Next Croatian presidential election
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The next elections for the President of Croatia are due to take place by direct popular vote on a date between 21 December 2019 and 20 January 2020, with a second round (if necessary) to take place on a date between 4 January 2020 and 3 February 2020 between the two candidates with the largest number of votes in the first round. Namely, the Constitution of Croatia states that a presidential election must be held no more than 60 days and no less than 30 days before the expiration of the incumbent president's term.[1] They will be the seventh presidential elections since the first direct ones were held in 1992.
Background
The incumbent President of Croatia, Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović, took office on 19 February 2015 and her term is due to end on 18 February 2020.[2] If Grabar-Kitarović serves out her term in full until that date, the new presidential term will begin on 19 February 2020 and will be due to end on 18 February 2025. However, if she were to permanently vacate the office before the end of her current term (due to death, resignation or removal from office by impeachment), the Speaker of the Croatian Parliament, currently Gordan Jandroković, would assume the powers and duties of the presidency as Acting President of the Republic, while an early election would have to take place no later than 60 days from the date of the vacancy occurring (as per Article 97 of the Constitution).[1]
President Grabar-Kitarović will be eligible for re-election to a second (and final) five-year term in this election. Furthermore, Ivo Josipović, her predecessor as president, is also eligible to run for re-election to a second and final term because he lost the 2015 elections after serving only one term from 2010 until 2015. If Grabar-Kitarović were to contest the elections and be defeated or if she were to choose not to run at all, the winner would be sworn in as the fifth President of Croatia since country's independence on 25 June 1991.
Electoral system
The President of Croatia is directly elected by secret ballot to a term of 5 years using a two-round system. The Constitution of Croatia requires that a presidential election be held no sooner than 60 days and no later than 30 days before the expiration of the incumbent president's term. An absolute majority (50% + 1 vote) of all votes cast (including invalid and blank ballots) is required to win in the first round. If no candidate acquires such a majority, a second round is to be held in 14 days time, with the two candidates with the highest number of votes in the first round taking part. The candidate who acquires the highest number of votes in the second round (a majority of valid cast votes) is declared the winner. If one of the candidates who has won a high enough number of votes to take part in the second round were to abandon his candidacy or die, the candidate with the next highest number of votes in the first round will earn the right to take part in the second round. Furthermore, Croatian presidents may serve a maximum of two 5-year terms in their lifetime (a total of 10 years if both terms are won and served out in full).[1]
Candidates
No candidate has yet formally announced their intention to contest the election as of 8 October 2018, however several potential candidates have been named in the media by at least one source:
Far Right
Right to centre-right
4th President of Croatia (2015–present)
Kolinda Grabar-KitarovićFormer First Deputy Prime Minister (2016) and HDZ chairman (2012–2016)
Tomislav Karamarko[3]President of the Croatian Chamber of Economy (2014–present)
Luka Burilović[4]20th Speaker of the Croatian Parliament (2015–2016) and Croatian Academy of Sciences and Arts member
Željko Reiner[4]
- Bridge of Independent Lists (Most)
21st Speaker of the Croatian Parliament (2016–2017) and Most chairman (2012-present)
Božo Petrov[5]
Centre
- Human Shield (Živi zid)
Member of the Croatian Parliament for the 7th electoral district (2015–present) and Human Shield chairman (2011-present)
Ivan Vilibor Sinčić[5]
Left to centre-left
- Social Democratic Party (SDP)
10th Prime Minister of Croatia (2011–2016) and former SDP chairman (2007–2016)
Zoran Milanović[3]9th Minister of Maritime Affairs, Transport and Infrastructure (2011-2012) and Prefect of Primorje-Gorski Kotar County (2001–2011, 2013–present)
Zlatko Komadina[6]Member of the European Parliament for Croatia (2013–present)
Tonino Picula[7]10th Minister of Health (2011–2014)
Rajko Ostojić[8]
3rd President of Croatia (2010–2015) and Forward Croatia-Progressive Alliance chairman (2015-present)
Ivo Josipović
- Civic Liberal Alliance (Glas)
11th Minister of Construction and Spatial Planning (2012–2016), Member of the Croatian Parliament for the 2nd electoral district (2016-present) and Civic Liberal Alliance chair
Anka Mrak-Taritaš[4]
Opinion polling
National election
Date | Polling Firm | Grabar-Kitarović | Milanović | Sinčić | Petrov | Burilović | Karamarko | Krstičević | Reiner | Komadina | Ostojić | Picula | Josipović | Mrak-Taritaš | Others | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03 Feb 2018 | Promocija plus | 43,5 | 22 | 11,9 | 6,6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5,9 | 10,1 | 21,5 |
17-18 Jan 2018 | IPSOS PULS | 41 | 21 | 15 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 6 | 20 |
HDZ party nomination
Date | Polling Firm | Grabar-Kitarović | Krstičević | Burilović | Karamarko | Reiner | No one | Someone else | Don't know | Don't want to say | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17-18 Jan 2018 | IPSOS PULS | 62 | 15 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 47 |
SDP party nomination
Date | Polling Firm | Picula | Milanović | Komadina | Ostojić | No one | Someone else | Don't know | Don't want to say | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17-18 Jan 2018 | IPSOS PULS | 44 | 36 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 8 |
See also
References
- 1 2 3 Važniji propisi Croatian Parliament (in Croatian)
- ↑ Kolinda prisegnula za prvu predsjednicu Hrvatske HRT, 15 February 2015 (in Croatian)
- 1 2 Karamarko i Milanović ozbiljno razmišljalju o kandidaturi za predsjednika Hrvatske Slobodna Dalmacija, 20 November 2016
- 1 2 3 Velika lista potencijalnih predsjedničkih kandidata koji mogu ugroziti Kolindu
- 1 2 Istraživanje Dnevnika Nove TV: Da su danas predsjednički izbori, kako bi glasovala Hrvatska? Dnevnik.hr, 28 January 2018
- ↑ Uoči konvencije, s utjecajnim SDP-ovcima pričali smo o budućnosti stranke i sljedećim izborima Telegram, 2 December 2016
- ↑ PICULA ŽELI BITI PREDSJEDNIK, ILI SDP-a ILI DRŽAVE 'Ako me ne izaberu za šefa SDP-a, spreman sam se kandidirati za predsjednika Republike'
- ↑ Tko će se naći u utrci za predsjednika Hrvatske? Kolinda se svađa s Plenkovićem, ali biračima je draga, a evo tko bi mogao biti SDP-ov kandidat'