Next Balearic regional election

The next Balearic regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 25 June 2023, to elect the 11th Parliament of the autonomous community of the Balearic Islands. All 59 seats in the Parliament will be up for election.

Next Balearic regional election
No later than 25 June 2023
All 59 seats in the Parliament of the Balearic Islands
30 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Francina Armengol Biel Company Juan Pedro Yllanes
Party PSIB–PSOE PP Podemos–EUIB
Leader since 25 February 2012 26 March 2017 27 November 2018
Leader's seat Mallorca Mallorca Mallorca
Last election 19 seats, 27.4% 16 seats, 22.2% 6 seats, 9.7%
Current seats 19 16 6
Seats needed 11 14 24
 
Leader Marc Pérez-Ribas Miquel Ensenyat Jorge Campos
Party Cs Més Vox
Leader since 9 March 2019 9 June 2018 1 April 2019
Leader's seat Mallorca Mallorca Mallorca
Last election 5 seats, 9.9% 4 seats, 9.2% 3 seats, 8.1%
Current seats 5 4 3
Seats needed 25 26 27
 
Leader Jaume Font Josep Castells Sílvia Tur
Party El Pi MxMe GxF+PSOE+EUIB
Leader since 2 November 2012 16 December 2018 10 April 2015
Leader's seat Mallorca Menorca Formentera
Last election 3 seats, 7.3% 2 seats, 1.4% 1 seat, 0.5%
Current seats 3 2 1
Seats needed 27 28 n/a
Incumbent President

Francina Armengol
PSIB–PSOE

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of the Balearic Islands is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Balearic Islands, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Balearic Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting for the Parliament is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered in the Balearic Islands and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Balearic people abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] The 59 members of the Parliament of the Balearic Islands are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the islands of Mallorca, Menorca, Ibiza and Formentera, with each being allocated a fixed number of seats: 33 for Mallorca, 13 for Menorca, 12 for Ibiza and 1 for Formentera.[1][3]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of the Balearic Islands expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Balearic Islands (BOIB), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 26 May 2023. The election decree shall be published in the BOIB no later than 2 May 2023, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 25 June 2023.[1][3][4]

The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of the Balearic Islands and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process and that dissolution does not occur before one year has elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a sixty-day period from the first ballot, the Parliament shall be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]

Parliamentary status

The table below show the status of the different parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the present time of dissolution.[5]

Current parliamentary composition
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
Socialist PSIB–PSOE 19 19
People's PP 16 16
United We Can Podemos 5 6
EM–EU 1
Citizens Cs 5 5
More for Mallorca PSM–Entesa 4 4
Vox–ACTUA Balearics Vox–ACTUA Balearics 3 3
El Pi–Proposal for the Isles El Pi 3 3
Mixed MxMe 2 3
GxF 1

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 30 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of the Balearic Islands.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout El Pi Lead
IBES/Última Hora[p 1][p 2] 8–12 Jun 2020 1,000 ? 28.7
19/21		 24.2
17/18		 7.0
3/4		 9.0
5/6		 8.2
3/4		 10.4
3/5		 5.8
2		 1.3
2		 ?
1		 4.5
electoPanel/electomania.es[p 3][p 4] 1 Apr–15 May 2020 ? ? 26.8
19		 25.3
19		 5.9
3		 9.7
5		 10.4
4		 8.2
3		 7.4
3		 1.3
2		 0.6
1		 1.5
November 2019 general election 10 Nov 2019 N/A 56.8 25.4
18		 22.8
15		 7.4
4		 18.1
12		 4.0
0		 17.1
10		 – [lower-alpha 1] – 2.6
2019 regional election 26 May 2019 N/A 53.9 27.4
19		 22.2
16		 9.9
5		 9.7
6		 9.2
4		 8.1
3		 7.3
3		 1.4
2		 0.5
1		 5.2

Notes
  1. Within Més Esquerra.

References
Opinion poll sources
  1. "Los partidos de izquierdas ganan pero Armengol sube a costa de sus socios". Última Hora (in Spanish). 21 June 2020.
  2. "ILLES BALEARS · Encuesta IBES 21/06/2020: UNIDES PODEM 9,0% (5/6), MÉS 8,2% (3/4), MxME 1,3% (2), GxF-PSOE-EUIB (1), PSOE 28,7% (19/21), EL PI 5,8% (2), Cs 7,0% (3/4), PP 24,2% (17/18), VOX 10,4% (3/5)". Electograph (in Spanish). 21 June 2020.
  3. "EP (17My): Baleares – sube el PP, pero Armengol podría mantener el Gobierno". electomania.es (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
  4. "MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+". electomania.es (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
Other
  1. "Ley Orgánica 1/2007, de 28 de febrero, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de las Illes Balears". Organic Law No. 1 of 28 February 2007. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 13 September 2017.
  2. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. "Ley 8/1986, de 26 de noviembre, Electoral de la Comunidad Autónoma de las Islas Baleares". Law No. 8 of 26 November 1986. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 2 February 2020.
  4. "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  5. "L'hemicicle parlamentari" (PDF). parlamentib.es (in Catalan). Parliament of the Balearic Islands. Retrieved 15 June 2020.
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