Green rush

The green rush (2012– ) is an ongoing global economic event that began on December 6, 2012 when cannabis was legalized in Washington state and Colorado.[1] While still illegal federally in the United States,[2] the actions of these two state governments signaled the opening of a market projected to be worth 90+ billion USD globally by 2027.[3] As of 2019 the cannabis industry had created over 250 thousand jobs.[4]

Green rush
Cannabis store in Denver, Colorado
DateDecember 2, 2012 (2012-12-02)
LocationWashington state and Colorado
OutcomeWealth for participants, and tax revenue for governments

Etymology

According to Maximum Yield:[5]

‘Green Rush′ is a term used to describe the burgeoning marijuana industry within the United States as well as Canada. This applies to the growth and spread of dispensaries, the growing sales of smoking accessories, and things outside the world of cannabis culture, like marijuana related stocks and bonds, as well as trade shows and business convergences.

The term green rush is a nod to the North American Gold Rush of the 1800s and mainly alludes to the money-making potential of this growing industry. The green rush is having a major impact on the economies of states where marijuana has been legalized. It is only a matter of time before all states benefit from the rush."[5]

The "green rush" can also be used to characterize the movement of capital and people into territories and markets that have legalized cannabis.[6][7] [8][9]

History

The economic viability of the cannabis marketplace began to erode in the United States in 1937 when the Marihuana Tax Act was passed,[10] prohibiting the production of cannabis in addition to hemp. Later the United Nations conventions on drug control include the Single Convention on Narcotic Drugs of 1961, effectively ended the legal international trade in medicinal and recreational cannabis. These reforms were largely manifested by public fear campaigns that included the public exhibitions of films such as Reefer Madness (1936) that were supported by Federal Bureau of Narcotics commissioner Harry J. Anslinger and his contemporaries.[11]

It was not until the early 1990s that events such as Seattle Hempfest began public education campaigns to reverse the public perception about the restoration and viability of a medicinal and recreational marijuana marketplace.[12]. Activist efforts such as these have spearheaded the green rush which has contributed to the legalization of cannabis in five countries;[13] led to the legalization of cannabis for recreational production, sale and consumption in 11 American states; and has also inspired medicinal cannabis exchanges in 33 U.S. states as of January 2020.[14]

These reforms have created substantial economic activity not only related to growing and selling cannabis, but have facilitated the lesser known ancillary market in the cannabis industry that provides opportunity in other sectors such as packaging, marketing, software, media, finance, and real estate.[15][7]

Licensing

In most U.S. & Canadian jurisdictions cannabis business owners are required to have a license to legally produce, modify, transport, and/or sell cannabis products. The same has held true of Uruguay's emerging market.[16] These licensing systems are regulatory in nature, designed to assure quality standards to protect consumers, and assure that proper taxes are collected from the business entity. The licensing system is also designed to protect society from illicit acts such as selling cannabis to minors and money laundering.[17]. In the United States state licensing schemes are modeled under DOJ guidance issued under the Cole Memorandum issued during the Obama administration. Following suit Canada has implemented similar rules. [18]

Most jurisdictions have requirements termed "green-zones" which require that cannabis business operate a certain distance from schools, churches, and other family facilities.[19] Because of these restrictions this makes green-zone real estate both highly valuable and highly sought after; In many jurisdictions an application for a license must include some kind of link to properly zoned real estate.[20][18]

Upon voter sanctioned legalization each jurisdiction has implemented its own unique systems for applicants seeking to open licensed cannabis businesses. The first two examples were Washington State and Colorado. In Washington 1175 applicants applied for licenses with 334 qualified applicants being selected in a lottery.[21]. Colorado opted to issue 348 licenses to existing medical marijuana businesses in good standing.[22] These initial systems left many potentially qualified applicants without a means to obtain a license. [20]

Secondary market

License issuance is controlled and regulated by governments which in many cases have allowed for their transfer. Due to the limited supply of licenses and high number of organizations seeking to obtain them a secondary market has emerged for licenses. In some areas a license can command a price in the 10s of millions of dollars. As a result several digital marketplaces have created niches for themselves allowing individuals to list and buy licenses from other individuals. [20]

MSOs

An MSO is a term unique to the United States and referee to a cannabis company who holds licenses or otherwise operates in multiple states, a Multi-State Operator. However since the emergence of the Canadian Marketplace many US MSO's have traded on the Canadian Marketplace, and consequently many Canadian companies have sought licenses and IPOs in the United States.

Stock markets

Marijuana stocks become popular following the first phases of legalization in the United States, many initial cannabis offerings were traded on the OTC market as early as 2012 and have subsequently failed. [23]. In 2016 both Canadian and U.S. based stocks began trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange. In many cases these stocks have fallen in price over 80 percent amidst massive lay offs and failure to meet investor expectations. [24]. The Global Cannabis Stock index, a measure of cannabis stock value, has fallen from a high of $180 USD in Jan 2017, to $18 as of March 2020.[25]

United States

On July 19th 2018 the first Cannabis IPO took place. A Canadian based company Tilray (TLRY) began publicly trading on Nasdaq at $17 per share.[26]

Canada

Canopy Growth was the first federally regulated, licensed, publicly traded cannabis producer in North America, traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange as WEED in August of 2016. [27]

Black market

Since the inception of prohibition a black market for cannabis has existed. Estimates say the black market makes up 87 percent of all sales, netting over 40 billion dollars in the U.S. alone, according to a 2016 study. [28]. The black market has created additional issues for cannabis regulators and legal businesses owners alike. Black Market operators have been known to open illegal store fronts posing as legal operators to unwary consumers, an activity that for the moment has overwhelmed law enforcement's ability to regulate these illicit businesses. These operators also pose issues for legal operators as illegal dispensaries are able to offer consumers cannabis products at much cheaper prices than their regulated tax paying legal counter parts.[29]

Vape crisis

Because of the nature of the black market some operators have been found to be selling adulterated electronic cigarettes attuned to cannabis, that allow cartridges of oil derived from the cannabis plant to be heated and inhaled by the user. In some cases these illegally-manufactured cartridges have been found to have 7000 times the legal limit of pesticides. These illicit products led to the 2019–20 vaping lung illness outbreak which hospitalized many unwary consumers, including many minors, and in some cases resulted in permanent injuries and fatalities. While efforts are underway by law enforcement to crack down on the illicit trade, the issue is ongoing as of 2020.[30]

Controversy

United States

Social equity

While racial and economic minorities were often the most persecuted groups under prohibition, the primary make up of the marijuana industry leadership is white males - who compose over 70% of cannabis executives. The primary barrier to both minorities and women has been access to capital needed to start-up cannabis businesses. [31] This has resulted in many jurisdictions implementing social equity laws to combat this economic disparity, with mixed results.[32][33]

Banking

Currently in the U.S. cannabis companies cannot use traditional banking. This has effectively made cannabis in the U.S. a cash only business. Commentators have claimed that by not allowing banking the government has set the stage for money laundering and other forms of crime. Currently all legislation set to fix cannabis banking issues has failed to pass the Senate.[33][34]

280e

280e is a law created during the Reagan administration designed to prevent deductions of business exemptions for scheduled substances. Because Marijuana is still a Schedule 1 substance in the US, License holders have been subject to a higher tax burden than a normal business. To many business owners this obscure tax law has been made known to them in the form of a letter from the IRS requesting substantial back tax for misappropriated deductions on their businesses. [35]

Canada

Dispensaries

The Canadian government has been slow to license enough dispensaries to meet consumer demand and cultivator supply. Creating issues for both large cannabis producers, and eager consumers. [36] In an effort to fix the disparity the Canadian government implemented what is known as Cannabis 2.0, however the dispensary issue has yet to be addressed by the Canadian government, leading to the resurgence of the black market.[37]

See also

References

  1. Dokoupil, Tony (November 13, 2012). "Legalizing And Regulating Pot: A Growth Industry". NPR News. Retrieved 2020-03-14.
  2. Lopez, German (2018-08-20). "Marijuana is illegal under federal law even in states that legalize it". Vox. Retrieved 2020-03-14.
  3. Fortune Business Insights (Aug, 2019), "Cannabis/Marijuana Market Size, Share and Industry Analysis By Type (Flowers/Buds and Concentrates), By Application (Medical, Recreational (Edibles and Topicals), and Industrial Hemp), and Regional Forecast 2019-2026", "https://www.fortunebusinessinsights.com/industry-reports/cannabis-marijuana-market-100219"
  4. Jeff Cox, [cnbc.com] (March 14 2019), "https://www.cnbc.com/2019/03/14/the-marijuana-industry-looks-like-the-fastest-growing-job-market-in-the-country.html"
  5. Maximum Yield (November 29, 2017), "https://www.maximumyield.com/definition/4986/green-rush"
  6. NPR (Feb 16, 2014), "The Green Rush Begins", "https://www.npr.org/2014/02/16/277691480/the-green-rush-begins-investors-get-in-on-pots-ground-floor"
  7. Eddie Miller, TechCrunch.com (September 2, 2015), "The Green Rush" "https://techcrunch.com/2015/09/02/the-green-rush-finding-tech-business-opportunities-within-the-cannabis-sector/"
  8. David Remnick, The New Yorker (September 20, 2019) "The Green Rush", "https://www.newyorker.com/podcast/the-new-yorker-radio-hour/the-green-rush"
  9. Zacks Equity Research (Feb 13 2019), "4 Best Marijuana Stocks to Play the Green Rush", "https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/4-best-marijuana-stocks-play-green-rush-2019-02-13"
  10. Pub.L. 75–238, 50 Stat. 551, enacted August 2, 1937
  11. Green, Richard, KQED (Jan 5, 2018"https://www.kqed.org/lowdown/24153/reefer-madness-the-twisted-history-of-americas-weed-laws"
  12. Bruce Barcott, CrossCut (August 16, 2019) "https://crosscut.com/2019/08/seattles-hempfest-ushered-era-legal-weed-will-be-its-downfall"
  13. Dianna Benjamin, Wikileaf (Nov. 20, 2019) "https://www.wikileaf.com/thestash/countries-where-weed-is-legal/"
  14. Jeremy Berke & Skye Gould, Business Insider (Jan 1, 2020), "https://www.businessinsider.com/legal-marijuana-states-2018-1"
  15. Trish Cotter, Xconomy (July 24th, 2019) "https://xconomy.com/boston/2019/07/24/the-entrepreneurial-potential-of-cannabis/"
  16. MJBizDaily, (September 4, 2019), "Global Cannabis: Uruguay"https://mjbizdaily.com/global-cannabis-uruguay/"
  17. APHA (Nov 18, 2014),"Regulating Commercially Legalized Marijuana as a Public Health Priority", "https://www.apha.org/policies-and-advocacy/public-health-policy-statements/policy-database/2015/01/23/10/17/regulating-commercially-legalized-marijuana-as-a-public-health-priority"
  18. "Zoning for Cannabis: A Guide for Manitoba Municipalities""https://www.cpha.ca/sites/default/files/uploads/resources/cannabis/mb_zoning_for_cannabis_guide.pdf"
  19. [ Andy Kozlowski, Madison - Park News (March 13, 2020), "Council votes to change ordinance language on marijuana facilities" https://www.candgnews.com/news/council-votes-to-change-ordinance-language-on-marijuana-facilities-117292 "https://www.candgnews.com/news/council-votes-to-change-ordinance-language-on-marijuana-facilities-117292"]
  20. Margaret Jackson, MJBizDaily (October 17, 2019), "Buying cannabis licenses on secondary market more of a sure bet than applying for state business permits", "https://mjbizdaily.com/buying-cannabis-licenses-on-secondary-market-more-of-a-sure-bet-than-applying-for-a-state-business-permit/"
  21. MJBizDaily (May 5, 2014), "Washington State Reveals Retail Lottery Winners", "https://mjbizdaily.com/washington-state-announces-dispensary-lottery-winners/"
  22. MJBizDaily (December 23, 2013), "348 Retail Marijuana Licenses Issued in Colorado", "https://mjbizdaily.com/recreational-marijuana-licenses-issued-in-colorado/"
  23. Alan Brochstein, Forbes (Jul 15, 2019), "A Walk Through The Cannabis Stock Graveyard",
  24. Bloomberg, LA times (Nov 16, 2019), "The pot stock bubble has burst. Here’s why", "https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2019-11-16/pot-stock-bubble-has-burst"
  25. Global Cannabis Stock Index, New Cannabis Ventures (March 2020), "https://www.newcannabisventures.com/cannabis-stock-index/"
  26. Anne Sraders, The Street(Feb 18, 2020), "https://www.thestreet.com/markets/history-of-marijuana-14718715"
  27. New Cannabis Ventures (March 2020) "https://www.newcannabisventures.com/stock-cgc-twmjf-canopy-growth-corp/"
  28. Will Yakowicz, Inc.com (Jan 17, 2017), "https://www.inc.com/will-yakowicz/marijuana-sales-2016-50-billion.html"
  29. Matthew Walsh, Brown Political Review (Jan. 8, 2020),"http://brownpoliticalreview.org/2020/01/the-state-of-the-marijuana-black-market/"
  30. Jayne O'Donnell, USA Today (Sept 23, 2019), "https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/health/2019/09/23/vaping-illnesses-crisis-teens-black-market-thc-no-regulation/2209009001/"
  31. Liz Posnerdec, Pacific Standard (Dec 10, 2018), "The Green Rush is too White" "https://psmag.com/economics/the-green-rush-is-too-white-hood-incubator-race-weed"
  32. Eli McVey, MJBizDaily (Aug 20, 2019), "Chart: Not all states’ cannabis social equity programs are equal", "https://mjbizdaily.com/chart-not-all-states-cannabis-social-equity-programs-are-equal/"
  33. [https://www.politico.com/agenda/story/2019/09/25/cannabis-banking-bill-000987 "https://www.politico.com/agenda/story/2019/09/25/cannabis-banking-bill-000987"}
  34. "https://ww.marketrealist.com/2020/03/u.s.-treasury-cant-fix-marijuana-banking-problem/#aprd"
  35. "https://mjbizmagazine.com/blunting-the-280e-blow/"
  36. "https://www.vice.com/en_ca/article/wjwb8y/how-canadas-black-market-survived-one-year-of-legal-weed"
  37. "https://www.growopportunity.ca/cannabis-2-0-products-go-on-sale-in-ontario/"
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