Taiwanese municipal elections, 2018

Taiwanese municipal elections, 2018
	24 November 2018
	24 November 2018

Republic of China administrative divisions

Municipality

County

City

Republic of China mayoral and magisterial elections will be held in Taiwan, as part of the Taiwanese local elections, 2018, on 24 November 2018.

2018 local election candidate nominations

Nominations for 2018 local elections
Dates		Details
2017	20 Aug	Kuomintang held the 20th national congress, mainly to gain support for the upcoming local and municipal election, giving the incumbent a priority to be nominated.^[1]
	24 Sep	Democratic Progressive Party held the national congress, mainly to gain support for the upcoming local and municipal election, giving the incumbent a priority to be nominated.^[2]
	29 Nov	Democratic Progressive Party announces the first wave of nomination; the party has nominated incumbent mayors/county magistrates of Keelung City - Lin Yu-chang, Taoyuan City - Cheng Wen-tsan, Hsinchu City - Lin Chih-chien, Taichung City - Lin Chia-lung, Changhua County - Wei Ming-ku, Yunlin County - Lee Chin-yung, Chiayi City - Twu Shiing-jer, Pingtung County - Pan Men-an and Penghu County - Chen Kuang-fu.^[3]
	20 Dec	Kuomintang announces the first wave of nomination; the party has nominated incumbent county magistrates of Miaoli County - Hsu Yao-chang, Nantou County - Lin Ming-chen, Lienchiang County - Liu Cheng-ying and winner of the primary, Wang Huei-mei for Changhua County .^[4]
	27 Dec	Democratic Progressive Party announces the second wave of nomination; the party has nominated Hung Guo-haw for Nantou County and Liu Chao-hao for Taitung County .^[5]
2018	31 Jan	Kuomintang announces the second wave of nomination; the party has nominated the winners for the primaries, Lin Zi-miao for Yilan County, Hsu Ming-tsai for Hsinchu City, Rao Qing-ling for Taitung County, Hsu Chen-Wei for Hualien County and Chang Li-shan for Yunlin County.^[6]
	07 Feb	Kuomintang announces the third wave of nomination; the party has nominated Hsieh Li-kung for Keelung City after negotiation due to opinion poll error.^[7]
	21 Feb	Kuomintang announces the fourth wave of nomination; the party has nominated Lu, Shiow-Yen for Taichung City.^[8]
	27 Feb	Kuomintang announces the fifth wave of nomination; the party has nominated Huang Min Hui for Chiayi City.^[9]
	14 Mar	Democratic Progressive Party announces the third wave of nomination; the party has nominated Weng Chang-liang for Chiayi County, Chen Ou-po for Yilan County, Chen Chi-mai for Kaohsiung City and Huang Wei-cher for Tainan City.^[10]
	21 Mar	Kuomintang announces the sixth wave of nomination; the party has nominated Lai Feng-wei for Penghu County.^[11]
	11 Apr	Kuomintang announces the seventh wave of nomination; the party has nominated Apollo Chen for Taoyuan City ^[12] and Hou You-yi for New Taipei City.^[13]
	25 Apr	Kuomintang announces the eighth wave of nomination; the party has called in Wu Yu-jen for Chiayi County and Su Ching-chuan for Pingtung County.^[14] Democratic Progressive Party announces the fourth wave of nomination; the party has called in Liuh Siao-Mei for Hualien County and Cheng Chao-fang for Hsinchu County.
	9 May	Kuomintang announces the ninth wave of nomination; the party has called in Yang Cheng-wu for Kinmen County and nominated Ting Shou-chung for Taipei City.^[15]
	23 May	Kuomintang announces the tenth wave of nomination; the party has nominated Han Kuo-yu for Kaohsiung City and Kao Su-po for Tainan City.
	30 May	Democratic Progressive Party announces the fifth wave of nomination; the party has called in Pasuya Yao for Taipei City.
	13 June	Kuomintang announces the eleventh wave of nomination; the party has called in Yang Wen-ko for Hsinchu County.

Results summary

2018 Republic of China municipal election nationwide opinion poll
Poll source	Date of completion	Kuomintang	Democratic Progressive Party	Others	Independent
Taiwan Brain Trust	July 28, 2018	29.5%	38.6%	0.4%	10.5%

Bold represents incumbent reelected.

Elected Special municipalities mayor and County magistrates
County/City	Elected Candidate	Party
Keelung City
New Taipei
Taipei
Taoyuan
Hsinchu County
Hsinchu City
Miaoli
Taichung
Nantou
Changhua
Yunlin
Chiayi
Chiayi City
Tainan
Kaohsiung
Pingtung
Yilan
Hualien
Taitung
Penghu
Kinmen
Lienchiang

Changes in seats
Party	Seats in 2018	Seats in 2014	Differences
Democratic Progressive Party		13
Kuomintang		6
Independent/Other		3

Special municipalities/County/City switching control
County/City	Previous control	Results

As the capital of Taiwan, Taipei functions as the economic and political centre of Taiwan, and is currently the largest city of Taiwan. Taipei has been hotly contested between Kuomintang and Democratic Progressive Party since the 1994 local election. This seat has been notably held by former presidents Lee Teng Hui (李登輝), Chen Shui Bian (陳水扁) and Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九), the position has been widely speculated to be a "first-step" towards the Presidential Office.^[16]

In 2014, DPP supported independent candidate Doctor Ko Wen-je received a 57% majority of the votes over Kuomintang's Sean Lien, breaking the 16 years Kuomintang administration in Taipei.


Results of Past Taipei Municipal Mayoral Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1994	Chen Shui-bian	Democratic Progressive Party
1998	Ma Ying-jeou	Kuomintang
2002	Ma Ying-jeou	Kuomintang
2006	Hau Lung-pin	Kuomintang
2010	Hau Lung-pin	Kuomintang
2014	Ko Wen-je	Independent

Taipei City

Highest vote share
Party	Year	Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party	2016 presidential election	52%
Kuomintang	2002 local elections	64%

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seats	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	51.96%	2	14.14%
Kuomintang	37.49%	5	39.66%
New Power Party	-	1	6.60%
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	0.95%
People First Party	10.55%	0	5.95%
Independent/Others	-	0	32.71%

Results of the primary

2018 Kuomintang Taipei City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	TVBS	Apollo Survey & Research	UDN	Aggregated Result
Ting Shou-chung	Nominated	48.395%	46.778%	47.741%	47.634%
Sun Ta-chien	2nd	17.891%	18.845%	17.878%	18.205%
Chang Hsien-yao	3rd	17.073%	17.909%	16.723%	17.235%
Chung Siao Ping	4th	16.651%	16.468%	17.658%	16.926%

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Taipei City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	Results
Pasuya Yao	Called in	Results not released
Annette Lu		Results not released

Opinion polls

Poll source	Date of completion	Ko Wen-je	Ting Shou-chung	Pasuya Yao	Not sure	Lead
TVBS	May 4, 2017	40%	39%	9%	12%	1%
TVBS	May 4, 2017	46%	41%	–	13%	5%
Real Survey	May 23, 2017	39.9%	43.1%	－	17%	3.2%
TISR	June 21, 2017	43.3%	32.2%	–	24.5%	11.1%
Formosa	July 13, 2017	47.2%	31.3%	–	21.5%	15.9%
Sanli	July 17, 2017	32.1%	31.8%	15.7%	20.4%	0.3%
ETtoday	September 20, 2017	72.5%	17.5%	–	10%	55%
TCF	November 23, 2017	42.7%	36.9%	–	20.4%	5.8%
Formosa	December 12, 2017	46.0%	32.7%	–	21.3%	15.3%
Formosa	December 12, 2017	43.1%	28.2%	11.4%	17.3%	14.9%
TISR¹]	December 14, 2017	36.6%	15.7%	6.8%	22%	20.9%
Real Survey	February 9, 2018	44.2%	26.6%	16.1%	13.1%	17.6%
Sanli	February 12, 2018	39.8%	30.3%	13.9%	16%	9.5%
Sanli	February 12, 2018	47.0%	39.1%	–	13.9%	7.9%
Focus Survey Research	February 25, 2018	47.6%	25.6%	15.2%	11.6%	22%
Focus Survey Research	February 25, 2018	54.7%	31.1%	–	14.2%	23.6%
ETtoday	February 26, 2018	44.0%	39.2%	–	16.8%	4.8%
GSSC	March 7, 2018	47.5%	40.7%	–	11.8%	6.8%
GSSC	March 7, 2018	42.4%	30.9%	13.5%	13.2%	11.5%
Evidence-Based Survey and Research	April 25, 2018	35.0%	25.6%	21.5%	17.9%	9.4%
Apollo	May 2, 2018	33.0%	33.6%	－	33.4%	0.6%
TVBS	May 2, 2018	31%	38%	－	31%	7%
Liberty Times Net	May 2, 2018	30.69%	37.47%	－	31.84%	6.78%
ETtoday	May 3, 2018	48.5%	32.1%	4.0%	15.4%	16.4%
DPP	May 3, 2018	35%	30%	25%	10%	5%
Green Party	May 3, 2018	31%	35%	25%	9%	4%
China Times	May 13, 2018	36.5%	42.7%	－	31%	6.2%
Formosa	May 14, 2018	41.0%	40.9%	－	18.1%	0.1%
Formosa	May 14, 2018	35.2%	33.1%	15.0%	16.7%	2.1%
ETtoday	May 17, 2018	36.4%	37.5%	13.4%	12.7%	1.1%
Liberty Times Net	May 21, 2018	39%	41%	-	19%	2%
Liberty Times Net	May 21, 2018	38%	39%	8%	16%	1%
Taiwan Brain Trust	May 22, 2018	41.3%	36.1%	－	22.6%	5.2%
Taiwan Brain Trust	May 22, 2018	39.4%	33.6%	13.8%	13.2%	5.8%
Hsih Shin University	May 28, 2018	29.0%	29.1%	13.5%	28.4%	0.1%
TVBS	June 1, 2018	31%	33%	13%	23%	2%
China Times	June 4, 2018	34.7%	40.2%	12.2%	12.9%	5.5%
CM Media	July 11, 2018	38.9%	27.5%	11.0%	22.6%	9.4%
Formosa²	July 12, 2018	38.7%	30.5%	16.4%	6.2%	8.2%
Polls³	July 16, 2018	43.4%	31.8%	8.9%	15.9%	11.6%
TVBS	July 24, 2018	40.0%	30.0%	11.0%	19.0%	10%
ETtoday	July 30, 2018	42.4%	30.9%	5.4%	21.3%	11.5%
Liberty Times Net⁴	September 1, 2018	33.43%	24.71%	14.90%	26.96%	8.72%
ETtoday⁵	September 9, 2018	41.7%	29.9%	8.4%	13.3%	11.8%
Shih Hsin University⁶	September 12, 2018	34.9%	30.8%	10.4%	21.9%	4.1%
TVBS⁷	September 16, 2018	37%	32%	11%	20%	5%
Formosa⁸	September 18, 2018	34.6%	23.5%	11.1%	23.6%	11.1%
UDN⁹	September 19, 2018	37%	29%	8%	25%	8%
Sanli¹⁰	September 29, 2018	36.1%	25.8%	11.1%	25.2%	10.3%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates. ¹： Lee Si-kuen（1.4%） ²： Lee Si-kuen（1.5%） ³： Lee Si-kuen（2.8%） ⁴： Lee Si-kuen（2.35%） ⁵： Lee Si-kuen（1.1%） ⁶： Lee Si-kuen（1.9%）； Wu Er-yang（0.1%） ⁷： Lee Si-kuen（1%）； Wu Er-yang（0.1%） ⁸： Lee Si-kuen（1.3%）； Wu Er-yang（0.1%） ⁹： Lee Si-kuen（1%）； Wu Er-yang（1%） ¹⁰： Lee Si-kuen（1.5%）； Wu Er-yang（0.3%）

Predictions

Prediction source	Date of completion	Ko Wen-je	Ting Shou-chung	Pasuya Yao	Lee Si-kuen
Formosa	September 20, 2018	47.4%-49.6%	30.7%-33.1%	16.9%-19.0%	1.3%-1.7%

New Taipei

Electoral background

New Taipei City is located in the northernmost island of Taiwan, and is the ROC's most populous city. It is surrounded by Taipei. New Taipei was upgraded to Special Municipality status in 2010.^[17]^[18] Due to the vast territory, the number of voters has surpassed 3 million, becoming a Pan blue coalition and Pan green coalition camps battleground.^[19]^[20]

Before upgrading to special municipality status, the then Taipei County was controlled by the Kuomintang until the 1989 local election, with the then newly formed Democratic Progressive Party winning the seat for four straight terms in 16 years until Kuomintang's Chou Hsi-wei^[21] won power in 2005.

After the upgrade to special municipality status in 2010, Kuomintang's Eric Chu^[22] won the seat for two consecutive terms, including the 2014 local election.


Results of Past Taipei County Magistrate & New Taipei Municipal Mayoral Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1989	You Ching	Democratic Progressive Party
1993	You Ching	Democratic Progressive Party
1997	Su Tseng-chang	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Su Tseng-chang	Democratic Progressive Party
2005	Chou Hsi-wei	Kuomintang
2010	Eric Chu	Kuomintang
2014	Eric Chu	Kuomintang

New Taipei City

Highest vote share
Party	Year	Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party	2016 presidential election	55%
Kuomintang	2008 presidential election	61%

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seats	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	54.79%	9	46.74%
Kuomintang	33.34%	2	40.12%
New Power Party	-	1	4.13%
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	11.87%	0	0.84%
Independent/Others	-	0	8.17%

The incumbent mayor Eric Chu has served the two-term limit, and is ineligible to contest this seat.

Results of the primary

2018 Kuomintang New Taipei City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	Results
Hou You-yi	Nominated	55.596%
Chou Hsi-wei	2nd	34.210%
Jin Jie-shou	3rd	10.194%

2018 Democratic Progressive Party New Taipei City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Su Tseng-chang	Called In	Walkover

Opinion polls

Poll source	Date of completion	Su Tseng-chang	Hou You-yi	Undecided	Lead
TVBS	December 6, 2017	39.0%	48.0%	13.0%	9%
Formosa	January 12, 2018	41.7%	41.5%	17.8%	0.2%
China Times	February 26, 2018	33.6%	53.8%	12.6%	20.6%
ETtoday	March 1, 2018	27.4%	51.4%	21.2%	24%
DPP	March 24, 2018	39.0%	39.1%	21.9%	0.1%
Apollo	April 1, 2018	26.4%	54.3%	19.3%	26.9%
Apple Daily	April 7, 2018	27.54%	61.37%	11.09%	33.83%
Taiwan Nextgen Foundation	April 11, 2018	42.6%	41.7%	15.7%	0.9%
ETtoday	April 11, 2018	22.7%	46.4%	30.9%	23.9%
TVBS	April 12, 2018	32.0%	40.0%	28.0%	8%
UDN	May 1, 2018	26.0%	45.0%	29.0%	19%
China Times	May 1, 2018	27.1%	50.6%	22.3%	23.5%
Taiwan Brain Trust	May 22, 2018	30.7%	44.3%	25%	13.6%
Formosa	June 15, 2018	23.6%	41.7%	34.7%	18.1%
TVBS	June 25, 2018	31.0%	48.0%	21.0%	17%
Taiwan Nextgen Foundation	June 29, 2018	38.3%	41.0%	20.7%	2.7%
TVBS	July 17, 2018	29.0%	48.0%	23.0%	19%
CM Media	July 26, 2018	31.1%	46.3%	22.6%	15.2%
Taiwan Brain Trust	July 27, 2018	40.6%	42.6%	16.8%	2%
ETtoday	August 10, 2018	24.2%	45.2%	30.6%	11%
Taiwan Think Tank	August 31, 2018	43.2%	43.9%	12.9%	0.7%
Liberty Times Net	September 7, 2018	30.89%	39.86%	29.25%	8.97%
Shih Hsin University	September 14, 2018	29.4%	40.2%	30.4%	10.8%
Formosa	September 14, 2018	28.2%	41.7%	18.1%	13.5%
TVBS	September 16, 2018	32%	48%	20%	16%
UDN	September 17, 2018	24%	48%	28%	24%
Taiwan Think Tank	September 22, 2018	40.9%	44.3%	14.8%	4.6%

Predictions

Prediction source	Date of completion	Hou You-yi	Su Tseng-chang
Formosa	September 20, 2018	51.5% ~ 53%	47% ~ 48.5%

Taoyuan

Electoral background

In late 2014, Taoyuan City was upgraded to special municipality status from Taoyuan County.^[23] Taoyuan is known for its diversity, mostly migrants from South East Asia region. Before the 1990s, Taoyuan County has been long held by Kuomintang except 1977-1979, 1997-2001 and 2014 until present.

In the 1997 by-election, the Democratic Progressive Party nominated Annette Lu, winning the seat over the Kuomintang and subsequently won it until the 2001 local election.

In 2001 local election, Kuomintang won the seat back from the DPP for three straight terms in 13 years till 2014 local election, losing to the Democratic Progressive Party-nominated candidate Cheng Wen-tsan by 30,000 votes.^[24]


Results of Past Taoyuan County Magistrate & Taoyuan Municipal Mayoral Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1997	Annette Lu	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Eric Chu	Kuomintang
2005	Eric Chu	Kuomintang
2010	John Wu	Kuomintang
2014	Cheng Wen-tsan	Democratic Progressive Party

Taoyuan City

Highest vote share
Party	Year	Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party	1997 local election	56%
Kuomintang	2008 presidential election	65%

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seats	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	51.03%	3	39.48%
Kuomintang	34.39%	2	45.20%
New Power Party	-	0	0.78%
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	14.59%	0	-
Independent/Others	-	1	14.54%

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Taichung City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Cheng Wen-tsan	Nominated	Walkover

2018 Kuomintang Taoyuan City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	Results
Apollo Chen	Nominated	35.689%
Lu Ming-zhe	2nd	33.067%
Yang Li-huan	3rd	31.245%

Opinion polls

Poll source	Date of completion	Cheng Wen-tsan	Apollo Chen	Yang Li-huan	Not sure	Lead
TVBS	June 24, 2017	61%	21%	-	18%	40%
Yam News	October 24, 2017	48.82%	51.18%	-	0%	2.36%
GSSC	November 1, 2017	54.3%	25.1%	-	20.6%	29.2%
TISR	December 13, 2017	53.6%	20.2%	-	26.2%	33.4%
ETtoday	April 2, 2018	46.7%	31.7%	-	21.6%	15%
Taiwan Brain Trust	May 22, 2018	61.4%	17.8%	-	20.8%	43.6%
China Times	June 12, 2018	51.5%	24.9％	-	21.5%	26.6%
I'm Taiwanese	June 23, 2018	59.3%	29.6％	-	11.1%	29.7%
TVBS	July 20, 2018	56%	20%	-	24%	36%
Liberty Times Net	August 10, 2018	56.2%	16.0%	-	27.8%	40.2%
ETtoday¹	August 20, 2018	50.7%	23.8%	–	25.5%	26.9%
TVBS²	September 16, 2018	56%	17%	6%	25.5%	39%
Shih Hsin University³	September 20, 2018	42.3%	18.5%	5.4%	33.7%	23.8%
UDN⁴	September 25, 2018	51%	16%	6%	26%	35%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates. ¹： Zhu Mei-xue（1.9%） ²： Zhu Mei-xue（0.1%）； Wu Fu-tong（0%） ³： Zhu Mei-xue（0.0%）； Wu Fu-tong（0.1%） ⁴： Zhu Mei-xue（0.3%）； Wu Fu-tong（0.1%）

Taichung

Electoral background


Results of Past Taichung County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1989	Liao Liou-yi	Kuomintang
1993	Liao Liou-yi	Kuomintang
1997	Liao Yung-lai	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Huang Chung-sheng	Kuomintang
2005	Huang Chung-sheng	Kuomintang


Results of Past Taichung City Mayoral Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1989	Lin Po-jung	Kuomintang
1993	Lin Po-jung	Kuomintang
1997	Chang Wen-ing	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Jason Hu Chih-chiang	Kuomintang
2005	Jason Hu Chih-chiang	Kuomintang
2010	Jason Hu Chih-chiang	Kuomintang
2014	Lin Chia-lung	Democratic Progressive Party

Taichung City is the second largest metropolis in Taiwan, serves as the economic, cultural and transportation hub in the central part of Taiwan. It was merged and reorganized at the end of 2010 by Taichung County and Taichung City forming Taichung City.^[25] The former Taichung County was controlled by the Kuomintang except in 1997, the Democratic Progressive Party's Liao Yung-lai was elected as the county mayor.

Taichung City before in the 1980s are held by Independent or Kuomintang's Zhang and Lai factions. In the 1980s, the Kuomintang changed its nomination strategy to regain its power, by choosing non-faction candidates defeated Tzeng Wen-po (曾文坡), who is seeking for re-election in 1981, starting a four straight terms in 16 years. In 1997, the Democratic Progressive Party's Chang Wen-ing was elected for Taichung City mayor due to the Pan blue coalition split.^[26]

In 2001, Kuomintang's Jason Hu was elected as Taichung City mayor until 2010's merger and won the third term as the first mayor of the newly formed Taichung City with 36,351 votes.^[27] In 2014, Democratic Progressive Party's candidate Lin Chia-lung won 57% of the votes, elected as the Taichung City mayor due to unhappiness towards the Kuomintang government.

Taichung City

Highest vote share
Party	Year	Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party	2014 local election	57%
Kuomintang	2008 presidential election	60%

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seats	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	55.01%	4	39.26%
Kuomintang	29.82%	3	43.03%
New Power Party	-	1	6.58%
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	5.92%
People First Party	15.1731%	0	-
Independent	-	0	5.21%

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Taichung City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Lin Chia-lung	Nominated	Walkover

2018 Kuomintang Taichung City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	Results
Lu Shiow-yen	Nominated	50.308%
Johnny Chiang	2nd	49.692%

Opinion polls

Poll organization	Dates conducted	Lin Chia-lung	Lu Shiow-yen	Not sure	Lead
台灣指標	July 20, 2017	40.1%	28.8%	31.1%	11.3%
艾普羅	August 3, 2017	44.2%	32.2%	23.4%	12%
TVBS	August 29, 2017	52%	32.0%	16.0%	20%
Sanli	September 5, 2017	49.5%	23.8%	26.7%	15.7%
China Times	November 1, 2017	44.4%	29.3%	26.3%	15.1%
ETtoday	November 3, 2017	37.0%	34.1%	28.9%	2.9%
Formosa	November 7, 2017	37.4%	33.1%	29.5%	4.3%
大社會	November 28, 2017	52.1%	28.0%	19.9%	24.1%
Sanli	December 6, 2017	47.7%	25.3%	27.0%	22.4%
台灣指標	December 6, 2017	40.1%	17.2%	42.7%	22.9%
年代	December 28, 2017	36.1%	35.1%	28.8%	1%
Formosa	February 9, 2018	35.8%	37.6%	26.6%	1.8%
China Times	February 12, 2018	36.4%	30.6%	33.0%	5.8%
ETtoday	March 5, 2018	32.6%	32.0%	35.4%	0.6%
ETtoday	March 14, 2018	47.1%	33.7%	19.2%	13.4%
TISR	April 21, 2018	31.9%	23.7%	44.4%	8.2%
Apollo	May 3, 2018	33.0%	35.7%	31.3%	2.7%
Taiwan Brain Trust	May 22, 2018	43.0%	32.2%	24.8%	10.8%
UDN	May 28, 2018	32.0%	39.0%	29.0%	7%
Kuomintang	May 28, 2018	33.0%	39.7%	27.3%	6.7%
TVBS	July 20, 2018	33.0%	39.0%	28.0%	6%
Taiwan Brain Trust	July 31, 2018	37.8%	35.6%	26.6%	2.2%
CM Media	July 31, 2018	43.9%	31.1%	25.0%	12.8%
Cross Strait Association	July 31, 2018	43.2%	24.4%	32.4%	18.8%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum	August 10, 2018	35.8%	38.0%	28.0%	2.2%
ETtoday	August 14, 2018	31.0%	35.6%	23.7%	4.6%
Liberty News Net	August 24, 2018	38.52%	32.41%	29.07%	6.11%
Taiwan Brain Trust	August 27, 2018	42%	33.5%	24.5%	8.5%
UDN	September 13, 2018	33%	34%	32%	1%
TISR	September 15, 2018	26.8%	28.6%	32.8%	1.8%
Shih Shin University³	September 15, 2018	30.3%	30.9%	38.7%	0.6%
TVBS⁴	September 16, 2018	35%	38%	27%	3%
China Times⁵	September 26, 2018	38.1%	40.2%	15.9%	2.1%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates. ¹： Song Yuan-tong（0.1%） ²： Song Yuan-tong（2.3%） ³： Song Yuan-tong（1.1%） ⁴： Song Yuan-tong（3%） ⁵： Song Yuan-tong（4.6%） _a：Negative Vote Association

Tainan

Electoral background


Results of Past Tainan County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1989	Lee Ya-chiao	Kuomintang
1993	Mark Chen Tang-shan	Democratic Progressive Party
1997	Mark Chen Tang-shan	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Su Huan-chih	Democratic Progressive Party
2005	Su Huan-chih	Democratic Progressive Party


Results of Past Tainan City Mayoral Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1989	Shih Chih-ming	Kuomintang
1993	Shih Chih-ming	Kuomintang
1997	George Chang Tsan-hung	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Hsu Tain-tsair	Democratic Progressive Party
2005	Hsu Tain-tsair	Democratic Progressive Party
2010	William Lai	Democratic Progressive Party
2014	William Lai	Democratic Progressive Party

Tainan City is located in Taiwan's Chia-Nan Plain, is a cultural capital for its history. Tainan City was merged and reorganized at the end of 2010, merging with Tainan County of Taiwan Province.^[28]

The original Tainan County in the 1990s, Kuomintang local faction took turns taking control. However, Tainan County turned blue to green until Democratic Progressive Party's candidate Mark Chen became the mayor in 1993 until the merger between the county and the city was since led by the Democratic Progressive Party.^[29]

The original Tainan City was dominated by Independents and the Kuomintang government for many years before the 1990s. Since 1997, the Democratic Progressive Party candidate Helen Chang was elected mayor, the former Tainan City since had been governed by the Democratic Progressive Party at the county level. After the merger of counties and cities in 2010, the DPP's William Lai was also elected as mayor.^[30]

Tainan City

Highest vote share
Party	Year	Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party	2014 local election	73%
Kuomintang	2008 presidential election	46%

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seats	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	67.52%	5	69.95%
Kuomintang	22.07%	0	24.80%
New Power Party	-	0	0.69%
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	10.41%	0	-
Independent/Others	-	0	4.56%

The incumbent mayor William Lai had served the two terms limit, and was ineligible to contest this seat.

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Tainan City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	Results
Huang Wei-cher	Nominated	41.58%
Chen Ting-fei	2nd	28.17%
Yen Chun-zuo	3rd	6.72%
Wang Ding-yu	4th	5.13%
Li Jun-yi	5th	2.11%
Yeh Yi-jin	6th	0.76%

2018 Kuomintang Tainan City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Kao Su-po	Nominated	Results not released
Huang Hsiu-shuang	2nd	Results not released

Opinion polls

Poll organization	Dates conducted	Huang Wei-cher	Kao Su-po	Lin Yi-feng	Not sure	Lead
Taiwan Brain Trust¹	May 22, 2018	42.3%	18.7%	－	30.6%	23.6%
ETtoday	May 24, 2018	31.2%	18.5%	2.9%	30.2%	12.7%
China Times²	June 11, 2018	40.3%	17.3%	－	29.7%	23%
Evidence-Based³	June 25, 2018	37.8%	8.0%	4.7%	41.7%	29.8%
TVBS⁴	July 6, 2018	41%	15%	7%	20%	26%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum⁵	July 13, 2018	31.7%	16.1%	6.6%	32.3%	15.6%
Era Com⁶	July 14, 2018	36.66%	13.09%	8.21%	28.99%	23.57%
Evidence Based⁷	August 3, 2018	40.0%	12.1%	11.9%	25.6%	27.9%
Liberty News Net⁸	August 17, 2018	40.6%	11.6%	9.7%	32%	29%
ETtoday	August 27, 2018	31.3%	15.9%	14.1%	26.7%	15.4%
Real Survey⁹	September 6, 2018	24.5%	16.4%	12.0%	39%	8.1%
Evidence Based¹⁰	September 11, 2018	35.8%	14.1%	14.3%	24.7%	11.7%
Kao Su-po Campaign Team¹¹	September 13, 2018	22.9%	19.0%	13.9%	33.8%	3.9%
DPP	September 13, 2018	39.9%	14.7%	14.6%	26.5%	25.2%
Shih Shin University¹²	September 13, 2018	23.9%	13.8%	5.9%	48.1%	10.1%
TVBS¹³	September 16, 2018	33%	14%	13%	40%	19%
UDN¹⁴	September 25, 2018	31%	12%	14%	35%	17%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates. ¹： Hsu Chun-hsin（8.4%） ²： Hsu Chun-hsin（5.9%） ³： Hsu Chun-hsin（3.4%） ⁴： Su Huan-chih（8%）； Hsu Chun-hsin（3%） ⁵： Su Huan-chih（6.2%）； Hsu Chun-hsin（3.7%） ⁶： Su Huan-chih（7.35%）； Hsu Chun-hsin（3.25%） ⁷： Su Huan-chih（3.5%）； Hsu Chun-hsin（3.7%） ⁸： Su Huan-chih（2.0%）； Hsu Chun-hsin（2.7%） ⁹： Su Huan-chih（4.3%）； Hsu Chun-hsin（3.8%） ¹⁰： Su Huan-chih（6.7%）； Hsu Chun-hsin（3.9%）； Chen Yong-he（0.2%） ¹¹： Su Huan-chih（6.2%）； Hsu Chun-hsin（4.2%）； Chen Yong-he（0.4%） ¹²： Su Huan-chih（4.9%）； Hsu Chun-hsin（3%）； Chen Yong-he（0.4%） ¹³： Su Huan-chih（6%）； Hsu Chun-hsin（3%）； Chen Yong-he（0.4%）

Kaohsiung

Electoral background


Results of Past Kaohsiung Municipal Mayoral Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1994	Wu Den-yih	Kuomintang
1998	Frank Hsieh Chang-ting	Democratic Progressive Party
2002	Frank Hsieh Chang-ting	Democratic Progressive Party
2006	Chen Chu	Democratic Progressive Party
2010	Chen Chu	Democratic Progressive Party
2014	Chen Chu	Democratic Progressive Party


Results of Past Kaohsiung County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1989	Yu Chen Yueh-ying	Democratic Progressive Party
1993	Yu Cheng-hsien	Democratic Progressive Party
1997	Yu Cheng-hsien	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Yang Chiu-hsing	Democratic Progressive Party
2005	Yang Chiu-hsing	Democratic Progressive Party

Kaohsiung is the third largest city in Taiwan and capital of the political and economic center of the southern region. The special municipality city is merged in 2010 with Kaohsiung County from Taiwan Province.^[31] The former Kaohsiung County before the 1980s is led by the Kuomintang, and the independents till 1985 where Democratic Progressive Party has led the county till the merger of the county and city.

Since the implementation of local autonomy in 1950, the former Kaohsiung City has been led by the KMT except the 6th mayor Yang Jinhu, who was a non-KMT candidate. After Kaohsiung was elevated into a municipality in 1979, the mayor was appointed by the Central Government and opened up first election in 1994 where Kuomintang's Wu Den-yih was first elected mayor of the city. In 1998, the Democratic Progressive Party's Frank Hsieh won the mayoral election by a slim margin over the incumbent mayor Wu Den-yih, starting the DPP's straight 4 terms, 16 years rule till the merger.

Kaohsiung City

Highest vote share
Party	Year	Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party	2014 local election	68%
Kuomintang	2008 legislative election	51%

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seats	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	63.39%	9	61%
Kuomintang	26.00%	0	34.86%
New Power Party	-	0	1.06%
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	10.60%	0	-
Independent/Others	-	0	3.08%

The incumbent mayor Chen Chu has served the two terms limit, and is ineligible to contest this seat.

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Kaohsiung City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	DPP	Focus Survey Research	Statinc	Aggregated Result
Chen Chi-mai	Nominated	38.64%	32.61%	36.45%	35.90%
None of the candidates		32.71%	31.76%	34.74%	33.07%
Chao Tien-lin	2nd	12.63%	17.95%	12.77%	14.45%
Lin Tai-hua	3rd	10.69%	12.06%	10.92%	11.22%
Kuan Bi-ling	4th	5.33%	5.61%	5.12%	5.35%

2018 Kuomintang Kaohsiung City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Han Kuo-yu	Nominated	64.898%
Arthur Chen	2nd	35.102%

Opinion polls

Poll organization	Dates conducted	Chen Chi-mai	Han Kuo-yu	Not sure	Lead
TVBS	August 15, 2017	59%	31%	10%	28%
Taiwan Brain Trust	May 22, 2018	52%	21%	27%	31%
China Times	May 29, 2018	39.5%	33.1%	-	6.4%
All Opinions	June 20, 2018	37.6%	26.2%	36.2%	11.4%
GSSC	June 27, 2018	46.9%	23.9%	29.2%	23%
ETtoday¹	June 27, 2018	32.0%	30.4%	24.7%	1.6%
TVBS	July 4, 2018	40%	32%	28%	8%
GSSC	July 27, 2018	45.7%	27.3%	21.7%	18.4%
Liberty Times Net	August 3, 2018	38.46%	26.42%	35.22%	12.04%
Formosa	August 13, 2018	38.9%	27.8%	33.3%	11.1%
Wu Yi-zheng Campaign Team	August 17, 2018	33.5%	25.7%	34%	7.8%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum	August 21, 2018	33.6%	31%	35.4%	2.6%
ETtoday²	September 3, 2018	36.7%	31%	32.3%	5.7%
TVBS³	September 16, 2018	39%	35%	26%	4%
Shih Shin University⁴	September 16, 2018	33.8%	31.2%	35%	2.6%
CM Media	September 18, 2018	41.2%	35.5%	22.9%	5.7%
TISR⁵	September 19, 2018	41%	30.2%	25.9%	10.8%
UDN⁶	September 20, 2018	34%	32%	31%	2%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum⁷	October 3, 2018	33.5%	30.8%	33.3%	2.7%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates. ¹： Chu Mei-feng（1.1%） ²： Chu Mei-feng（0.6%） ³： Chu Mei-feng（0.1%）； Su Ying-guei（1%） ⁴： Chu Mei-feng（0.7%）； Su Ying-guei（0.4%） ⁵： Chu Mei-feng（0.4%）； Su Ying-guei（2.5%） ⁶： Chu Mei-feng（2%）； Su Ying-guei（1%） ⁶⁷： Chu Mei-feng（1.1%）； Su Ying-guei（1.2%）

Taiwan Province

Keelung

Electoral background

Keelung city has been long held by the Kuomintang except in 1997, Democratic Progressive Party's Lee Chin-yung (李進勇)^[32] won under Pan blue coalition split. In 2014, Democratic Progressive Party's Lin Yu-chang won the mayoral election, ending the city administration under Kuomintang after 13 years.^[33]


Results of Past Keelung City Mayoral Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1997	Lee Chin-yung	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Hsu Tsai-li	Kuomintang
2005	Hsu Tsai-li	Kuomintang
2009	Chang Tong-rong	Kuomintang
2014	Lin Yu-chang	Democratic Progressive Party

Keelung City

Highest vote share
Party	Year	Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party	2014 local election	53%
Kuomintang	2008 legislative election	68%

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seat	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	48.22%	1	41.45%
Kuomintang	35.29%	0	36.15%
New Power Party	-	0	-
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	16.50%	0	12.37%
Independent/Others	-	0	10.03%

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Keelung City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Lin Yu-chang	Nominated	Walkover

2018 Kuomintang Keelung City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	Results
Hsieh Li-kung	Nominated after negotiation	39.92%
Song Wei-li	1st but withdrew after negotiation	41.49%
Ｗen-Chieh Dale Jieh	3rd	18.59%

Opinion polls

Poll organization	Dates conducted	Lin Yu-chang	Hsieh Li-kung	Not sure	Lead
Sanli	January 16, 2018	58%	15.2%	26.8%	42.8%
ETtoday	March 30, 2018	44.1%	24.0%	31.9%	20.1%
Apollo	July 5, 2018	50%	15.9%	34.1%	34.1%

Yilan County

Electoral background

Prior to the 1980s, the county was ruled by the Kuomintang. In 1981, Kuomintang lost control of the county to independent candidate Chen Ding-nan and following elections to Democratic Progressive Party for a straight 6 terms, 24 years.^[34]

In 2005 local election, Kuomintang's Lu Kuo-hua won the county magistrates seat with a small margin becoming the first KMT candidate elected after democratization.^[35]

In the 2009 local election, the Democratic Progressive Party regained the county's administration.


Results of Past Yilan County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1997	Liu Shou-ch'eng	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Liu Shou-ch'eng	Democratic Progressive Party
2005	Lu Kuo-hua	Kuomintang
2009	Lin Tsung-hsien	Democratic Progressive Party
2014	Lin Tsung-hsien	Democratic Progressive Party

`

Yilan County

Highest vote share
Party	Year	Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party	2014 local election	64%
Kuomintang	2008 legislative election	53%

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seat	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	62.06%	1	53.68%
Kuomintang	25.38%	0	28.25%
New Power Party	-	0	-
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	12.55%	0	-
Independent/Others	-	0	18.07%

The incumbent county magistrate Lin Tsung-hsien has served the two term limit, and is ineligible to contest this seat.

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Yilan County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Chen Ou-po	Nominated	Walkover

2018 Kuomintang Yilan County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Lin Zi-miao	Called In	Walkover

Opinion polls

Poll organization	Dates conducted	Chen Ou-po	Lin Zi-miao	Not sure	Lead
Apollo	April 14, 2017	18.2%	28.6%	53.2%	10.4%
TVBS¹	July 21, 2017	23%	57%	20%	34%
Era Com	December 27, 2017	23.37%	45.89%	30.74%	21.52%
ETtoday²	June 11, 2018	15.8%	41.2%	39.1%	25.4%
ETtoday³	September 9, 2018	23.1%	35.6%	25.6%	12.5%
Liberty Times Net⁴	September 21, 2018	23.38%	37.61%	34.03%	14.23%
CM Media⁵	September 26, 2018	26.5%	40.1%	25.5%	13.6%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates. ¹： Lin Hsin-hua（7.0%） ²： Lin Hsin-hua（3.9%） ³： Lin Hsin-hua（4.4%）； Chen Qiu-jing（0.7%）； Lin Jin-kun（1.5%） ⁴： Lin Hsin-hua（4.38%）； Chen Qiu-jing（0.3%）； Lin Jin-kun（0.3%） ⁵： Lin Hsin-hua（5.8%）； Chen Qiu-jing（0.5%）； Lin Jin-kun（0.9%）

Hsinchu County

Electoral background

Hsinchu county is seen to be a Kuomintang stronghold. However, due to the local political environment mainly dominated by political parties, the county was held by the KMT and the DPP respectively. During the martial law period, Hsinchu County was held by Kuomintang except the 6th term held by an independent. In 1989, Democratic Progressive Party won the county, administered the county for 12 years till 2001. In 2001, Kuomintang's Cheng Yung-chin unseated the incumbent county magistrate Lin Kuang-hua.^[36] Since then, the Kuomintang has been holding the magisterial seat till now.


Results of Past Hsinchu County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1997	Lin Kuang-hua	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Cheng Yung-chin	Kuomintang
2005	Cheng Yung-chin	Kuomintang
2009	Chiu Ching-chun	Kuomintang
2014	Chiu Ching-chun	Kuomintang

`

Hsinchu County

Highest vote share
Party	Year	Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party	2010 legislative by-election	56%
Kuomintang	2008 presidential election	74%

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seat	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	42.52%	0	-
Kuomintang	35.28%	1	36.75%
New Power Party	-	0	-
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	22.19%	0	-
Independent/Others	-	0	63.25%

The incumbent county magistrate Chiu Ching-chun has served the two term limit, and is ineligible to contest this seat.

Results of the primary

2018 Minkuotang Hsinchu County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Hsu Hsin-ying	Nominated	Walkover

2018 Kuomintang Hsinchu County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Results
Yang Wen-ko	Called In	Walkover
Lin Wei-chou	Failure to get party's nomination	-

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Hsinchu County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Cheng Chao-fang	Called In	Walkover

Opinion polls

Poll organization	Dates conducted	Hsu Hsin-ying	Yang Wen-ko	Cheng Chao-fang	Not sure	Lead
Era Com	January 4, 2018	32.18%	23.59%	-	24.85%	8.59%
China Times	January 26, 2018	17.1%	12.1%	-	-	5%
Apollo	June 16, 2018	20.1%	27%	4.7%	39.8%	6.9%
Apollo	June 21, 2018	18.3%	21.3%	4.5%	38.4%	3%
Era Com	June 22, 2018	40.2%	23.3%	8.82%	18.39%	16.9%
TVBS	June 29, 2018	31%	27%	9%	32%	4%
ETtoday	July 11, 2018	19.7%	26.3%	9.7%	44.2%	6.6%
ETtoday^Note	July 27, 2018	27.5%	23.6%	6.5%	17.1%	3.9%
Apollo^Note	August 1, 2018	30.5%	25.9%	7.2%	19.2%	4.6%
Daily View^Note	August 19, 2018	34.8%	24.47%	21.74%	-	10.33%
Focus Survey Research	August 24, 2018	37.2%	26.7%	12.0%	23.1%	10.5%
Apollo^Note	August 25, 2018	20.4%	16.9%	6.2%	31.1%	3.5%
TVBS	August 31, 2018	28%	25%	13%	34%	3%
Era Com	September 10, 2018	32.56%	23.25%	9.11%	35.08%	9.29%
UDN¹	October 2, 2018	31%	25%	11%	32%	6%
TISR²_c	October 2, 2018	25.9%	23.3%	9.1%	31.5%	2.6%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates. ¹： Ye Fang-dong（1%） ²： Ye Fang-dong（1.9%）							^Note: Poll conducted before Lin was withdraw race

Hsinchu

Electoral background

Hsinchu City in the early 1980s, was upgraded to a provincial municipality and held by Independent magistrate Shih (施家班). In 1985, the Kuomintang held the administration except; 1997 defeated to Democratic Progressive Party's James Tsai and 2014 defeated by Democratic Progressive Party's Lin Chih-chien by 1000 votes.


Results of Past Hsinchu City Mayoral Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1997	James Tsai	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Lin Junq-tzer	Kuomintang
2005	Lin Junq-tzer	Kuomintang
2009	Hsu Ming-tsai	Kuomintang
2014	Lin Chih-chien	Democratic Progressive Party

`

Hsinchu City

Highest vote share
Party	Year	Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party	1997 local election	56%
Kuomintang	2005 local election	69%

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seat	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	51.22%	1	41.33%
Kuomintang	32.42%	0	36.46%
New Power Party	-	0	16.56%
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	16.35%	0	1.91%
Independent/Others	-	0	3.74%

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Hsinchu City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Lin Chih-chien	Nominated	Walkover

2018 Kuomintang Hsinchu City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	UDN	Apollo Survey & Research	TVBS	Aggregated Result
Hsu Ming-tsai	Nominated	40.55%	42.89%	42.63%	42.02%
Lin Geng-ren	2nd	36.15%	34.63%	34.62%	35.13%
Li Guo-zhang	3rd	23.30%	22.48%	22.75%	22.84%

Opinion polls

Poll organization	Dates conducted	Lin Chih-chien	Hsu Ming-tsai	Hsieh Wen-jin	Not sure	Lead
Trend	November 14, 2017	59.9%	19.8%	-	20.3%	40.1%
Sanli	January 26, 2018	56.4%	23.4%	-	20.2%	33%
ETtoday	March 27, 2018	51.4%	12.0%	-	36.6%	39.4%
GVM	May 30, 2018	59.7%	23.3%	-	20%	36.4%
Green Party	June 20, 2018	40.9%	15.9%	-	20%	25%
Sanli	June 21, 2018	55.5%	15.5%	-	29%	40%
China Times	July 7, 2018	48.4%	15.3%	9.5%	26.8%	33.1%
ETtoday	July 16, 2018	38.5%	16.9%	6.2%	27.1%	21.6%
Taiwan Green Party	August 24, 2018	48.5%	13.6%	7.9%	30%	34.9%
Democratic Progressive Party	September 3, 2018	45.6%	13.2%	9.9%	31.3%	32.4%

Miaoli County

Electoral background

Since the implementation of local government in the 1950s, the Kuomintang held the county for many years until the 1990s where the independents won the county from the Kuomintang. Since 2005, the Kuomintang regained county administration.


Results of Past Miaoli County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1997	Fu Hsueh-peng	Independent
2001	Fu Hsueh-peng	Independent
2005	Liu Cheng-hung	Kuomintang
2009	Liu Cheng-hung	Kuomintang
2014	Hsu Yao-chang	Kuomintang

`

Miaoli County

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seats	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	45.45%	0	40.44%
Kuomintang	37.55%	2	46.26%
New Power Party	-	0	-
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	17.00%	0	-
Independent/Others	-	0	13.30%

Results of the primary

2018 Kuomintang Miaoli County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Hsu Yao-chang	Nominated	Walkover

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Miaoli County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Results
Hsu Ding-zhen		Supported by DPP

Opinion polls

Poll organization	Dates conducted	Hsu Yao-chang	Hsu Ting-cong	Not sure	Lead
GSSC	January 26, 2018	46.5%	21.1%	32.4%	25.4%
China Times	June 13, 2018	56.9%	17.6%	25.5%	39.3%
ETtoday	July 2, 2018	35.9%	16.5%	29.7%	19.4%

Changhua County

Electoral background

During the authoritarian Kuomintang rule, the county has been held by the Kuomintang. In 1981, independent candidate George Huang held the county until 1989 for two terms. In 1989, newly formed Democratic Progressive Party's Chou Ching-yu held Changhua County until 1993. In 1993, faced with deteriorating government relations and the split in Pan green coalition, Kuomintang's Juan Kang-meng (阮剛猛) won consecutive 2 terms till 2001. In 2001, the Democratic Progressive Party gained back the administration of the county led by Wong Chin-chu for a term. In 2005, Kuomintang's Cho Po-yuan (卓伯源) won 2 terms consecutive until 2014. Democratic Progressive Party's Wei Ming-ku gained administration of the county in 2014.


Results of Past Changhua County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1997	Juan Kang-meng	Kuomintang
2001	Wong Chin-chu	Democratic Progressive Party
2005	Cho Po-yuan	Kuomintang
2009	Cho Po-yuan	Kuomintang
2014	Wei Ming-ku	Democratic Progressive Party

`

Changhua County

Highest vote share
Party	Year	Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party	2016 presidential election	56%
Kuomintang	2008 presidential election	58%

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seats	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	56.47%	3	47.69%
Kuomintang	28.80%	1	44.96%
New Power Party	-	0	0.49%
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	14.73%	0	2.91%
Independent/Others	-	0	3.95%

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Changhua County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Wei Ming-ku	Called In	Walkover

2018 Kuomintang Changhua County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	TVBS	Apollo Survey & Research	UDN	Aggregated Result
Wang Huei-mei	Nominated	56.66%	59.78%	55.59%	57.34%
Wu Mingzhe	2nd	22.49%	20.99%	26.35%	23.28%
Yang Fu-di	3rd	20.85%	19.23%	18.06%	19.38%

Opinion polls

Poll organization	Dates conducted	Wei Ming-ku	Wang Huei-mei	Not sure	Lead
China Times	April 10, 2017	39.9%	25.7%	34.4%	14.2%
Era Com	January 9, 2018	26.3%	35.9%	33.06%	9.6%
China Times	Febuary 13, 2018	33.6%	28%	38.4%	5.6%
ETtoday	March 13, 2018	31.9%	28.3%	39.8%	3.6%
GSSC	May 24, 2018	25.1%	35.0%	39.9%	9.9%
ETtoday	September 2. 2018	29.6%	29%	26.3%	0.6%
Chienkuo Technology¹	September 15. 2018	13.2%	19.9%	33.6%	6.7%
Liberty Times Net²	September 14, 2018	31.3%	30.5%	35.4%	0.8%
UDN³	September 28, 2018	24%	34%	38%	10%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates. ¹： Huang Wen-ling（4.7%）； Hung Min-xiong（3.2%） ²： Huang Wen-ling（2.29%）； Hung Min-xiong（0.3%）； Bai Ya-tsan（0.1%） ³： Huang Wen-ling（1%）； Hung Min-xiong（0.1%）； Bai Ya-tsan（0.1%）

Nantou County

Electoral background

Nantou county has long held by the Kuomintang before democratization. In 1997, independent candidate Peng Pai-hsien (彭百顯) won for a term. In 2001, Peng was defeated by Democratic Progressive Party's Lin Tsung-nan (林宗男), served a term. In 2005, Kuomintang's Lee Chao-ching (李朝卿) won the election due to Pan green coalition splits. Since then, the Kuomintang has administered the county.


Results of Past Nantou County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1997	Peng Pai-hsien	Independent
2001	Lin Tsung-nan	Democratic Progressive Party
2005	Lee Chao-ching	Kuomintang
2009	Lee Chao-ching	Kuomintang
2014	Lin Ming-chen	Kuomintang

`

Nantou County

Highest vote share
Party	Year	Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party	2016 presidential election	52%
Kuomintang	2008 legislative election	62%

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seats	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	52.23%	0	44.24%
Kuomintang	32.08%	2	55.76%
New Power Party	-	0	-
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	15.68%	0	-
Independent/Others	-	0	-

Results of the primary

2018 Kuomintang Nantou County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Lin Ming Chen	Nominated	Walkover

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Nantou County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Hung Guo-haw	Called In	Walkover

Opinion polls

Poll organization	Dates conducted	Lin Ming-chen	Hung Guo-haw	Not sure	Lead
ETtoday	March 13, 2018	59.4%	11.7%	28.9%	47.7%
China Times	March 23, 2018	37.9%	8.9%	53.2%	29%

Yunlin County

Electoral background

Local party organizations in Yunlin County are powerful and the Kuomintang has long held this county. However, in recent years, the county has turned from blue to green. In 1997, independent candidate Chang Jung-wei (張榮味) won the election, turned to Kuomintang in 1999 and won the 2001 election for 2nd term. In 2005, Su Chih-fen became the first Democratic Progressive Party's candidate to win the election. Since then the county has been administered by the DPP.


Results of Past Yunlin County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1997	Chang Jung-wei	Independent -> Kuomintang
2001	Chang Jung-wei	Kuomintang
2005	Su Chih-fen	Democratic Progressive Party
2009	Su Chih-fen	Democratic Progressive Party
2014	Lee Chin-yung	Democratic Progressive Party

`

Yunlin County

Highest vote share
Party	Year	Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party	2009 local elections	65%
Kuomintang	2001 local elections	62%

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seats	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	63.41%	2	61.27%
Kuomintang	24.93%	0	34.12%
New Power Party	-	0	2.13%
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	11.66%	0	-
Independent/Others	-	0	2.48%

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Yunlin County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Lee Chin-yung	Nominated	Walkover

2018 Kuomintang Yunlin County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Chang Li-shan	Called In	Walkover

Opinion polls

Poll organization	Dates conducted	Lee Chin-yung	Chang Li-shan	Not sure	Lead
ETtoday	2018年5月21日	32.8%	19.6%	47.6%	13.2%

Chiayi County

Electoral background

Kuomintang and independent has held the county till 2001, where the Lin faction of the Kuomintang defecting to the Democratic Progressive Party due to differences, thus making Chiayi county as DPP's stronghold since then.


Results of Past Chiayi County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1997	Lee Ya-jing	Kuomintang
2001	Chen Ming-wen	Democratic Progressive Party
2005	Chen Ming-wen	Democratic Progressive Party
2009	Helen Chang	Democratic Progressive Party
2014	Helen Chang	Democratic Progressive Party

`

Chiayi County

Highest vote share
Party	Year	Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party	2016 presidential election	65%
Kuomintang	2008 legislative election	50%

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seats	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	65.37%	2	59.05%
Kuomintang	23.38%	0	38.68%
New Power Party	-	0	-
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	11.25%	0	-
Independent/Others	-	0	2.27%

The incumbent magistrate Helen Chang has served the two-term limit, and is ineligible to contest this seat.

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Chiayi County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Focus Survey Research	Shih Shin	Real Survey	Aggregated Result
Weng Chang-liang	Nominated	43.08%	42.88%	45.34%	43.77%
Chang Ming-ta	2nd	35.57%	36.73%	33.79%	35.36%
None of the candidates		21.35%	20.39%	20.87%	20.87%

2018 Kuomintang Chiayi County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Wu Yu-jen	Called In	Walkover

Opinion polls

Poll source	Date of completion	Weng Chang-liang	Wu Yu-jen	Not sure	Lead
ETtoday	June 4, 2018	34.3%	15.3%	50.4%	19%

Chiayi

Electoral background

Chiayi City was traditionally pan green territory during the 1980s. Pan Blue support increased in recent years closing the lead of both groups and consist of 25% from independent voters. Since 1982, the city has been held by the Hsu faction and known as the Land of Democracy (民主聖地). The pan blue support surge in 2005 local election electing Huang Min-Hui (黃敏惠) for consecutive two terms due to split in Hsu faction. In 2014, Chiayi City elected DPP's Twu Shiing-jer (涂醒哲) as city mayor.


Results of Past Chiayi City Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1997	Chang Po-ya	Independent
2001	Chen Li-chen	Independent
2005	Huang Min-hui	Kuomintang
2009	Huang Min-hui	Kuomintang
2014	Twu Shiing-jer	Democratic Progressive Party

`

Chiayi City

Highest vote share
Party	Year	Vote share %
Democratic Progressive Party	2016 presidential election	60%
Kuomintang	2005 local election	55%

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seat	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	59.86%	1	53.95%
Kuomintang	27.95%	0	35.66%
New Power Party	-	0	-
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	12.19%	0	-
Independent/Others	-	0	10.39%

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Chiayi City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Twu Shiing-jer	Nominated	Walkover

2018 Kuomintang Chiayi City mayoral primary results
Candidates	Place	Results
Huang Min-hui	Nominated	Results not released
Jack Lee	2nd	Results not released

Opinion polls

Poll organization	Dates conducted	Twu Shiing-jer	Huang Min-hui	Hsiao Shu-li	Not sure	Lead
Yam News	September 27, 2017	50.91%	49.09%	-	0%	1.82%
Era Com	January 15, 2018	22.08%	53.23%	-	24.69%	31.15%
GSSC	April 27, 2018	21.9%	34.4%	15.1%	28.6%	12.5%
ETtoday	June 4, 2018	18.2%	31.2%	18.0%	32.6%	13%
CM Media	September 5, 2018	39.5%	24.8%	18.9%	17%	15.3%
ETtoday¹	September 16, 2018	26.0%	35.4%	10.7%	18.6%	9.4%
Liberty News Net²	September 29, 2018	30.14%	24.56%	17.91%	27.1%	5.58%
UDN³	October 2, 2018	25%	28%	17%	29%	3%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates. ¹： Huang Hung Chen Taiwan Ah Chen World Great Person Rich President（3.0%） ²： Huang Hung Chen Taiwan Ah Chen World Great Person Rich President（0.29%） ³： Huang Hung Chen Taiwan Ah Chen World Great Person Rich President（1%）

Pingtung County

Electoral background

During martial law Kuomintang rule, the county was administered by the Kuomintang. In the 1980s and 1990s, its been administered by Kuomintang, Democratic Progressive Party and independents. After the 1997 local elections, the Democratic Progressive Party held the magisterial seat.


Results of Past Pingtung County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1997	Su Chia-chyuan	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Su Chia-chyuan	Democratic Progressive Party
2005	Tsao Chi-hung	Democratic Progressive Party
2009	Tsao Chi-hung	Democratic Progressive Party
2014	Peng Meng-an	Democratic Progressive Party

`

Pingtung County

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seats	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	63.49%	3	58.94%
Kuomintang	26.99%	0	30.89%
New Power Party	-	0	-
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	9.52%	0	-
Independent/Others	-	0	10.17%

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Pingtung County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Peng Meng-an	Nominated	Walkover

2018 Kuomintang Pingtung County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Su Ching-chuan	Called In	Walkover

Opinion polls

Poll source	Date of completion	Peng Meng-an	Su Ching-chuan	Not sure	Lead
ETtoday	June 19, 2018	37.9%	20.9%	29.9%	17%

Hualien County

Electoral background

Hualien County had been administered by Kuomintang rule until 2009 where independent candidate Fu Kun-chi won the magisterial seat ending KMT's 50 years administration in Hualien county despite being in Pan Blue camp.


Results of Past Hualien County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1997	Chang Fu-hsin	Kuomintang
2001	Chang Fu-hsin	Kuomintang
2005	Hsieh Shen-shan	Kuomintang
2009	Fu Kun-chi	Independent
2014	Fu Kun-chi	Independent

`

Hualien County

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seat	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	36.94%	1	53.77%
Kuomintang	47.72%	0	43.58%
New Power Party	-	0	-
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	15.34%	0	-
Independent/Others	-	0	2.65%

The incumbent magistrate Fu Kun-chi has served the two-term limit, and is ineligible to contest this seat.

Results of the primary

2018 Kuomintang Hualien County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Hsu Chen-wei	Called In	Walkover

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Hualien County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Liuh Siao-Mei	Called In	Walkover

Opinion polls

Poll organization	Dates conducted	Hsu Chen-wei	Liuh Siao-Mei	Not sure	Lead
China Times	March 25, 2018	40.1%	17.0%	42.9%	23.1%
ETtoday	June 13, 2018	44.4%	19.0%	36.6%	25.4%

Taitung County

Electoral background

Being a safe KMT territory, Taitung County has been long administered by the Kuomintang since the authoritarian rule and 1990s. The Kuomintang loses the administration in 2001 local election, with Hsu Ching-yuan from the People First Party and independent candidate Wu Chun-li in 2005.

In 2006 by election, the Kuomintang regained back the administration till now.


Results of Past Taitung County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1997	Chen Jen-nian	Kuomintang
2001	Hsu Ching-yuan	People First Party
2005	Wu Chun-li	Independent
2006	Kuang Li-chen	Kuomintang
2009	Justin Huang	Kuomintang
2014	Justin Huang	Kuomintang

`

Taitung County

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seat	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	38.41%	1	64.18%
Kuomintang	44.62%	0	35.82%
New Power Party	-	0	-
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	16.96%	0	-
Independent/Others	-	0	-

The incumbent magistrate Justin Huang has served the two-term limit, and is ineligible to contest this seat.

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Taitung County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Liu Chao-hao	Called In	Walkover

2018 Kuomintang Taitung County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Results
Rao Qing-ling	Nominated	Results not released
Liao Kuo-tung	2nd	Results not released

Opinion polls

Poll organization	Dates conducted	Rao Qing-ling	Liu Chao-hao	Not sure	Lead
ETtoday	June 22, 2018	34.1%	27.8%	38.1%	6.3%
China Times	October 2, 2018	38.6%	30.3%	27.8%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates. ¹： Kuang Li-zhen（3.3%）; Peng Quan-kuo（1.0%）; Huang Yu-bin（0.0%）

Penghu County

Electoral background

Penghu County has been administered by the Kuomintang since the authoritarian rule. In 1993 by election, the Democratic Progressive Party won the administration of the county for a 4 years term. In 1997, the Kuomintang regained back the administration of the county and won subsequent elections till 2014 when Democratic Progressive Party's Chen Kuang-fu won the magisterial seat, ending 16 years of Kuomintang administration.


Results of Past Penghu County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1997	Lai Feng-wei	Kuomintang
2001	Lai Feng-wei	Kuomintang
2005	Lai Feng-wei	Kuomintang
2009	Wang Chien-fa	Kuomintang
2014	Chen Kuang-fu	Democratic Progressive Party

`

Penghu County

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seat	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	50.81%	1	55.40%
Kuomintang	29.48%	0	39.99%
New Power Party	-	0	-
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	19.71%	0	-
Independent/Others	-	0	4.61%

Result of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Penghu County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Chen Kuang-fu	Nominated	Walkover

2018 Kuomintang Taitung County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Results
Lai Feng Wei	Called In	Called in after negotiation

Opinion polls

Poll source	Date of completion	Chen Kuang-fu	Lai Feng-wei	Not sure	Lead
Era Com	January 19, 2018	26.41%	39.39%	34.2%	12.98%
ETtoday¹	July 8, 2018	20.1%	29.1%	32.1%	9%
Note：* Opinion polls includes independent candidates. ¹： Cheng Qing-fa（4.8%）； Wu Zheng-long（3.1%）

Fujian Province

Kinmen County

Electoral background


Results of Past Kinmen County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1997	Chen Shui-zai	Kuomintang
2001	Lee Chu-feng	New Party
2005	Lee Chu-feng	New Party
2009	Li Wo-shi	Kuomintang
2014	Chen Fu-hai	Independent

`

Kinmen County

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seat	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	18.00%	0	23.07%
Kuomintang	66.10%	1	45.08%
New Power Party	-	0	-
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	15.90%	0	-
Independent/Others	-	0	31.85%

Results of the primary

2018 Kuomintang Kinmen County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Yang Cheng-wu	Called In	Walkover

Opinion polls

Poll source	Date of completion	Yang Cheng-wu	Chen Fu-hai	Not sure	Lead
Polls	July 17, 2018	32.7%	30.6%	36.7%	2.1%
ETtoday	July 23, 2018	28%	23%	40.4%	5%

Lienchiang County

Electoral background


Results of Past Lienchiang County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1997	Liu Li-qun	Kuomintang
2001	Chen Hsueh-sheng	People First Party
2005	Chen Hsueh-sheng	People First Party
2009	Yang Sui-sheng	Kuomintang
2014	Liu Cheng-ying	Kuomintang

`

Lienchiang County

2016 election results
Party	Presidential %	Legislative seat	Legislative %
Democratic Progressive Party	16.54%	0	-
Kuomintang	68.60%	1	68.07%
New Power Party	-	0	-
Taiwan Solidarity Union	-	0	-
People First Party	14.86%	0	-
Independent/Others	-	0	31.93%

Results of the primary

2018 Kuomintang Lienchiang County magistrate primary results
Candidates	Place	Result
Liu Cheng-ying	Called In	Walkover

Opinion polls

Poll source	Date of completion	Liu Cheng-ying	Su Po-hao	Not sure	Lead
ETtoday	July 8, 2018	50%	9.8%	24.2%	40.2%

Comments

References

↑ http://www.epochtimes.com/gb/17/8/20/n9547220.htm 吴敦义走马上任国民党备战2018挑战多
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External links

Republic of China Central Election Commission

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[1] ttp://www.epochtimes.com/gb/17/8/20/n9547220.htm 吴敦义走马上任国民党备战2018挑战多

[2] ttp://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/2203153 放眼2018！民進黨全代會通過提名條例

[3] ttp://news.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/paper/1156255 民進黨首波提名9縣市長拚連任

[4] ttps://udn.com/news/story/10958/2886726 藍2018初選全民調首波提名4縣市

[5] ttp://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/2295457 2018縣市長提名民進黨徵召台東劉櫂豪、南投洪國浩

[6] ttp://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/2328383 國民黨今通過5縣市長提名澎湖人選暫緩公告

[7] ttps://tw.appledaily.com/new/realtime/20180207/1294116/ 國民黨中常會通過　提名謝立功參選基隆市長

[8] ttps://tw.appledaily.com/new/realtime/20180221/1301320/ 國民黨通過盧秀燕參選台中市長　盧：誓言打贏選仗

[9] ttps://udn.com/news/story/6656/3002819 國民黨今提名黃敏惠參選嘉義市長澎湖縣長提名仍暫緩

[10] ttp://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/2365276 民進黨提名宜嘉南高4縣市長苗栗支持無黨籍徐定禎

[11] ttps://newtalk.tw/news/view/2018-03-21/118195 花49天撫平反彈聲浪藍提賴峰偉回鍋戰澎湖縣長

[12] ttps://udn.com/news/story/6656/3055842 國民黨桃園市長初選陳學聖出線楊麗環認不公憤離席

[13] ttps://udn.com/news/story/6656/3071821 國民黨新北市長初選民調侯友宜確定勝出

[14] ttps://udn.com/news/story/6656/3106826 國民黨提名吳育仁參選嘉義縣長蘇清泉參選屏東縣長

[15] ttps://udn.com/news/story/6656/3132648 國民黨台北市長提名丁守中金門縣徵召楊鎮浯

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