Opinion polling in United Kingdom constituencies (2010–2015)
Prior to the 2015 United Kingdom general election, various polling organisations conducted opinion polling in specific constituencies. The results of publicised opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article. However, most opinion polling covers Great Britain, where the results are published in this article here.
Opinion polls were conducted gradually from the months after the previous general election held on 6 May 2010, and increased in frequency before the general election which took place on 7 May 2015. Though most opinion polls published are for general election voting intention, some polls shown are for voting intention in separate by-elections.
Polls of individual constituencies are expensive compared to national polling and were previously an infrequent practice in the UK. However, a large number of individual constituency polls were carried out in this period, most commissioned from independent polling providers by Lord Ashcroft, a Conservative peer and sponsor. In addition to polls listed in this article, other polling of constituencies has been carried out in private, often by political parties.[1]
Given the expense of polling individual constituencies, constituencies are usually only polled if they are of some particular interest, e.g. they are thought to be marginal or facing an impending by-election. The constituencies polled are not necessarily representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system true marginal seats are, by definition, decisive as to the election outcome.[2]
Constituency polls
England
Amber Valley
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 result | 44.0% | 34.8% | 3.0% | 15.9% | 2.4% | – | 9.2% | |
| 3–12 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 35% | 4% | 23% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| 14–20 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 29% | 41% | 6% | 20% | 2% | 2% | 12% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,958 | 38.6% | 37.4% | 14.4% | 2.0% | – | 7.6% | 1.2% |
Bedford
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 result | 42.6% | 40.2% | 4.2% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 2.4% | |
| 23–30 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 28% | 38% | 14% | 15% | 3% | 2% | 10% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,102 | 38.9% | 35.9% | 19.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% |
Bermondsey and Old Southwark
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 result | 11.8% | 43.1% | 34.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 8.7% | |
| 3–13 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 14% | 35% | 36% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 44,651 | 17.1% | 29.2% | 48.4% | – | 1.6% | 3.7% | 19.1% |
Berwick-upon-Tweed
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | 2015 result | 41.1% | 14.9% | 28.9% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 12.2% | |
| 21–28 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 33% | 16% | 30% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 38,439 | 36.7% | 13.2% | 43.7% | 3.2% | – | 3.2% | 7% |
Birmingham Edgbaston
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 41,293 | 44.8% | 38.3% | 2.9% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% |
| 31 Jul–11 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1001 | 48% | 29% | 3% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 19% |
| 12–18 May 2014 | Ashcroft | 1000 | 44% | 33% | 5% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 11% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,571 | 40.6% | 37.6% | 15.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
Birmingham Yardley
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 41,313 | 41.6% | 14.0% | 25.6% | 16.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 16.0% |
| 27–31 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 31% | 12% | 34% | 19% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 40,850 | 32.2% | 19.2% | 39.6% | 2.9% | – | – | 7.3% |
Blackpool North and Cleveleys
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 39,393 | 36.0% | 44.4% | 2.4% | 14.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 8.5% |
| 30 Mar–4 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 42% | 3% | 15% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
| 13–18 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 32% | 35% | 5% | 24% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 40,591 | 36.5% | 41.8% | 13.3% | 4.1% | - | 4.3% | 5.3% |
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | LD | UKIP | Lab | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 47,116 | 51.3% | 9.0% | 21.7% | 13.8% | 4.1% | 27.9% |
| 22–24 Nov 2013 | Survation/Alan Bown | 508 | 37% | 11% | 27% | 20% | 5% | 10% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,852 | 51.4% | 23.5% | 6.5% | 14.0% | 4.5% | 27.9% |
Bolton West
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 47,576 | 39.0% | 40.6% | 4.0% | 15.3% | - | 1.1% | 1.6% |
| 23–31 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 40% | 27% | 8% | 21% | 2% | 2% | 13% |
| 21–27 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 41% | 28% | 10% | 17% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,576 | 38.5% | 38.3% | 17.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Boston and Skegness
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | LD | UKIP | Lab | Green | IFE | BNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 43,339 | 43.8% | 2.3% | 33.8% | 16.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 10% |
| 26 Jan–5 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 38% | 5% | 35% | 17% | 3% | – | – | 2% | 3% |
| 5–9 Sep 2014 | Survation/Alan Bown | 342 | 26.2% | 2.0% | 45.5% | 20.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 19.3% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,125 | 49.4% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 20.6% | – | – | 5.3% | 0.4% | 28.8% |
Bradford East
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 41,406 | 46.6% | 11.3% | 29.3% | 9.9% | 2.1% | - | 0.5% | 17.1% |
| 1–21 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 45% | 12% | 23% | 15% | 2% | – | 3% | 22% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 40,457 | 32.8% | 26.8% | 33.7% | – | – | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
Brent Central
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 45,324 | 62.1% | 20.3% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 41.8% |
| 11–22 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 54% | 13% | 19% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 35% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,324 | 41.2% | 11.2% | 44.2% | – | 1.5% | 2% | 3.0% |
Brentford and Isleworth
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17–26 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 32% | 45% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 13% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 53,765 | 37.2% | 33.6% | 23.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% |
Brighton Kemptown
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 45,306 | 39.2% | 40.7% | 3.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 0.4% | 1.5% |
| 11–21 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 33% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 1% | 4% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 42,705 | 34.9% | 38.0% | 18.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 0.5% | 3.1% |
Brighton Pavilion
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Green | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 54,676 | 41.8% | 27.3% | 22.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 0.4% | 14.6% |
| 11–20 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 38% | 28% | 21% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 10% |
| 5–12 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 32% | 33% | 18% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 1% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 51,834 | 31.3% | 28.9% | 23.7% | 13.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 2.4% |
Bristol North West
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17-23 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,005 | 34% | 43% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 0% | 9% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 50,336 | 25.9% | 38.0% | 32.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 5.5% |
Bristol West
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 64,218 | 35.7% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 3.0% | 26.8% | 0.4% | 8.8% |
| 17-23 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 38% | 14% | 20% | 2% | 25% | 1% | 13% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 55,347 | 27.5% | 18.4% | 48.0% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 20.5% |
Broxtowe
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun–4 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 30% | 39% | 7% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| 8–13 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 30% | 44% | 10% | 13% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 14% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,727 | 39.0% | 38.3% | 16.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 2.7% | – | 0.7% |
Burnley
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27–30 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 11% | 38% | 23% | 25% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,845 | 16.6% | 31.3% | 35.7% | 2.2% | – | 9.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
Bury North
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-14 October 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,004 | 32% | 41% | 5% | 20% | 2% | 1% | 9% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 44,961 | 40.2% | 35.2% | 17% | 2.9% | - | 4.8% | 5% |
Camborne and Redruth
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | MK | OMRLP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24–26 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 37% | 24% | 13% | 14% | 8% | – | – | 3% | 13% |
| 25 Nov 2014 | Survation/University of Exeter | 500 | 30.0% | 22.4% | 6.3% | 33.0% | 6.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 3% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 42,493 | 37.6% | 16.3% | 37.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | – | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Cambridge
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24–28 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1000 | 17% | 31% | 40% | 3% | 9% | – | 9% |
| 3–12 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1000 | 19% | 33% | 32% | 7% | 8% | 1% | 1% |
| 4–8 Apr 2014 | ICM/Lord Oakeshott | 500 | 18% | 41% | 28% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 13% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 50,130 | 25.6% | 24.3% | 39.1% | 2.4% | 7.6% | 1.0% | 13.5% |
Cannock Chase
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16–24 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 38% | 32% | 5% | 21% | 3% | – | 1% | 6% |
| 22–27 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 32% | 27% | 8% | 30% | 2% | – | 1% | 2% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,559 | 33.1% | 40.1% | 17.0% | 3.5% | – | 4.8% | 1.6% | 7% |
Carlisle
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-16 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 30% | 41% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 3% | 11% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 42,200 | 39.3% | 37.3% | 15.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
Carshalton and Wallington
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct–6 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 12% | 23% | 43% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 20% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,918 | 8.7% | 36.8% | 48.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 11.5% |
Castle Point
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15–24 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 12% | 41% | 2% | 36% | 3% | 5% | 5% |
| 26 Jan–5 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 16% | 37% | 3% | 36% | 2% | 6% | 1% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,026 | 14.7% | 44.0% | 9.4% | – | - | 31.9% | 17.0% |
Cheadle
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15–22 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 19% | 30% | 34% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 4% |
| 26 May-1 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,003 | 21% | 29% | 32% | 15% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,512 | 9.4% | 40.8% | 47.1% | 2.7% | – | – | 6.3% |
Cheltenham
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct-1 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 7% | 34% | 42% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 8% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,768 | 5.1% | 41.2% | 50.5% | 2.3% | – | 0.9 | 9.3% |
Chippenham
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14-20 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 39% | 14% | 24% | 16% | 6% | 1% | 15% |
| 26 May-1 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 35% | 12% | 26% | 19% | 7% | 1% | 9% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,385 | 41.0% | 6.9% | 45.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 2% | 4.8% |
City of Chester
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb-5 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 45% | 34% | 7% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 11% |
| 13–18 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 36% | 7% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 1% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,853 | 35.1% | 40.6% | 19.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 5.5% |
Clacton
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 44,207 | 36.7% | 14.4% | 44.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | - | 7.8% |
| 9 Oct 2014 | Clacton by-election Result | 35,365 | 24.6% | 11.2% | 59.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 35.1% |
| 29 Aug–1 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 27% | 19% | 48% | 3% | 3% | <0.5% | 21% |
| 29 Aug–1 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft (By-election polling) | 1,001 | 24% | 16% | 56% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 32% |
| 28–29 Aug 2014 | Survation (By-election polling) | 700 | 20% | 13% | 64% | 2% | 1% | <0.5% | 44% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,123 | 53.0% | 25.0% | – | 12.9% | 1.2% | 7.8% | 28.0% |
Cleethorpes
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-11 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 38% | 36% | 6% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 44,966 | 42.1% | 32.6% | 18.2% | 7.1% | - | 3.9% | 9.5% |
Colchester
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4–14 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 17% | 22% | 36% | 18% | 6% | 1% | 14% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,139 | 12.3% | 32.9% | 48.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 15.1% |
Colne Valley
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16–22 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 35% | 37% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 2% |
| 2–12 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 33% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 1% | 1% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 55,296 | 26.4% | 37.0% | 28.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 8.7% |
Corby
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10–17 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 40% | 30% | 5% | 21% | 2% | 2% | 10% |
| 15 Nov 2012 | Corby by-election Result | 35,665 | 48.4% | 26.6% | 5.0% | 14.3% | 1.1% | 4.6% | 21.8% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 54,180 | 38.6% | 42.2% | 14.5% | – | – | 4.7% | 3.6% |
Crewe and Nantwich
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2–9 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 38% | 41% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| 22–24 Nov 2013 | Survation/Alan Bown | 500 | 33% | 46% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 13% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 51,084 | 45.8% | 34.0% | 2.8% | 15.0% | 2.3% | 11.8% |
Croydon Central
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26-30 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,003 | 44% | 40% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 4% |
| 3–12 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 41% | 13% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 4% |
| 14–18 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 33% | 39% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 6% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 49,757 | 39.5% | 33.5% | 2.0% | 13.2% | 1.2% | 10.6% | 6.0% |
Derby North
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May-4 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 23% | 44% | 17% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 21% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,080 | 31.7% | 33% | 28% | 1.8% | – | 5.4% | 1.3% |
Dewsbury
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15-23 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 30% | 40% | 4% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 10% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 54,008 | 35% | 32.2% | 16.9% | - | 1.6% | 14.3% | 2.8% |
Doncaster North
Note: Michael Ashcroft initially published incorrect results for his 18–23 Nov 2014 poll,[3] erroneously showing only a small Labour lead. The corrected poll results are below.
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18–23 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft, Corrected | 1,000 | 13% | 54% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 29% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,483 | 21.0% | 47.3% | 14.9% | 4.3% | – | 6.8% | 5.6% | 26.3% |
Dover
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-9 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 32% | 40% | 3% | 20% | 4% | - | 8% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 50,385 | 33.5% | 44% | 15.8% | 3.5% | - | 3.2% | 10.5% |
Dudley North
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | UKIP | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20–27 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 37% | 24% | 34% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| 28 Apr–4 May 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 40% | 24% | 27% | 4% | 5% | 13% |
| 22–24 Nov 2013 | Survation | 526 | 45% | 25% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 20% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 38,602 | 38.7% | 37.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
Dudley South
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7-10 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 35% | 39% | 3% | 18% | 4% | 4% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 38,165 | 33% | 43.1% | 15.7% | 8.2% | - | 10.1% |
Ealing Central and Acton
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–6 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 40% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 6% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,200 | 38.0% | 30.1% | 27.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 7.9% |
Eastbourne
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug-5 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 7% | 25% | 46% | 18% | 2% | 2% | 21% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,142 | 4.8% | 40.7% | 47.3% | 2.5% | - | 4.6% | 6.6% |
Eastleigh
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | LD | Con | UKIP | Lab | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20–28 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 538 | 40% | 25% | 21% | 12% | 2% | 1% | 15% |
| 29 May–6 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 523 | 39% | 27% | 22% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 12% |
| 14–17 Apr 2014 | Survation/Alan Bown | 369 | 27.1% | 28.2% | 31.6% | 11.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 3.4% |
| 28 Feb 2013 | Eastleigh by-election Result | 42,649 | 32.1% | 25.4% | 27.8% | 9.8% | – | 4.9% | 4.3% |
| 22–24 Feb 2013 | Ashcroft (By-election polling)[4] | 416 | 33% | 28% | 23% | 12% | – | 4% | 5% |
| 19–22 Feb 2013 | Populus/Times (By-election polling)[5] | 408 | 33% | 28% | 25% | 11% | – | 4% | 5% |
| 18–22 Feb 2013 | Survation/Mail on Sunday (By-election polling) | 402 | 29% | 33% | 21% | 13% | – | 4% | 4% |
| 6–8 Feb 2013 | Survation/Mail on Sunday[6] | 321 | 36% | 33% | 16% | 13% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 3% |
| 4–5 Feb 2013 | Ashcroft (By-election polling)[7] | 314 | 31% | 34% | 15% | 19% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| 2–5 Aug 2010 | Ashcroft | 513 | 31% | 43% | – | 20% | – | 6% | 12% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 53,650 | 46.5% | 39.3% | 3.6% | 9.6% | – | 1.0% | 7.2% |
Elmet and Rothwell
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8–13 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 39% | 35% | 6% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 55,789 | 42.6% | 34.5% | 16.3% | 2.9% | – | 3.6% | 8.1% |
Enfield North
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17–25 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 44% | 3% | 12% | 3% | 3% | 10% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 44,453 | 42.3% | 38.5% | 12.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% |
Erewash
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-14 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,003 | 30% | 38% | 5% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 8% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,642 | 39.5% | 34.2% | 17.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 5.3% |
Finchley and Golders Green
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7-11 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 43% | 41% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,157 | 33.7% | 46% | 17% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 12.3% |
Folkestone and Hythe
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | LD | UKIP | Lab | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3–4 Apr 2014 | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 529 | 36.4% | 9.6% | 32.9% | 17.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.5% |
| 22–24 Nov 2013 | Survation/Alan Bown | 548 | 35% | 10% | 28% | 21% | 4% | 2% | 7% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,800 | 49.4% | 30.3% | 4.6% | 10.8% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 19.1% |
Gloucester
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar–4 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 40% | 36% | 9% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
| 24 Sep–2 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 33% | 12% | 18% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 50,764 | 39.9% | 35.2% | 19.2% | 3.6% | 1% | 1.1% | 4.8% |
Great Grimsby
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | UKIP | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15–24 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1000 | 42% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 4% | 17% |
| 20–27 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 35% | 20% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
| 5–11 May 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 38% | 21% | 26% | 10% | 5% | 12% |
| 18–22 Oct 2013 | Survation | 506 | 40% | 21% | 23% | 11% | 5% | 17% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 32,954 | 32.7% | 30.5% | 6.2% | 22.4% | 8.1% | 2.2% |
Great Yarmouth
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15–24 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 36% | 34% | 24% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
| 11–16 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 33% | 28% | 32% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| 21–27 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 32% | 31% | 29% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| 22–24 Nov 2013 | Survation/Alan Bown | 507 | 27% | 37% | 30% | 3% | 2% | 7% | |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,057 | 43.1% | 33.2% | 4.8% | 14.4% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 9.9% |
Halesowen and Rowley Regis
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb–5 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 39% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| 24 Sep–3 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 35% | 2% | 24% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,979 | 41.2% | 36.6% | 14.8% | 6.4% | – | 1.0% | 4.6% |
Halifax
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12–18 May 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 43% | 26% | 8% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 17% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,555 | 37.4% | 34% | 19.1% | 1.5% | - | 8% | 3.4% |
Hampstead and Kilburn
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul–3 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 30% | 47% | 2% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 17% |
| 21–27 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,003 | 30% | 41% | 3% | 19% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Result | 52,822 | 32.7% | 32.8% | 0.8% | 31.2% | 1.4% | 1% | 0.1% |
Harlow
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-10 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 44% | 3% | 16% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 53,878 | 33.7% | 44.9% | 13.7% | 3.6% | - | 4.2% | 11.2% |
Harrogate and Knaresborough
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-12 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 11% | 41% | 24% | 16% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 53,134 | 6.4% | 45.7% | 43.8% | 2% | - | 2.1% | 1.9% |
Harrow East
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar–4 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 40% | 44% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
| 1–7 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 40% | 37% | 6% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 48,006 | 44.7% | 37.6% | 14.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | – | 7.1% |
Hastings and Rye
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17-25 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 40% | 31% | 5% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 9% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 49,814 | 37.1% | 41.1% | 15.7% | 2.8% | - | 3.3% | 4% |
Hazel Grove
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4–15 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 15% | 29% | 35% | 17% | 4% | 6% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,981 | 12.5% | 33.6% | 48.8% | 5.1% | – | 15.2% |
Hendon
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18–29 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 34% | 49% | 4% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 15% |
| 31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 36% | 44% | 7% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 8% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,374 | 42.3% | 42.1% | 12.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | – | 0.2% |
Heywood and Middleton
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2014 | Heywood and Middleton by-election Result | 28,472 | 40.9% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 38.7% | 3.1% | – | 2.2% |
| 30 Sep–4 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft (By-election polling) | 1,000 | 47% | 16% | 5% | 28% | 4% | – | 19% |
| 30 Sep 2014 | Survation/The Sun (By-election polling) | 551 | 50% | 13% | 4% | 31% | 3% | – | 19% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,125 | 40.1% | 27.2% | 22.7% | 2.6% | - | 7.4% | 12.9% |
High Peak
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17-23 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 38% | 40% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 2% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 50,337 | 31.6% | 40.9% | 21.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 9.3% |
Hornsey and Wood Green
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2015 | Liberal Democrats (fieldwork by Survation) | 325 | 15% | 37% | 36% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 1% |
| 3–13 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 14% | 43% | 30% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 13% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 55,042 | 16.7% | 34.0% | 46.5% | – | 2.3% | 0.6% | 12.5% |
Hove
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 52,214 | 39.9% | 42.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% |
| 1–4 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 37% | 43% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 1% | 6% |
| 17–27 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 37% | 6% | 11% | 12% | - | 3% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 49,819 | 36.7% | 33.0% | 22.6% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 0.2% | 3.7% |
Ipswich
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep-2 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 38% | 31% | 6% | 19% | 5% | 1% | 7% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,291 | 34.7% | 39.1% | 18.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% |
Keighley
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20-26 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 31% | 5% | 23% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,692 | 35.8% | 41.9% | 14.8% | 3.1% | - | 4.4% | 6.1% |
Kingston and Surbiton
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct–8 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 30% | 16% | 38% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 8% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 57,111 | 36.5% | 9.3% | 49.8% | 2.5% | 1% | 0.8% | 13.3% |
Kingswood
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar–3 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 42% | 33% | 5% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 9% |
| 3-14 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 34% | 32% | 6% | 23% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,906 | 40.4% | 35.3% | 16.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% |
Lancaster and Fleetwood
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun-4 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 27% | 41% | 4% | 18% | 10% | 1% | 14% |
| 8-13 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 29% | 43% | 6% | 12% | 9% | 1% | 14% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 42,701 | 36.1% | 35.2% | 19.1% | 4.4% | – | 2.7% | 0.8% |
Lewes
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 50,540 | 38.0% | 9.9% | 35.9% | 10.7% | 5.5% | - | 2.1% |
| 11-20 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 29% | 9% | 37% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 8% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 50,088 | 36.7% | 5% | 52% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 15.3% |
Lincoln
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14-21 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 39% | 35% | 6% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,721 | 35.2% | 37.5% | 20.2% | 2.2% | - | 4.8% | 2.3% |
Loughborough
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar–3 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 45% | 36% | 3% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 9% |
| 22-25 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 40% | 37% | 5% | 12% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,838 | 41.6% | 34.5% | 18.3% | 1.8% | - | 3.9% | 7.1% |
Manchester Withington
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11–21 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 56% | 7% | 22% | 4% | 10% | 1% | 34% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,075 | 40.5% | 11.1% | 44.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 4.1% |
Mid Dorset and North Poole
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul–9 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 38% | 8% | 32% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
| 12–18 May 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 39% | 8% | 32% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 7% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,788 | 44.5% | 5.9% | 45.1% | 4.5% | - | - | 0.6% |
Milton Keynes South
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7-10 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 39% | 8% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 55,333 | 41.6% | 32.2% | 17.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 9.4% |
Morecambe and Lunesdale
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-4 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 36% | 42% | 5% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 6% |
| 7-11 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 34% | 37% | 6% | 18% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| 14-20 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 39% | 5% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,436 | 41.5% | 39.5% | 13.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | - | 2% |
Morley and Outwood
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5–11 May 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,003 | 41% | 24% | 5% | 20% | 2% | 8% | 17% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 48,856 | 37.6% | 35.3% | 16.8% | 3.1% | - | 7.2% | 2.3% |
Newark
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Jun 2014 | Newark by-election Result | 38,707 | 45.0% | 17.7% | 3% | 25.9% | 8% | 19% |
| 2–3 Jun 2014 | Survation | 678 | 42% | 22% | 4% | 27% | 5% | 15% |
| 27 May–1 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft (By-election polling) | 1,000 | 42% | 20% | 6% | 27% | 5% | 15% |
| 27–28 May 2014 | Survation/The Sun | 606 | 36% | 27% | 5% | 28% | 5% | 8% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 51,228 | 53.9% | 22.3% | 20.0% | 3.8% | – | 31.5% |
Newton Abbot
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-12 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 13% | 39% | 20% | 20% | 7% | 1% | 19% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 48,283 | 7% | 43% | 41.9% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
North Cornwall
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24-29 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 36% | 5% | 38% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| 12-20 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,004 | 36% | 6% | 38% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 2% |
| 15-20 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 33% | 10% | 33% | 20% | 3% | 1% | Tied |
| 26 May-1 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 31% | 8% | 31% | 24% | 5% | 2% | Tied |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,844 | 41.7% | 4.2% | 48.1% | 4.9% | - | 1.1% | 6.4% |
North Devon
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24-26 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 38% | 8% | 31% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 7% |
| 29 Oct-6 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 30% | 9% | 29% | 23% | 7% | 2% | 1% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 51,321 | 36% | 7.2% | 47.4% | 7.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 11.4% |
North East Cambridgeshire
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan–5 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 17% | 46% | 7% | 25% | 4% | 1% | 21% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,064 | 17.8% | 51.6% | 20% | 5.4% | - | 5.2% | 31.6% |
North East Somerset
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7-11 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 28% | 44% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 1% | 16% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 51,203 | 31.7% | 41.3% | 22.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | - | 9.6% |
North Warwickshire
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18–28 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 41% | 30% | 2% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 11% |
| 31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 43% | 35% | 3% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 8% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,265 | 40.1% | 40.2% | 11.6% | 2.8% | – | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Norwich North
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24-30 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 38% | 36% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 1% | 2% |
| 4–12 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 35% | 34% | 5% | 18% | 10% | 0% | 1% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 42,573 | 31.4% | 40.6% | 18.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 9.2% |
Norwich South
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11–21 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 33% | 18% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 1% | 13% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,551 | 28.7% | 22.9% | 29.4% | 2.4% | 14.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
Nuneaton
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb-5 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 39% | 34% | 4% | 14% | 8% | – | 1% | 5% |
| 24 Sep–3 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 39% | 36% | 3% | 19% | 2% | – | 1% | 3% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 44,646 | 36.9% | 41.5% | 15.3% | – | – | 6.3% | - | 4.6% |
Oxford West and Abingdon
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21–28 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 18% | 38% | 30% | 9% | 4% | <0.5% | 8% |
| 30 May–5 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 18% | 36% | 25% | 11% | 8% | 1% | 11% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 56,480 | 10.6% | 42.3% | 42.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
Pendle
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar–4 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 41% | 37% | 8% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 4% |
| 8–14 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 36% | 33% | 11% | 17% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,045 | 38.9% | 30.9% | 20.2% | 3.3% | – | 6.7% | 8.0% |
Plymouth Moor View
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15–23 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 506 | 35% | 26% | 5% | 30% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,526 | 37.2% | 33.3% | 16.9% | 7.7% | 1.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% |
Plymouth Sutton & Devonport
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15–23 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 506 | 39% | 26% | 6% | 21% | 8% | 1% | 8% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,894 | 31.7% | 34.3% | 24.7% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 2.6% |
Portsmouth South
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct–6 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 20% | 30% | 25% | 17% | 6% | 1% | 5% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,264 | 13.7% | 33.3% | 45.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 12.6% |
Redcar
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug–6 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 44% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 2% | 1% | 21% |
| 17–19 Apr 2014 | ICM/Lord Oakeshott | 500 | 47% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 2% | 2% | 28% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,963 | 32.7% | 13.8% | 45.2% | 4.5% | – | 3.8% | 12.5% |
Rochester and Strood
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15–22 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1000 | 36% | 24% | 3% | 33% | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| 20 Nov 2014 | Rochester and Strood by-election Result | 40,065 | 34.8% | 16.8% | 0.9% | 42.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 7.3% |
| 7–10 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 543 | 36% | 21% | 2% | 35% | 5% | 1% | 1% |
| 7–10 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft (By-election polling) | 543 | 32% | 17% | 2% | 44% | 4%[8] | 1% | 12% |
| 27–28 Oct 2014 | Survation | 1,012 | 33% | 16% | 1% | 48% | 1.7% | 2% | 15% |
| 17–21 Oct 2014 | ComRes[9] | 949 | 30% | 21% | 3% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
| 4 Oct 2014 | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 677 | 31% | 25% | 2% | 40% | 1% | 0.4% | 9% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,971 | 49.2% | 28.5% | 16.3% | – | 1.5% | 4.5% | 20.7% |
Rother Valley
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24–29 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 480 | 18% | 40% | 34% | 4% | 3% | <0.5% | 2% | 6% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 46,768 | 28.4% | 40.9% | 5.6% | 17.3% | – | 7.7% | – | 12.5% |
Sheffield Hallam
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 May 2015 | ICM/Guardian1 | 501 | 35% | 12% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 7% |
| 22–28 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 15% | 36% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| 22–28 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 36% | 16% | 34% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 2% |
| 22–29 Jan 2015 | Survation/Unite | 1,011 | 33% | 22% | 23% | 9% | 12% | <0.5% | 10% |
| 20–22 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 962 | 30% | 19% | 27%[10] | 13% | 10% | 1% | 3% |
| 29 Apr–4 May 2014 | ICM/Lord Oakeshott | 500 | 33% | 24% | 23% | 10% | 8% | 1% | 9% |
| 1–4 Oct 2010 | Populus/Ashcroft | 1,000 | 31% | 28% | 33% | N/A | N/A | 8% | 2% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Result | 51,135 | 16.1% | 23.5% | 53.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 29.9% |
1: These figures represent the results when respondents were presented with named candidates. When asked to think only about the political parties [the methodology used by the Ashcroft polls] the figures showed a small Labour lead.[11]
Solihull
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul–10 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 12% | 37% | 28% | 16% | 6% | 1% | 9% |
| 12–18 May 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 12% | 37% | 28% | 16% | 6% | 1% | 9% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 55,129 | 8.9% | 42.6% | 42.9% | 2.2% | – | 3.5% | 0.3% |
Southampton Itchen
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb-7 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 35% | 30% | 7% | 20% | 8% | – | 5% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 44,412 | 36.8% | 36.3% | 20.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
South Basildon and East Thurrock
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan–5 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 28% | 35% | 3% | 29% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 44,735 | 31.0% | 43.9% | 13.4% | 5.9% | - | 5.9% | 12.9% |
South Swindon
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22–28 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 36% | 6% | 16% | 4% | - | 1% |
| 3–12 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 36% | 35% | 5% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| 1–6 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 508 | 34% | 34% | 7% | 20% | 4% | 1% | Tied |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,119 | 41.8% | 34.3% | 17.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 7.5% |
South Thanet
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22-28 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 26% | 32% | 3% | 5% | 2% |
| 22 April 2015 | Survation/Alan Bown [12] | 1,057 | 30% | 26% | 39% | 2% | 3% | 9% |
| 13-18 March 2015 | ComRes/Chartwell Political | 1,003 | 31% | 29% | 30% | 5% | 5% | 1% |
| 18–20 Feb 2015 | Survation/Alan Bown [13] | 1,011 | 27% | 28% | 38% | 2% | 5% | 10% |
| 23–24 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,003 | 33% | 27% | 32% | 4% | 4% | 1% |
| 11–16 July 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 29% | 29% | 33% | 4% | 5% | 4% |
| 21–27 April 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 32% | 31% | 27% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| 22–24 Nov 2013 | Survation | 515 | 28% | 35% | 30% | 5% | 2% | 5% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,933 | 48.0% | 31.4% | 5.5% | 15.1% | – | 16.6% |
South West Surrey
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | LD | UKIP | Lab | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4–5 Dec 2014 | Survation/Unite | 587 | 57% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 42% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 57,259 | 58.7% | 30.2% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 28.5% |
St Austell and Newquay
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1002 | 32% | 10% | 26% | 20% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| 6–16 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 493 | 27% | 13% | 26% | 25% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| 19–25 May 2014 | Ashcroft[14] | 473 | 32% | 10% | 24% | 25% | 4% | 5% | 7% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,238 | 40.0% | 7.2% | 42.7% | 3.7% | – | 6.4% | 2.8% |
Stevenage
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8–13 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 497 | 38% | 33% | 7% | 18% | 3% | 0% | 5% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 44,651 | 33.4% | 41.4% | 16.6% | 4.5% | – | 4.1% | 8.0% |
Stockton South
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar–4 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1000 | 39% | 44% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 5% |
| 6–12 Nov 2014 | Survation/Unite | 571 | 39.1% | 36.5% | 2.8% | 18.2% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 2.6% |
| 26 Jun–4 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 521 | 35% | 38% | 4% | 19% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| 7–13 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 512 | 36% | 43% | 5% | 12% | 0% | 3% | 7% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 50,284 | 38.9% | 38.3% | 15.1% | 2.9% | – | 4.8% | 0.6% |
Stroud
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11–16 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 561 | 30% | 41% | 6% | 11% | 11% | <0.5% | 11% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 57,973 | 40.8% | 38.6% | 15.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 2.2% |
Sutton and Cheam
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-16 August 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 11% | 27% | 45% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 18% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 48,508 | 7.0% | 42.4% | 45.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% |
Thurrock
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 49,964 | 33.7% | 32.6% | 31.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% |
| 17-23 April 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 30% | 31% | 35% | 1% | 3% | 4% |
| 18–26 June 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 28% | 30% | 36% | 2% | 4% | 6% |
| 31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 394 | 27% | 37% | 29% | 4% | 3% | 8% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,822 | 36.8% | 36.6% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 0.2% |
Torbay
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 48,079 | 8.7% | 40.7% | 33.8% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 6.9% |
| 12-21 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 11% | 33% | 34% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| 27 Aug - 6 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 15% | 30% | 30% | 21% | 3% | 1% | Tied |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 49,210 | 6.6% | 38.7% | 47.0% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 8.3% |
Twickenham
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-16 Apr 2014 | ICM/Oakeshott | 501 | 34% | 23% | 5% | 32% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 59,721 | 34.1% | 7.7% | 1.5% | 54.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 20.3% |
Warwick & Leamington
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–6 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 534 | 38% | 34% | 7% | 14% | 7% | <0.5% | 4% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 49,032 | 42.6% | 35.4% | 18.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 7.2% |
Watford
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 56,149 | 43.5% | 26.0% | 18.1% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 17.4% |
| 11–20 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 525 | 30% | 24% | 28% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
| 20–28 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 525 | 27% | 29% | 25% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
| 19 May–6 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 524 | 29% | 25% | 24% | 16% | 6% | 0% | 4% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 55,208 | 34.9% | 26.7% | 32.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% |
Weaver Vale
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14-22 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 32% | 41% | 6% | 18% | 2% | 1% | 9% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,990 | 38.5% | 36.3% | 18.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
Wirral West
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24-30 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 43% | 46% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 3% |
| 3–12 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 37% | 42% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 5% |
| 22–26 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 38% | 39% | 6% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 39,372 | 42.5% | 36.3% | 16.8% | 2.3% | – | 2.1% | 6.2% |
Witney
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | LD | UKIP | Lab | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2–4 Dec 2014 | Survation/Unite | 531 | 53% | 4% | 19% | 16% | 7% | 1% | 34% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 57,769 | 58.8% | 19.4% | 3.5% | 13.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 39.4% |
Worcester
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3–12 Mar 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 38% | 33% | 4% | 15% | 7% | – | 2% | 5% |
| 13–19 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 34% | 36% | 5% | 17% | 7% | – | 1% | 2% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 48,974 | 39.5% | 33.4% | 19.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 6.1% |
Wyre Forest
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | ICHC | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11–20 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 518 | 32% | 16% | 7% | 27% | 5% | <1% | - | 13% | 5% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 50,899 | 36.9% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 2.9% | – | 2.2% | 31.7% | – | 5.2% |
Wythenshawe and Sale East
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | UKIP | Con | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2014 | Wythenshawe by-election Result | 23,961 | 55.3% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 37.3% |
| 3–5 Feb 2014 | Ashcroft (By-election polling) | 1,009 | 61% | 15% | 14% | 5% | 4% | 46% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 40,751 | 44.1% | 3.4% | 25.6% | 22.3% | 4.6% | 18.6% |
Northern Ireland
Belfast East
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | DUP | APNI | UUP | PUP | TUV | SF | UKIP | Green | SDLP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 39,682 | 49.3% | 42.8% | – | – | – | 2.1% | – | – | 0.3% | 2.8% | 6.5% |
| 12–28 Jan 2015 | LucidTalk | 820 | 34.4% | 28.7% | 14.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 34,488 | 32.8% | 37.2% | 21.2% | – | 5.4% | 2.4% | – | – | 1.1% | – | 4.4% |
Scotland
Airdrie and Shotts
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 44,286 | 7.7% | 34.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | - | 53.9% | 0.3% | 19.8% |
| 14–22 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 7% | 39% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 47% | 0% | 8% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 35,849 | 8.7% | 58.2% | 8.1% | – | – | 23.5% | 1.5% | 34.6% |
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 52,209 | 19.8% | 27.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | - | 48.8% | - | 21.6% |
| 10–19 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 21% | 31% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 42% | 1% | 11% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,893 | 25.5% | 47.1% | 9.3% | – | – | 18.0% | – | 21.6% |
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 55,038 | 36.0% | 4.9% | 18.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 36.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% |
| 13-16 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 30% | 9% | 28% | 3% | 1% | 29% | 0% | 1% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 40,014 | 33.8% | 10.2% | 45.4% | 1.2% | – | 9.2% | 0.3% | 11.6% |
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 50,698 | 6.3% | 33.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | - | 56.6% | - | 22.7% |
| 7–17 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 6% | 43% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 46% | 1% | 3% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,635 | 8.1% | 66.6% | 8.5% | – | – | 16.8% | – | 49.8% |
Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 49,382 | 7.9% | 30.0% | 2.2% | - | - | 59.9% | - | 29.9% |
| 14–22 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 6% | 34% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 52% | 1% | 18% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 41,150 | 8.3% | 57.2% | 9.5% | – | – | 23.8% | 1.2% | 33.3% |
Dumfries and Galloway
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 55,432 | 29.9% | 24.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | – | 41.4% | – | 11.5% |
| 19–26 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 30% | 28% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 34% | 0% | 4% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 52,173 | 31.6% | 45.9% | 8.8% | 1.3% | – | 12.3% | – | 14.3% |
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 52,134 | 39.8% | 14.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 38.3% | - | 1.5% |
| 24-29 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 31% | 17% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 42% | - | 11% |
| 9-15 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 34% | 20% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 36% | 1% | 2% |
| 10–19 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 34% | 18% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 34% | 1% | Tied |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,892 | 38.0% | 28.9% | 19.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 10.8% | – | 9.1% |
Dundee West
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 44,714 | 8.6% | 23.7% | 2.4% | - | 2.7% | 61.9% | 0.7% | 38.2% |
| 23–30 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 6% | 25% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 59% | 0% | 34% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 37,126 | 9.3% | 48.5% | 11.4% | – | – | 28.9% | 1.9% | 19.6% |
East Dunbartonshire
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 54,871 | 8.6% | 12.3% | 36.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 40.3% | - | 4.0% |
| 10-16 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 12% | 16% | 29% | 1% | 1% | 40% | 0% | 11% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,948 | 15.5% | 34.1% | 38.7% | 1.1% | – | 10.5% | - | 4.6% |
East Renfrewshire
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 56,825 | 21.9% | 34.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | – | 40.6% | 6.5% |
| 24-30 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 20% | 36% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 39% | 3% |
| 11-16 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 25% | 31% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 40% | 9% |
| 16–26 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 26% | 34% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 33% | 1% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 51,181 | 30.4% | 50.8% | 9.2% | 0.7% | – | 8.9% | 20.4% |
Edinburgh North and Leith
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 - 17 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 14% | 29% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 43% | 0% | 14% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,356 | 14.9% | 37.5% | 33.8% | – | 2.2% | 9.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% |
Edinburgh South
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 - 17 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 16% | 34% | 8% | 1% | 4% | 37% | 1% | 3% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 43,801 | 21.6% | 34.7% | 34.0% | – | 2.0% | 7.7% | - | 0.7% |
Edinburgh South West
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11–19 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 19% | 27% | 4% | 2% | 7% | 40% | 0% | 13% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,462 | 24.3% | 42.8% | 18.0% | – | 1.9% | 12.2% | 0.8% | 18.6% |
Glasgow Central
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5–10 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 5% | 35% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 45% | 2% | 10% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 30,572 | 7.1% | 52.0% | 16.4% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 17.5% | 3.6% | 34.5% |
Glasgow East
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5–8 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 4% | 37% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 51% | 2% | 14% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 32,164 | 4.5% | 61.6% | 5.0% | 0.6% | – | 24.7% | 3.5% | 36.8% |
Glasgow North
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5–10 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 5% | 33% | 4% | 1% | 11% | 45% | 1% | 12% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 29,613 | 7.1% | 44.5% | 31.3% | – | 3.2% | 11.9% | 2.0% | 13.2% |
Glasgow North East
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5–8 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 4% | 46% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 39% | 1% | 7% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 29,409 | 5.3% | 68.3% | 7.7% | – | – | 14.1% | 4.4% | 54.2% |
Glasgow North West
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7–17 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 7% | 38% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 44% | 1% | 6% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 35,582 | 9.9% | 54.1% | 15.8% | – | 2.5% | 15.3% | 2.5% | 38.3% |
Glasgow South
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7–16 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 9% | 33% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 48% | 1% | 15% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 40,094 | 11.5% | 51.7% | 11.8% | – | 2.4% | 20.1% | 2.5% | 31.6% |
Glasgow South West
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-16 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,003 | 6% | 34% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 55% | 1% | 21% |
| 7–15 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 4% | 42% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 45% | 1% | 3% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 31,781 | 6.6% | 62.5% | 9.0% | – | – | 16.3% | 5.5% | 46.2% |
Gordon
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22–29 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,002 | 11% | 14% | 26% | 4% | 1% | 43% | 1% | 17% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 48,775 | 18.7% | 20.1% | 36.0% | – | 1.5% | 22.2% | 1.4% | 13.8% |
Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20–29 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 10% | 13% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 50% | 1% | 29% |
| 23–26 May 2014 | ICM/Oakeshott | 500 | 12% | 25% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 32% | 3% | 7% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,086 | 13.3% | 22.1% | 40.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 18.7% | 2.5% | 18.6% |
Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19–26 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 7% | 39% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 45% | 0% | 6% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,802 | 9.3% | 64.5% | 9.3% | 1.7% | – | 14.3% | 0.9% | 50.2% |
Motherwell and Wishaw
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14–22 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 5% | 39% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 50% | 1% | 11% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 39,123 | 9.4% | 61.1% | 9.8% | – | – | 18.2% | 1.6% | 42.9% |
North East Fife
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 16% | 9% | 30% | 4% | 1% | 43% | 1% | 13% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 40,064 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 44.3% | 2.6% | - | 14.2% | - | 22.6% |
Paisley and Renfrewshire South
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2015 | General Election Results | 46,226 | 7.6% | 38.6% | 2.2% | – | – | 50.9% | 0.6% | 12.3% |
| 11-16 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,005 | 6% | 39% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 50% | 1% | 11% |
| 22–29 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 6% | 40% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 48% | 1% | 8% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 39,998 | 9.9% | 59.6% | 9.5% | – | – | 18.1% | 2.9% | 41.5% |
Ross, Skye and Lochaber
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9-15 Apr 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 7% | 6% | 33% | 2% | 3% | 48% | 1% | 15% |
| 16–26 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 8% | 9% | 35% | 2% | 5% | 40% | 1% | 5% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 34,838 | 12.2% | 15.1% | 52.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 15.1% | 0.8% | 37.5% |
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11–19 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,001 | 25% | 10% | 20% | 3% | 2% | 39% | 0% | 14% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 45,195 | 30.3% | 13.6% | 38.4% | 0.9% | – | 15.7% | 1.1% | 8.1% |
West Dunbartonshire
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14–22 Jan 2015 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 6% | 38% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 47% | 1% | 9% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 42,266 | 7.7% | 61.3% | 8.1% | 1.6% | – | 20.1% | 1.2% | 41.2% |
Wales
Brecon and Radnorshire
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Plaid | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct–1 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 553 | 8% | 15% | 27% | 31% | 17% | 2% | 0% | 4% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 38,845 | 2.5% | 10.5% | 36.5% | 46.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 9.6% |
Cardiff Central
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Plaid | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19–22 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 542 | 9% | 36% | 17% | 24% | 9% | 5% | <0.5% | 12% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 36,151 | 3.4% | 28.8% | 21.6% | 41.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 12.6% |
Cardiff North
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Plaid | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18–27 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 1,000 | 7% | 41% | 30% | 6% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 11% |
| 31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 | Ashcroft | 461 | 7% | 41% | 34% | 8% | 8% | 1% | <0.5% | 7% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 47,630 | 3.3% | 37.1% | 37.5% | 18.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Plaid | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8–13 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 515 | 16% | 29% | 33% | 4% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 40,507 | 10.4% | 32.7% | 41.1% | 12.1% | 2.8% | – | 0.9% | 8.5% |
Vale of Glamorgan
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Plaid | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2–12 Feb 2015 | Ashcroft | 532 | 12% | 32% | 38% | 4% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 48,667 | 5.5% | 32.9% | 41.8% | 15.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 8.8% |
Multiple constituency polling
Some polls are carried out in specified subsets of marginal constituencies. Most of the polls for Lord Ashcroft were compilations of polls in individual constituencies.
| Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | No of Seats surveyed | Incumbents by party | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–14 Dec 2014 | Ashcroft | 8 | 8 Con | 8,000 | 36% | 35% | 14% | 6% | 5%[15] | 2% |
| 20–29 Nov 2014 | Ashcroft | 4 | 4 Lab | 4,002 | 22% | 37% | 33% | 5% | 2%[16] | 1% |
| 15–24 Nov 2014 | ComRes/ITV News | 40 | 25 Con, 15 Lab | 743 | 31% | 39% | 18% | 7% | 4% | <0.5% |
| 2–27 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 12 | 12 Con | 12,008 | 32% | 35% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 1% |
| 10 Sep–3 Oct 2014 | Ashcroft | 11 | 11 Con | 11,002 | 32% | 38% | 18% | 5% | 5% | 1% |
| 18–26 Sep 2014 | ComRes/ITV News | 40 | 25 Con, 15 Lab | 766 | 30% | 41% | 17% | 6% | 5% | 2% |
| 31 Jul–14 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 5 | 5 LibDem | 5,000 | 15% | 38% | 10% | 28% | 6% | 3% |
| 31 Jul–6 Sep 2014 | Ashcroft | 17 | 2 Con, 15 LibDem | 8,909 | 32% | 13% | 17% | 32% | 4% | 1% |
| 11 Jul–11 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 8 | 8 Con | 8,005 | 30% | 40% | 8% | 17% | 5% | 1% |
| 11 Jul–11 Aug 2014 | Ashcroft | 4 | 4 Lab | 4,001 | 30% | 43% | 9% | 13% | 4% | 1% |
| 18 Jun–16 Jul 2014 | Ashcroft | 14 | 14 Con | 14,004 | 31% | 38% | 4% | 21% | 4% | 2% |
| 18–25 Jun 2014 | ComRes/ITV News | 40 | 25 Con, 15 Lab | 795 | 31% | 36% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 3% |
| 11–22 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 4 | 4 LD | 1,963 | 12% | 47% | 10% | 19% | 9% | 2% |
| 11 May–14 Jun 2014 | Ashcroft | 17 | 6 Con, 11 LibDem | 8,728 | 33% | 14% | 18% | 28% | 6%[17] | 1% |
| 15–20 May 2014 | ComRes/Independent | 40 | 25 Con, 15 Lab | 1,030 | 33% (−4) | 35% (−2) | 17% (+14) | 8% (−10) | 4% | 2% |
| 31 Mar–18 May 2014 | Ashcroft | 26 | 14 Con, 12 Lab | 26,025 | 29% | 41% | 18% | 8% | 4% | |
| 1 Aug–5 Sep 2013 | Ashcroft | 40 | 40 Con | 12,809 | 30% | 35% | 12% | 13% | 10% | |
Explanatory notes
The Lord Ashcroft polls typically ask two voting intention questions, with the second question asking the respondent to think "specifically about your own constituency and the candidates who are likely to stand there".[2] This latter question is reported in the tables above.
Most polling companies are members of the British Polling Council and abide by its disclosure rules; however, Michael Ashcroft, who commissioned many of these polls, is not a BPC member, despite having been invited to join. However, he contracts the conduct of his polls to BPC members.[18]
See also
- List of political parties in the United Kingdom
- List of United Kingdom by-elections (1979–present)
References and notes
- Patrick Wintour (19 February 2015). "Lib Dem polling brings hope of future coalition role". the Guardian.
- "Introducing the New Statesman Political Index: Lib Dems to win at least 30 seats". newstatesman.com.
- "Ed Miliband and Doncaster North: a correction (and apology) – Lord Ashcroft Polls". lordashcroftpolls.com.
- Percentages for UKIP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
- Percentages for UKIP/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
- Percentage for Greens based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
- Percentages for UKIP/Green/Others based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
- Based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/won't say
- By-election polling
- This poll originally, erroneously, showed a small lead for the LDs: see http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2015/02/sheffield-hallam-doncaster-north-thanet-south/#more-7536
- Sheffield Hallam Constituency Poll for The Guardian Archived 7 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine - ICM Media Centre, 4 May 2015
- Candidates named in the poll.
- Candidates named in the poll.
- Share for Greens based on a table that did not further prompt "don't know" and refusers.
- Based on a mean of the (non-aggregated) shares of 3%, 9%, 3%, 3%, 3%, 5%, 3% and 7% in the eight constituencies
- Based on non-aggregated shares of 3%, 2%, 2% and 2% in the four constituencies
- Based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers
- "Sheffield Hallam, Doncaster North and Thanet South". Michael Ashcroft. Retrieved 7 February 2015."Minutes of the Annual General Meeting 2013". British Polling Council. Retrieved 19 May 2014.
P – The dates when the fieldwork for this poll was carried out is unknown, therefore the date of publication has been given.
Notes
External links
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