50th Newfoundland and Labrador general election

50th Newfoundland and Labrador general election
On or before October 8, 2019
All 40[1] seats in the 49th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
21 seats needed for a majority

 
Leader Dwight Ball Ches Crosbie Gerry Rogers
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since November 17, 2013 April 28, 2018 April 8, 2018
Leader's seat Humber - Gros Morne Windsor Lake St. John's Centre
Last election 31 seats, 57.2% 7 seats, 30.1% 2 seats, 12.1%
Current seats 27 8 2
Incumbent Premier

Dwight Ball
Liberal

The 50th Newfoundland and Labrador general election is tentatively scheduled for October 8, 2019, to elect members of the 49th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador.

Timeline

2015

2016

  • May 19, 2016 - Liberal MHA Paul Lane is suspended from the Liberal caucus and sits as an independent MHA.[2]
  • October 11, 2016 - Former premier Paul Davis announces he'll resign as Tory leader once his successor is chosen.[3]

2017

  • July 31, 2017 - A cabinet shuffle takes place after Cathy Bennett resigns as Finance Minister. Dempster and Osborne enter cabinet.
  • September 19, 2017 - NDP Leader Earle McCurdy announced his resignation as Party Leader, effective September 30.[4]
  • September 28, 2017 - NDP MHA Lorraine Michael is named interim leader of the NDP replacing Earle McCurdy who announced his resignation earlier in the month.
  • October 11, 2017 - Mount Pearl North PC MHA Steve Kent resigns to become Chief Administrative Officer of Mount Pearl triggering a by-election.
  • November 21, 2017 - Jim Lester (PC) is elected as MHA for Mount Pearl North.

2018

  • April 8, 2018 - Gerry Rogers is elected as the leader of the New Democrats, succeeding Lorraine Michael.
  • April 25, 2018 - Municipal Affairs Minister Eddie Joyce is formally accused of inappropriate conduct by another Liberal MHA. He is subsequently removed from cabinet and caucus pending the outcome of an external investigation.[5]
  • April 28, 2018 - Ches Crosbie is elected as the new leader of the Progressive Conservatives, succeeding Paul Davis.[6]
  • April 30, 2018 - Minister of Education and Early Childhood Development Dale Kirby is removed from cabinet and caucus following allegations of harassment.[7]
  • May 13, 2018 - Paul Davis announces his resignation as Leader of the Opposition. Since PC leader Ches Crosbie does not have a seat in the House of Assembly MHA David Brazil was appointed Leader of the Opposition on May 14, 2018.[8]
  • June 16, 2018 - Delegates at the Liberal Party Annual General Meeting vote to endorse the leadership of Dwight Ball with 79% voting against the party holding a leadership convention.[9]
  • August 21, 2018 - Liberal MHA Cathy Bennett resigns her seat of Windsor Lake.[10]
  • August 27, 2018 - CBC releases a copy of a report by the Commissioner for Legislative Standards that clears Eddie Joyce and Dale Kirby of wrongdoing in all the allegations made by fellow Liberal MHA Colin Holloway.[11]
  • September 20, 2018 - Ches Crosbie (PC) is elected as MHA for Windsor Lake.[12]

Party standings

Party Leader Seats
2015 Current
Liberal Dwight Ball 31 27
Progressive Conservative Ches Crosbie 7 8
New Democratic Gerry Rogers 2 2
  Independent 0 3
Total 40 40

Opinion polls

Polling Firm Last Day of Polling Link Liberal PC NDP
Corporate Research Associates Inc. August 30, 2018 PDF 43 35 19
MQO Research August 2, 2018 PDF 44 38 16
Mainstreet Research July 17, 2018 HTML 45.8 35.6 12.5
Abacus Data May 27, 2018 HTML 38 40 22
Corporate Research Associates Inc. May 17, 2018 PDF 36 42 22
MQO Research May 13, 2018 PDF 44 36 16
Mainstreet Research May 3, 2018 HTML 41.7 35.7 18.4
Corporate Research Associates Inc. February 28, 2018 PDF 41 33 24
MQO Research January 25, 2018 PDF 43 38 16
Corporate Research Associates Inc. November 30, 2017 PDF 44 33 19
MQO Research October 19, 2017 PDF 52 31 15
Corporate Research Associates Inc. September 13, 2017 PDF 40 33 24
MQO Research July 19, 2017 PDF 35 48 16
Corporate Research Associates Inc. June 1, 2017 PDF 34 40 24
MQO Research April 26, 2017 PDF 37 39 23
Corporate Research Associates Inc. February 28, 2017 PDF 33 39 26
MQO Research January 23, 2017 PDF 43 36 20
Corporate Research Associates Inc. December 1, 2016 PDF 42 34 23
Abacus Data Inc. October 29, 2016 PDF 36 29 34
MQO Research October 22, 2016 PDF 40 31 27
Corporate Research Associates Inc. August 31, 2016 PDF 34 33 32
MQO Research July 27, 2016 PDF 30 37 33
Corporate Research Associates Inc. May 30, 2016 PDF 27 34 38
MQO Research April 21, 2016 PDF 37 30 31
Corporate Research Associates Inc. March 9, 2016 PDF 66 23 11
Election 2015 November 30, 2015 – 57.2 30.1 12.1

References

  1. ↑ "2015 Newfoundland and Labrador Electoral Districts Boundaries Commission". nledbc.ca. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  2. ↑ "Paul Lane Kicked Out of Liberal Caucus via Email". VOCM. May 19, 2016. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  3. ↑ "Paul Davis to resign as PC leader, 'in best interests of party'". CBC News. October 11, 2016. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  4. ↑ "McCurdy to Step Down as Provincial NDP Leader". VOCM. September 19, 2017. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  5. ↑ "Eddie Joyce removed from Liberal caucus following complaints of harassment, bullying". CBC News. April 26, 2018. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  6. ↑ "The new leader of the Progressive Conservative party in N.L. has a familiar last name". CBC News. April 28, 2018. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  7. ↑ "Dale Kirby removed from cabinet and caucus after complaints". CBC News. April 30, 2018. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  8. ↑ "David Brazil to replace Paul Davis as Opposition leader". CBC News. May 14, 2018. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  9. ↑
  10. ↑
  11. ↑
  12. ↑
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