42nd Manitoba general election

42nd Manitoba general election
On or before October 6, 2020 (2020-10-06)
57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba
29 seats are needed for a majority

 
NDP
LIB
Leader Brian Pallister Wab Kinew Dougald Lamont
Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic Liberal
Leader since July 30, 2012 September 16, 2017 October 21, 2017
Leader's seat Fort Whyte Fort Rouge St. Boniface
Last election 40 seats, 53.01% 14 seats, 25.73% 3 seats, 14.46%
Current seats 39 12 4
 
MB
Leader Steven Fletcher James Beddome
Party Manitoba Green
Leader since September 11, 2018 November 15, 2014
Leader's seat Assiniboia Running in TBA
Last election 0 seats, 1.12% 0 seats, 5.14%
Current seats 1 0
Manitoba's 57 electoral districts
Incumbent Premier

Brian Pallister
Progressive Conservative

The 42nd general election of Manitoba, tentatively scheduled for October 6, 2020, will be held to elect members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba.[1] The Progressive Conservatives, led by Premier Brian Pallister, will attempt to win re-election for office for the first time. The NDP elected Wab Kinew as their new leader on September 16, 2017. Kinew was elected to the Legislative Assembly for the first time in 2016. The Liberals elected Dougald Lamont as their new leader on October 21, 2017. Lamont was elected to the Legislative Assembly for the first time in 2018.

Date

Under the Manitoba Elections Act, the general election is to be held on the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year, following the previous election.[2] As the last election was held in 2016, that date would be October 6, 2020. However, the act also provides that if, as of January 1 of the election year, the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the third Tuesday of the following April.[3]

New boundaries

In accordance with the law, Manitoba's electoral boundaries are reviewed every 10 years and this process is scheduled to complete at the end of 2018 with the 2020 elections being fought on new boundaries.[4][5]

Legislature summary

Manitoba Legislature

Party Leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2016 Current. 2020 +/- Votes % % change
Progressive Conservative Brian Pallister 4039
New Democratic Wab Kinew 1412
Liberal Dougald Lamont 34
Manitoba Party Steven Fletcher –1––
Green James Beddome ––––
Communist Darrell Rankin ––––
  Independents –1––
  Vacant 0–
Total 5757

Opinion polls

Polling Firm Last Date of Polling Link PC NDP Liberal Green Other
Mainstreet Research July 17, 2018 URL 44.9 29.3 13.6 8.7 3.4
Mainstreet Research April 18, 2018 URL 45.6 30.2 13.0 7.8
Probe Research Inc April 13, 2018 PDF 44 28 19 8
Mainstreet Research January 6, 2018 URL 39.6 36.7 13.3
Probe Research Inc December 14, 2017 PDF 40 26 25 8
Probe Research Inc October 10, 2017 URL 36 30 24 8
Probe Research Inc June 18, 2017 URL 42 30 20 7
Mainstreet Research April 7, 2017 URL 47 23 19 11
Probe Research Inc March 28, 2017 URL 43 27 20 8
Probe Research Inc December 12, 2016 PDF 49 24 19 8
Probe Research Inc September 26, 2016 PDF 48 20 26 5
Probe Research Inc June 16, 2016 PDF 46 27 18 8
2016 election April 19, 2016 53.0 25.7 14.5 5.1 1.7

References

  1. ↑ Voting in a Manitoba Provincial Election Archived February 22, 2012, at the Wayback Machine.. Retrieved June 24, 2012.
  2. ↑ Elections Act, sec. 49.1(2).
  3. ↑ Elections Act, sec. 49.1(3).
  4. ↑ http://www.boundariescommission.mb.ca/
  5. ↑ http://www.boundariescommission.mb.ca/2018-proposed-electoral-division-names-populations-and-deviations/?step=map-all
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