Party quickly became ascendant in the opinion polls. Subsequent local elections and parliamentary by-elections saw Labour and the Liberal Democrats both make gains at the expense of the Conservatives, and opinion polls pointed towards a wide Labour victory long before a general election was even on the political horizon.
Britain had been in recession in the run-up to the 1992 general election, with unemployment exceeding 2.5 million in April 1992 and reaching nearly 3 million by the end of that year. Black Wednesday was in fact followed by an economic upturn, which saw an unprecedented run of economic growth that would remain unbroken for 16 years, with unemployment falling accordingly, but this did little to boost the Conservative showing in local elections, by-elections and opinion polls – even more so in the aftermath of Tony Blair's election as Labour leader. In December 1996, with an election no more than five months away, the Conservative majority finally disappeared. A series of scandals involving Conservative MPs, along with the long-running division within the party over Europe, had done the government no favours either.
On 17 March 1997, John Major called a general election for 1 May, and the opinion polls continued to point towards a large victory for Labour. Even The Sun newspaper, which had constantly supported the Tories for some 20 years and even claimed to have won the last election for the party with its fierce campaigning, declared its support for Tony Blair and "New Labour", condemning the Tories as "tired, divided and rudderless", and urged its readers to "give change a chance" and vote for a new government, although it still opposed some of New Labour's policies.
In contrast to Labour's huge victory, the Conservatives were left with their lowest number of MPs since the 1906 general election,[1] and without any representation in Scotland or Wales. John Major resigned as party leader, and was succeeded shortly afterwards by William Hague.
The Liberal Democrats, still led by their long-serving leader Paddy Ashdown, did well, further cementing their place as the third largest party in Westminster, returning 41 MPs compared to 18 in 1992, although they actually took a smaller share of the vote compared to the previous election.
Graphical summary
Results
1997
Date Conducted | Polling Organisation/Client | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 May 1997 | Election Result | 30.7% | 43.2% | 16.8% | 12.5% |
30 Apr 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 33% | 43% | 18% | 10% |
30 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 33% | 46% | 16% | 13% |
30 Apr 1997 | MORI/Evening Standard | 29% | 47% | 19% | 18% |
29 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 31% | 51% | 13% | 20% |
29 Apr 1997 | Harris/Independent | 31% | 48% | 15% | 17% |
29 Apr 1997 | MORI/Times | 27% | 51% | 15% | 24% |
29 Apr 1997 | NOP/Reuters | 28% | 50% | 14% | 22% |
28 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Channel 4 | 31% | 49% | 14% | 18% |
28 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 29% | 51% | 13% | 22% |
27 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 30% | 49% | 14% | 19% |
26 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Sunday Telegraph | 31% | 48% | 13% | 17% |
25 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 48% | 14% | 16% |
25 Apr 1997 | ICM/Observer | 32% | 47% | 16% | 15% |
25 Apr 1997 | NOP/Sunday Times | 29% | 47% | 16% | 18% |
24 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 48% | 12% | 16% |
24 Apr 1997 | MORI/Independent on Sunday | 29% | 53% | 12% | 24% |
23 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 30% | 50% | 12% | 20% |
22 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Channel 4 | 31% | 50% | 13% | 19% |
22 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 30% | 51% | 12% | 21% |
22 Apr 1997 | MORI/Times | 27% | 48% | 17% | 21% |
21 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 48% | 12% | 16% |
21 Apr 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 37% | 42% | 14% | 5% |
20 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 48% | 13% | 16% |
20 Apr 1997 | Harris/Independent | 30% | 48% | 15% | 18% |
19 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Sunday Telegraph | 31% | 50% | 13% | 19% |
18 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 50% | 13% | 18% |
18 Apr 1997 | ICM/Observer | 31% | 48% | 15% | 17% |
18 Apr 1997 | NOP/Sunday Times | 29% | 47% | 17% | 18% |
17 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 31% | 50% | 12% | 19% |
16 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 31% | 50% | 11% | 19% |
15 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 30% | 51% | 12% | 21% |
15 Apr 1997 | MORI/Times | 32% | 49% | 13% | 17% |
14 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 49% | 14% | 17% |
14 Apr 1997 | Harris/Independent | 31% | 49% | 13% | 18% |
14 Apr 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 45% | 19% | 14% |
14 Apr 1997 | MORI/Evening Standard | 29% | 50% | 15% | 21% |
13 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 30% | 50% | 14% | 20% |
12 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Sunday Telegraph | 31% | 50% | 13% | 19% |
12 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 49% | 14% | 17% |
11 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 52% | 11% | 20% |
11 Apr 1997 | ICM/Observer | 32% | 48% | 15% | 16% |
11 Apr 1997 | NOP/Sunday Times | 28% | 49% | 16% | 21% |
10 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 30% | 52% | 11% | 22% |
9 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 29% | 53% | 12% | 24% |
8 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 51% | 11% | 19% |
8 Apr 1997 | MORI/Times | 34% | 49% | 12% | 15% |
7 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 33% | 53% | 10% | 20% |
7 Apr 1997 | Harris/Independent | 28% | 54% | 12% | 26% |
7 Apr 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 34% | 46% | 15% | 12% |
6 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 30% | 55% | 10% | 25% |
4 Apr 1997 | ICM/Observer | 30% | 50% | 14% | 20% |
4 Apr 1997 | MORI/Independent on Sunday | 30% | 55% | 9% | 25% |
4 Apr 1997 | NOP/Reuters | 29% | 52% | 11% | 23% |
4 Apr 1997 | NOP/Sunday Times | 26% | 53% | 12% | 27% |
3 Apr 1997 | Gallup/Channel 4 | 30% | 54% | 11% | 24% |
3 Apr 1997 | Harris/Central News | 29% | 55% | 11% | 26% |
1 Apr 1997 | MORI/Times | 28% | 55% | 11% | 27% |
31 Mar 1997 | Harris/Independent | 28% | 52% | 14% | 24% |
31 Mar 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 32% | 46% | 17% | 14% |
28 Mar 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 31% | 52% | 11% | 21% |
24 Mar 1997 | Harris/Independent | 28% | 56% | 10% | 28% |
24 Mar 1997 | MORI/Times | 29% | 50% | 14% | 21% |
21 Mar 1997 | Gallup/Sunday Telegraph | 27% | 56% | 11% | 29% |
17 Mar 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 28.5% | 56.5% | 9.5% | 28% |
17 Mar 1997 | Harris/Independent | 27% | 58% | 10% | 31% |
14 Mar 1997 | NOP/Reuters | 29% | 54% | 11% | 25% |
13 Mar 1997 | NOP/Sunday Times | 26% | 54% | 13% | 28% |
10 Mar 1997 | Harris/Independent | 26% | 53% | 14% | 27% |
9 Mar 1997 | ORB/Ladbrokes | 26% | 56% | 12% | 30% |
4 Mar 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 28% | 54% | 12.5% | 26% |
3 Mar 1997 | Harris/Independent | 30% | 55% | 10% | 25% |
2 Mar 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 48% | 16% | 18% |
24 Feb 1997 | MORI/Times | 31% | 52% | 11% | 21% |
21 Feb 1997 | NOP/Reuters | 29% | 51% | 14% | 22% |
13 Feb 1997 | NOP/Sunday Times | 30% | 49% | 13% | 19% |
4 Feb 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 34% | 49% | 12% | 15% |
2 Feb 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 32% | 48% | 15% | 16% |
28 Jan 1997 | MORI/Times | 30% | 55% | 11% | 25% |
16 Jan 1997 | NOP/Sunday Times | 31% | 54% | 12% | 23% |
15 Jan 1997 | Gallup/Telegraph | 32.5% | 50.5% | 10.5% | 18% |
5 Jan 1997 | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 48% | 16% | 17% |
5 Jan 1997 | ORB/Ladbrokes | 30% | 53% | 12% | 23% |
1996
Date Conducted | Polling Organisation/Client | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 Dec 1996 | ICM/Observer | 30% | 50% | 14% | 20% |
9 Dec 1996 | MORI/Times | 30% | 51% | 13% | 21% |
2 Dec 1996 | Gallup/Telegraph | 22% | 59% | 12% | 37% |
1 Dec 1996 | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 50% | 15% | 19% |
29 Nov 1996 | MORI/Euro | 30% | 52% | 13% | 22% |
14 Nov 1996 | NOP/Sunday Times | 26% | 56% | 13% | 30% |
11 Nov 1996 | MORI/Times | 33% | 50% | 12% | 17% |
5 Nov 1996 | Gallup/Telegraph | 28% | 55% | 11% | 17% |
2 Nov 1996 | ICM/Guardian | 34% | 47% | 15% | 13% |
1 Nov 1996 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 30% | 54% | 12% | 24% |
28 Oct 1996 | MORI/Times | 28% | 56% | 12% | 18% |
21 Oct 1996 | MORI | 27% | 54% | 12% | 17% |
17 Oct 1996 | NOP/Sunday Times | 33% | 47% | 14% | 24% |
14 Oct 1996 | MORI | 30% | 53% | 12% | 23% |
7 Oct 1996 | MORI | 29% | 54% | 13% | 25% |
5 Oct 1996 | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 49% | 16% | 18% |
4 Oct 1996 | Gallup/Telegraph | 24% | 57% | 15% | 33% |
3 Oct 1996 | NOP/Sunday Times | 25% | 57% | 13% | 32% |
1 Oct 1996 | Gallup/Telegraph | 27.5% | 52% | 15% | 24.5% |
24 Sep 1996 | Gallup/Telegraph | 27% | 54% | 13.5% | 27% |
23 Sep 1996 | MORI/Times | 29% | 52% | 14% | 23% |
19 Sep 1996 | NOP/Sunday Times | 31% | 50% | 14% | 19% |
9 Sep 1996 | MORI | 28% | 56% | 12% | 28% |
7 Sep 1996 | ICM/Guardian | 32% | 47% | 16% | 15% |
3 Sep 1996 | Gallup/Telegraph | 25.5% | 58.5% | 11% | 33% |
25 Aug 1996 | MORI/Times | 30% | 51% | 13% | 27% |
15 Aug 1996 | NOP/Sunday Times | 28% | 54% | 14% | 26% |
12 Aug 1996 | MORI | 30% | 52% | 13% | 22% |
5 Aug 1996 | Gallup/Telegraph | 25% | 59% | 11% | 34% |
3 Aug 1996 | ICM/Guardian | 33% | 45% | 19% | 12% |
28 Jul 1996 | MORI/Times | 29% | 53% | 12% | 24% |
25 Jul 1996 | NOP/Sunday Times | 29% | 51% | 16% | 22% |
6 Jul 1996 | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 45% | 21% | 15% |
1 Jul 1996 | Gallup/Telegraph | 26% | 54.5% | 14.5% | 28.5% |
1 Jul 1996 | MORI | 32% | 52% | 12% | 20% |
24 Jun 1996 | MORI/Times | 31% | 52% | 12% | 21% |
20 Jun 1996 | NOP/Sunday Times | 27% | 55% | 15% | 28% |
10 Jun 1996 | MORI | 27% | 56% | 13% | 29% |
6 Jun 1996 | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 46% | 19% | 16% |
3 Jun 1996 | Gallup/Telegraph | 22.5% | 57% | 16% | 34.5% |
2 Jun 1996 | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 46% | 19% | 16% |
26 May 1996 | MORI/Times | 27% | 54% | 15% | 27% |
16 May 1996 | NOP/Sunday Times | 27% | 52% | 17% | 25% |
13 May 1996 | MORI | 27% | 56% | 13% | 29% |
6 May 1996 | Gallup/Telegraph | 24.5% | 55.5% | 15.5% | 31% |
5 May 1996 | ICM/Guardian | 28% | 45% | 21% | 17% |
3 May 1996 | ICM/Sunday Express | 26% | 52% | 15% | 26% |
27 Apr 1996 | MORI/Sun | 29% | 54% | 13% | 25% |
25 Apr 1996 | NOP/Sunday Times | 28% | 52% | 16% | 24% |
22 Apr 1996 | MORI/Times | 28% | 54% | 14% | 26% |
13 Apr 1996 | ICM/Guardian | 29% | 50% | 17% | 21% |
1 Apr 1996 | Gallup/Telegraph | 26% | 55.5% | 15.5% | 29.5% |
25 Mar 1996 | MORI/Times | 28% | 57% | 13% | 29% |
14 Mar 1996 | NOP/Sunday Times | 27% | 55% | 14% | 28% |
11 Mar 1996 | MORI | 29% | 55% | 13% | 26% |
4 Mar 1996 | Gallup/Telegraph | 23% | 57.5% | 16% | 34.5% |
4 Mar 1996 | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 45% | 20% | 14% |
26 Feb 1996 | MORI/Times | 26% | 57% | 14% | 31% |
16 Feb 1996 | NOP/Sunday Times | 25% | 54% | 16% | 29% |
12 Feb 1996 | MORI | 26% | 57% | 14% | 31% |
5 Feb 1996 | Gallup/Telegraph | 28% | 54.5% | 14.5% | 26.5% |
4 Feb 1996 | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 47% | 19% | 16% |
29 Jan 1996 | MORI | 28% | 54% | 15% | 26% |
22 Jan 1996 | MORI/Times | 29% | 55% | 13% | 26% |
19 Jan 1996 | NOP/Sunday Times | 25% | 54% | 18% | 25% |
17 Jan 1996 | NOP | 33% | 47% | 14% | 14% |
8 Jan 1996 | Gallup/Telegraph | 21% | 60.5% | 14.5% | 39.5% |
6 Jan 1996 | ICM/Guardian | 26% | 48% | 22% | 22% |
3 Jan 1996 | NOP/Sunday Times | 29% | 52% | 13% | 23% |
1995
Date Conducted | Polling Organisation/Client | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 Dec 1995 | NOP/Sunday Times | 25% | 55% | 16% | 30% |
14 Dec 1995 | ICM/Observer | 30% | 50% | 14% | 20% |
9 Dec 1995 | ICM/Guardian | 26% | 48% | 22% | 22% |
4 Dec 1995 | Gallup/Telegraph | 23% | 62% | 12% | 39% |
4 Dec 1995 | MORI/Times | 28% | 55% | 13% | 27% |
1 Dec 1995 | NOP/Sunday Times | 25% | 57% | 15% | 32% |
20 Nov 1995 | MORI/Times | 26% | 56% | 14% | 30% |
17 Nov 1995 | NOP/Sunday Times | 27% | 56% | 13% | 29% |
5 Nov 1995 | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 48% | 16% | 17% |
30 Oct 1995 | Gallup/Telegraph | 21.5% | 61% | 14.5% | 39.5% |
23 Oct 1995 | MORI/Times | 27% | 56% | 13% | 29% |
20 Oct 1995 | NOP/Sunday Times | 23% | 59% | 15% | 36% |
7 Oct 1995 | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 47% | 19% | 17% |
2 Oct 1995 | Gallup/Telegraph | 25.5% | 55.5% | 14% | 30% |
25 Sep 1995 | MORI/Times | 28% | 51% | 16% | 23% |
15 Sep 1995 | NOP/Sunday Times | 27% | 53% | 17% | 26% |
9 Sep 1995 | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 48% | 17% | 17% |
4 Sep 1995 | Gallup/Telegraph | 26.5% | 54.5% | 14% | 28% |
28 Aug 1995 | MORI/Times | 25% | 56% | 15% | 31% |
18 Aug 1995 | NOP/Sunday Times | 24% | 57% | 15% | 33% |
5 Aug 1995 | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 48% | 17% | 17% |
31 Jul 1995 | Gallup/Telegraph | 22.5% | 57.5% | 14.5% | 35% |
31 Jul 1995 | ICM/Express | 24% | 58% | 14% | 34% |
24 Jul 1995 | MORI/Times | 26% | 59% | 12% | 33% |
21 Jul 1995 | MORI/LWT | 30% | 52% | 13% | 22% |
21 Jul 1995 | NOP/Sunday Times | 26% | 55% | 14% | 29% |
8 Jul 1995 | ICM/Guardian | 32% | 47% | 17% | 15% |
3 Jul 1995 | Gallup/Telegraph | 25.5% | 57% | 13% | 31.5% |
3 Jul 1995 | MORI/European | 33% | 52% | 10% | 19% |
27 Jun 1995 | MORI/Economist | 31% | 55% | 11% | 24% |
26 Jun 1995 | MORI/Times | 29% | 56% | 13% | 27% |
24 Jun 1995 | MORI/Mail on Sunday | 32% | 54% | 11% | 22% |
10 Jun 1995 | ICM/Guardian | 24% | 53% | 19% | 29% |
5 Jun 1995 | Gallup/Telegraph | 20% | 59.5% | 14.5% | 39.5% |
22 May 1995 | MORI/Times | 22% | 58% | 16% | 36% |
13 May 1995 | ICM/Guardian | 29% | 48% | 19% | 19% |
8 May 1995 | Gallup/Telegraph | 23% | 55.5% | 16.5% | 32.5% |
24 Apr 1995 | MORI/Times | 26% | 56% | 15% | 30% |
8 Apr 1995 | ICM/Guardian | 26% | 51% | 18% | 25% |
3 Apr 1995 | Gallup/Telegraph | 23% | 57.5% | 15% | 34.5% |
24 Mar 1995 | MORI/Sunday Times | 25% | 59% | 12% | 34% |
20 Mar 1995 | MORI/Times | 25% | 57% | 13% | 32% |
11 Mar 1995 | ICM/Guardian | 27% | 52% | 17% | 25% |
27 Feb 1995 | Gallup/Telegraph | 20.5% | 60.5% | 15% | 40% |
20 Feb 1995 | MORI/Times | 24% | 58% | 14% | 34% |
11 Feb 1995 | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 49% | 17% | 18% |
30 Jan 1995 | Gallup/Telegraph | 23.5% | 59.5% | 13% | 36% |
23 Jan 1995 | MORI/Times | 27% | 56% | 14% | 29% |
14 Jan 1995 | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 48% | 18% | 18% |
13 Jan 1995 | Harris/Sunday Times | 25% | 60% | 12% | 35% |
9 Jan 1995 | Gallup/Telegraph | 18.5% | 62% | 14% | 43.5% |
1994
Date Conducted | Polling Organisation/Client | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 Dec 1994 | MORI/Times | 22% | 61% | 13% | 39% | |
9 Dec 1994 | ICM/Observer | 26% | 53% | 17% | 27% | |
5 Dec 1994 | Gallup/Telegraph | 21.5% | 61% | 13.5% | 39.5% | |
3 Dec 1994 | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 49% | 17% | 18% | |
21 Nov 1994 | MORI/Times | 24% | 55% | 17% | 31% | |
5 Nov 1994 | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 49% | 16% | 18% | |
31 Oct 1994 | Gallup/Telegraph | 21.5% | 56.5% | 17% | 35% | |
24 Oct 1994 | MORI/Times | 25% | 57% | 14% | 32% | |
8 Oct 1994 | ICM/Guardian | 32% | 49% | 15% | 17% | |
3 Oct 1994 | Gallup/Telegraph | 25.5% | 54% | 16.5% | 28.5% | |
27 Sep 1994 | Gallup/Telegraph | 21% | 57.5% | 15.5% | 36.5% | |
26 Sep 1994 | MORI/Economist | 25% | 52% | 18% | 27% | |
26 Sep 1994 | MORI/Times | 25% | 54% | 17% | 29% | |
16 Sep 1994 | NOP/Independent | 28% | 50% | 17% | 22% | |
10 Sep 1994 | ICM/Guardian | 33% | 45% | 18% | 12% | |
5 Sep 1994 | Gallup/Telegraph | 22% | 56.5% | 17% | 34.5% | |
26 Aug 1994 | NOP/Independent on Sunday | 26% | 54% | 16% | 28% | |
22 Aug 1994 | MORI/Times | 23% | 56% | 18% | 33% | |
6 Aug 1994 | ICM/Guardian | 28% | 49% | 19% | 21% | |
1 Aug 1994 | Gallup/Telegraph | 23% | 56.5% | 14.5% | 33.5% | |
Tony Blair becomes leader of the Labour Party | ||||||
18 Jul 1994 | MORI/Times | 23% | 51% | 21% | 28% | |
9 Jul 1994 | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 44% | 21% | 13% | |
4 Jul 1994 | Gallup/Telegraph | 26.5% | 51% | 17.5% | 24.5% | |
20 Jun 1994 | MORI/Times | 24% | 52% | 20% | 28% | |
10 Jun 1994 | ICM/Sunday Express | 26.5% | 45.5% | 19% | 19% | |
6 Jun 1994 | MORI/Times | 23% | 50% | 22% | 27% | |
4 Jun 1994 | ICM/Daily Express | 27% | 45% | 22% | 19% | |
31 May 1994 | MORI/GMB | 22% | 46% | 22% | 24% | |
30 May 1994 | Gallup/ Telegraph | 21% | 54% | 21.5% | 33% | |
23 May 1994 | MORI/Times | 27% | 46% | 23% | 19% | |
21 May 1994 | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 44% | 20% | 14% | |
17 May 1994 | ICM/Express | 26% | 48% | 23% | 22% | |
14 May 1994 | MORI/Sunday Times | 26% | 49% | 20% | 23% | |
9 May 1994 | Gallup/Telegraph | 24.5% | 45.5% | 25% | 20.5 | |
7 May 1994 | ICM/Guardian | 29% | 44% | 24% | 17% | |
25 Apr 1994 | MORI/Times | 26% | 47% | 23% | 21% | |
20 Apr 1994 | NOP/Independent | 26% | 48% | 21% | 22% | |
9 Apr 1994 | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 42% | 22% | 12% | |
4 Apr 1994 | Gallup/Telegraph | 26.5% | 51.5% | 17.5% | 25% | |
1 Apr 1994 | MORI/Evening Standard | 28% | 46% | 22% | 18% | |
31 Mar 1994 | NOP/Independent on Sunday | 26% | 50% | 20% | 24% | |
28 Mar 1994 | MORI/Times | 27% | 49% | 20% | 22% | |
12 Mar 1994 | ICM/Guardian | 29% | 44% | 22% | 15% | |
28 Feb 1994 | Gallup/Telegraph | 25% | 48.5% | 21% | 23.5% | |
28 Feb 1994 | MORI/Times | 28% | 47% | 21% | 19% | |
12 Feb 1994 | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 44% | 21% | 14% | |
31 Jan 1994 | Gallup/Telegraph | 26% | 45.5% | 23% | 19.5% | |
27 Jan 1994 | Audience Selection/Sunday Mirror | 28% | 41% | 24% | 13% | |
24 Jan 1994 | MORI/Times | 28% | 48% | 20% | 20% | |
11 Jan 1994 | Gallup/Telegraph | 25.5% | 46.5% | 20.5% | 21% | |
11 Jan 1994 | MORI/Sun | 30% | 46% | 20% | 16% | |
8 Jan 1994 | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 43% | 21% | 12% |
1993
Date Conducted | Polling Organisation/Client | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 Dec 1993 | ICM/Observer | 26% | 48% | 23% | 22% |
13 Dec 1993 | MORI/Times | 29% | 47% | 20% | 18% |
6 Dec 1993 | Gallup/Telegraph | 27% | 48.5% | 20% | 21.5% |
4 Dec 1993 | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 42% | 23% | 11% |
22 Nov 1993 | MORI/Times | 29% | 47% | 22% | 18% |
13 Nov 1993 | NOP/Sunday Times | 27% | 47% | 21% | 20% |
6 Nov 1993 | ICM/Guardian | 34% | 38% | 24% | 4% |
1 Nov 1993 | Gallup/Telegraph | 24% | 46.5% | 25.5% | 22.5% |
25 Oct 1993 | MORI/Times | 29% | 45% | 23% | 16% |
9 Oct 1993 | ICM/Guardian | 36% | 39% | 20% | 3% |
9 Oct 1993 | ICM/Sunday Express | 30% | 40% | 26% | 10% |
27 Sep 1993 | Gallup/Telegraph | 23% | 44.5% | 27% | 21.5% |
24 Sep 1993 | ICM/Sunday Express | 27% | 41% | 26% | 14 |
21 Sep 1993 | Gallup/Telegraph | 23.5% | 44% | 26.5% | 20.5% |
20 Sep 1993 | MORI/Times | 29% | 43% | 25% | 14% |
11 Sep 1993 | ICM/Guardian | 29% | 40% | 26% | 11% |
6 Sep 1993 | Gallup/Telegraph | 25.5% | 46.5% | 23% | 21% |
23 Aug 1993 | MORI/Times | 28% | 42% | 25% | 14% |
7 Aug 1993 | ICM/Guardian | 30% | 36% | 27% | 6% |
1 Aug 1993 | Gallup/Telegraph | 23% | 44.5% | 27% | 21.5% |
30 Jul 1993 | MORI/Sunday Times | 27% | 41% | 28% | 14% |
26 Jul 1993 | MORI/Times | 27% | 44% | 25% | 17% |
23 Jul 1993 | MORI/Sunday Times | 34% | 44% | 18% | 20% |
5 Jul 1993 | Gallup/Telegraph | 24.5% | 43% | 26.5% | 18.5% |
3 Jul 1993 | ICM/Guardian | 32% | 37% | 25% | 5% |
28 Jun 1993 | MORI/Times | 28% | 46% | 23% | 18% |
12 Jun 1993 | MORI/Sunday Times | 29% | 44% | 22% | 15% |
11 Jun 1993 | NOP/Independent on Sunday | 27% | 42% | 26% | 15% |
5 Jun 1993 | ICM/Guardian | 31% | 38% | 26% | 7% |
31 May 1993 | Gallup/Telegraph | 25% | 49% | 23% | 24% |
24 May 1993 | MORI/Times | 28% | 44% | 24% | 16% |
8 May 1993 | ICM/Guardian | 32% | 38% | 24% | 6% |
3 May 1993 | Gallup/Telegraph | 30% | 47% | 17.5% | 17% |
26 Apr 1993 | MORI/Times | 32% | 46% | 20% | 14% |
10 Apr 1993 | ICM/Guardian | 34% | 39% | 21% | 5% |
1 Apr 1993 | Gallup/Telegraph | 30.5% | 49% | 15.5% | 18.5% |
29 Mar 1993 | MORI/Times | 32% | 47% | 17% | 15% |
6 Mar 1993 | ICM/Guardian | 36% | 41% | 18% | 5% |
1 Mar 1993 | Gallup/Telegraph | 32% | 49% | 14% | 17% |
22 Feb 1993 | MORI/Times | 34% | 46% | 16% | 12% |
6 Feb 1993 | ICM/Guardian | 37% | 39% | 18% | 2% |
1 Feb 1993 | Gallup/Telegraph | 33.5% | 46% | 15.5% | 12.5% |
26 Jan 1993 | MORI/CCC | 38% | 44% | 13% | 8% |
21 Jan 1993 | MORI/Sunday Times | 37% | 45% | 14% | 8% |
11 Jan 1993 | Gallup/Telegraph | 33.5% | 45.5% | 14.5% | 12% |
9 Jan 1993 | ICM/Guardian | 39% | 37% | 18% | 2% |
1992
Date Conducted | Polling Organisation/Client | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 Dec 1992 | MORI/Sunday Times | 34% | 47% | 16% | 13% |
5 Dec 1992 | ICM/Guardian | 36% | 41% | 18% | 5% |
1 Dec 1992 | MORI/Sunday Times | 34% | 47% | 15% | 13% |
30 Nov 1992 | Gallup/Telegraph | 29% | 52% | 14% | 23% |
20 Nov 1992 | ICM/Express | 33% | 49% | 14% | 16% |
12 Nov 1992 | Harris/Observer | 32% | 51% | 14% | 19% |
8 Nov 1992 | Harris/World in Action | 30% | 53% | 13% | 23% |
7 Nov 1992 | ICM/Guardian | 36% | 40% | 19% | 4% |
2 Nov 1992 | Gallup/Telegraph | 32.5% | 50% | 13% | 17.5% |
30 Oct 1992 | NOP/Independent on Sunday | 34% | 47% | 14% | 13% |
27 Oct 1992 | MORI/Sunday Times | 35% | 45% | 15% | 20% |
19 Oct 1992 | Gallup | 29% | 51% | 14% | 22% |
12 Oct 1992 | Gallup | 36% | 45% | 14% | 9% |
10 Oct 1992 | ICM/Guardian | 38% | 38% | 19% | Tie |
29 Sep 1992 | MORI/Sunday Times | 37% | 43% | 16% | 6% |
28 Sep 1992 | Gallup/Telegraph | 37% | 44% | 15% | 7% |
21 Sep 1992 | Gallup/Telegraph | 37% | 42% | 17% | 5% |
19 Sep 1992 | MORI/Sunday Times | 39% | 43% | 15% | 4% |
18 Sep 1992 | NOP/Independent on Sunday | 39% | 41% | 16% | 3% |
17 Sep 1992 | Harris/Observer | 36% | 44% | 16% | 8% |
16 Sep 1992 | Black Wednesday | ||||
7 Sep 1992 | Gallup | 43% | 41% | 12% | 2% |
5 Sep 1992 | ICM/Guardian | 39% | 35% | 19% | 4% |
2 Sep 1992 | MORI/Sunday Times | 41% | 44% | 13% | 3% |
21 Aug 1992 | MORI/Times | 38% | 44% | 14% | 6% |
14 Aug 1992 | NOP/Independent on Sunday | 43% | 39% | 14% | 4% |
8 Aug 1992 | ICM/Guardian | 41% | 36% | 17% | 5% |
3 Aug 1992 | Gallup | 40.5% | 45% | 12% | 4.5% |
28 Jul 1992 | MORI/Sunday Times | 39% | 43% | 15% | 4% |
18 Jul 1992 | John Smith becomes leader of the Labour Party | ||||
16 Jul 1992 | Harris/Observer | 44% | 38% | 15% | 6% |
6 Jul 1992 | Gallup | 42% | 38% | 16% | 4% |
4 Jul 1992 | ICM/Guardian | 45% | 36% | 15% | 9% |
23 Jun 1992 | MORI/Sunday Times | 42% | 39% | 16% | 3% |
18 Jun 1992 | Harris/Observer | 46% | 36% | 15% | 10% |
6 Jun 1992 | ICM/Guardian | 45% | 36% | 16% | 9% |
1 Jun 1992 | Gallup | 45% | 37% | 17% | 8% |
26 May 1992 | MORI/Sunday Times | 43% | 38% | 16% | 5% |
17 May 1992 | Audience Selection | 45% | 37% | 13% | 8% |
14 May 1992 | Harris/Observer | 46% | 37% | 13% | 9% |
9 May 1992 | ICM/Guardian | 45% | 34% | 17% | 11% |
4 May 1992 | Gallup | 42% | 39% | 17% | 3% |
28 Apr 1992 | MORI/Sunday Times | 43% | 38% | 16% | 5% |
16 Apr 1992 | Harris/Observer | 44% | 36% | 17% | 8% |
12 Apr 1992 | Gallup | 39% | 38% | 19% | 1% |
11 Apr 1992 | Audience Selection | 42% | 36% | 18% | 6% |
References
- "Background". BBC Politics 97. Retrieved 30 May 2017.