United States presidential approval rating

Approval ratings of President Barack Obama by state in 2015—approval of the president was highest in Hawaii (at 58 percent) and lowest in West Virginia (at 24 percent)
  >50%
  40–49%
  30–39%
  <30%

In the United States, presidential job approval ratings were introduced by George Gallup in the late 1920s (most likely 1927) to gauge public support for the President of the United States during his term. An approval rating is a percentage determined by a polling which indicates the percentage of respondents to an opinion poll who approve of a particular person or program. Typically, an approval rating is given to a politician based on responses to a poll in which a sample of people are asked whether they approve or disapprove of that particular political figure. A typical question might ask:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?[1]

Like most surveys that predict public opinion, the approval rating is subjective. Many unscientific approval rating systems exist that skew popular opinion. However, the approval rating is generally accepted as a statistically valid indicator of the comparative changes in the popular United States mood regarding a President.

In contemporary politics presidential job approval is highly partisan. For example Barack Obama in his last year as sitting president achieved a job approval of 70 to 90 among democrats and 10 to 15 among republicans.[2] On the other hand in 2018 President Donald Trump has a job approval of 80 to 90 among republicans and 5 to 10 among democrats.[1]

President Donald Trump

Most recent polls for President Donald Trump[3][4][5]

Polling group Date Approval Disapproval Unsure Net +/- Sample size[5] Population[5]
CNN[lower-alpha 1][6] October 4–7, 2018 41% 52% 7% -11% 1,009 All adults
Rasmussen Reports[lower-alpha 2][7] October 3–7, 2018 51% 47% 2% +4% ≈1,500 Likely voters
Gallup Poll[lower-alpha 3][8] October 1–7, 2018 43% 53% 4% -10% ≈1,500 All adults
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist[9] October 1, 2018 41% 53% 5% -12% 1,183 All adults
Quinnipiac University[10] September 27–30, 2018 41% 53% 6% -12% 1,111 Registered voters
Pew Research Center[11] September 18–24, 2018 38% 55% 7% -17% 1,754 All adults
Fox News[lower-alpha 4][12] September 16–19, 2018 44% 52% 3% -8% 1,003 Registered voters
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[lower-alpha 5][13] September 16–19, 2018 44% 52% 4% -8% 900 Registered voters
Ipsos/Reuters[14] September 11–17, 2018 42% 54% 4% -12% 2,196 All adults
Grinnell College[lower-alpha 6][15] August 29–September 2, 2018 39% 50% 11% -11% 1,002 All adults
Investor's Business Daily[lower-alpha 7][16] August 23–30, 2018 36% 56% 2% -20% 902 All adults
ABC News/Washington Post[lower-alpha 8][17] August 26–29, 2018 36% 60% 4% -24% 1,003 All adults
Kaiser Family Foundation[lower-alpha 9][18] August 23–28, 2018 37% 59% 4% -22% 1,201 All adults
Suffolk University/USA Today[19] August 23–28, 2018 40% 56% 4% -16% 1,000 Registered voters
CBS News[lower-alpha 10][20] June 14–17, 2018 42% 52% 6% -10% 1,100 All adults
CNBC[lower-alpha 11][21] March 17–20, 2018 39% 50% 11% -11% 801 All adults
George Washington University[lower-alpha 12][22] March 4–8, 2018 42% 55% 4% -13% 1,000 Likely voters
Public Policy Polling[23] February 9–11, 2018 44% 50% 6% -6% 687 Registered voters
Public Religion Research Institute[lower-alpha 13][24] October 18–30, 2017 41% 54% 5% -13% 2,019 All adults
Washington Post/University of Maryland[25] September 27–October 5, 2017 37% 63% 1% -26% 1,663 All adults

Historical comparison

Historical Gallup Poll approval highs and lows for each President since 1937[26][27][28][lower-alpha 14]

Order President Highest approval Lowest approval High –
Low		 Highest disapproval Highest margin Lowest margin Final poll Approval
average[26]		 Polls
per year
45[29][30][31][32] Trump 45 (01/29/17, 06/17/18)[30] 33 (10/29/17, 12/01/17)[29] 12 62 (10/29/17, 10/30/17, 12/01/17) [29] 1 (01/24/17) [29] −29 (10/29/17, 12/01/17) [29] 39[31]
44[33][34] Obama 69 (01/24/09) 38 (09/05/14)[lower-alpha 15] 31 57 (10/10/14) 56 (01/23-24/09) −18 (10/10/14) 59 (01/19/17) 47.9 348.4
43[35] G. W. Bush 92 (9/21/01) 25 (10/05/08, 10/12/08, 11/02/08) 65 71 (10/10/08) 83 (09/22/01) −46 (10/12/08) 34 (01/11/09) 49.4 33.7
42[36] Clinton 73 (12/19/98) 37 (06/06/93) 36 54 (09/07/94) 45 (12/17/00) −14 (09/07/94) 66 (01/14/01) 55.1 28.5
41[37] G. H. W. Bush 89 (02/28/91) 29 (08/02/92, 10/13/92) 60 60 (07/31/92) 82 (03/03/91) −30 (08/02/92, 10/13/92) 56 (01/11/93) 60.9 39.5
40[38] Reagan 71 (01/30/86) 35 (01/31/83) 36 56 (01/28/83) 52 (01/30/86) −21(01/31/83) 63 (12/29/88) 52.8 37.0
39[39] Carter 74 (03/15/77) 28 (06/26/79, 10/02/79) 46 59 (06/26/79) 66 (03/15/77) −31 (06/26/79) 34 (12/08/80) 45.5 22.7
38[40] Ford 70 (08/13/74) 36 (03/25/75) 34 46 (04/15/75, 11/18/75) 67 (08/13/74) −7 (02/25/75, 03/25/75, 04/15/75) 53 (12/13/76) 47.2 14.7
37[41] Nixon 66 (01/23/73) 24 (01/02/74) 42 66 (08/05/74) 57 (03/17/69) −42 (08/05/74) 24 (08/05/74) 49.1 17.7
36[42] Johnson 79 (03/05/64) 34 (08/12/68) 45 52 (08/12/68) 75 (12/10/63) −18 (08/12/68) 49 (01/06/69) 55.1 15.3
35[43] Kennedy 83 (03/05/62) 56 (09/10/63) 27 30 (09/12/63, 11/08/63) 78 (03/05/62) 27 (09/10/63) 58 (11/13/63) 70.1 13.7
34[44] Eisenhower 77 (11/22/55, 12/19/56) 47 (03/25/58) 30 36 (03/25/58) 66 (04/02/53, 12/19/56) 12 (03/25/58) 59 (12/13/60) 65.0 14.4
33[45] Truman 87 (08/22/45) 22 (11/16/51, 02/14/52) 65 67 (01/06/52) 85(08/22/45) −43 (01/04/52) 32 (12/16/52) 45.4 8.4
32[46] F. D. Roosevelt 83 (01/08/42) 48 (08/18/39) 35 46 (05/22/38, 05/29/38, 11/07/38) 73 (01/23/42) 65 (12/15/43) 63

Graphs

Gallup Poll graphs of approval ratings for Presidents of the United States

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Conducted by SSRS.
  2. ↑ Rolling 3-day average of 500 likely voters each day; no neutral/unsure choice.
  3. ↑ Weekly averages.
  4. ↑ Conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R).
  5. ↑ Conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R).
  6. ↑ Conducted by Selzer & Company.
  7. ↑ Conducted by TIPP, a division of TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence.
  8. ↑ Conducted by Langer Research Associates and Abt Associates of Rockville, MD.
  9. ↑ Conducted by SSRS of Glen Mills, PA.
  10. ↑ Conducted by SSRS of Glen Mills, Pennsylvania.
  11. ↑ Conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R).
  12. ↑ Conducted by The Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D).
  13. ↑ Conducted by SSRS.
  14. ↑ Only the results of Gallup polls are included as no other poll results exist for presidents before President Clinton.
  15. ↑ Last of eight, sometimes overlapping, 3-day averages.

References

  1. 1 2 "Presidential Approval Ratings – Donald Trump". Gallup. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
  2. ↑ "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Barack Obama". Gallup. Retrieved October 14, 2018.
  3. ↑ "President Trump: Job Ratings". PollingReport.com. Retrieved June 7, 2018.
  4. ↑ "President Trump Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved September 1, 2017.
  5. 1 2 3 "How (un)popular is Donald Trump?". fivethirtyeight.com. Retrieved May 14, 2017.
  6. ↑ "CNN October 2018" (PDF). October 8, 2018.
  7. ↑ "Trump Approval Index History". Retrieved February 26, 2018.
  8. ↑ "Trump Job Approval (Weekly)". Retrieved January 10, 2018.
  9. ↑ "NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll of 1,183 National Adults" (PDF). October 3, 2018.
  10. ↑ "GOP Cuts Into Dem Lead In House Races, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; More Voters Want Democrats To Control Senate". October 2, 2018.
  11. ↑ "SEPTEMBER 2018 POLITICAL SURVEY" (PDF). September 26, 2018.
  12. ↑ "Fox News Poll". September 23, 2018.
  13. ↑ "NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey" (PDF). September 23, 2018.
  14. ↑ "Trump approval at reuters.com". Retrieved June 17, 2017.
  15. ↑ "GRINNELL COLLEGE NATIONAL POLL" (PDF). September 5, 2018.
  16. ↑ "Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Poll - September 2018" (PDF). September 21, 2018.
  17. ↑ "Washington Post-ABC News poll Aug. 26-29, 2018". August 31, 2018.
  18. ↑ "Kaiser Health Tracking Poll – Late Summer 2018". September 5, 2018.
  19. ↑ "Suffolk University/USA TODAY August 2018" (PDF). September 4, 2018.
  20. ↑ "Mixed Views of Trump-Kim Summit; Fewer Uneasy About Conflict Now". June 18, 2018.
  21. ↑ "CNBC AAES First Quarter Survey" (PDF). March 27, 2018.
  22. ↑ "GW Battleground (LXIII)" (PDF). March 13, 2018.
  23. ↑ "Democrats Lead by 8 Points On Generic House Ballot Nationally" (PDF). February 14, 2018.
  24. ↑ "PRRI 2017 American Values Survey" (PDF). December 5, 2017.
  25. ↑ "Washington Post-University of Maryland Democracy Poll, Sept. 27-Oct. 5, 2017". October 28, 2017.
  26. 1 2 "Presidential Approval Ratings – Gallup Historical Statistics and Trends". Gallup. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
  27. ↑ Lydia Saad (March 29, 2017). "Trump's Approval Rating Unusually Low, Unusually Early". Gallup. Retrieved April 1, 2017.
  28. ↑ The American Presidency Project at UC Santa Barbara.
  29. 1 2 3 4 5 "Gallup Daily: Trump Job Approval". Gallup. Retrieved January 27, 2017.
  30. 1 2 "Trump Job Approval (Weekly)". Gallup. Retrieved January 22, 2018.
  31. 1 2 "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Donald Trump". Gallup. Retrieved October 9, 2018.
  32. ↑ Jeffrey M. Jones (April 24, 2018). "Trump's Fifth-Quarter Job Approval Up; Still Historically Low". Gallup.
  33. ↑ Graphical display and numbers of Gallup "daily tracking" polls
  34. ↑ "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Barack Obama".
  35. ↑ "Gallup.com". Gallup.com. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
  36. ↑ "Presidential Approval Ratings -- Bill Clinton". gallup.com. Retrieved January 26, 2017.
  37. ↑ "Presidential Job Approval for George H. W. Bush". American Presidency Project.
  38. ↑ "Presidential Job Approval for Ronald Reagan". American Presidency Project.
  39. ↑ "Presidential Job Approval for Jimmy Carter". American Presidency Project.
  40. ↑ "Presidential Job Approval for Gerald Ford". American Presidency Project.
  41. ↑ "Presidential Job Approval for Richard Nixon". American Presidency Project.
  42. ↑ "Presidential Job Approval for Lyndon B. Johnson". American Presidency Project.
  43. ↑ "Presidential Job Approval for John F. Kennedy". American Presidency Project.
  44. ↑ Presidential Job Approval for "Dwight D. Eisenhower". American Presidency Project.
  45. ↑ "Presidential Job Approval for Harry S. Truman". American Presidency Project.
  46. ↑ "Presidential Job Approval for Franklin D. Roosevelt". American Presidency Project.
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