42nd British Columbia general election

42nd British Columbia general election
On or before October 16, 2021 (2021-10-16)
87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia
44 seats needed for a majority

 
Leader Andrew Wilkinson John Horgan Andrew Weaver
Party Liberal New Democratic Green
Leader since February 3, 2018 May 4, 2014 December 9, 2015
Leader's seat Vancouver-Quilchena Langford-Juan de Fuca Oak Bay-Gordon Head
Last election 43 seats, 40.36% 41 seats, 40.28% 3 seats, 16.84%
Current seats 42 41 3
Seats needed Increase2 Increase3 Increase41
Incumbent Premier

John Horgan
New Democratic

The 42nd British Columbia general election will be held on or before October 16, 2021, to elect members of the Legislative Assembly in the Canadian province of British Columbia.

Elections BC will be administering a referendum in October and November 2018 on whether the current first-past-the-post (FPTP) voting system should be maintained or if the province should switch to a proportional representation (PR) system. Should this referendum result in a successful mandate for electoral reform, the 42nd general election may be held using a different voting system.

Timing

Section 23 of British Columbia's Constitution Act provides that general elections occur on the third Saturday in October of the fourth calendar year after the last election.[1] The fixed election date was previously set for the second Tuesday in May, but the BC NDP passed legislation amending the section of the constitution pertaining to the set election day.[2] The same section, though, makes the fixed election date subject to the Lieutenant Governor's prerogative to dissolve the Legislative Assembly as he or she sees fit (in practice, on the advice of the Premier or following a non-confidence vote).[1][3]

2018 electoral reform referendum

A referendum on electoral reform will take place by postal ballot between October 22 and November 30, 2018, in British Columbia. In the referendum, electors will be asked:[4]

  1. to choose whether to maintain the current first-past-the-post voting system or to switch to a proportional system;
  2. to rank three PR systems by preference, were the province to switch to PR:

If the referendum results in a successful mandate for electoral reform, the 42nd general election may be held using a different voting system.

Opinion polls

Start date End date Polling organisation / client Sample size Liberal NDP Green Conservative Others[lower-alpha 1] Lead
(pp)
15 July 2018 17 July 2018 Mainstreet 933 33.9% 33.2% 16.0% 14.6% 2.3% 0.7
12 July 2018 15 July 2018 Insights West 1,053 32% 37% 17% 12% 2% 5
4 May 2018 7 May 2018 Angus Reid 809 36% 41% 17% 6% 5
16 April 2018 18 April 2018 Mainstreet 900 36.8% 34.8% 15.7% 11.4% 1.4% 2.0
12 April 2018 15 April 2018 Mainstreet 1,496 37% 31% 17% 13% 2% 6
5 Mar 2018 6 Mar 2018 Mainstreet 1,511 30.7% 36.0% 21.9% 8.9% 2.5% 5.3
3 Feb 2018Andrew Wilkinson elected leader of the BC Liberals and becomes the Leader of the Opposition.
15 Jan 2018 17 Jan 2018 Insights West 829 31% 40% 19% 8% 2% 9
3 Jan 2018 4 Jan 2018 Mainstreet 817 33.9% 38.5% 27.6% 4.6
14 Aug 2017 15 Aug 2017 Mainstreet 2,050 38% 37% 16% 9% 1
4 Aug 2017Christy Clark resigns as leader of the BC Liberals and as MLA for Kelowna West. Rich Coleman chosen as interim leader
18 Jul 2017John Horgan becomes Premier of British Columbia
29 Jun 2017Christy Clark resigns as Premier, John Horgan invited to form government
29 Jun 2017BC Liberal government defeated in confidence vote
26 Jun 2017 28 Jun 2017 Ipsos 800 44% 38% 14% 4% 6
23 Jun 2017 28 Jun 2017 Insights West 821 36% 41% 19% 4% 5
26 Jun 2017 27 Jun 2017 Mainstreet 1,650 45% 34% 17% 4% 11
15 Jun 2017 19 Jun 2017 Angus Reid 810 39% 38% 20% 3% 1
8 Jun 2017 11 Jun 2017 Ipsos 802 40% 42% 15% 2% 2
11 May 2017 13 May 2017 Mainstreet 1,650 38% 39% 22% 1
9 May 2017 9 May 2017 General election results[5] 1,974,014 40.4% 40.3% 16.8% 0.5% 2.5%0.1

Notes

  1. ↑ Including the British Columbia Conservative Party, which is included in polls by some firms but not by all.

References

  1. 1 2 Constitution Act, s. 23.
  2. ↑ http://vancouversun.com/news/politics/ndp-changes-b-c-s-fixed-election-date-from-may-to-october
  3. ↑ Zussman, Richard (May 26, 2017). "Christy Clark gets 1st chance to govern, but how long can it last?". CBC News.
  4. ↑ "B.C. unveils its proposed question for voters in electoral-reform referendum". Retrieved 25 June 2018.
  5. ↑ "Results of the 2017 General Election". Elections BC. Retrieved 31 July 2017.
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